Colbun Sa · BCS:COLBUN

Colbun Sa — Q1 2013 Earnings Presentation

30 slides from Colbun Sa's earnings presentation, 2013

  1. Slide 1: Company Presentation 1Q 2013

    COMPANY PRESENTATION 1Q 2013

  2. Slide 2: Agenda

    Agenda Company Overview Business Strategy Financial Profile Chilean Electricity Sector Overview 2

  3. Slide 3: Colbún at a glance

    Company Overview Colbún at a glance Business Power Generation & Trade Market Share (as a % of Installed Capacity) - SIC Size 2nd largest generator in Chile’s Central Grid (SIC), with over 20% market share (MW). Others Colbún 24% 20% The SIC covers 90% of the population Capacity 2,962 MW AES Gener En

  4. Slide 4: A diversified asset base

    Company Overview A diversified asset base NEHUENCO COMPLEX: 874 MW ACONCAGUA BASIN: 213 MW 15 HYDRO POWER PLANTS 7 THERMAL POWER PLANTS DIESEL/GAS Chacabuquito Blanco Nehuenco I Capacity: 29 MW Capacity: 60 MW Capacity: 368 MW Los Quilos Juncal Nehuenco II Capacity: 39 MW Capacity: 29 MW Capacity: 3

  5. Slide 5: A diversified customer base

    Company Overview A diversified customer base UN-REGULATED CUSTOMERS REGULATED CUSTOMERS CHILECTRA CODELCO (2011- 2021/23/25) Salvador CONAFE CODELCO (Until 2020) Ventanas CGE-Río Maipo ANGLOAMERICAN (2010- 2021) Los Bronces Santiago CGE-Distribución CODELCO (2010- 2024) Andina METRO SAESA AGUAS ANDI

  6. Slide 6: Colbún has grown steadily over the past decade

    Company Overview Colbún has grown steadily over the past decade Capacity (MW) Total Operating Revenues (MMUSD) 3.500 2,962 1.600 US$ 1,409 MW million 3.000 1.400 1.200 2.500 1.000 2.000 800 1.500 600 1.000 US$ 129 400 1,070 CAGR: 8% million CAGR: 20% 500 MW 200 0 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

  7. Slide 7: Solid and reliable controlling group with a strategic and long term vision

    Company Overview Solid and reliable controlling group with a strategic and long term vision CONTROL Ownership Structure Controlled by the Matte Group (49%), one of the leading economic groups in Chile, with Angelini stakes in various sectors (forestry, financial, Group telecommunications, among othe

  8. Slide 8: Agenda

    Agenda Company Overview Business Strategy Financial Profile Chilean Electricity Sector Overview 8

  9. Slide 9: Corporate Strategy

    Business Strategy Corporate Strategy Who are we? We are a Chilean company, leader in the generation of reliable, competitive and sustainable energy. What do we do? We seek to generate long-term value by developing projects and managing power infrastructure, integrating with excellence the economical

  10. Slide 10: Strategic Pillars

    Business Strategy Strategic Pillars Identify and develop project options to consolidate our market share. 3. Growth Commercial strategy that generates long-term returns consistent with our asset base. Narrow our exposure to exogenous variables: diversified asset base 2. Diversification (technolog

  11. Slide 11: Value Chain

    Business Strategy Value Chain Project Operational Risk / Return Development Excellence Profile Multidimensional High Risk / return profile challenge: standards: combining: Technical Reliability Commercial policy + + + Environmental / Social Security Financial strength + + + Financial Environmental R

  12. Slide 12: Colbún: a sustainable partner

    Business Strategy Colbún: a sustainable partner EMPLOYEES INVESTORS ENVIRONMENT CLIENTS AND COMMUNITY AND SUPPLIERS SOCIETY CONTRACTORS AND PROVIDERS 12

  13. Slide 13: Commercial policy

    Business Strategy Commercial policy COMMERCIAL GOALS Supply secure and competitive energy to our customers Maximize returns from our current and future assets Manage volatility given large renewable component 1. CONTRACT LEVEL 2. SALE PRICE INDEXATION 3. HEDGE PROGRAM Define optimal Incorporate inde

  14. Slide 14: Evolution of Colbún's Business Model

    Business Strategy Evolution of Colbún’s Business Model Contractual GWh MMUSD Commitments 12.000 500 446 450 “Base” 10.000 Generation 400 337 331 350 8.000 284 300 236 6.000 250 211 205 170 200 156 4.000 128 150 109 100 2.000 (58%) (60%) (60%) (48%) (45%) (59%) (1%) (18%) (29%) (32%) (15%) (20%) EBIT

  15. Slide 15: Our expansion plan

    Business Strategy Our expansion plan UNDER UNDER CONSTRUCTION DIFFERENT STAGES OF DEVELOPMENT Hydro potential ~ 4,300 ~500 MW MW San Pedro Santa María II 150 MW La Mina* 342 MW Angostura 2,962 316 MW 34 MW MW OTHER GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES Existing CCGT (766 MW) and existing open-cycles that could be co

  16. Slide 16: Our projects under development

    Business Strategy Our projects under development LA MINA HYDRO POWER PLANT: 34 MW Maule River, Maule Region SANTA MARÍA II COAL POWER PLANT: 342 MW LA MINA Coronel, Biobío Region ANGOSTURA SANTA MARÍA II ANGOSTURA HYDRO POWER PLANT: 316 MW Santa Barbara and Quilaco, Biobío Region SAN PEDRO SAN PEDRO

  17. Slide 17: Agenda

    Agenda Company Overview Business Strategy Financial Profile Chilean Electricity Sector Overview 17

  18. Slide 18: Income Statement

    Financial Profile Income Statement Revenues, EBITDA (MMUSD) & EBITDA Margin 1.600 Revenues EBITDA EBITDA margin (%)  Average EBITDA 2006-2012: MMUSD 265 1.400 59% 1.200  Non-operational result from past years affected by payments to early terminate old natural gas 1.000 32% transport contracts 800

  19. Slide 19: Capital Structure and Credit Metrics

    Financial Profile Capital Structure and Credit Metrics Key Credit Metrics Cash, Debt & Net Debt (MMUSD) March 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2.000 LTM Cash 1.800 1.600 Net debt Total debt 18.8 26.0 25.0 27.0 31.1 30.1 32.9 32,6 to total capital (%) Total debt 1.400 1.200 Net debt 0.4 36.6 2

  20. Slide 20: Free Cash Flow Analysis

    Financial Profile Free Cash Flow Analysis Selected Sources & Uses of Funds (MMUSD) K 700 WK 600 Capex EBITDA  Negative FCF in past years due to intensive 500 capex program 400  Intensity of capex diminishes in 2013 300  Expected recovery of VAT Credit in coming years (current stock of MMUSD 258)

  21. Slide 21: Conservative Financial Strategy

    Financial Profile Conservative Financial Strategy: Smooth debt profile coupled with a strong liquidity position Amortization Schedule of LT Debt (MMUSD) Balance Sheet as of March 2013 (MMUSD) 600 Banks Bonds 500 Current Assets 750 400 Cash and equivalents 238 300 Accounts receivable 173 200 Recovera

  22. Slide 22: A quarterly look at Colbún's results

    Financial Profile A quarterly look at Colbún’s results Sales vs. Generation - quarterly (GWh) Revenues - quarterly (MMUSD) 3.200 402 2.800 361 367 332 2.400 315 2.000 1.600 1.200 800 400 0 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Contractual Sales Hydro Coal Natural gas (LNG) Diesel Revenues 2012 Revenu

  23. Slide 23: Agenda

    Agenda Company Overview Business Strategy Financial Profile Chilean Electricity Sector Overview 23

  24. Slide 24: Sector Segmentation

    Chilean Electricity Sector Overview Sector Segmentation 3 SUB-SECTORS 4 SEPARATE GRIDS SING Arica 3,964 MW - 25% 15.881 GWh - 25% GENERATION Antofagasta SIC Tal-Tal 12,365 MW - 75% 46.052 GWh - 74% TRANSMISSION Santiago Regulated sectors (concessions) DISTRIBUTION Castro Chaitén SEA 52 MW - 0% 146 G

  25. Slide 25: Market Structure

    Chilean Electricity Sector Overview Market Structure Electricity Market Structure Main Players in the Generation Sector-SIC GENERATORS 39% >15 REGULATED UNREGULATED SPOT players CUSTOMERS CUSTOMERS MARKET 20% 21% 17% DISTRIBUTION “FREE” CDEC COMPANIES CUSTOMERS 2% 1% Regulated Unregulated Marginal C

  26. Slide 26: Evolution of Power Generation and Demand in the SIC

    Chilean Electricity Sector Overview Evolution of Power Generation and Demand in the SIC Annual Power Generation – SIC (TWh) Annual Electricity Demand – SIC (TWh) 50 Others 50 Diesel-Fuel Unregulated Demand Regulated Demand 45 LNG 45 Gas Diesel 7% Coal /Petcoke 40 40 Hydro LNG 21% Unregulated: ~30% 3

  27. Slide 27: Dispatch and pricing model: a technical guide

    Chilean Electricity Sector Overview Dispatch and pricing model: a technical guide Dispatch Model Dispatch Scheme OBJECTIVE Meet demand at the lowest cost possible Demand Curve Variable Cost of the Plants (USD/MWh) INSTITUTION Independent load dispatch center (CDEC) coordinates the efficient dispatch

  28. Slide 28: Evolution of electricity prices

    Chilean Electricity Sector Overview Evolution of electricity prices Electricity Prices-SIC (USD/MWh) 350 1) Energy Node Price Alto Jahuel (USD/MWh) 300 2) Average Auction price (USD/MWh) 3) Average Market price (USD/MWh)* 250 4) Energy Spot Market Price Alto Jahuel (USD/MWh) 200 150 100 50 0 2001 20

  29. Slide 29: Demand and Supply: what to expect in the coming years

    Chilean Electricity Sector Overview Demand and Supply: what to expect in the coming years Electricity Demand - SIC (TWh) Available Power by type - SIC (MW) MW Hydro (1) Wind TWh Coal Gas (2) 70 Diesel Max demand 12.000 Min demand Average demand 60 10.000 50 8.000 40 6.000 30 4.000 20 10 2.000 0 0 20

  30. Slide 30: Colbún

    «Colbun

Colbún — Q1 2013 Earnings Presentation on 6ix