Kjetil Bakken
Master of Ceremony
Replay available
Aker BP (Oslo:AKRBP) Q1 2026 earnings call, held 2026-05-07. Watch the replay and read the transcript on 6ix.

On 6ix: 6ix.com/event/aker-bp-asa-ord-akrbf-q1-2026-earnings-call
Automated transcript · Written by software from the replay's audio. It can mishear names and figures; the replay is the record.
0:00 Good morning and welcome to Aker Bp's First Quarter twenty twenty six Results Presentation. We entered 2026 with a strong momentum and it continued in Q1. Production efficiency was 97%, consistently among the best in the industry. Simvark came on stream nine months ahead of the original plan. And the broader development portfolio hit its key milestones. And when the oil price moved higher late in the quarter, driven by geopolitical disruptions in The Middle East, our high performing portfolio enabled us to capture the upside with tailwinds carrying into Q2. We delivered production in the high end of our guided range, sector leading cost, a significant project delivered nine months early and realized prices well above what the screen showed.
0:58 Let me briefly turn to our operational performance in the quarter as summarized here. Starting with production efficiency, our assets delivered 97% of the theoretically installed capacity. This reflects consistently strong operations across the portfolio. Daily production averaged just above 398,000 barrels, close to the high end of our full year guidance range. Production cost was reduced to $7.7 per barrel, fully consistent with our full year guidance of around $8 per barrel, and we remain among the lowest cost producers in the industry. At the same time, we continue to operate with very low emissions intensity at just three kilograms of CO2 per barrel, reinforcing the quality of our asset base.
1:55 Together, this underscores the strength of our portfolio and a high degree of operational control. Q1 reinforces a clear message. We are converting our project pipeline of attractive low breakeven project into barrels on or ahead of schedule. This chart shows our production outlook into 2030. Delivery of our major projects keep us on track to reach around five and twenty five thousand barrels per day in 2028, corresponding to approximately 35% growth from 2026. Beyond 2028, our ambition remains unchanged, to sustain production at around 500,000 barrels per day well into the 2030s.
2:47 Our ongoing field developments continue to underpin production growth, supported by a disciplined and repeatable execution approach across the portfolio. Over the past several years, we have built an operating model centered around hub development, standardization and alliance based execution. This is clearly reflected in our subsea tieback program. This year, production has started at both Solway Phase 2 and Simba tied back to existing infrastructure in the Aker area. Simba came on stream nine months ahead of the original plan, and it's the sixth subsea project sanctioned in 2021 and 2022 to start production.
3:32 Three tied back to Alvheim and three tied back to Aker. Momentum continues at Skarv, where the three tieback projects have now been further accelerated and are now expected on stream in the third quarter this year, almost a year earlier than originally planned. Across the portfolio, these nine tiebacks have delivered strong project economics. On average, the project showed an estimated full cycle return of around 50% at a $7 per barrel price, with breakeven prices of approximately $27 per barrel and payback time of around ten months. These results reflect execution through our subsea and drilling alliances, built on long term partnerships, early contractor involvement and aligned incentives.
4:28 The results are repeatable and a competitive position in the subsea tieback execution on the NCS. Alongside our tieback activity, execution continues on our two major development projects. Both Yggdrasil and Valhall PVP foundries remain on track for first oil in 2027. At Yggdrasil, activity levels are high across the project. And as we move closer to the offshore phase, the main priority is to complete as much work as possible onshore ahead of sail away. For Huguenay Topside, sail away is planned in the fourth quarter with focus on minimizing carryover into offshore execution.
5:16 At Valhall, a key milestone was recently reached with a successful installation of the Fenris topside. Construction of the PVP topside is progressing at the Stordyard with sail away for offshore installation scheduled for the third quarter. Here too, focus is on productivity and readiness ahead of the offshore execution period. Let me show you what this quarter installation looks like in practice. This
7:10 is large scale project execution. Together, our tieback portfolio and the major developments provide a balancing capital efficient path to growth with material production coming on stream from 2027. We continue to view exploration as an integrated part of our business, with its importance reinforced by a broader focus on energy security. The activity was lower in the first quarter, but has now picked up. In the Johan Sverdrup area, the Tonja exploration well was completed in early May and confirmed volumes in line with the predrill estimates. The data from this well will provide valuable information for future development in the northern part of the area.
8:00 We are currently drilling the appraisal well at Carmen and have recently spudded Linga. Over time, this work helped ensure that our production base remains competitive beyond the current project cycle. Thank you, Carla, and good morning, everyone. The first quarter represents a strong operational and financial start to the year. Production, cost and project execution are tracking our full year plan. And cash flow generation has strengthened materially compared to the previous quarter.
8:46 I will start with a brief comment on the oil market environment, and then walk you through the financial performance for the quarter, before closing with a few remarks on cash flow and the balance sheet. The recent events in The Middle East are causing significant human suffering, while also affecting global energy markets. From a market perspective, we have seen oil prices move materially higher since early March. I'd like to spend a few minutes on how this translates into our realized prices, since the dynamics this quarter have been somewhat unusual. And what investors see on their screens does not fully capture what flows through to our top line. Aker Bp's physical oil sales are priced against Brent Dated, not the front month futures contract that most investors follow.
9:42 When we agree a sales contract for a cargo, we agree a differential to Brent Dated. The cargo is typically delivered one to two months later, and the final price is set in the five days around the delivery date, based on the Brent dated, plus or minus that differential. There are two points here that matter for how you should think about our realized prices. First, since March, Brent dated has traded materially above the front month futures contract. Under normal market conditions, the two move closely together. The dislocation we have seen this quarter reflects tightness in the physical market for prompt barrels. The practical implication is that headline Brent prices have understated the price of physical North Sea barrels.
10:37 Second, the differentials on our own cargoes have increased materially through the same period. And without going into specific numbers, this dynamic provides additional support to our realized prices, on top of the Brent dated effect itself. Together, these factors contributed to an average realized oil price of $83.5 per barrel in the first quarter. The same dynamics have continued into the second quarter, and to an even greater extent. As a result of the contract structure I just described, our average realized oil price in the first month of the second quarter was approximately $127 per barrel. Note that this reflects pricing on volumes already delivered and is not a forecast for the full quarter.
11:30 If you would like to understand these dynamics in more depth, our Chief Economist, Torbjorn Schuss, has recorded a video presentation that walks through the current market situation in more detail. It is available on our website, and I would encourage anyone who wants more granularity on the physical pricing mechanics to watch it. Turning to the Q1 results. Production averaged just above 398,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day in the quarter, close to the high end of our full year guidance. Due to overlift, sold volumes were slightly higher, averaging around 406,000 barrels. Total income amounted to $3,000,000,000 supported by a realized liquids price of $82 per barrel and a realized gas price of $80 per barrel of oil equivalent.
12:27 Unit production costs were $7.7 per barrel. After exploration expenses of $48,000,000 EBITDA for the quarter was 2,700,000 In the quarter, we recognized a net impairment reversal of $522,000,000 primarily relating to the other intangible assets at Valhall and driven by higher short term oil and gas prices. This is a reversal of impairment charges recognized in the fourth quarter of twenty twenty five. The methodology and assumptions behind this are described in detail in Note seven in the report. As a result, net profit was $758,000,000 compared with a net loss of $145,000,000 in the fourth quarter of twenty twenty five.
13:22 Moving from earnings to cash. Operating cash flow amounted to $2,000,000,000 Cash generation benefited from a higher income and lower tax payments, with two installments in the quarter compared to three in the fourth quarter of last year, partly offset by working capital movements, amplified by higher prices in the quarter. Overall, the first quarter demonstrates how our operational execution and cost discipline translate into strong financial performance and robust cash generation. Let me also briefly comment on our guidance for 2026. All components of our guidance are reconfirmed: production between 370,400 barrels per day production cost around $8 per barrel and CapEx of $6,200,000,000 to $6,700,000,000 After Q1, production is tracking within range, costs are below the full year level and CapEx is in line with plan.
14:31 In light of the current market situation, I would also like to address the outlook for cash flow and the balance sheet. But before I walk through this slide, I want to emphasize that the figures shown are scenario based. They illustrate possible free cash flow outcomes on the different price paths, and they are not forecasts. Since the strategy update in February, the only change we have made is to lift the assumed average realized oil price in the first half of twenty twenty six to $90 per barrel across the scenarios. The key outcome is that 2026 has become significantly more robust. And even in a prolonged low oil price scenario of $50 per barrel from the second half of this year and onwards, our leverage ratio is now estimated to not exceed 1.5 times.
15:26 What the scenarios also show is that across a wide range of price paths, our portfolio continues to generate positive free cash flow before dividends. At current strip prices, free cash flow generation is materially positive. And, in a lower price scenario, the financial flexibility we have built provides the buffer needed to manage volatility, while keeping us comfortably within our investment grade framework. 2026 remains an investment heavy year, with peak activity on Yggdrasil and PVP Fenris. As these projects come on stream next year, the scenarios show free cash flow generation increasing materially across all the price paths shown.
16:13 Now let me then close off with a few words on what this means for our shareholders. Our capital allocation framework is unchanged. A strong balance sheet is the foundation for value creation. On that foundation, we make disciplined investments that generate returns, that in the end are distributed to shareholders. Our job is to maximize long term dividend capacity, and that requires capital and good investments first. Translating this into where we stand today. First, we maintain a strong investment grade balance sheet with $5,400,000,000 of available liquidity, providing flexibility through the cycle. Second, we fund the investments that drive our growth: Yggdrasil, PVP Fenris, and the high return tieback portfolio.
17:07 And third, we return capital to shareholders through a predictable growing dividend, currently at 66.15¢ per share per quarter. Going forward, the picture is clear: 2026 is a peak investment year. From 2027 and onwards, as Yggdrasil and PVP Fenris come on stream, free cash flow generation steps up materially, providing the basis for continued attractive shareholder returns in the years to come. With that, let me hand back to Karl for some concluding remarks. Thank you, David.
17:56 Q1 twenty twenty six confirmed the strategy is working. High production efficiency, sector leading cost and yet another project delivered well ahead of plan. Our track record on subsea tiebacks lays a solid foundation for future projects. Looking ahead, our priorities remain unchanged: safe and efficient operations, disciplined project execution and an exploration program aiming at strengthening the resource base. Underlying all of this is continued focus on execution, operating, developing and exploring more efficiently year by year and translating that performance into sustainable shareholder returns.
18:43 We will now take a short pause before opening the Q and A session. And as usual, to participate, please use the Teams link on the webcast page. And if you prefer to listen only, please stay tuned and we will resume in one minute. Welcome back.
20:07 And then I think as usual, we'll just go directly to Q and As. And as usual, the master of serving me is our very own Tettle Bocken. Tettle, over to you. Thank you, Karl. The first caller is Tianhong B from Citi. Let's see if we can make the line work this time. Tianhong? There is a problem with the sound here. Can you hear me? Now we hear you, yes. Okay, okay, perfect.
20:53 Yes, morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Karl, you highlighted the strong economics of your recent tiebacks in your remarks with $27 per barrel breakeven and very I mean quite attractive IRR, which screens better than your peers, for example, targeting $30 to $35 range breakeven on similar projects. Could you please help us understand what is driving that differential? And then second question, can I just get your latest thinking on your capital allocation strategy on the higher oil prices, particularly that balance between shareholder returns deleveraging and investing for growth in the medium term? Thank you. Yes, excellent. Thank you, Tian. So first of all, the presentation we've done concluding on the $27 breakeven is taken into account actual as well as project that are yet to come on stream.
21:52 Our call it decision criteria has remained unchanged. What this reflects is an ability to outperform the plans we made at the original decision point. But you're absolutely right, it is my view too that over time we have consistently now build both a track record and a repeatable system to develop subsea tiebacks significantly better than most of our competitors. On your second question on the capital allocation, the capital allocation policy remains firm. We have seen periods with high oil prices and periods with low oil prices and our communication to the market has been the same.
22:37 All value created by Aker Bp will at some point in time come back to the investors. How that distribution is, is remain unchanged. If the oil price remains high, there might be a need to think about our dividend policy, but at this point in time, we favor stability as we have done in situations with low oil prices. Thank you. All right. Then the next caller is James Carmichael from Berenberg. Hi, good morning guys. Can you hear me okay? Yes, we can hear you, but we can't see you, James.
23:26 Morning. Can can can you hear me okay? We can hear you. Okay. Thanks for taking my questions. Just to so just thinking about, the realization points that you made in terms of data brent versus futures, etcetera. I'm just wondering if there's anything we need to think about for tax purposes with the norm pricing environment in Norway or if that's all captured in those comments. And then just looking further out beyond '28, once these developments are online, just a reminder, I guess, on how you think about sustaining production at sort of or above 500,000 barrels a day. Is there enough in the hopper to keep that going organically for five, ten years or is it likely that we'll see AKRBF look to maintain that level via M and A? Thanks.
24:16 You want to do the Norm price? Question? The dated versus futures versus non price? Yes. No, I can do that. So I don't think there's anything in particular that you need to think about when it comes to tax related to the, call it, widening of the differentials. So the norm price is set based on the average of the achieved differentials across the different sellers on the shelf for the different qualities. So nothing particular there that's worth mentioning. Good. And then on the sustaining production, on Slide four in the presentation that I just went through, you can actually see the distribution of the profile into the 2030s.
25:06 And as you see the gap, call it, of previously FID projects have been closed in the last couple of quarters. That is an indication that the strength of the hopper is healthy and that we are continuing to close that gap up to 500,000. And then to be in excess of 500,000, you will need either some more success or M and A. That is among the reasons why we continue to focus on exploration and even though this quarter has been a little bit slow in terms of exploration, we are still very focused exploration as a key enabler to bring barrels into the hopper. But the short answer is very healthy pipeline with good breakeven economics and backed by a repeatable execution strategy that we have demonstrated also in this quarter.
26:05 Perfect. Thank you. Next caller is Theodor Sven Nielsen from Sberbank One. Good morning, Karl and David. Thanks for taking my questions. Two questions from me. First, on summer maintenance this year. Is it tempting to push back some of the maintenance given the high prices we see? Second question, that is just a follow-up on the 500,000 barrels per day question. And want to ask about the listing. What is the status there? And what kind of work is going on then? And how should we think around the timing of FID? Okay. On summer maintenance or turnarounds or other, call it, production reducing maintenance, In reality, what we are doing is that we are creating a long term plan, where we are minimizing the production impact on maintenance regardless of what the oil price may or may not be in any specific quarter.
27:07 That means that there is not a lot of scope to change that program as we've already tried to focus on the optimization of that versus production. We do run through it one more time, not because the oil price is high, but because there is such a pressure on the physical market that we do want to make sure that towards our customers physical customers in the market, we do what we can to supply the market. But I'm not going to say that that will incur significant changes as of today. On this thing, the plans remain the same. The operator is progressing with concept studies. My expectation is that we will reach a concept select sometime this autumn and then we will probably end up in a decision sometime next year.
28:05 Okay, that's clear. Thank you. Yes, all right. Then the next question comes from Jon Olaisen from ABG. Yes, good morning everybody. Thanks for taking my question. If my count is correct, you have five top sites that are planned to be installed this year. The first one Fenris was installed in April as you showed in the video. Now is it possible to give an indication of when you plan to install the remaining four top sites being Hugen A and B and Munin and the second one of Valhall, please? Good. Absolutely right, of course. We did install the funders this quarter, also installed the Hugen B jacket.
28:51 And then the two remaining, call it smaller ones, which is moon in, well not really small, it's 9,000 tons. But and then you have Hugenbee. My guess is that somewhere in the autumn that will be installed. It's a bit related to how we think about finalization of the offshore program and there's a lot of flexibility in that lifting window at the moment. So it's not really a completion issue, it's more of a planning issue. Mainly driven, I would say, John, by the fact that these are actually supposed to be unmanned. So we don't really want them to be out there for too long without hooking them up and powering them for maintenance and conservation purposes. Then the two major ones that will be again dependent on the actual offshore program as we're working on this summer.
29:45 My guess is towards the fall, we will install PVP and then in towards the back end of 2026, we will install Huguenay. But again, it's more of a totality and making sure that we have the most efficient offshore program at this stage. All right. I just wonder, when you say late twenty twenty six, is it like a deadline when the weather window is shutting? For Huguenay, you mean? Yes. No, not really. Almost counterintuitive here. So Huguenay is a topside of 29,000 tons is to be installed with pioneering spirit. And the fact that the unit is so big, it means that the weather we can actually how do you install in is better than if the unit was significantly lighter.
30:41 So in a way, this installation policy gives us a lot of flexibility in actual installation timing. How about the smaller ones, when you say this autumn? We all remember the worst problem with the Jotunn episode where the deadline seemed to be late August for sail away. Yes, but that was a completely different setting. The smaller ones will be more exposed to weather windows and it's quite clear that they need to be installed prior to, let's call it, the significant worsening in weather towards the late autumn at least. And just to specify the two large ones then you mean Jugin A and the last one at Valhall, is that correct?
31:28 That is correct. That is the two large ones, yes. My final question, I understand that it might have been or at least I've heard that the hotel strikes has impacted some of the ARCs in Norway. Is that something you've seen or should we not worry? We're not worried. Job is to be worried. So I'm worried all the time for everything. But in reality, yes, there is strikes going on that is affecting the kind of the catering and camp activities in a number of industrial sites. We have found solutions for the yard at Stord. So activity is ongoing as normal.
32:19 And I don't expect any disruptions due to the current situation. Very good to hear. Thank you very much for taking my questions. No worries, Sean. Thank you. The next caller is Victoria McCullough from RBC. Morning. Hi, thanks very much for your time this Firstly, on CapEx, the run rate is certainly at the seems to be at the top of guidance. But as you've talked through, there's a lot of key activities certainly in the second half of the year. Can you just talk through what the moving parts are that get you to, I guess, to the range and how that splits? And could accelerating the production pan or has accelerating the production from the SCARV satellites push you towards the top of that range?
33:13 And secondly, on the unitization at Edrosil, can you just talk us through what's happened there this quarter? Thanks very much. I can do the planning, the assumptions and then I'll let you do the numbers and then we'll touch on utilization afterwards. Yes. So you're absolutely right. When construction is going on at full blast at Stord, there is about a little above 10,000 FTEs in rotation. Obviously, as you are moving towards sail away, those numbers will come down, meaning that the burn rate will come down as well.
33:59 So there's a natural consequence in terms of activity as you're moving from the call it activity to the offshore activity. And then as you're ramping up offshore with drilling rigs and all the associated activity, the kind of the spend level comes up a little bit, right. So that's basically the planning consequences of why you can't just do Q1 and multiply it by four. And then you can touch a little bit on the actual numbers, if you want to? Yes, can do that. So I think overall, the cost performance have been strong in the quarter. And when we look at the plan, there's no reason to change the guidance. And the guidance range is what the guidance range is for a reason that there is, of course, some uncertainty related to the development.
34:49 And then I think you also need to mention, of course, that the Norwegian kroner has strengthened towards the end of the first quarter and is also strengthening into the second quarter. And that could give some pressure on the costs measured in dollar terms. But as we have talked about many times before, we are well positioned with FX hedging. And to remind you of the numbers, we have 70% to 90% of our NOK exposure hedged at rates between NOK10.5 and NOK11 per dollar. And you can actually also see the effects of that this quarter with $80,000,000 in realized gains on our FX derivatives alone. So that's the current situation on costs. So we don't see sort of a specific need to change guidance based on where we are today. No. But we are following of course situation.
35:46 Unitization? Yes. So they are very simply put, East Frig had a different ownership profile than the Frig Gamma Delta unit. The previous cost estimate or they call it CapEx estimate was assuming the Frigama Delta ownership. So when you join these licenses together in a unit, there is a prior contract to be done, which at this point in time resulted in a slight influx of capital to AKRBF. So it's basically a mechanical process where you take all the different licenses and join them into a unit. And then I can add also, Carlo, that this was of course agreed ahead of the actual sanctioning of Now East in the first quarter is when the actual accounting effects of this has happened and also the Prucantra.
36:39 And that, of course, has been part of the planning for 2026 and onwards. So that's, of course, included in the CapEx numbers in our guidance and also the production profiles that we have put out. So I think that's just it essentially important to just the actual consequence of the unionization occurrence that you see now in the Q1 accounts. Super, thanks very much. That's helpful today. Thank you, Victor. Right. Then the next caller is Nash Kui from Barclays. Please go ahead. Hi, good morning everyone. Thanks for taking my questions.
37:25 I have two please. The first one is Aker Bp had a very strong operational delivery and you have done a great job bringing many projects forward. I wonder what has prevented you to upgrade your P50 production guidance for this year? That's my first question. My second question is also on your future M and A growth strategy. I wonder have the improved oil price curve changed your view on AKRBF's approach to M and A activities from here? What is your view on the NCS M and A outlook? Thank you. So first on project delivery and production guidance.
38:12 So first of all, I absolutely do agree with you, Nash, and thank you so much for making that comment. The project delivery has been strong. But in reality, my expectation has been just that, that Aker Bp will continue to deliver excellent results, both in terms of production and in terms of project execution. So while it is I'm extremely extremely happy to see those plants coming to fruition, it is not like something that is coming as an, call it, surprise to us. What we have seen this excellence in execution, as you also pointed out, developing over quite a few quarters at this point in time, meaning that when we push out our P50, we actually do expect the Aker Bp deliveries to be excellent.
39:03 On M and A, my view on the Norwegian continental shelf is that there is a significant amount of opportunities. It is quite clear that there will be a consolidation game on the Norwegian continental shelf almost at least long term, almost regardless of what the oil price may or may not be. It is quite clear that the operators with the highest skill set, most robust execution strategies and the lowest therefore breakeven and other fiscal months will succeed. It is also quite clear that going forward, you will see a different profile on the Norwegian continental shelf dominated by subsea tiebacks and dominated without what I would call more complex reservoirs like high pressure, high temperature, tight.
39:55 This is the reason why Aker Bp has over a long time now built an extremely robust subsea tieback, I wouldn't call it factory, but value chain with the alliances, a digital execution model and the whole apparatus around that, that is now demonstrated that at least in my mind is, yes, I will probably be a bit cautious, but no, I'll say it. I believe it's actually industry leading. And we've also done the same now on expanding our skill set. Fender is a demonstration of our capability to enter into the high pressure, high temperature. Again, a decision made amongst other parameters for that reason.
40:40 On tight, we've been working with tight oil and tight gas on the Norwegian continental shelf for more than a decade now on the Valhall field and surrounding entities. So I do feel that we are extremely well positioned on the NCS, both with when it comes to organic, but also inorganic opportunities. My view essentially hasn't changed. That's great. Thanks, Karl. Can I ask a follow-up question on the first question? Because I find it really impressive that you brought forward some projects even nine months ahead of the original plan. That's really impressive. I wonder what have you done right here? Can we see more examples coming? So two, I think there are two different factors. So let's take the same, I got tiebacks first.
41:32 Two main drivers here, I would say excellent results and modifications on the platform at Great drilling results and on time subsea deliveries. No quality incidents, those are the main components. On Skarv satellites, I would say I have never seen this kind of performance on an offshore modification that we've seen on Skarv. And this is actually the model we're now taking forward with what we call the next generation modification alliance with Aker Solutions. Second, I would always use the word exceptional drilling results, which again has made sure that the well potential is delivered well ahead of time. And then again also on Skarp extremely well performing subsea alliance.
42:26 So overall, even though when you go into these projects, there's a little bit of contingency and you try to take into account that there might be events. It's been an almost flawless execution on these two projects. Very helpful. Thank you so much. The next caller is Alejandra Magana from JPMorgan. I don't think we have sound. No. Let's move on to the next while we wait for Alejandra, Sasit Chilukuru from Jefferies.
43:12 Hi, thanks for taking my question. Can you hear me? Absolutely Sasit, good to see you. Yes. My question was on Johan Sverdrup. We saw a five year a 5% year on year decline in 1Q, high production efficiency optimization and new well contributions all offsetting natural decline that's been highlighted. My question was whether this was indicative of the overall decline rates at this field for this year? You want to do your answer, Yes. I can definitely do that. I think as we've talked about many times before, the performance on Sverdrup has been great. And the performance we've seen in the first quarter have been in line or even maybe slightly better than expectations. So there's no specific news there with regards to add.
44:08 And again, I think we it's worth mentioning every time, Carla, that we think that Equinor is doing a fantastic job managing the production on the field. And also, we see the same also with Johan Sverdrup Phase three progressing well. Great. Thank you. All right. Then we give Alejandra another chance, because I think I heard her. Alejandra, are you there? No, there seems to Hi. Yeah, there, Jess. Can you hear me? Yes, we can. Good morning, Alejandra. Hi, good morning. Good morning. I'm glad I finally got this to work. Thanks for taking my questions.
44:59 Your 1Q production was strong near the high end of your full year guidance. Should we read this as derisking delivery towards the upper half of guidance? Or are there specific maintenance decline or phasing effects later in the year that keep you comfortable leaving the range unchanged? And my second question is on Jo Anne's Burrup. Now that you have both the field center drilling and the Deep Sea Bergen subsea campaign underway, what have you learned so far from the retrofit multilateral wells and workovers? And has anything changed in your confidence around the 2026 decline mitigation plan embedded in guidance?
45:46 Thank you. Really good questions. On production guidance, Q1, yes, Q1 was great, high production efficiency, excellent results, robust execution, liked all of it, but also expected that kind of performance. When it comes to the rest of the year, there is still wells to be put on stream, activities to be carried out. Theodore asked about maintenance, there are some of that as well. So while we had expected an excellent quarter as we put out the guidance. So I don't really see I don't see a material change compared to our plans in Q1, if anything slightly on the positive side.
46:43 So I don't see a reason to change the guidance at this point in time. On the Johan Sverdrup activity, David reiterated and I'd like to support that Equinor is doing a great job operating that field. That also goes for the drilling operations and the well operations. The retrofit multilateral maybe slightly better than our expectations, but well within the uncertainty parameters, would say, strengthened at least my view that we will need to see more of this kind of activity going forward. But again, mostly in line with our expectations. Thank you for the color.
47:32 Thank you. Thank you. Then we move on to Anders Rosenblund from SEB. Thank you. My first question, you said the ambition is to sustain production around five five hundred thousand barrels a day into the 2030s, but the slide says above 500,000 barrels a day. I don't know if that's just a different way of putting it. My second question is if you could talk about commodity price hedging and the opportunity to buy more puts, in particular, on oil price. It seemed like you've done some in Q1.
48:18 Yes. Great, Anders. It's great to hear somebody else from Bergen on this call too. Well, there is of course a little bit of semantics on this. So our view is to sustain production above 500,000 well into the 2030s, just to be very clear on that topic. As I said, I do believe that the pipeline is strong. I do believe that over time we've built an excellent execution strategy and a set of alliance partners that have demonstrated capability to deliver this. I do believe that going forward there will be more opportunities. We have a strong exploration program to increase this and I do believe that in terms of M and A there will also be opportunities. So I'm optimistic.
49:07 In terms of Hedging. Hedging. I'll do it. Yeah. Okay. Yeah. So we continuously evaluate, call it the cost benefit of hedging, you specifically asked for oil puts. I think what we have seen, of course, with the increase in prices, there's also been a significant increase in volatility, which again then means that put options become quite expensive, at least when you look further out in time. So we are continuously evaluating it. And then I think it's worth noting when it comes to the cost benefit of it, I alluded a bit to it when I talked about the scenarios for cash flow generation and also the leverage ratio development in downside scenarios going forward.
49:57 And the way that we see it is that 2026 is now significantly de risked when you look at the leverage development in a $50 scenario from the second half of this year, for example. So that, of course, is something that we take that take final question seems to be a follow-up from James Carmichael from Berenberg. Hi, good morning guys. Thanks for taking the follow-up. Just wanted to ask about the impairment reversal that we saw in the quarter.
50:44 I think that obviously that impairment was only taken in Q4. It's now being reversed on higher prices. I guess, just interested maybe to get a bit of color on specifically the assets underlying that and whether we should simply expect that impairment to come back if prices normalize later in the year or early next? Thanks. I think the final question is definitely one for you, Dennis. That's for me. Okay. So we use a consistent methodology when we do the impairment testing, and that is also specifically also document in the notes of the accounts. Are perfectly correct. This quarter, we do a reversal of impairments of other intangible assets on Valhall, and that's a reversal of the impairment that we had last quarter. And it's driven by the price increases that we have on both oil and gas. And you can see the prices used in the accounts in the notes, and that is the forward price at the end of the quarter. So this is a mechanical exercise.
51:50 And I don't want to speculate on what the forward price of oil is at the end of the second quarter. That is too difficult at in these times. So I leave it at that. Okay. But in the hypothetical scenario that oil prices did normalize at some point, does that impairment that we just assume that mechanically that comes back? Then we mechanically will adjust the oil and gas price used in the impairment test. And then we will have to see if other developments have reversing effects, but I think you're on to something. Okay. All right. Thanks very much. Right. That concludes the Q and A session.
52:38 Karl, any final words? No, not really. Thank you, guys. Thank you for excellent questions and for taking your time to listen to us this morning. I do wish you a great day and a safe day and I can assure you that here at AKRBF we will continue to do our very best to deliver the same excellent results that we had in Q1. Thank you so much.
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