Assured Guaranty Ltd. · NYSE:AGO

Assured Guaranty — Q2 2026 Earnings Presentation

71 slides from Assured Guaranty's earnings presentation, Aug 7, 2026

  1. Slide 1: Equity Investor Presentation

    Equity Investor Presentation June 30, 2026

  2. Slide 2: Forward-Looking Statements and Safe Harbor Disclosure

    Forward-Looking Statements and Safe Harbor Disclosure • This presentation contains information that includes or is based upon forward looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward looking statements give the expectations or forecasts of future

  3. Slide 3: Conventions and Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    Conventions and Non-GAAP Financial Measures • Unless otherwise noted, the following conventions are used in this presentation: – Ratings on Assured Guaranty’s insured portfolio are Assured Guaranty’s internal ratings. ▪ Internal credit ratings are expressed on a ratings scale similar to that used by

  4. Slide 4: Table of Contents

    Table of Contents • Quarterly highlights • Assured Guaranty overview – Strength of business model – Claims-paying resources – Financial strength ratings – Track record of creating shareholder value – Dividend limitation calculations – Simplified corporate structure • Underlying value – Historical gr

  5. Slide 5: Highlights

    ASSURED GUARANTY Highlights

  6. Slide 6: Second Quarter 2026 Highlights

    Second Quarter 2026 Highlights Financial Results • Earned $55 million of adjusted operating income1 ($1.23 per share), a per share increase of 22% above the same period in 2025 • Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL per share, adjusted operating shareholders' equity per share1 and adjusted book

  7. Slide 7: Six Months 2026 Highlights

    Six Months 2026 Highlights Financial Results • Earned $170 million of adjusted operating income1 (or $3.74 per share) Financial Guaranty New Business Production • Insured $16 billion of new business par, the highest amount of Six Month insured par in a decade2 – Net par outstanding increased in each

  8. Slide 8: New Insurance Business Production

    New Insurance Business Production Gross Par Written ($ in millions, Six Months) Assured Guaranty insured $15.9 billion of $15,862 aggregate par on 939 transactions in Six Months $14,337 $15,398 2026 $13,166 $11,166 • Both aggregate par and transaction count are the largest Six Months amounts in a de

  9. Slide 9: Assured Guaranty Overview

    ASSURED GUARANTY Assured Guaranty Overview

  10. Slide 10: Financial Guaranty Business Model

    Assured Guaranty Overview Financial Guaranty Business Model • What do we insure? – We insure financial obligations in three main sectors ▪ U.S. public finance and infrastructure transactions ▪ Non-U.S. public finance and infrastructure transactions ▪ Global structured finance transactions – We focus

  11. Slide 11: Financial Guaranty Business Model (Continued)

    Assured Guaranty Overview Financial Guaranty Business Model (Continued) • How do we invest our investment portfolio? – Our portfolio primarily consists of highly rated fixed-maturity and short-term investments, and cash – We also have a strategy to invest a portion of our investment portfolio in alt

  12. Slide 12: Financial Guaranty Financial Summary

    Assured Guaranty Overview Financial Guaranty Financial Summary1 Assured Guaranty Ltd. • Assured Guaranty is the leading financial guaranty franchise, with four decades of ($ in billions) Jun. 30, 2026 experience in the municipal and structured finance markets Insured net par outstanding $281.4 – We

  13. Slide 13: Resilience and Enduring Financial Strength

    Assured Guaranty Overview Resilience and Enduring Financial Strength Assured Guaranty maintained over $10 billion of claims-paying resources1 over 18 years while paying nearly $15 billion to insured investors From January 1, 2008 through June $16 As of December 31 of each full year 30, 2026: ($ in b

  14. Slide 14: Financial Guaranty Claims-Paying Resources

    Assured Guaranty Overview Financial Guaranty Claims-Paying Resources As of June 30, 2026 AG AG Re2 Eliminations3 Total Claims-paying resources ($ in millions): Policyholders' surplus $ 3,088 $ 673 $ 49 $ 3,810 Contingency reserve 1,569 — — 1,569 Qualified statutory capital 4,657 673 49 5,379 Unearne

  15. Slide 15: Assured Guaranty Ltd. Corporate Structure

    Assured Guaranty Overview Assured Guaranty Ltd. Corporate Structure Assured Guaranty Ltd. Hamilton, Bermuda Publicly Traded Holding Company (NYSE: AGO) S&P: A (stable outlook) / Moody’s: Baa1 (stable outlook) issuer credit ratings Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. (AGUS) Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. (AG

  16. Slide 16: Financial Strength Ratings of Financial Guaranty Insurers

    Assured Guaranty Overview Financial Strength Ratings of Financial Guaranty Insurers Financial Strength Ratings1 S&P KBRA Moody's AA AA+ A1 AG Stable Outlook Stable Outlook Stable Outlook (July 2026) (August 2026) (July 2026) Latest Updates • In July 2026, S&P affirmed the AA (stable outlook) financi

  17. Slide 17: Adjusted Operating Income

    Assured Guaranty Overview Adjusted Operating Income • Adjusted operating income per share1 was $3.74 in Six Months 2026, the second highest six month per share earning result in the last decade and only the second time six month per share earnings have exceeded $3.50 • Adjusted operating income1 is

  18. Slide 18: Track Record of Creating Shareholder Value

    Assured Guaranty Overview Track Record of Creating Shareholder Value • We have a capital management strategy that has included returning excess capital to shareholders by repurchasing our common shares and distributing dividends – Since 2013, when we started our share repurchase program, through Aug

  19. Slide 19: Expected 2026 Dividend Limitation Calculations

    Assured Guaranty Overview Expected 2026 Dividend Limitation Calculations Assured Guaranty Inc. (AG) Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. (AG Re) (Domiciled in Maryland) (Domiciled in Bermuda) • Cannot exceed the lesser of: • Cannot exceed 25% of prior year total statutory capital and surplus (i) 10% of prior ye

  20. Slide 20: Simplified Corporate Structure

    Assured Guaranty Overview Simplified Corporate Structure With Expected Dividend Capacity1 Shareholders • Total investment portfolio and cash of $32 million2 Assured Guaranty Ltd. • 12-months through June 30, 2026, (Head Office – Bermuda; Tax Residence – U.K.) net expenses of $45 million • Annual div

  21. Slide 21: Underlying Value

    ASSURED (GUARANTY

  22. Slide 22: Historical Growth

    Underlying Value Historical Growth Adjusted Book Value Per Share1,2 $186.43 $189.72 $170.12 $155.92 59.65 59.78 $141.98 ) %C AGR 55.37 as e (10 49.38 cre 67 4% in 48.06 lue: Bo ok Va Adj. $126.78 $129.94 $114.75 $41.90 $106.54 $35.66 $93.92 $26.06 $29.54 16.53 $24.51 12.13 7.18 8.17 6.43 $18.88 $21.

  23. Slide 23: High-Quality Investment Portfolio

    Underlying Value High-Quality Investment Portfolio Total Invested Assets and Cash (excluding Assured Life Re.)1 As of June 30, 2026 U.S. government & agencies 1% 2 AAA Other invested 23% assets 3 9% 4 Sound Point • Primarily consists of highly-rated, fixed 5% maturity and short-term investments, and

  24. Slide 24: Total Invested Assets and Cash

    Underlying Value Total Invested Assets and Cash • Total invested assets and cash (excluding Assured Life Re) have declined by $2.5 billion since year-end 2016, despite the Company returning $4.9 billion to shareholders in the form of share repurchases and dividends as well as paying $2.1 billion in

  25. Slide 25: Net Investment Income and Operating Expenses

    Underlying Value Net Investment Income1 and Operating Expenses • Nearly all of the Company’s annual operating expenses (excluding asset management expenses)2 are covered by annual net investment income1 Net Investment Income1 ($ in millions) $378 $365 $359 $366 $355 $340 $286 $269 $204 $190 2022 202

  26. Slide 26: New Business Activity

    ASSURED GUARANTY New Business Activity

  27. Slide 27: Insurance: U.S. Public Finance

    New Business Activity Insurance: U.S. Public Finance • In Six Months 2026, Assured Guaranty’s U.S. public finance par was over $10 billion and PVP was $106 million – U.S. public finance PVP was 43% higher than PVP in the same period of 2025 • Industry insured transaction penetration remained high an

  28. Slide 28: Insurance: Non-U.S. Public Finance

    New Business Activity Insurance: Non-U.S. Public Finance Non-U.S. Public Finance PVP1 ($ in millions; Six Months) • Six Months 2026 business activity highlights: $36 $34 – A primary social housing transaction in France $30 – A regulated utility in Spain • Full year 2025 business activity highlights:

  29. Slide 29: Insurance: Global Structured Finance

    New Business Activity Insurance: Global Structured Finance • In Six Months 2026, business was primarily attributable to two main business lines: Global Structured Finance PVP1 – Fund finance transactions ($ in millions;Six Months) – Life insurance capital management business $68 • Full year 2025 bus

  30. Slide 30: Asset Management and Alternative Investments

    Asset Management and Alternative Investments

  31. Slide 31: Asset Management Segment and Alternative Investments

    Asset Management Segment and Alternative Investments Highlights Asset Management Segment • Assured Guaranty participates in the asset management business primarily through its 30% ownership interest in Sound Point – Assured Guaranty’s share of Sound Point’s net income was $1 million (pre-tax) in Six

  32. Slide 32: Annuity Reinsurance

    ASSURED (GUARANTY Annuity Reinsurance

  33. Slide 33: Annuity Reinsurance Business

    Annuity Reinsurance Business To further its strategic objectives, Assured Guaranty has diversified into annuity reinsurance by launching Assured Life Reinsurance Ltd. (Assured Life Re) Entry into Strategic Objectives Annuity Reinsurance Identify new business opportunities that are a natural extensio

  34. Slide 34: Annuity Business and Assured Life Re's Product Focus

    Annuity Business and Assured Life Re’s Product Focus Annuities are contracts sold by life insurance companies that provide a series of regular, guaranteed payments over a set period of time Annuities • People typically purchase annuities to save for retirement so they can receive a steady income str

  35. Slide 35: Assets Supporting Annuity Reinsurance

    Annuity Reinsurance Assets Supporting Annuity Reinsurance Total Invested Assets and Cash, and the Underlying Assets of Funds Withheld (Assured Life Re)1,2 As of June 30, 2026 AA 15% A • Primarily consists of highly-rated, fixed 29% AAA maturity and short-term investments, 15% and cash NR 13% BIG 1%

  36. Slide 36: Financial Results

    ASSURED (GUARANTY Financial Results M4

  37. Slide 37: Second Quarter 2026 Results

    Second Quarter 2026 Results Select Financial Items Select GAAP Results ($ in millions, except per share data) Three Months Ended June 30, % Change vs. 2Q-25 2026 2025 Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $39 $103 (62)% Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share $0.88 $2.08 (58)% Net ea

  38. Slide 38: Six Months 2026 Results

    Six Months 2026 Results Select Financial Items Select GAAP Results ($ in millions, except per share data) Six Months Ended June 30, % Change vs. 6M-25 2026 2025 Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $127 $279 (54)% Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share $2.80 $5.54 (49)% Net earned

  39. Slide 39: Second Quarter 2026 Results: Supplemental Information

    Second Quarter 2026 Results Supplemental Information Select Income Components ($ in millions) Three Months Ended June 30, 2026 Employee Equity in Net Income (Loss) Compensation, Benefit Earnings Attributable to Net Earned Net Investment Loss Expense Expenses and Other (Losses) of Assured Guaranty Pr

  40. Slide 40: Six Months 2026 Results: Supplemental Information

    Six Months 2026 Results Supplemental Information Select Income Components ($ in millions) Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 Employee Equity in Net Income (Loss) Compensation, Benefit Earnings Attributable to Net Earned Net Investment Loss Expense Expenses and Other (Losses) of Assured Guaranty Premiums

  41. Slide 41: Financial Guaranty Segment Loss Measures

    Financial Guaranty Segment Loss Measures Net economic loss development in second quarter 2026 was primarily attributable to Brightline Trains Florida LLC, senior revenue bonds secured by a continuing senior lien on Brightline’s assets Loss/(Benefit) ($ in millions) 2Q 2026 2Q 2025 6M 2026 6M 2025 Lo

  42. Slide 42: Net Expected Loss and LAE to Be Paid (Recovered)

    Net Expected Loss and LAE to Be Paid (Recovered) Three Months Ended June 30, 2026 Roll Forward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid (Recovered)1 for the Three Months Ended June 30, 2026 ($ in millions) Net Expected Loss Net Economic Loss Net Expected Loss to be Paid Development Net (Paid) to be P

  43. Slide 43: Net Expected Loss and LAE to Be Paid (Recovered)

    Net Expected Loss and LAE to Be Paid (Recovered) Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 Roll Forward of Net Expected Loss and LAE to be Paid (Recovered)1 for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 ($ in millions) Net Expected Loss Net Economic Loss Net Expected Loss to be Paid Development Net (Paid) to be Paid

  44. Slide 44: Assured Guaranty Insured Portfolio

    Assured Guaranty Insured Portfolio Eiffage CEVM / Foster + Partners / Jean-Pierre Lescourret

  45. Slide 45: Financial Guaranty Insured Portfolio: Net Par by Sector

    Assured Guaranty Financial Guaranty Insured Portfolio1 Net Par Outstanding by Sector as of June 30, 2026 Portfolio Diversification by Sector Non-U.S. Structured Finance U.S. 2% Public Finance 78% U.S. Structured Finance 3% Non-U.S. Public Finance 17% $281.4 billion Global U.S. Public Finance Portfol

  46. Slide 46: Financial Guaranty Insured Portfolio: Net Par by Rating

    Assured Guaranty Financial Guaranty Insured Portfolio1 Net Par Outstanding by Rating as of June 30, 2026 Portfolio Diversification by Rating BIG AAA 3% 1% AA 10% BBB 36% A 51% $281.4 billion Global U.S. Public Finance Portfolio Non-U.S. Public Finance Portfolio Structured Finance Portfolio BIG AAA A

  47. Slide 47: Net Par Outstanding Amortization

    Assured Guaranty Financial Guaranty Insured Portfolio Net Par Outstanding Amortization • Since year-end 2022, net par outstanding increased by $48 billion, with increased par outstanding in each of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance and global structured finance • Since year-end 2016, the

  48. Slide 48: Puerto Rico Update

    Assured Guaranty Insured Portfolio Puerto Rico Update • The Company continues to work to resolve its only unresolved defaulted Puerto Rico exposure, PREPA – As of July 1, 2026, the Company’s outstanding net par exposure to PREPA declined to $358 million, due to claim payments – On December 31, 2024,

  49. Slide 49: Puerto Rico Exposure

    Assured Guaranty Insured Portfolio Puerto Rico Exposure Exposure to Puerto Rico As of June 30, 2026 ($ in millions) Net Par Outstanding Total Net Par Gross Par AG AG Re Outstanding Outstanding Defaulted Puerto Rico Exposure Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA) $322 $142 $464 $470 Resolved Pu

  50. Slide 50: Assured Guaranty CLO Exposures

    Assured Guaranty CLO Exposures Exposure in Four Distinct Areas Non-CLO 1. $0.6 billion of insured exposure Exposure $280.8 • Nine transactions Financial Guaranty • All of the exposure is investment grade Insured Portfolio Net Par Outstanding • Average credit enhancement is approximately 39% As of Ju

  51. Slide 51: BIG Surveillance Categories

    Assured Guaranty Insured Portfolio BIG Surveillance Categories The Company assigns each BIG exposure to one of the three BIG surveillance categories based on loss modeling1 and scenario probability weighting: BIG Surveillance Category 1: Exposures for which there are possible future losses, on a pre

  52. Slide 52: Net Par Outstanding by BIG Surveillance Category

    Assured Guaranty Insured Portfolio Net Par Outstanding by BIG Surveillance Category1 Financial Guaranty Portfolio Categories As of June 30, 2026 Net Par Percent of Percent of ($ billions) Outstanding BIG Par Total Par • Approximately $2.4 billion (0.8% of total BIG Surveillance Category 1 281.4 net

  53. Slide 53: Total BIG Exposure

    Assured Guaranty Insured Portfolio Total BIG Exposure • Exposure with an internal BIG rating is $8.5 billion, down from $8.6 billion in first quarter 2026 – Approximately $2.4 billion of this exposure is currently categorized as BIG Surveillance Category 1, which are exposures for which there are po

  54. Slide 54: BIG 2 and BIG 3 Exposure

    Assured Guaranty Insured Portfolio BIG 2 and BIG 3 Exposure • Transactions rated BIG 2 represent approximately 58% of all BIG transactions (1.8% of total net par outstanding) – The largest components of our BIG 2 exposure are U.K. regulated utilities at 48% and U.S. transportation at 23% • Transacti

  55. Slide 55: BIG Exposures Greater Than $250 Million

    Assured Guaranty Insured Portfolio BIG Exposures > $250 Million BIG Exposures Greater Than $250 Million As of June 30, 2026 ($ in millions) Net Par Internal Type1 Name or Description Outstanding Rating2 PF Thames Water Utilities Finance Plc $2,365 B PF Brightline Trains Florida LLC 1,133 CCC PF Cove

  56. Slide 56: Appendix

    ASSURED (GUARANTY

  57. Slide 57: Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    Appendix Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures The Company discloses both: (i) financial measures determined in accordance with GAAP; and (ii) financial measures not determined in accordance with GAAP (non-GAAP financial measures). Financial measures identified as non-GAAP should not be conside

  58. Slide 58: Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Cont'd)

    Appendix Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Cont’d) The following paragraphs define each non-GAAP financial measure disclosed by the Company and describe why it is useful. To the extent there is a directly comparable GAAP financial measure, a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure

  59. Slide 59: Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Cont'd)

    Appendix Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Cont’d) Adjusted Operating Shareholders’ Equity and Adjusted Book Value: The Company’s management believes that adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is a useful measure because it excludes the fair value adjustments that are not expected to res

  60. Slide 60: Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Cont'd)

    Appendix Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Cont’d) Adjusted Operating Return on Equity (Adjusted Operating ROE): Adjusted Operating ROE represents adjusted operating income for a specified period divided by the average of adjusted operating shareholders’ equity at the beginning and the end

  61. Slide 61: Reconciliation of GWP to PVP

    Appendix AGL Consolidated Reconciliation of Gross Written Premiums (GWP) to PVP1 Three Months Ended Year Ended Reconciliation of GWP to PVP1 June 30, December 31, ($ in millions) 2026 2025 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 Total GWP $81 $85 $256 $440 $357 $360 $377 $454 $677 Less: Installment GWP a

  62. Slide 62: Reconciliation of Net Income Attributable to AGL to Adjusted Operating Income

    Appendix Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) Attributable to AGL to Adjusted Operating Income1,2 Three Months Ended Six Months Ended Adjusted Operating Income1 Reconciliation June 30, June 30, ($ in millions, except per share amounts) 2026 2025 2026 2025 Per Per Per Per Total Share Total Share Total

  63. Slide 63: Reconciliation of Net Income to Adjusted Operating Income (2014-2025)

    Appendix Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) Attributable to AGL to Adjusted Operating Income1,2 (2014-2025) Adjusted Operating Income1 Reconciliation Year Ended December 31, ($ in millions, except per share amounts) 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 Total Per Share Total Per Share Total Per Share Total

  64. Slide 64: Reconciliation of Net Income to Adjusted Operating Income (2004-2013)

    Appendix Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) Attributable to AGL to Adjusted Operating Income1,2 (2004-2013) Adjusted Operating Income1 Reconciliation Year Ended December 31, ($ in millions, except per share amounts) 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 Total Per Share Total Per Share Total Per Share Total

  65. Slide 65: Reconciliation of Shareholders' Equity to Adjusted Book Value

    Appendix Reconciliation of Shareholders’ Equity Attributable to AGL to Adjusted Book Value1 Adjusted book value1 reconciliation As of ($ in millions, except per share amounts) Jun 30, 2026 Mar 31, 2026 Dec 31, 2025 Jun 30, 2025 Mar 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Per Per Per Per Per Per Total Share Total Shar

  66. Slide 66: Reconciliation of Shareholders' Equity to Adjusted Book Value (2018-2023)

    Appendix Reconciliation of Shareholders’ Equity Attributable to AGL to Adjusted Book Value1 (2018-2023) Adjusted book value1 reconciliation As of December 31, ($ in millions, except per share amounts) 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 Per Per Per Per Per Per Total Share Total Share Total Share Total Sha

  67. Slide 67: Reconciliation of Shareholders' Equity to Adjusted Book Value (2013-2017)

    Appendix Reconciliation of Shareholders’ Equity Attributable to AGL to Adjusted Book Value1 (2013-2017) Adjusted book value1 reconciliation As of December 31, ($ in millions, except per share amounts) 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 Per Per Per Per Per Total Share Total Share Total Share Total Share Total

  68. Slide 68: Reconciliation of Shareholders' Equity to Adjusted Book Value (2008-2012)

    Appendix Reconciliation of Shareholders’ Equity Attributable to AGL to Adjusted Book Value1 (2008-2012) Adjusted book value1 reconciliation As of December 31, ($ in millions, except per share amounts) 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 Per Per Per Per Per Total Share Total Share Total Share Total Share Total

  69. Slide 69: Reconciliation of Shareholders' Equity to Adjusted Book Value (2004-2007)

    Appendix Reconciliation of Shareholders’ Equity Attributable to AGL to Adjusted Book Value1 (2004-2007) Adjusted book value1 reconciliation As of December 31, ($ in millions, except per share amounts) 2007 2006 2005 2004 2004 Q2 Per Per Per Per Per Total Share Total Share Total Share Total Share Tot

  70. Slide 70: Reconciliation of AGL GAAP ROE to Adjusted Operating ROE

    Appendix Reconciliation of AGL GAAP ROE1 to Adjusted Operating ROE1,2 ROE Reconciliation ($ in millions) Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30, June 30, 2026 2025 2026 2025 Net income (loss) attributable to AGL $39 $103 $127 $279 Adjusted operating income2 55 50 170 212 Average shareholders' e

  71. Slide 71: Assured Guaranty Contacts

    Assured Guaranty Contacts: Robert Tucker Senior Managing Director Investor Relations and Corporate Communications Direct: 212.339.0861 rtucker@agltd.com Andre Thomas Managing Director Equity Investor Relations Direct: 212.339.3551 athomas@agltd.com Glenn Alterman Director Investor Relations Direct:

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