Automated transcript · Written by software from the replay's audio. It can mishear names and figures; the replay is the record.
27:36 And graphite, Sasha? Yeah, I mean, the growth, as most people watching are probably very well aware, for the battery metals is enormous and Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, which is one of the leading analytical firms in the space, has projected graphite as the highest growth of all the materials for batteries, which is, I guess, easy to understand given that it's almost 50% of a battery. But another interesting report was put out by the World Bank about 24 months ago, which is really worth reading, that talks about the entire energy transition and all of the different metals required. And again, they show that graphite, not just in batteries, but across the full spectrum, is still the largest growth of any material requirement.
28:29 We can say that we're arguably very close to a natural graphite deficit. So most batteries currently have a blend of natural and synthetic graphite, synthetic graphite being a petroleum by-product and definitely not environmentally friendly. The constraint right now is, of course, that over 90% of processed graphite is coming from China. So trying to find alternatives, both on the mining side but also the processing side, is an enormous challenge. And really, to get the environmental footprint down or the lifecycle environmental footprint of the battery down really have to get the natural graphite composition up. And that's the real challenge given the constraints that are out there, the time it takes to bring new mines into production.
29:25 So that's, you know, the demand is huge and graphite is really leading the pack in terms of that growth over the next 30 years. Now, Sach, I want to just circle back here. You made a comment previously about how part of the issue with ESG in terms of kind of hesitancy towards it is a lack of kind of international standardization. Is there something that you have in mind? I mean, is that coming? Is that something you're aware of that there are efforts towards that? Just curious. And Terry, you're obviously welcome to speak to this too, Terry, if you're aware of it, but I just thought I'd follow that up as a follow-up question for you, Sasha. So I look at both sides, the financial side and then the pure resource side. And the financial side is obviously important because it's going to dictate or constrain or make available more depending on where you land for the mining company in your ranking.
30:20 On the financial side, there are definitely moves towards standardization. So there's been different groups that are providing the analysis and the data, and There's different aggregators of that data with ranking systems. So you've got people like S&P and others. But there's been an effort to get standardization, and not just standardization of the qualifications, but also standardization and fungibility on carbon credits through different jurisdictions. That's happening quite actively. And, you know, there might not be just 1 standard, but there will be consistency amongst, you know, different jurisdictions. So that's really happening on the financial side. On the resource side, less so.
31:09 As I mentioned before, there's really just a handful of firms that are doing the environmental analysis. And speaking quite frankly, when I look at people that have sustainable finance in their title, often I can't exactly find what they've been doing in sustainable finance for the last few years, but nevertheless it seems to be a popular title, whether you're in a bank or any other company, that's a challenge. And I would say, I mean, if you look at even the carbon assessment firms, there is no standardization to be a certifier. It's amazing that to this day, You don't have to have any specific qualification to be employed by those firms or to undergo that analysis for carbon assessments. Ultimately, it's convincing the registration entity, whichever 1 it might be, why this credit has value or doesn't have value.
32:04 And now you're seeing a lot of them being reset. I think, quite honestly, it's a huge risk for investors on the carbon side that are buying credits that are probably going to get re-rated, that aren't going to meet the expectations of urban abatement that they were suggested they would. And we saw this before, by the way, in the early stages of renewable energy on the wind side. We had assessment firms out there that were providing projections of huge capacity factors. That's the availability that wind turbines could produce energy, so 25%, 30%, 35%. All of them, If you remember the early days of flow-through financing for wind in Canada, all of those funds that were put together, every single one of them failed.
32:53 They all failed because they were project finance based on production assessment of 35% and they ended up doing 28 and they all folded. I think we're seeing some of that now. We're definitely seeing it in the carbon side, but in the overall theme of ESG and sustainable finance, you know, there's a lot of people popping up with, you know, Again, I just question some of the backgrounds and their qualifications. So that's going to be a challenge. It's being addressed on the financial side, those standards that are applying to the funds and how those screens work. But It's certainly, as I mentioned before, for scope 2 or scope 3 assessments, that's very hard. Scope 1, relatively straightforward, but when you start looking at your downstream and your upstream suppliers, It's a big challenge.
33:48 Yeah, you know, with PowerNegro, we didn't, you know, when we were looking around at the carbon side of things, you know, doing offsetting, that's one of the things we discovered was that there's a lot of flim flam out there. That's the best way to describe it. And so Vera Certified sort of seems to be one of the credible carbon brands. And I'm sure there might be 1 or 2 others. But so we're trying to, just as a company, just to deal with the branded stuff so that you have some sort of place to place your trust because we're not equipped to really analyze it ourselves.
34:35 So it's important to pick the right partner to work with on that side of things. I think we did with Carbos, they've been great. And I think the drill green program is a phenomenal program for mining people and it's quite cost-effective. So that's been good. I think when I was in New York at that SME conference, there was a S&P ESG spokesperson that gave us a speech on it and what S&P is doing. And so clearly the big guys are moving into this because this is a, you know, there's gonna be money there, right? I mean, there's lots of money for these rating guys and they'll go where the cash is. So they'll, you know, they'll come up with some terms and that's just part of the process of this, you know, relatively new industry that needs to, it's gonna be the wild west for a little bit and there'll be some spectacular failures and some spectacular successes.
35:25 And that's just part of any new invention, it's gonna go through that process. So for the smaller companies like ourselves, who are just really trying to be good corporate citizens and do the right thing, we'll just try and stick to the most proven commodities we can find out there in terms of this and not take a lot of risk in terms of Greenfield, trying to do it ourselves. No, it's like, let's go work with the pros and maybe we'll pay a little bit more, but we can sleep at night and know that we've, we've definitely checked the box, if that's the box we wanna check. So I think that's sort of how we're going to approach it. Nope, thank you. Maybe I'll ask you 2 gentlemen for this one, take a step back, you know, you're not no longer just representatives where, you know, the hatch of Power Nickel or the hatch of Ceylon, but maybe just as, you know, participants in this industry, maybe what, you know, what is the biggest challenge or sticking point or failure, if I call it that, of the industry at this point? Where does the industry need to pull up its socks most in terms of achieving ESG best practice? Terry, I'll let you lead off with that one.
36:33 Yeah, you know what? That's a tough one. I mean, I think all in all, they've been generally mining has been quite progressive, you know? I guess, you know, I think, you know, probably diversity is probably one of the areas that we could probably do a better job of. And it's not that we're doing a bad job. I think there's lots of women in our leadership positions. There's lots of people of color in our leadership positions, but we can probably do better and do more. I think we can do a better job of engaging with our indigenous partners and not just having them as obviously, you know, employees in our mining situations, but actually leaders in our businesses, you know, that they can become because intelligence doesn't know any, you know, sex or color or creed. It's either you have a good work ethic and you have been trained and you can execute or you can't. You know, and I think we always need to reward competence and that's always the tough line, But we can also have special training and special programming to try and channel more diversity into our sector. And that can be a good thing.
37:58 That can get us into more engagement and to more social license to do business. So again, it doesn't necessarily have to be a cost. It can be a benefit. You know, so but I think we, you know, and I generally see lots of trends that way in the space. And I think generally that the mining community is pretty progressive. So I'm quite encouraged to see what we're seeing out there when I'm talking with my colleagues and at conferences and stuff like that. And Sasha, over to you. Yeah, I was, I mean, as Terry mentioned earlier, I think Canadian mining companies in general are a little bit ahead of the curve. I had mentioned earlier that I'm chair of Nature United, which is the Canadian arm of Nature Conservancy. And if anybody's interested in this, please take a look at nature.org is the TNC site and natureunited.ca is the Canadian 1. And they'll see some very interesting projects that we've done in Canada.
38:52 And they're always in partnership with either forestry companies or mining companies. So these are nature-based climate solutions mostly, and looking at, you know, either tenements, forestry concessions that have been end of life and there's reclamation, or in conjunction with operating assets. And so we've seen some very progressive companies in the resource space that have sort of looked forward, not just to the next few years of operations, but to end of life and beyond, and as I said, even concurrent during operations. And some of those partnerships are quite interesting, a combination of the province, First Nations communities, and the mining company. And as I say, usually in the mining scenario, utilizing lands that aren't in the direct area of production but extended lands that the company might control or part of the crown partnership that they have.
39:49 So those are great, great win-wins and there have been some phenomenal companies that have partnered in that. And amazingly, it doesn't cost the companies anything. There's no shortage of capital that is ready to invest in these projects. We just got $100 million from Jeff Bezos, for example, on the Emerald Edge project, which you'll see Ocean Wall, some of the forestry companies, there's some other ones, British Columbia with mining companies, but there's an opportunity to do something that is a win-win for the community, a win-win for the environment, actually a win-win for the federal government even, which has them very excited about these type of projects. So Again, very encouraging to see through that work that I do with that organization, some of these companies being very, very proactive on that.
40:42 Excellent. I'm going to circle around here to discuss maybe the constraints or limitations of talking the talk, walking the walk, which nevertheless being a microcap and working with a microcap or junior resource sector, right? And I've actually, I'm just trying to find it here. One of our listeners had a good question here, Paul, And this kind of touches on something that you had mentioned, Terry, in terms of the actual capital markets kind of working or not working well. And so Paul's asking here, what needs to be done in capital markets policy to drive investment back into these small cap companies? His concern is that there's too much large cap bias among institutional investors, which starves the big winners of the future. And so Terry, maybe I'll let you, cause that was kind of where you were going with one of your answers.
41:27 I'll let you take that. Yeah, I think, you know, the biggest thing is there's a, there is a lack of transparency. When people are the normal investors and myself included, trade and we've been trading on the TSXV or stock power nickel or CSE or whatever. We see this trading volume and think, okay, that's it. Well, in most cases, that's less than half the trading volume. OK, so I mean, so the sophisticated institutional investors and the hedge funds that are offshore that are shorting these stocks and doing whatever they see at all, you know. So why is the individual investor disenfranchised? So that's the first thing we got to fix. That's just nonsense that it can't be fixed. It can be fixed, simply lacks the will to fix it. And it must be fixed to protect individual investors. So that's number 1. Second thing is, you know, we have rules. We have rules about naked shorting, but we don't enforce them, okay?
42:24 And the compliance is dreadful. And, you know, the spoofing And the naked shorting that goes on in the junior capital markets, not just a mining, but across the board is ridiculous. You can see it every day. I mean, we had 7 days in a row on really good news. Stock trades down 15, 59, 59 by the same firm every day. How is that even possible that one firm gets the last trade every day at 1559.59? And not just in our stock, but in many of my peers stocks. So it's just ridiculous. So, you know, At the end of the day, these things basically suppress true market discovery. And all we're asking for, all any capitalist should ask for, is true price discovery. Let's supply and demand, based on full disclosure of information that's relevant, dictate pricing.
43:20 Don't let people with big muscle that are offshore be able to pound stocks into oblivion just because they can, they just keep selling. They don't mark the trade short. Just to give you an example, Goldman Sachs got fined just recently, about a month ago, because I was in talking with them, the Minister of Finance here in Ontario on this point, and the Minister of State, I guess. And they get 60 million mismarked transactions, a $3 million fine. Think about that for a second. A, how do you miss mark something 60 million times? Terry would be in jail if he did that. Okay, Sasha too. So, I mean, that's just big business, you know, taking the fact that they got a paltry $3 million fine, they probably made $300 million or $3 billion.
44:06 So who cares? That's just the cost of doing business. And right now that's what's happening to our system. Big guys can muscle things around and they can suppress stocks and they do. And they do it through a variety of tactics. And I've talked to litigators, all I've talked to the best litigators in North America on this and guys that have won 10 cases of between 10 and 100 million dollars in against the JP Morgans and Merrill Lynch's and Woodbush's and all these people, like the big, big investment banks out there, that these are like multimillion dollar efforts over multiple years, nothing a junior miner could do. Okay, so at the end of the day, that to me, we need to make this market fairer for investors. Markets existed for 2 reasons.
44:55 They existed for allowing investors to find more opportunities to invest in, and they invested for companies to have better access to capital. That's the primary reasons why markets were invented, okay? Not invented for hedge funds to trade and make profit and somehow you scan the system or exchanges to make profit. You know, it's really, generally speaking, the fundamental purposes for exchanges are to get investors access to investment opportunities that are fully disclosed in a transparent way, and then to allow companies to access capital. So we really need to fix that. And that's the, and you know, I think I have a simple solution, really simple. Now, I've been stumbling along this for, in the Save Canadian Mile world for 3 years now.
45:40 I've now determined the solution is simply this. We need to charge a 10 times profit engorgement fine, okay, on naked shorting, okay, and we let the regulators keep the cash, okay, so they're gonna have incentive to go catch these guys. Okay, so if Goldman Sachs made $300 million in that thing, they pay $3 billion fine, they only do that once, and that'll be over. And probably what we need to do is say, guys, here's this 10 times profit engorgement thing and we're going to start it in 6 months because if we crush them all today, bankrupt, everyone wouldn't make any sense. We need the time. The system's going to need time to to clean up. But if we could get these guys off the suppressing tactics that you see every day in every stock, that would be enormous because eventually stocks will find their own natural trading point through transparency.
46:32 But that's my view on it. And but it's a view that's held by a lot of my colleagues in the junior mining space. I guess I just add to that. Having been the CEO of a full service investment bank for many, many years, I guess I've got a few opinions on it. The first is I think that the industry has just completely changed. When I started investment banking for the first few years of my career, we probably had close to 100 full-service independent dealers and bank-owned dealers. Now there's less than 10 real inactive, full-service independent dealers. The business has changed completely. Used to be able to rely on trading revenue to cover fixed costs, and your profit was in your investment banking, underwriting business, but that's no longer the case because obviously there's no trading margin anymore and that disincentivizes equity research coverage because in the old days you'd basically pay for research through trading and that doesn't exist anymore.
47:33 So there are a handful of analysts out there that cover junior mining that are left and the business case is quite difficult. So the business has to be made through, the revenue has to be made through underwriting. And that's where I think you get into some of those, you know, some of those anomalies that Terry's talking about, or maybe not anomalies, maybe those are the common practice, and that's definitely become an issue. So you know, then the question becomes how do you incentivize more independent investment dealers and the ones that used to do, you know, the heavy lifting and write the research and market the stories. I mean, my entire career really as an investment banker was that. Early junior companies building the story, marketing them, you know, I personally market a lot of the companies in Europe to funds and to other places where that we're looking for, you know, those type of deals and it's just there's very few that'll do that heavy lifting now because the market has changed so much, the price is smaller, they've got to de-risk it more, regulation is never-ending, it's basically impossible for an independent dealer, a full-service independent dealer, to keep up with compliance, it's really impossible, really none of the banks can do that. So it's a very challenging environment and you really have to look at what regulations are required to make it easier for those small dealers to operate and encourage more to enter the
49:03 marketplace. Put you on the spot here, Terry had this suggestion of more heavily penalizing shorting. If you were God Emperor for a day, what would be 1 law that you would pass? Shorting is actively being pursued now, as you probably know, the US regulators, actually the Department of Justice is directly pursuing those as we speak. They gave an update I think last week that they're intending to move forward in a couple of weeks, as a story I think it was the Wall Street Journal had said. So, that's a pretty active thing and that was obviously very, very commonplace and very difficult for junior companies in any sector when people are shorting into a deal, you know, and covering through the deal. So I think, you know, if people are still doing that on a deal, they're going to be under the microscope if they aren't already.
49:55 So I think that's going to, you know, be something that's addressed. I think it's just gone too far and been too prevalent that the regulators, starting with the US side, it appears, are going to definitely go after that. But I think the other part, as I was saying before, is more proactive regulation or less – different banks and independent dealers can't be treated the same. Banks have armies and armies of compliance people and different systems of accountability than independents do, And we just have to – we have to look at an environment. There was a task force that was in place that put a report together led by my friend Waleed Solomon, who's chair of Norton Rose. He chaired the task force on securities overhaul for Canada, and he has some fantastic recommendations in there that really cover the whole industry and address exactly what we're talking about now.
50:50 How do you make a more vibrant capital market system? How do you support those companies that are going to be those future winners and those future major resource companies and other companies, tech and others that have made Canada what it is, you've got to have that junior market. So I encourage the person that asked the question to look up the report. There are some great recommendations in it. It was a report given to the Minister of Finance in Ontario. It was submitted about 18 months ago. I'll have to dig in that one as well for me. No, thank you. So another kind of a question around, you know, around this idea of junior companies and, you know, your powers and limitations perhaps to affect change. But I guess, so threats of opportunities for ESG through the supply chain specifically, right? I mean, how do you make upstream downstream priorities align? How do you ensure jurisdictional compliance, et cetera? I mean, this is a huge topic and 1 that I could probably ask 10 different questions from. But maybe, I mean, specifically back to you 2 guys, I mean, how does a $15 million market cap company, how does a $40 million market cap company, how does a microcap junior fit into that conversation?
52:03 This massive and complex conversation, I guess. And yeah, Sash, you can lead it off. Sure. I guess apropos to what we were just talking about, I think over regulation on that aspect for juniors doesn't make any sense. So I was talking before about scope 2 and 3, I mean I think we have to have a market cap threshold or a revenue threshold probably more appropriately that is brought into consideration as to when a company has to even look at scope 2 and 3 and that's again those upstream inputs carbon footprints. Obviously this is more specific to the E, but it does apply to the S and the G as well. It just doesn't make any sense. The cost burden for a small junior to go all the way into those scope 2 and 3 just doesn't make sense. I think we need a clear framework that says, at this certain market capital revenue, then it's incumbent on the company to report scope 2, and then at a bigger one scope 3, I think it's just too difficult.
53:01 The massive major multinational companies are really struggling to do it now. Very few, you'll see from most reports, are publishing them, even though it's a requirement for I think NYSE. And it's virtually impossible to do and consultants are making tens and tens of millions of dollars making up the analysis as they go. So it just doesn't make sense imposing that type of regime on juniors at this stage. Awesome, Terry. Yeah, no, I agree with what Sasha said. You know, we have to walk before we run on these things, certainly for the small cap guys. And it's like even the cap limits or revenue limits I think would be a great way to look at, for example, shorting and why are you even able to short stocks under 250 million or under 1 billion.
54:05 You know, I get the concept behind, and I'm not necessarily against short selling. If they're taking the actual honest bet and they're saying, hey, you know, I think Terry's doing a terrible job at Power Nickel. I think that thing's going down. And they borrow the stock and they sell it. That's one thing. It's the other thing is when they sell a stock, they don't own the stock and they just keep, you know, moving the trades around. So they never cover, you know, and, you know, we've, we've actually figured out a way. Finally, we're, we're, we're actually, you know, just, we just sent a bunch of seasoned assist letters yesterday to brokerages where we've actually proven with Broadbridge and CES data that they have massive share imbalances. Okay. So you can now, We're starting to figure ways to deal with these guys, but that would be one example of a market cap threshold that would be productive, because once you get to 250 million in market cap, you're probably pretty substantial company.
54:58 You can probably take care of yourself in the market and deal with these shorters, you know, in the fullness of time. But if you're a nano cap like we are, where you're basically, you know, going from financing to execution to financing, and you're the only way you can create value for your shareholders is if you execute and deliver the goods and what you said you were gonna do, you need to get rewarded and the shareholders need to get rewarded, otherwise the system's gonna break down. And that's what's happening in junior mining, unfortunately. So yeah, that's the challenge. I have a number of more questions here. We're kind of circling around to the end of it, so I apologize for listeners. I won't be able to get to all your questions. Some of them were party-specific or company-specific, which you'll have to maybe contact Sasha or Terry on your own. But maybe the last one I'll end with here is just a generic tip for investors. I mean, I think it was you, Terry, that said, I mean, the ESG and carbon credits, it can be a bit of a Wild West thing, right?
55:52 Where because of the lack of regulation that we've discussed, it can be very much, you know, winner takes all, losers lose their shirt. But I mean, how do you, so maybe, yeah, so tips for investors from this perspective, how, you know, maybe the question I have and feel free to take it in a different direction if you have something else you wanna talk about, but how do you separate buzzwords from sincerity? How do you separate talk from action, you know, and How do you separate that desire for genuine change from those accusations of greenwashing? You know, if you're speaking to investors here. Yeah, I would say generally speaking as an investor, I wouldn't be making any investment decision on a mining company, you know, on an ESG point solely. I don't think it's there yet. I don't think, I mean, there may be some sectors where you're talking about, hey, I've got a hot mine in California. You think yourself, well, maybe not, maybe that's never gonna get produced. So there might be, I mean, you know, common sense situations where you say, well, ESG is definitely a big problem here. Or there's, you know, these areas where we know we're never going to be able to build a mine close to, you know, Sacramento.
57:00 That's just not going to happen. So, but I think that the, yeah, I would just say for most investors, stick to the fundamentals, you know, look at, you know, the resource, you know, and the catalyst And, you know, because the only way if the stock is where it is today, how does it get north? Because you want to invest in something that's going north, right? You want to make money. You're not doing this to not make money. You're doing this to make a lot of money. And I'm telling you right now, junior mining represents enormous investment opportunity at this moment in time, because stocks are trading for pennies that will trade for dollars and maybe tens of dollars. And the evidence is there for us. So look at the resource, look at the catalyst and do this. Does the company have the money to get the catalyst done? Because it's a very tough market out there to raise capital. So if the company's got a good resource, got some catalysts that you believe they can execute on and has the money to execute on them, then those are the companies you want to be investing in.
58:03 Yeah, I think ESG analysis for pre-production companies is very difficult. So it's just really looking at the management of board, what experience they have, are they forward thinking, are they starting to plan and consider these things and talk about them as Terry's done his company with an ESG report and have engaged the right people to advance that. I think pre-production companies, there's not too much more you can do until production and certainly going into production, I look at it as a risk measure. If they aren't considering these things, you know, going into production, then there's a problem. You know, other than that, again, as Serge was saying, that's very jurisdiction-specific. So, you know, a degree location is an important factor to consider.
58:50 If we're looking at just sort of the carbon piece, are they operating in countries that have very difficult what's called NDCs, National Determined Contributions, where they're committed to being extremely proactive because they have to curtail a fossil liability or something, is that going to make it more difficult to operate? And I think looking at that a little bit forward is useful, because Those will be the jurisdictions that will have to be more difficult. So for example, if they are implementing a carbon tax, it's going to be higher in those places, not having those jurisdictions, those countries that have a bigger liability. So that's just some analysis to look at. But as I say, for the pre-production, it's really just about management, governance, and are they preparing for that time when they are producing that they're being proactive?
59:47 Nope, thank you both. So on that note, I think we're at about the 1 hour mark, which is usually when the hook comes out to grab me here. So I appreciate both, I guess, last words, Sasha, any last words for you guys, leave it to you 2. Yeah, Thank you so much for hosting this. It was a great topic. You know, it's been something I've been involved with for most of my career. I'm excited to be leading a company that has a great advantage in this area. And I look forward to answering any questions that we weren't able to get to offline. Yeah, again, thanks for having us. And if you have any questions that we didn't get a chance to address online, terry at powernickel.com, happy to engage over time and answer the stuff.
1:00:35 And yeah, we'll look forward to talking to you again next time, Matt. Awesome. Thank you, Terry. Thank you, Sasha. Again, Matt McLebrough here from Junior Resource Investing. And thank you to 6 for organizing this. Thank you gentlemen, have a good day.