Northrop Grumman CorporationNYSE: NOC

Q3 2026 Presentation

· Issued by Northrop Grumman Corporation

Key figures

  • Sales growth of 5% to 7% with further acceleration in 2028
  • Segment operating margin rate expansion of 10 to 20 basis points
  • Adjusted free cash flow range of $3.3 to $3.7 billion

On 6ix: 6ix.com/news/northrop-grumman-q3-2026-presentation

Northrop Grumman's next earnings callNorthrop Grumman (NYSE:NOC) Q3 2026 Earnings Call · Oct 20, 2026 at 9:30 AM EDTRegister

OCTOBER 20, 2026

THIRD QUARTER

2026 CONFERENCE CALL

KATHY WARDEN

Chair, Chief Executive Officer and President

JOHN GREENE

Corporate Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Photo: Sentinel, vertically assembled

Enterprise Summary

Continued robust demand generated book-to-bill ratio of ~1.5x and record backlog of $110 billion

Outstanding operational performance throughout portfolio drives Q3 segment OM rate1 of 12.1%

Completed first vertical stack of full Sentinel Missile, positioning program for first launch in 2027

Added over one million square feet of manufacturing and engineering space in last three months

Increasing 2026 financial guidance2 for segment operating income1 and MTM-adjusted EPS1

Strategy delivers technology innovation, performance and balanced capital deployment, resulting in durable and profitable growth Third Quarter 2026 Financial Highlights

Disciplined portfolio execution driving strong financial performance and continued momentum

Three Months Ended September 30

($M), except

per share amounts

2026

2025

▲%

Backlog

109,597

91,448

20%

Sales

11,122

10,423

7%

Segment

Operating Income1

1,345

1,277

5%

Segment

Margin Rate1

12.1%

12.3%

(20) bps

Diluted EPS

$7.89

$7.67

3%

Capital Expenditures

(306)

(301)

2%

Adjusted Free Cash Flow1

1,810

1,256

44%

Aeronautics Systems

14%

and Margin Rate

$3,575

$305

9.7%

$377

10.5%

$3,142

Sales ($M)

Operating Income ($M)

Q3 2025 Q3 2026 Q3 2025 Q3 2026

  • Sales: higher F-35 volume, B-21 ramp and B-2 sustainment

  • Margin: disciplined program execution across portfolio

    YFQ-48A

    Talon Blue

    Successful first autonomous flight

    Diverse portfolio mix of innovative development, mature production and sustainment Defense Systems

    Raid HunterTM

    Cost-effective C-UAS and missile defense tech

    and Margin Rate

    12%

    $2,307

    $234

    11.4%

    $250

    10.8%

    $2,059

Sales ($M) Operating Income ($M)

Q3 2025 Q3 2026 Q3 2025 Q3 2026

  • Sales: Sentinel ramp, increased munitions and missile volume

  • Margin: stable program performance, contract mix

    Progressing Sentinel, scaling missile capacity and rapidly delivering new solutions Mission Systems

    FORTITUDETM

    Designing and developing future-ready technology

    Sales ($M) Operating Income ($M)

    and Margin Rate1

    2%

    $3,155

    $500

    15.8%

    $515

    16.7%

    $3,093

Q3 2025 Q3 2026 Q3 2025 Q3 2026

  • Sales: increased restricted airborne radar and marine systems volume

  • Margin: consistently strong program performance driving results

    Advanced technologies deliver sustained high margin sales growth

    1. Prior year operating income includes a $68M favorable EAC adjustment in the restricted advanced microelectronics portfolio.

    Space Systems

    Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture

    First 21 Tranche 1 satellites delivered

    Sales ($M) Operating Income ($M)

    and Margin Rate

    2%

    $2,749

    $298

    11.0%

    $312

    11.3%

    $2,698

Q3 2025 Q3 2026 Q3 2025 Q3 2026

  • Sales: continued growth on National Security Space programs

    Differentiated National Security Space technology delivering durable growth

  • Margin: solid program execution supports competitive margin rates

Q3 Diluted EPS Bridge

+3%

$7.89

$7.67

Q3 2025 $7.67

Segment Performance

0.43

Federal Tax Rate

0.32

Marketable Securities

(0.50)

Net Pension1 and Other

(0.03)

Q3 2026 $7.89

Outstanding segment operating performance across portfolio drives EPS growth

Q3 2025 Q3 2026

1.

Net Pension tax effected on a 21% federal statutory tax rate and a 5.25% blended state tax rate.

Note: Year over year benefit from share reduction embedded in individual items, tax effected at 21%.

2026 Company Level Guidance1

($M), except per share amounts

As of 10/20/2026

Sales $43,750 - $44,250

Segment operating income2 $4,940 - $5,040

Prior: $4,850 - $5,000

MTM-adjusted EPS2 $29.35 - $29.75

Prior: $28.60 - $29.10

Adjusted free cash flow2 $3,100 - $3,500

Building on performance and momentum

1. See the company's third quarter earnings release for a description of the underlying assumptions, judgments and factors that can affect the company's ability to achieve guidance or meet expectations.

2026 Segment Guidance1

As of 10/20/2026

Sales ($B) OM Rate %

Aeronautics Systems

~$14

High 9%

Prior: Mid to High 9%

Defense Systems

Mid to High $8

~10%

Mission Systems

High $12

Mid 15%

Prior: ~15%

Space Systems

~$11

Low 10%

Intersegment Eliminations

~($2.7)

Mid 13%

Updated segment guidance1 reflects excellent program execution at AS and MS

1. See the company's third quarter earnings release for a description of the underlying assumptions, judgments and factors that can affect the company's ability to achieve guidance or meet expectations.

2027 Outlook as of 10/20/20261
  • Premier portfolio of leading franchise programs

  • Sales growth of 5% to 7%3 with further acceleration in 2028

  • Segment operating margin rate2 expansion of 10 to 20 basis points3

    Enduring strategy and adaptive approach delivering long-term value

  • Adjusted free cash flow2 range of $3.3 to $3.7 billion

1.

See the company's third quarter earnings release for a description of the underlying assumptions, judgments and factors that can affect the company's ability to achieve guidance or meet expectations.

2.

Non-GAAP financial measure. See Appendix.

3.

2027 sales growth and segment operating margin rate expansion compared to midpoint of company guidance as of 10/20/2026.

Disciplined Strategic Execution

Historic global demand environment translating to record company backlog

Durable portfolio intentionally and continuously shaped to align with top defense priorities

Leader in advanced technology, developing the world's most important capabilities

Building the capacity to deliver scalable solutions with speed and precision

Consistent, balanced, and disciplined capital deployment priorities

Appendix

2026 Supplemental Guidance1

($M)

As of 10/20/2026

Total Net FAS/CAS pension adjustment2

~$700

Unallocated corporate expense:

Intangible asset amortization and PP&E step-up depreciation

Other items

~$(65)

~$(300)

Prior: ~$(280)

Operating income

$4,610 - $4,710

Prior: $4,540 - $4,690

Interest expense

~$(640)

Prior: ~$(620)

Effective tax rate %

~13%

Prior: Mid 14%

Weighted-average diluted shares outstanding, in millions

Mid 142

Capital expenditures

~$1,850

  1. See the company's third quarter earnings release for a description of the underlying assumptions, judgments and factors that can affect the company's ability to achieve guidance or meet expectations.

  2. Total Net FAS/CAS pension adjustment is presented as a single amount and includes $245 million of expected CAS pension expense and $210 million of FAS pension service expense, both of which are

2026

Role on % of Total

Key Program Area Program Company Sales1,2

FY27

U.S. Base Budget Request 3

National Space Security

Mix

>15%

B-21

Prime

~10%

F-35 (Center Fuselage / Sensors / Comms)

Sub

~10%

Weapons Portfolio

Mix

~8%

Sentinel

Prime

~7%

E-2D

Prime

~4%

Autonomous ISR (Triton / Global Hawk)

Prime

~4%

Marine Programs

Sub

~3%

EW Systems (SEWIP / IVEWS / IRCM)

Mix

~3%

TACAMO

Prime

~2%

IBCS

Prime

~2%

Portfolio Well Supported in FY27 U.S. Base Budget Request

Funding Legend

Fully Funded Mostly Funded

Approx. Half Funded Partially Funded

1.

See the company's third quarter earnings release for a description of the underlying assumptions, judgments and factors that can affect the company's ability to achieve guidance or meet expectations.

2.

Inclusive of international and restricted sales. Remaining sales primarily consist of other restricted programs, international, and commercial. Largest remaining unrestricted prime programs fully funded.

3.

The graphics shown reflect the U.S. base budget share of total FY27 funding request, excluding classified and international program funding.

Deliberately built and continuously shaped portfolio aligned with strategic priorities

2027 Net Pension Income Sensitivities ($M)

FAS2,3

1.5%

3.0%

4.5%

6.0%

7.5%

0 bps

370

400

435

470

500

25 bps

340

375

410

440

475

50 bps

315

350

380

415

450

75 bps

290

320

355

390

420

100 bps

265

300

330

365

400

Asset Returns

Net pension estimates1 for 2027 have declined compared to initial estimates1 as of 1/27/2026

Current estimates1 as of 9/30/2026 inclusive of updated 2026 projections

Discount Rate Change5

CAS4

1.5%

3.0%

4.5%

6.0%

7.5%

140

110

100

90

85

Prior estimates1 as of 1/27/2026 inclusive of demographic update

1.

See the company's third quarter earnings release for a description of the underlying assumptions, judgments and factors that can affect the company's ability to achieve guidance or meet expectations.

2.

Net FAS pension income includes FAS pension service expense (that is a component of operating earnings) and non-operating FAS pension benefit, assumes holding all other pension assumptions constant.

3.

FAS Estimates as of 9/30/2026 of $265 million highlighted above include FAS pension service expense of $175 million, and $440 million of non-operating FAS pension benefit.

4.

CAS costs not directly impacted in the short term by changes in the discount rate, assumes holding all other pension assumptions constant.

5.

Change in discount rate compared to our original guidance provided on 1/27/2026 of 5.58%. Discount rate and cash balance credit rate assumption movements are assumed to be partially linked. T

2026 Working Days

Number of Days in Reporting Period1

2026

2025

First Quarter

61

62

Second Quarter

64

64

Third Quarter

63

63

Fourth Quarter

63

62

Full Year

251

251

1. Quarterly information is labeled using a calendar convention; that is, first quarter is consistently labeled as ending on March 31, second quarter as ending on June 30 and third quarter as ending on September

30. It is the company's long-standing practice to establish actual interim closing dates using a "fiscal" calendar, in which we close our books on a Friday near these quarter-end dates in order to normalize the potentially disruptive effects of quarterly closings on business processes. This practice is only used at interim periods within a reporting year.

Third Quarter 2026 Conference Call 18

Non-GAAP Definitions

Non-GAAP Financial Measures Disclosure: This presentation contains non-GAAP (accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America) financial measures, as defined by SEC Regulation G and indicated by a footnote in this presentation. Definitions for the non-GAAP measures are provided below and reconciliations are provided in this presentation, except that reconciliations of forward-looking non-GAAP measures are not provided because the company is unable to provide such reconciliations without unreasonable effort due to the uncertainty and inherent difficulty of predicting the occurrence and financial impact of certain items, including, but not limited to, the impact of any mark-to-market pension adjustment. Other companies may define these measures differently or may utilize different non-GAAP measures.

MTM-adjusted EPS: Diluted earnings per share excluding the per share impact of MTM benefit (expense) and related tax impacts. This measure may be useful to investors and other users of our financial statements as a supplemental measure in evaluating the company's underlying financial performance by presenting the company's diluted earnings per share results before the non-operational impact of pension and OPB actuarial gains and losses.

Segment operating income and segment operating margin rate: Segment operating income and segment operating margin rate (segment operating income divided by sales) reflect the combined operating income of our four segments less the operating income associated with intersegment sales. Segment operating income includes pension expense allocated to our sectors under FAR and CAS and excludes FAS pension service expense and unallocated corporate items.

These measures may be useful to investors and other users of our financial statements as supplemental measures in evaluating the financial performance and operational trends of our sectors. These measures should not be considered in isolation or as alternatives to operating results presented in accordance with GAAP.

Organic sales: Total sales excluding sales attributable to the company's former training services business. This measure may be useful to investors and other users of our financial statements as a supplemental measure in evaluating the company's underlying sales growth as well as in understanding our ongoing business and future sales trends by presenting the company's sales adjusted for the impact of the divestiture.

Adjusted free cash flow: Net cash provided by or used in operating activities, less capital expenditures, plus proceeds from the sale of equipment to a customer (not otherwise included in net cash provided by or used in operating activities) and the after-tax impact of discretionary pension contributions. Adjusted free cash flow includes proceeds from the sale of equipment to a customer, if any, as such proceeds were generated in a customer sales transaction. It also includes the after-tax impact of discretionary pension contributions, if any, for consistency and comparability of financial performance. This measure may not be defined and calculated by other companies in the same manner. We use adjusted free cash flow as a key factor in our planning for, and consideration of, acquisitions, the payment of dividends and stock repurchases. This non-GAAP measure may be useful to investors and other users of our financial statements as a supplemental measure of our cash performance, but should not be considered in isolation, as a measure of residual cash flow available for discretionary purposes, or as an alternative to operating cash flows presented in accordance with GAAP.

Non-GAAP Reconciliations

($M)

Three Months Ended September 30

2026 2025

Nine Months Ended September 30

2026 2025

Total sales

$11,122

$10,423

$31,879

$30,242

Operating income

$1,269

$1,242

$3,354

$3,240

Operating margin rate

11.4%

11.9%

10.5%

10.7%

Reconciliation to segment operating income:

FAS/CAS operating adjustment

$(15)

$(67)

$(29)

$(193)

Unallocated corporate expense:

Gain on sale of training services business

-

-

-

(231)

Training services divestiture - unallowable state taxes and transaction costs

-

-

-

20

Intangible asset amortization and PP&E step-up depreciation

13

21

51

63

Other unallocated corporate expense

78

81

199

165

Unallocated corporate expense

$91

$102

$250

$17

Segment operating income

$1,345

$1,277

$3,575

$3,064

Segment operating margin rate

12.1%

12.3%

11.2%

10.1%

Segment Operating Income and Margin Rate Non-GAAP Reconciliations Adjusted free cash flow

($M)

Three Months Ended September 30

2026 2025

Nine Months Ended September 30

2026 2025

Net cash provided by operating activities

$1,745

$1,557

$1,369

$860

Capital expenditures

(306)

(301)

(775)

(788)

Proceeds from sale of equipment to a customer

371

-

371

-

Adjusted free cash flow

$1,810

$1,256

$965

$72

Non-GAAP Reconciliations

Organic Sales

Total Company

($M)

Three Months Ended September 30

2026 2025

% Change

Nine Months Ended September 30

2026 2025

% Change

Sales

$11,122

$10,423

7%

$31,879

$30,242

5%

Less: Training services sales

-

-

-

(112)

Organic Sales

$11,122

$10,423

7%

$31,879

$30,130

6%

Defense Systems

($M)

Three Months Ended September 30

2026 2025

% Change

Nine Months Ended September 30

2026 2025

% Change

Sales

$2,307

$2,059

12%

$6,299

$5,855

8%

Less: Training services sales

-

-

-

(112)

Organic Sales

$2,307

$2,059

12%

$6,299

$5,743

10%

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