Calm returns ahead of Nvidia and data drops

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By Mike Dolan What matters in U.S. and global markets todayBy , Editor-at-Large, Finance and MarketsWall Street looks set to firm up on Monday after last week's tech sector wobble, with Nvidia earnings due on Wednesday and official U.S. government data returning against doused Federal Reserve easing speculation.Awaiting results from chip giant Nvidia, the world's most valuable company, market jitters over stretched valuations of AI-related stocks seem to have calmed. After Friday's sharp intraday bounce, Nasdaq futures are up about 0.6% ahead of today's bell. However, digital token Bitcoin, which has been behaving in line with tech stock sentiment of late, continued to fall over the weekend and hit its lowest since April - nursing its largest weekly fall since March and down 26% from last month's peak at its low.Reports of widespread hedging of AI equity positions by buying credit default swaps in indebted tech names such as Oracle and CoreWeave have drawn attention to emerging leverage in the tech boom and nervousness among equity bulls.Chip stocks got a lift in Asia earlier, however, as South Korea's Samsung and SK Hynix both jumped after reports Samsung Electronics had raised prices of certain memory chips - now in short supply due to the global race to build AI data centres - by as much as 60% compared to September.The macro fixation of the week will be the return of U.S. economic data, with September's payrolls report on Thursday expected to be firm but likely too far out of date now to affect market or policy considerations looking forward. The New York Fed's November manufacturing survey out later today may give a more up-to-date glimpse of activity.As it stands, Fed hawks on Friday continued to push back against another interest rate cut this year and money markets now only put a 40% chance of another reduction next month. A quarter point Fed cut is now not fully priced until March.A number of the Fed's top brass speak again on Monday.There was also attention on how the Fed is managing recent money market tightness, something that has pushed it to end its balance sheet runoff from December. New York Fed President John Williams met with Wall Street banks last Wednesday to discuss a key short-term lending facility, a New York Fed spokesperson told Reuters on Friday after reports of the meeting circulated."President Williams convened the New York Fed...

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