Alcoa Corporation · NYSE:AA

Alcoa — Q3 2025 Earnings Presentation

38 slides from Alcoa's earnings presentation, Oct 22, 2025

  1. Slide 1: 3rd Quarter Earnings

    3 Quarter rd Earnings Alcoa Corporation October 22, 2025 1

  2. Slide 2: Cautionary Statement regarding Forward-Looking Statements

    Cautionary Statement regarding Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains statements that relate to future events and expectations and as such constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements inclu

  3. Slide 3: Important information

    Important information Non-GAAP Financial Measures This presentation contains reference to certain financial measures that are not calculated and presented in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States (GAAP). Alcoa Corporation believes that the presentation of thes

  4. Slide 4: William Oplinger

    William Oplinger President and Chief Executive Officer 4

  5. Slide 5: Alcoa continues to progress

    Alcoa continues to progress Third quarter notable items and looking ahead 3Q Notable items Looking ahead Safety update 4Q25 improvements Strong operations ✓ Expect higher shipments and working capital release ✓ At recent MWP, tariff costs on U.S. imports of aluminum from Canada ✓ YTD aluminum produc

  6. Slide 6: Molly Beerman

    Molly Beerman Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer 6

  7. Slide 7: 3Q25 EPS of $0.88, Adjusted EPS of $(0.02)

    3Q25 EPS of $0.88, Adjusted EPS of $(0.02) Quarterly income statement summary 2Q25 3Q25 Change Third party realized prices ($/mt) Realized primary aluminum price $3,143 $3,374 $231 Realized alumina price $378 $377 $(1) Income statement highlights (millions, except per share amounts) Revenue $3,018 $

  8. Slide 8: Favorable metal prices offset by tariffs and one-time items

    Favorable metal prices offset by tariffs and one-time items 3Q25 Sequential changes in Adjusted EBITDA excluding special items, $M 166 50 2Q25 3Q25 Change 1 (39) (8) (69) Tariffs Alumina1 $139 $67 $(72) (12) (9) Aluminum1 97 307 210 AROs Transformation (21) (20) 1 (53) 313 Intersegment 135 (39) (174

  9. Slide 9: Maintained strong cash balance

    Maintained strong cash balance Quarter cash bridge and YTD Cash flow information, $M 3Q25 Cash balance changes YTD Cash flow information 270 1,708 Net NCI contributions 27 42 Other 69 (25) ATO tax refund 132 Ma’aden sale 1,361 Net payments on debt 29 net proceeds 42 Elysis investment 79 Cash dividen

  10. Slide 10: Strong key metrics YTD; approaching Adjusted net debt target

    Strong key metrics YTD; approaching Adjusted net debt target Key financial metrics, 3Q25 and YTD YTD Return on equity 14.5% 3Q25 Days working capital 50 Days • YTD Return on equity highest since 2022 • 3Q25 Days working capital YTD Capital 3Q25 Adjusted net increased sequentially by returns to stock

  11. Slide 11: 2025 Outlook

    2025 Outlook FY25 Key metrics as of September 30, 2025 Income statement excl. special items impacts Cash flow impacts 3Q25 YTD Actual FY25 Outlook 3Q25 YTD Actual FY25 Outlook Alumina production (Mmt) 7.2 9.5 – 9.7 Pension / OPEB cash funding $53M ~ $70M Alumina shipments (Mmt) 9.8 13.1 – 13.3 Stock

  12. Slide 12: William Oplinger

    William Oplinger President and Chief Executive Officer 12

  13. Slide 13: Lower alumina price pressuring margins on global refineries

    Lower alumina price pressuring margins on global refineries Alumina market dynamics Wider unprofitability from lower alumina price, adding pressure for supply response Platts FOB WA Alumina, $/mt Global refineries business cost curve for 2025 $/mt 1,000 Supply $/mt China Ex-China 800 disruption 500

  14. Slide 14: Aluminum prices increase in 3Q25 on resilient fundamentals

    Aluminum prices increase in 3Q25 on resilient fundamentals Aluminum market dynamics LME aluminum prices up in 3Q25; Midwest premium nears import parity as U.S. inventories declined LME aluminum, $/mt Midwest premium, duty paid and duty unpaid, $/mt 50% Section 232 2,775 2,000 2,800 tariffs start MWD

  15. Slide 15: Join us for Alcoa Investor Day on October 30!

    Join us for Alcoa Investor Day on October 30! Registration available on the Alcoa Investor Relations website ▪ Begins at 9:00 a.m. until 12:40 p.m. EDT ▪ Opportunity to hear directly from Alcoa executives on a wide range of topics, including: ▪ Strategic Vision and Market Position ▪ Operational Exce

  16. Slide 16: Achievements and future focus

    Achievements and future focus Third quarter summary Looking forward • Maintained operational stability • Focus on safety, stability and operational excellence • One-time items impacted the quarter • Deliver fourth quarter financial improvement • Strengthened U.S. primary aluminum production • Progre

  17. Slide 17: Appendix

    Appendix 17

  18. Slide 18: Maximizing value creation through balanced use of cash

    Maximizing value creation through balanced use of cash Capital allocation framework and value creation considerations Capital allocation framework Maximize value creation Maintain strong balance sheet Return cash to stockholders through the cycle ▪ 3Q25 dividend payments totaled $26 million (targeti

  19. Slide 19: Quarterly income statement

    Quarterly income statement Quarterly income statement for 2Q25 and 3Q25 Sequential Millions, except realized prices and per share amounts 2Q25 3Q25 Change Realized primary aluminum price ($/mt) $3,143 $3,374 $231 Realized alumina price ($/mt) $378 $377 $(1) Revenue $3,018 $2,995 $(23) Cost of goods

  20. Slide 20: Special items

    Special items Breakdown of special items by income statement classification – gross basis Millions, except per share amounts 2Q25 3Q25 Description of significant 3Q25 special items Net income attributable to Alcoa Corporation $164 $232 Earnings per common share $0.62 $0.88 Special items $(61) $(238)

  21. Slide 21: Quarterly income statement excluding special items

    Quarterly income statement excluding special items Quarterly income statement excluding special items for 2Q25 and 3Q25 Sequential Millions, except realized prices and per share amounts 2Q25 3Q25 Change Realized primary aluminum price ($/mt) $3,143 $3,374 $231 Realized alumina price ($/mt) $378 $377

  22. Slide 22: 3Q25 Financial summary

    3Q25 Financial summary Three months ending September 30, 2025, excluding special items Intersegment Other Alcoa Millions Alumina Aluminum3 Transformation eliminations corporate Corporation Total revenue $1,428 $2,045 $8 $(487) $1 $2,995 Third-party revenue $954 $2,040 $4 - $(3) $2,995 Adjusted EBITD

  23. Slide 23: 3Q25 Segment Adjusted EBITDA drivers

    3Q25 Segment Adjusted EBITDA drivers Segment Adjusted EBITDA sequential changes, $M Segment Segment Adjusted Adjusted EBITDA Metal Raw Production EBITDA 2Q25 Currency prices API materials Energy Price/mix Volume costs Other 3Q25 Alumina $139 (14) 0 (18) 2 5 (3) (13) 14 (45) $67 Aluminum $97 (19) 166

  24. Slide 24: Adj. operating costs and Segment Adj. EBITDA reconciliation

    Adj. operating costs and Segment Adj. EBITDA reconciliation Adjusted operating costs for alumina and aluminum produced and shipped Alumina segment 3Q24 4Q24 FY24 1Q25 2Q25 3Q25 Adj. operating costs ($M) $734 $766 $3,110 $723 $770 $779 Produced alumina shipments (kmt) 2,366 2,468 10,050 2,316 2,384 2

  25. Slide 25: Aluminum value chain

    Aluminum value chain 2025 YTD Alcoa shipments by product type Bauxite Alumina Aluminum 32.5 Mdmt shipments 9.8 Mmt shipments 1.9 Mmt shipments Intersegment Third party 0% 23% Intersegment 34% 66% 77% Third party Intrasegment 100% Third party 25

  26. Slide 26: Composition of alumina and aluminum production costs

    Composition of alumina and aluminum production costs Alcoa 3Q25 production cash costs Alumina refining Input Inventory Pricing FY25 annual cost Bauxite Conversion cost flow convention sensitivity 26% 32% Caustic soda 5 - 6 Months Quarterly, Spot $10M per $10/dmt Quarterly, 91% with Natural gas 1 Mon

  27. Slide 27: 2025 Business information

    2025 Business information Estimated annual Segment Adjusted EBITDA sensitivities Midwest Midwest $Millions LME Paid Unpaid Tariff AUD BRL CAD EUR ISK NOK + API + + Europe Japan (LME + 0.01 + 0.10 + 0.01 + 0.01 + 10 + 0.10 Segment $100/mt + $10/mt $100/mt $100/mt + $100/mt + $100/mt +$100/mt) 0.661 5

  28. Slide 28: Currency impacts on Segment Adjusted EBITDA

    Currency impacts on Segment Adjusted EBITDA Currency balance sheet revaluation and EBITDA sensitivities impact ($M, except currencies) AUD BRL CAD EUR ISK NOK Total 09/30/25 currencies 0.66 5.32 1.39 1.17 121.16 9.97 3Q25 currency average 0.66 5.45 1.38 1.17 122.21 10.10 3Q25 Balance sheet revaluati

  29. Slide 29: Additional business considerations

    Additional business considerations Items expected to impact Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted net income for 4Q25 Expected sequential impacts on Adjusted EBITDA excluding special items, excluding indexed sales prices or currency impacts: ▪ Alumina segment performance is expected to be favorable by approx

  30. Slide 30: Alcoa 2024 progress on sustainability goals

    Alcoa 2024 progress on sustainability goals Alcoa strategic long-term sustainability goals, baseline, and progress Goal Description 2015 Baseline 2024 Progress Zero fatalities and serious injuries (life-threatening or life-altering 5 fatal or serious Health and Safety 0 fatalities or serious injurie

  31. Slide 31: Production and capacity information

    Production and capacity information Alcoa Corporation annual consolidated amounts as of September 30, 2025 Alumina refining, kmt Aluminum smelting, kmt Facility Country Capacity Curtailed Facility Country Capacity Curtailed Pinjarra Australia 4,700 - Portland Australia 197 32 Wagerup Australia 2,879

  32. Slide 32: Adjusted EBITDA reconciliations

    Adjusted EBITDA reconciliations Millions 3Q24 4Q24 FY24 1Q25 2Q25 3Q25 Net income attributable to Alcoa $90 $202 $60 $548 $164 $232 Add: Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest 8 - (36) - (13) (14) Provision for (benefit from) income taxes 86 136 265 120 10 (51) Other expenses (inc

  33. Slide 33: Free cash flow reconciliation

    Free cash flow reconciliation Millions 3Q24 4Q24 FY24 1Q25 2Q25 3Q25 Cash provided from operations $143 $415 $622 $75 $488 $85 Capital expenditures (146) (169) (580) (93) (131) (151) Free cash flow (3) 246 42 (18) 357 (66) Contributions from noncontrolling interest - - 65 27 - - Distributions to non

  34. Slide 34: Net debt reconciliations

    Net debt reconciliations 3Q24 2Q25 3Q25 Millions Short-term borrowings $12 $8 $3 Long-term debt due within one year 464 75 - Long-term debt, less amount due within one year 2,469 2,574 2,578 Total debt 2,945 2,657 2,581 Less: Cash and cash equivalents 1,313 1,514 1,485 Net debt 1,632 1,143 1,096 Plu

  35. Slide 35: DWC working capital and Days working capital reconciliations

    DWC working capital and Days working capital reconciliations Millions 3Q24 4Q24 1Q25 2Q25 3Q25 Receivables from customers $862 $1,096 $1,203 $979 $1,045 Add: Inventories 2,096 1,998 2,182 2,220 2,191 Less: Accounts payable, trade 1,544 1,805 1,629 1,633 1,618 DWC working capital $1,414 $1,289 $1,756

  36. Slide 36: Annualized Return on Equity (ROE)

    Annualized Return on Equity (ROE) ROE Reconciliation and calculation information as of September 30, 2025 Millions 2024 YTD 2025 YTD (Net Loss/Income Attributable to Alcoa + Special Items1) Numerator: ROE % = X 100 Net (loss) income attributable to Alcoa Corporation $(142) $944 (Total Assets – Total

  37. Slide 37: Glossary of terms

    Glossary of terms Abbreviations listed in alphanumeric order Abbreviation Description Abbreviation Description % pts Percentage points FY## Twelve months ending December 31 1H## Six months ending June 30 GAAP Accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America 1Q## Three months

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Alcoa — Q3 2025 Earnings Presentation on 6ix