Hera S.p.a. MIL:HER
Hera S p A : Analyst presentation FY2025
Source: MarketScreener
FY 2025
P&L: Y2025 at a glance 2
NET PROFIT (m€)
447
464
348
'23*
'24*
'25
* Reported Net profit after non-recurring income related to sector consolidation (special item related to exercise of the put option on Estenergy by Ascopiave)
GROWTH +4%
NET DEBT / EBITDA (x)
2.56x 2.50x 2.57x
'23 '24 '25
BALANCE SHEET
HEADROOM CONFIRMED
SOUND AND RELIABLE PERFORMANCEEbitda growth drivers and mix 3
EBITDA GROWTH BY BUSINESS (m€)
Ebitda mix in 2024 & 2025 (%)
+43
+29
+8
+4
1,537
1,474
(114)
(17)
STRUCTURAL GROWTH +3%
1,588
Networks From 32% to 38%
Energy From 42% to 35%
2024 Temp.
Opp. '24
2024 Adj. One offs
'25
Energy Networks Waste Other 2025
Waste From 23% to 24%
PORTFOLIO MIX OF BP TO '29 ALMOST ALREADY ACHIEVEDFinancial mgmt (m€)
205
142
92
'23
'24
'25
FAST REDUCTION
P&L: From Ebitda to Net profit 4
Provisions (m€)
234
195
143
'23
'24
'25
NORMALIZED
P&L (m€)
1,537
803
464
Ebitda
D&A
Tax
Minorities Net profit
Y'24
(562)
(200)
(41)
(142)
(195)
Financial mgmt
Ebit
Provisions
(44)
(203)
(92)
(143)
(592)
447
830
1,588
STRUCTURAL GROWTH, PROVISION & FINANCIAL EXPENSES OPTIMIZATION OFFSET TEMPORARY OPPORTUNITIES IMPACT
3Y Cumulated TSR (%)
77%
'23
'24
'25
Stock appreciation
DPS Yield
DPS Yield* (%)
5.5%
5.0%
4.7%
'23
'24
'25
Create Value: 3 Years mandate achievements 5
STOCK APPRECIATION (%)
17.7%
15.1%
17.3%
'23
'24
'25
SOUND PERFORMANCE WITH LOW-RISK EXPOSURE
* Considering the share price as at 31 December of the year preceding the reference year and the dividend accrued for the reference year
Be Sustainable 6
Ebitda Creating Shared Value (m€)
916
776
857
571
670
300
330
375
392
455
'16
'17
'18
'19
'20
'21
'22
'23
'24
'25
% of
Ebitda
33%
33% 36% 36% 41% 47% 52% 52% 54% 60%
CSV CAGR +13%
Taxonomy capex (m€)
2024 2025
Taxonomy capex 477 662
Share of aligned capex
relative to eligible capex
90% 94%
55% 63%
Share of taxonomy capex relative to total capex
BUILT 10 YEARS OF STRONG ESG TRACK RECORD
3rd player in Italy
Ebitda growth (m€)
Energy growth targets 8
672
Energy customers (mln)
Gas 1.9
Gas
2.0
4.6 4.4
+2
540
(114)
+15
(25)
(10)
Electricity 2.6
Electricity 2.5
'24 | Temporary | STG | Margin | Energy | Other | '25 |
Opport. | customers | normalization | services & | |||
(Consip) | VAS |
'24 '25
RESULTS DRIVEN BY OUTCOME OF TENDERS ON LAST RESORT MKT
Italian leader Waste treatmentWaste growth targets 10
Ebitda growth (m€)
Waste volumes (mln tons)
366
+16
+5
+4
374
+10
+3
(29)
5.6 5.6
(0.1) +0.1
3.3 3.4
2.3 2.2
'24 Elect. WTE Collection Recycling Treatment Soil
remediation
M&A '25
'24 Urban Special '25
ALL ACTIVITIES CONTRIBUTED TO GROWTH11
Among best in class
Networks growth targets 12
Ebitda growth (m€)
Regulated Asset Base (b€)
+43
+19
+5
+6
(0)
591
519
Electricity
3.7
+0.2
3.9
1.3
0.4
Gas
1.4
0.5
1.8
1.9
Water
'24 One off* Water Gas dist. Elect.
dist.
District Heating
'25
'24 Growth '25
INFLATION RECOGNITION AND CAPEX UNDERPIN STRONG GROWTH* 24 m€ resolution 87/2025 for redefinition of values to cover operational costs for the years 2020-25 in gas distribution, 16 m€ past inflation recognition in water, 2 m€ past inflation recognition in electricity distribution, 1 m€ past
inflation recognition in gas distribution
13
Financials
Financials 14
Group Cash flows (m€)
Net Debt / Ebitda (x)
(59)
761
(592)
(279)
(27)
19
1,332
+79
2.56x 2.50x 2.57x
(436)
Op. CF | NWC* | Provisions | Maint. | FCF | Dividend Dev. Capex* | M&A | Debt | '23 | '24 | '25 |
Capex | + Min. | Change |
* Including grants and contributions for 81 m€
Financials 15
Ratings
RATINGS IMPROVED
Baa1 Stable Outlook
BBB+ / A-2
Stable Outlook
Interest rates (%)
Fixed
93%
Variable
7%
TYPE OF DEBT FIXED
Cost of debt (x)
2.9% 2.8% 2.8%
'23 '24 '25
COST OF DEBT STABLE
RATINGS BASED ON SOLID FUNDAMENTALS
16
Closing remarks 17
High double digit TSR in '25
~22%
Dividend increased
16 c€
Outperform on Financial flexibility to further grow
2.57x
Sostelia and SEA M&A deals done
✓
CONFIRMED A DOUBLE-DIGIT VALUE CREATION TARGET
18
Annex: P&L 19
Y '24 | Y '25 | ||
REVENUES | 13,044.4 | 12,968.8 | (0.6%) |
EBITDA | 1,587.6 | 1,537.2 | (3.2%) |
Ebitda margin | 12.2% | 11.9% | |
Depreciation and provisions | (757.7) | (734.3) | |
EBIT | 829.9 | 802.9 | (3.3%) |
Financial costs | (153.8) | (108.6) | |
Income from Associates & J.V. | 12.3 | 16.5 | |
PRETAX PROFIT | 688.4 | 710.8 | +3.3% |
Tax | (200.3) | (202.5) | |
Tax rate | 29.1% | 28.5% | |
Minorities | (41.4) | (44.0) | |
NET PROFIT POST MIN. (recurrent) | 446.7 | 464.3 | +3.9% |
Special items | 47.8 | - | |
NET PROFIT POST MIN. REPORTED | 494.5 | 464.3 |
Annex: Networks, Energy and Waste 20
Networks (m€)
Energy (m€)
Ebitda (m€) | Y 2024 | Y 2025 | Ch. |
Energy | 671.6 | 540.2 | (131.4) |
Gas supply | 377.4 | 342.7 | (34.7) |
Electricity supply | 237.3 | 146.1 | (91.2) |
Power generation | 0.4 | 3.0 | +2.6 |
Energy efficiency + VAS | 41.6 | 23.2 | (18.4) |
Public Lighting | 14.8 | 25.0 | +10.2 |
Ebitda (m€) | Y 2024 | Y 2025 | Ch. |
Waste | 366.2 | 374.0 | +7.8 |
Treatment | 305.8 | 310.3 | +4.5 |
Collection | 60.4 | 63.7 | +3.3 |
Volumes (kton) | Y 2024 | Y 2025 | Ch. |
Urban W. Volumes | 2,254.8 | 2,187.5 | (67.3) |
Special W. Volumes | 3,311.0 | 3,372.3 | +61.3 |
Waste from third parties | 5,565.9 | 5,559.9 | (6.0) |
Internal W. Volumes | 1,965.4 | 2,022.5 | +57.1 |
Total Volumes Treated | 7,531.2 | 7,582.4 | +51.1 |
Volumes Y 2024 | Y 2025 | Ch. |
Water (mm3) 285.0 | 285.8 | +0.8 |
Gas Distribution (mm3) 2,254.7 | 2,278.2 | +23.6 |
Electricity Distribution (GWh) 2,736.1 | 2,747.8 | +11.8 |
District Heating (GWht) 440.2 | 461.5 | +21.3 |
Customers ('000) Y 2024 | Y 2025 | Ch. |
Gas customers 2,026.0 | 1,844.8 | (181.2) |
Electricity customers 2,597.4 | 2,507.7 | (89.7) |
Energy customers 4,623.4 | 4,352.5 | (270.9) |
Waste (m€)
Ebitda (m€) | Y 2024 | Y 2025 | Ch. |
Networks | 519.0 | 591.4 | +72.5 |
District Heating | 10.8 | 10.4 | (0.5) |
Gas distribution | 149.6 | 179.6 | +30.0 |
Electricity distribution | 61.5 | 69.8 | +8.3 |
Water | 297.1 | 331.7 | +34.6 |
Water (m€)
Waste (m€)
Annex: Waste and Water 21
(m€) Y 2024 | Y 2025 | Ch. |
Revenues 1,769.3 | 1,856.4 | +87.1 |
Ebitda 366.2 | 374.0 | +7.8 |
(m€) Y 2024 | Y 2025 | Ch. |
Revenues 1,162.8 | 1,313.4 | +150.6 |
Ebitda 297.0 | 331.7 | +34.7 |
Volumes (kton) Y 2024 | Y 2025 | Ch. |
Urban W. Volumes 2,254.8 Special W. Volumes 3,311.0 | 2,187.5 3,372.3 | (67.3) +61.3 |
Waste from third parties 5,565.9 | 5,559.9 | (6.0) |
Internal W. Volumes 1,965.4 | 2,022.5 | +57.1 |
Total Volumes Treated 7,531.2 | 7,582.4 | +51.1 |
Data Y 2024 | Y 2025 | Ch. |
Aqueduct (mm3) 285.0 | 285.8 | +0.8 |
Sewerage (mm3) 238.4 | 238.3 | (0.1) |
Purification (mm3) 236.8 | 236.9 | +0.1 |
Electricity (m€)
Gas (m€)
Annex: Gas and Electricity 22
(m€) Y 2024 | Y 2025 | Ch. |
Revenues 5,809.0 | 5,683.2 | (125.8) |
Ebitda 571.4 | 544.6 | (26.8) |
(m€) Y 2024 | Y 2025 | Ch. |
Revenues 4,939.3 | 4,574.2 | (365.0) |
Ebitda 322.0 | 255.3 | (66.7) |
Data | Y 2024 | Y 2025 | Ch. |
Volumes distrib. (mm3) | 2,254.7 | 2,278.2 | +23.6 |
Volumes sold (mm3) | 11,305.8 | 12,523.0 | +1,217.3 |
of which trading (mm3) | 8,388.7 | 9,919.3 | +1,530.6 |
District Heating (GWht) | 440.2 | 461.5 | +21.3 |
Clients ('000 unit) | 2,026.0 | 1,844.8 | (181.2) |
Data Y 2024 | Y 2025 | Ch. |
Volumes sold (GWh) 16,249.2 | 16,345.1 | +95.9 |
Volumes distrib. (GWh) 2,736.1 | 2,747.8 | +11.8 |
Clients ('000 unit) 2,597.4 | 2,507.7 | (89.7) |
* Gas includes contribution of the following businesses: gas distribution, gas supply, district heating and energy efficiency.
Electricity includes contribution of the following businesses: electricity distribution, electricity supply, power generation and public lighting.