Alcoa Corporation · NYSE:AA

Alcoa — Q2 2026 Earnings Presentation

41 slides from Alcoa's earnings presentation, Jul 16, 2026

  1. Slide 1: 2nd Quarter Earnings

    2nd Quarter Earnings Alcoa Corporation July 16, 2026 v 1

  2. Slide 2: Cautionary Statement regarding Forward-Looking Statements

    Cautionary Statement regarding Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains statements that relate to future events and expectations and as such constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements inclu

  3. Slide 3: Important information

    Important information No Offer or Solicitation This presentation is for informational purposes and is not intended to, and shall not, constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities or a solicitation of any vote of approval, n

  4. Slide 4: William Oplinger

    William Oplinger President and Chief Executive Officer 4

  5. Slide 5: Strong strategic execution while delivering results in second quarter

    Strong strategic execution while delivering results in second quarter SAFETY ▪ Safety performance stable; improving trends in key injury metrics ▪ Focus remains on Operational Discipline, Leader Time in Field, and Critical Risk Management STRENGTH OF OUR PEOPLE & OPERATIONS ▪ Stability in smelting s

  6. Slide 6: Strategic acquisition | Compelling transaction for long-term value

    Strategic acquisition | Compelling transaction for long-term value Alcoa announced strategic acquisition of South32’s bauxite, alumina, and aluminum assets (AliGroup 1) 1 Represents a natural strategic fit ▪ Logical industry consolidation of like assets in close proximity ▪ Combined expertise and Al

  7. Slide 7: Strategic acquisition | Attractive financial terms

    Strategic acquisition | Attractive financial terms AliGroup transaction details, leverage post closing, and path to close $4.7B ~2.0x 1H27 Affirmed Implied enterprise value Post close leverage Target close S&P and Moody’s ratings Implied enterprise value ($B) Transaction details • $3.1B in cash, to

  8. Slide 8: Strategic acquisition | Locked-box, ticking fee, and CVR

    Strategic acquisition | Locked-box, ticking fee, and CVR Locked-box value offsets cash consideration at closing Detailed deal terms and timeline Locked-box provides potential upside Ticking fee1 begins after South32 CVR payment implies strong Alcoa ▪ Mechanism effective from April 1, 2026 shareholde

  9. Slide 9: Strategic acquisition | Enhances exposure to market growth

    Strategic acquisition | Enhances exposure to market growth Long term fundamentals in both segments support growth Supportive long term demand growth, for Supply expected to increase - but with Acquisition allows Alcoa to increase capacity both aluminum and alumina higher capital intensity1 at lower

  10. Slide 10: Molly Beerman

    Molly Beerman Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer 10

  11. Slide 11: 2Q26 EPS of $1.53, Adjusted EPS of $2.12

    2Q26 EPS of $1.53, Adjusted EPS of $2.12 Quarterly income statement summary 1Q26 2Q26 Change Third party realized prices ($/mt) Realized primary aluminum price $4,209 $4,752 $543 Realized alumina price $324 $334 $10 Income statement highlights (millions, except per share amounts) Revenue $3,193 $3,9

  12. Slide 12: Higher metal prices, aluminum shipments lift EBITDA

    Higher metal prices, aluminum shipments lift EBITDA 2Q26 Sequential changes in Adjusted EBITDA excluding special items, $M 64 331 16 18 901 (8) (33) (38) (36) 1Q26 2Q26 Change Alumina1 $(40) $(96) ($56) 595 Aluminum1 694 1,073 379 (8) Transformation (27) (23) 4 Intersegment 7 2 (5) eliminations Othe

  13. Slide 13: 2Q26 Cash from operations of $608M, free cash flow of $422M

    2Q26 Cash from operations of $608M, free cash flow of $422M Quarter cash bridge and YTD Cash flow information, $M 2Q26 Cash balance changes YTD Cash flow information 901 1,754 53 Cash dividends 55 77 Investment contributions (174) 1,509 Other 13 Interest payments 171 (186) 97 Environmental/ARO (86)

  14. Slide 14: Strong key financial metrics in first half of 2026

    Strong key financial metrics in first half of 2026 Key financial metrics, 2Q26 and YTD • YTD Return on equity is highest YTD Return on 2Q26 Days working equity 26.4% capital 46 Days since 2022 • 2Q26 Days working capital decreased sequentially by two YTD Capital days 2Q26 Adjusted net returns to sto

  15. Slide 15: 2026 Outlook

    2026 Outlook FY26 Key metrics as of June 30, 2026 Income statement excl. special items impacts Cash flow impacts 2Q26 YTD Actual FY26 Outlook 2Q26 YTD Actual FY26 Outlook Alumina production (Mmt) 4.6 9.5 – 9.6 Pension / OPEB cash funding $30M ~ $60M Alumina shipments (Mmt) 5.6 11.5 – 11.6 Stock repu

  16. Slide 16: William Oplinger

    William Oplinger President and Chief Executive Officer 16

  17. Slide 17: Alumina prices remain stable throughout Middle East disruptions

    Alumina prices remain stable throughout Middle East disruptions Alumina industry dynamics Chinese market supported by higher demand and refinery disruptions; ex-China remains subdued Platts Alumina FOB Aus, $/mt SHFE Alumina main contract, $/mt 900 900 800 800 700 700 600 600 500 500 408 400 330 400

  18. Slide 18: Alcoa's FY26 order book strengthens on tight aluminum market

    Alcoa’s FY26 order book strengthens on tight aluminum market Aluminum industry dynamics LME aluminum price and regional premiums remain supported by underlying fundamentals LME aluminum, $/mt Regional premium, $/mt 4,000 700 3,000 Midwest Duty-paid (RHS) 600 2,500 3,500 Rotterdam Duty-paid (LHS) 500

  19. Slide 19: Delivered operationally and strategically in 2Q26; strong momentum into 2H26

    Delivered operationally and strategically in 2Q26; strong momentum into 2H26 Quarterly accomplishments Moving forward ▪ Improved safety trends in key injury metrics ▪ Focus on safety, stability, and operational excellence ▪ Delivered strong operational performance, including five ▪ Execute on AliGro

  20. Slide 20: Appendix

    Appendix 20

  21. Slide 21: Contingent value right terms

    Contingent value right terms CVR terms per agreement Term Agreed commercial terms $3,500 (CY26) $2,825 (CY27) Aluminum strike price ($/mt) $2,847 (CY28) $2,870 (CY29) Term of CVR: 4 annual periods $2,942 (CY30) Commencement date: July 1, 2026 Aluminum revenue sharing 22.5% Payment cap structure: Max

  22. Slide 22: Maximizing value creation through balanced use of cash

    Maximizing value creation through balanced use of cash Capital allocation framework and value creation considerations Capital allocation framework Maximize value creation Maintain strong balance sheet Return cash to stockholders through the cycle ▪ 2Q26 dividend payments totaled $26 million ($1.0B t

  23. Slide 23: Quarterly income statement

    Quarterly income statement Quarterly income statement for 1Q26 and 2Q26 Sequential Millions, except realized prices and per share amounts 1Q26 2Q26 Change Realized primary aluminum price ($/mt) $4,209 $4,752 $543 Realized alumina price ($/mt) $324 $334 $10 Revenue $3,193 $3,966 $773 Cost of goods so

  24. Slide 24: Special items

    Special items Breakdown of special items by income statement classification – gross basis Millions, except per share amounts 1Q26 2Q26 Description of significant 2Q26 special items Net income attributable to Alcoa Corporation $425 $407 Earnings per common share $1.60 $1.53 Special items $(52) $155 C

  25. Slide 25: Quarterly income statement excluding special items

    Quarterly income statement excluding special items Quarterly income statement excluding special items for 1Q26 and 2Q26 Sequential Millions, except realized prices and per share amounts 1Q26 2Q26 Change Realized primary aluminum price ($/mt) $4,209 $4,752 $543 Realized alumina price ($/mt) $324 $334

  26. Slide 26: 2Q26 Financial summary

    2Q26 Financial summary Three months ending June 30, 2026, excluding special items Intersegment Other Alcoa Millions Alumina Aluminum3 Transformation eliminations corporate Corporation Total revenue $1,090 $3,335 $8 $(468) $1 $3,966 Third-party revenue $637 $3,330 $4 - (5) $3,966 Adjusted EBITDA1 $(9

  27. Slide 27: 2Q26 Segment Adjusted EBITDA drivers

    2Q26 Segment Adjusted EBITDA drivers Segment Adjusted EBITDA sequential changes, $M Segment Segment Adjusted Adjusted EBITDA Metal Raw Production EBITDA 1Q26 Currency prices API materials Energy Price/mix Volume costs Other 2Q26 Alumina $(40) (7) 0 7 0 (19) 0 2 (36) (3) $(96) Aluminum $694 0 331 11

  28. Slide 28: Adj. operating costs and Segment Adj. EBITDA reconciliation

    Adj. operating costs and Segment Adj. EBITDA reconciliation Adjusted operating costs for alumina and aluminum produced and shipped Alumina segment 2Q25 3Q25 4Q25 FY25 1Q26 2Q26 Adj. operating costs ($M) $770 $779 $789 $3,061 $737 $843 Produced alumina shipments (kmt) 2,384 2,448 2,514 9,662 2,206 2,

  29. Slide 29: Aluminum value chain

    Aluminum value chain 2026 YTD Alcoa shipments by product type Bauxite Alumina Aluminum 19.4 Mdmt shipments 5.6 Mmt shipments 1.3 Mmt shipments Intersegment Third party 0% 19% 42% Intersegment 58% Third party 81% 100% Intrasegment Third party 29

  30. Slide 30: Composition of alumina and aluminum production costs

    Composition of alumina and aluminum production costs Alcoa 2Q26 production cash costs Alumina refining Input Inventory Pricing FY26 annual cost Bauxite cost flow convention sensitivity Conversion 26% 37% Caustic soda 5 - 6 Months Quarterly, Spot $10M per $10/dmt Quarterly, 91% with 13% Natural gas 1

  31. Slide 31: 2026 Business information

    2026 Business information Estimated annual Segment Adjusted EBITDA sensitivities Midwest Midwest $Millions LME1 Paid Unpaid Tariff AUD BRL CAD EUR ISK NOK + API + + Europe Japan (LME + 0.01 + 0.10 + 0.01 + 0.01 + 10 + 0.10 Segment $100/mt + $10/mt $100/mt $100/mt + $100/mt + $100/mt +$100/mt) 0.712

  32. Slide 32: Currency impacts on Segment Adjusted EBITDA

    Currency impacts on Segment Adjusted EBITDA Currency balance sheet revaluation and EBITDA sensitivities impact ($M, except currencies) AUD BRL CAD EUR ISK NOK Total 6/30/26 currencies 0.69 5.17 1.42 1.14 126.26 9.93 2Q26 currency average 0.71 5.05 1.38 1.16 123.63 9.43 2Q26 Balance sheet revaluation

  33. Slide 33: Additional business considerations

    Additional business considerations Items expected to impact Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted net income for 3Q26 Expected sequential impacts on Adjusted EBITDA excluding special items, excluding indexed sales prices or currency impacts: ▪ Alumina segment performance is expected to be net favorable by ap

  34. Slide 34: Production and capacity information

    Production and capacity information Alcoa Corporation annual consolidated amounts as of June 30, 2026 Alumina refining, kmt Aluminum smelting, kmt Facility Country Capacity Curtailed Facility Country Capacity Curtailed Pinjarra Australia 4,700 - Portland Australia 197 13 Wagerup Australia 2,879 - Sã

  35. Slide 35: Adjusted EBITDA reconciliations

    Adjusted EBITDA reconciliations Millions 2Q25 3Q25 4Q25 FY25 1Q26 2Q26 Net income attributable to Alcoa $164 $232 $213 $1,157 $425 $407 Add: Net (loss) income attributable to noncontrolling interest (13) (14) (11) (38) (8) 2 Provision for (benefit from) income taxes 10 (51) (134) (55) 82 73 Other (i

  36. Slide 36: Free cash flow reconciliation

    Free cash flow reconciliation Millions 2Q25 3Q25 4Q25 FY25 1Q26 2Q26 Cash provided from (used for) operations $488 $85 $537 $1,185 $(179) $608 Capital expenditures (131) (151) (243) (618) (119) (186) Free cash flow 357 (66) 294 567 (298) 422 Contributions from noncontrolling interest - - - 27 - - Di

  37. Slide 37: Net debt reconciliations

    Net debt reconciliations Millions 2Q25 3Q25 4Q25 1Q26 2Q26 Short-term borrowings $8 $3 $9 $109 $- Long-term debt due within one year 75 - 1 1 1 Long-term debt, less amount due within one year 2,574 2,578 2,438 2,441 2,224 Total debt 2,657 2,581 2,448 2,551 2,225 Less: Cash and cash equivalents 1,514

  38. Slide 38: DWC working capital and Days working capital reconciliations

    DWC working capital and Days working capital reconciliations Millions 2Q25 3Q25 4Q25 1Q26 2Q26 Receivables from customers $979 $1,045 $1,064 $1,192 $1,538 Add: Inventories 2,220 2,191 2,177 2,297 2,340 Less: Accounts payable, trade 1,633 1,618 1,938 1,771 1,860 DWC working capital $1,566 $1,618 $1,3

  39. Slide 39: Annualized Return on Equity (ROE)

    Annualized Return on Equity (ROE) ROE Reconciliation and calculation information as of June 30, 2026 Millions 1H25 1H26 (Net Income Attributable to Alcoa + Special Items1) Numerator: ROE % = X 100 Net income attributable to Alcoa Corporation $712 $832 (Total Assets – Total Liabilities – Noncontrolli

  40. Slide 40: Glossary of terms

    Glossary of terms Abbreviations listed in alphanumeric order Abbreviation Description Abbreviation Description % pts Percentage points FY## Twelve months ending December 31 1H## Six months ending June 30 GAAP Accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America 1Q## Three months

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