Obsidian Energy Ltd · TSX:OBE

Obsidian Energy — Q3 2025 Earnings Presentation

36 slides from Obsidian Energy's earnings presentation, Oct 30, 2025

  1. Slide 1: Obsidian Energy Ltd. Corporate Presentation

    Obsidian Energy Ltd. Corporate Presentation October 30, 2025

  2. Slide 2: Overview

    OVERVIEW Focused asset base with experienced team delivering value H2 2025E Average Production 28,050 boe/d H2 2025E Annualized Funds Flow from Operations (FFO) $228 million Q3 2025 27,316 boe/d H2 2025E Annualized Net Debt to FFO 1.0x PEACE RIVER 13,503 boe/d Shares Outstanding 67.1 million Cold fl

  3. Slide 3: Obsidian Energy Strategy

    OBSIDIAN ENERGY STRATEGY Focus on superior execution to deliver results and create value for shareholders High Quality Assets Extensive land base with multiple productive horizons in both our core regions of Peace River and Willesden Green Strong EOR potential to reduce sustaining capital and realiz

  4. Slide 4: Returning Capital to Shareholders

    RETURNING CAPITAL TO SHAREHOLDERS Opportunistic share buyback program under NCIB enhances growth profile • Over 20% of shares repurchased/cancelled (~17.2 million shares) since the implementation of our NCIB program in February 2023 • Fully utilized current NCIB in August 2025, we plan to renew prog

  5. Slide 5: 2025 Operational Highlights

    2025 OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS Unlock future asset potential H1 Highlights Q4 Plans • Peace River focused $169 million capital program, including • $55 – $60 million capital program ~$27 million for exploration/appraisal and waterflood projects • Peace River • Active development program continued in HV

  6. Slide 6: 2025 Financial Highlights

    2025 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS Buyback shares and maintain low leverage ratios Completed Pembina Disposition Return of Capital to Shareholders • Sold operated Pembina assets in April 2025 for proceeds of • Fully utilized NCIB program as of August 31, 2025, purchased and $320 million cancelling ~7.6 milli

  7. Slide 7: Strategic Pembina Disposition

    STRATEGIC PEMBINA DISPOSITION Rationalizes portfolio at a value accretive to our shareholders • Sold operated Pembina assets in April 2025 for proceeds of $326 million including the monetization of the IPO share position in August 2025 T52 R4 W5 Sales Metrics Pembina • ~10,300 boe/d production (2024

  8. Slide 8: Delivering Results

    DELIVERING RESULTS Strategy and execution create momentum for long-term value creation CORPORATE PRODUCTION 2024 Q1 2025 Q2 2025 Q3 2025 40 200 WTI US$/bbl $75.72 $71.42 $63.74 $64.93 Ann. Production (boe) per share (000s) 37 38 AECO $/GJ $1.36 $2.06 $1.60 $0.57 30 150 Production (Mboe/d) 29 27 29 2

  9. Slide 9: Updated H2 2025 Guidance

    UPDATED H2 2025 GUIDANCE Upwardly revised production guidance with development outperformance Previous Updated H2 2025E H2 2025E Heavy Oil Light Oil Average production boe/d 27,100 – 28,300 27,800 – 28,300 Based on midpoint Capital expenditures $ millions 110 – 120 120 – 125 Average production boe/d

  10. Slide 10: 2025 Capital Program

    2025 CAPITAL PROGRAM Development focused H2 2025 capital program in Peace River and Willesden Green Q1-Q3 2025 Q4 2025E 2025E Gross (Net) Wells Gross (Net) Wells Gross (Net) Wells DEVELOPMENT WELLS Heavy Oil Assets Peace River (Bluesky) 14 (12.4) - 14 (12.4) Peace River (Clearwater) 21 (21.0) 4 (4.0

  11. Slide 11: Peace River Asset

    PEACE RIVER ASSET Highly economic plays with significant scale 99% WI 13,503 boe/d 24% decline rate • Large, contiguous, long-term land base of (operated) (Q3 2025 production) (PDP, 3-year average) >700 sections with Bluesky and Clearwater heavy oil rights • New development fields at Dawson (Clearwa

  12. Slide 12: Peace River Asset: Asset transformation

    PEACE RIVER ASSET Asset transformation December 2021 2025 (post 45% WI PROP acquisition) 2021 2025 (as at September 30) 4,891 Average production 13,503 (Dec./21)1 (boe/d) (Q3 2025) 473 >700 # net sections (year-end 2021) (Q3 2025) Nampa # producing net ~34 ~105 sections Peace Peace Cadotte 26 Bluesk

  13. Slide 13: Peace River 2025 Capital Program

    PEACE RIVER 2025 CAPITAL PROGRAM 46 (44.4 net) development and appraisal/delineation wells ~99% ownership in wells NAMPA allows for ability to control pace • Mapping indicates large development potential with stacked pay potential of development through multiple zones • 2025 H1: 3 exploration/apprai

  14. Slide 14: Light Oil Assets

    LIGHT OIL ASSETS History of highly economic returns with years of low-risk inventory Willesden Green (Cardium/Belly River/Mannville) • A high-grade light oil field with proven Cardium and emerging PCU#11 T49 R4 Belly River success W5 • Increased working interest in Willesden Green Cardium Unit #2, w

  15. Slide 15: Willesden Green Asset

    WILLESDEN GREEN ASSET Underexploited Cardium at Open Creek with Belly River upside Cardium 74% WI 10,481 boe/d 17% decline rate (operated) (Q3 2025 production (PDP, 3-year average) • Open Creek field has limited horizontal Cardium development to date T45 • Consolidated to ~100% working interest in W

  16. Slide 16: Hedging Program

    HEDGING PROGRAM Risk management program to preserve cash flow WTI OIL HEDGES AECO GAS HEDGES ($, bbl/d) ($, mcf/d) 14,000 Oil Swaps 35,000 Gas Collars 12,000 (at $2.11-$2.64) 30,000 Gas Swaps 10,000 1,896 50% 50% 25,000 8,000 hedge 20,000 hedge level level 6,000 12,000 15,000 11,250 11,250 27,488 $9

  17. Slide 17: Reserves Underpin Our Current and Future Value

    RESERVES UNDERPIN OUR CURRENT AND FUTURE VALUE Trading at substantial discount on booked reserves basis PRO FORMA NET ASSET VALUE/SHARE YEAR-END 2024 AND PRO FORMA RESERVES SUMMARY (C$ per share) Total US$60 WTI US$70 WTI US$80 WTI $30 Proved Developed Proved Total Proved Producing (PDP) (1P) Plus P

  18. Slide 18: Why Invest in Obsidian Energy

    WHY INVEST IN OBSIDIAN ENERGY Peace River growth combined with established light oil assets offers shareholder upside FOCUSED STRATEGY • Strategy directed to unlocking asset potential to drive future production and funds flow per share growth while continuing to return capital to shareholders SUBSTA

  19. Slide 19: Appendix

    Appendix 19

  20. Slide 20: Pembina Cardium Unit #11 Asset

    PEMBINA CARDIUM UNIT #11 ASSET Non-Operated unit with years of low-risk inventory 45% WI 1,920 boe/d 19% decline rate • Large non-operated unit with 45% working interest, 35 gross (non-operated) (Q3 2025 production (PDP, 3-year average) sections • Historically underdeveloped area in the heart of the

  21. Slide 21: Viking Asset

    VIKING ASSET Stable returns with development upside History of unlocking reserves and production value 100% WI 1,156 boe/d 23% decline rate (operated) (Q3 2025 production (PDP, 3-year average) • Sweet, light oil development play with associated natural gas • Significant drilling inventory, including

  22. Slide 22: Considerable Future Value from Tax Pools

    CONSIDERABLE FUTURE VALUE FROM TAX POOLS $2.2 billion of tax pools in unrecognized value to be leveraged with future growth Amount of Pools Illustrative Value of Tax Pools TA X P O O L C O M P O S I T I O N Utilized by Year1 @ 8% Discount Rate2 (Q3 2025) $200 million $329 million $4.55/share $0.3 bi

  23. Slide 23: 2024 Reserves Highlights

    2024 RESERVES HIGHLIGHTS Growth in reserves volumes and values reflect development program success Y E A R - E N D 2 0 2 4 R E S E R V E S S U M M A RY 8th Consecutive Year Proved Developed Total Proved Total Proved of >100% reserve replacement (1P & 2P) Producing (PDP) (1P) Plus Probable (2P) 2024

  24. Slide 24: 2024 Reserves Locations

    2024 RESERVES LOCATIONS Significant unbooked potential Replacing production by >146% and increasing booked locations with significant future inventory potential BOOKED RESERVE LOCATIONS OBE LAND (number, 2P, net) (net sections prospective for formation) 450 129 135 Willesden Green - Cardium 458 Pemb

  25. Slide 25: Well Economics

    WELL ECONOMICS HALF CYCLE RESERVE TYPE CURVE ECONOMICS1,2 PEACE RIVER WILLESDEN GREEN VIKING Formation Bluesky3 Clearwater Cardium4 Belly River W. Viking (Esther)5 Well Length 10 legs 8 legs 2.0 mile 1.6 mile 1.8 mile DCET Capex $3.3 million $2.3 million $4.5 million $5.5 million $2.1 million EUR 25

  26. Slide 26: Experienced Team with Strong Technical Skills

    EXPERIENCED TEAM WITH STRONG TECHNICAL SKILLS Working together as a top tier developer that provides solid returns to stakeholders MANAGEMENT TEAM EMPLOYEES FINANCIAL AND COMMERCIAL Stephen E. Loukas President and Chief Staff & contractors with deep experience Strong financial, commercial and capita

  27. Slide 27: Advisory

    ADVISORY This presentation should be read in conjunction with the Company’s unaudited interim consolidated financial statements and MD&A for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025. All dollar amounts contained in this presentation are expressed in millions of Canadian dollars unless othe

  28. Slide 28: Endnotes

    Endnotes

  29. Slide 29: Endnotes

    ENDNOTES Slide 2: Overview Slide 11: Peace River Asset Market capitalization determined with share price on the close of business on October 29, 2025, on the TSX ($8.31 per Booked reserve locations reflects locations as defined by our Independent, Qualified Reserves Evaluator in their Reserves share

  30. Slide 30: Endnotes, Cont.

    ENDNOTES, CONT. Slide 17: Reserves Underpin our Current and Future Value Slide 21: Viking Asset Reserves evaluation excludes inactive ARO. Our YE2024 reserves evaluation conforms to the requirements of National Booked reserve locations reflects locations as defined by our Independent, Qualified Rese

  31. Slide 31: Definitions and Industry Terms

    DEFINITIONS AND INDUSTRY TERMS H2 2025E means the expected 2025 results for the second half of the Decommissioning means decommissioning expenditures NPV or NPV Btax 10% means net present value, before tax discounted at year, based on internal assumptions and estimates 10% EOR stands for enhanced oi

  32. Slide 32: Non-GAAP Measures Advisory

    NON-GAAP MEASURES ADVISORY Throughout this presentation and in other materials disclosed by the Company, we employ certain measures to analyze financial performance, financial position and cash flow. These non-GAAP and other financial measures do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS

  33. Slide 33: Oil and Gas Information Advisory

    OIL AND GAS INFORMATION ADVISORY Barrels of oil equivalent (“boe”) may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six Test Results and Initial Production Rates thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of crude oil is based on an energy equivalency conversion

  34. Slide 34: 2024 Reserves Disclosure and Definitions

    2024 RESERVES DISCLOSURE AND DEFINITIONS Unless otherwise noted, any reference to 2024 reserves in this presentation are based on the report (the “Reserves Each of the reserves categories (proved and probable) may be divided into developed and undeveloped Report”) prepared by GLJ Ltd. dated January

  35. Slide 35: Forward-Looking Information Advisory

    FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION ADVISORY Certain statements contained in this document constitute forward-looking statements or information (collectively With respect to forward-looking statements and FOFI contained in this document, the Company has made assumptions "forward-looking statements") within

  36. Slide 36: Forward-Looking Information Advisory (Cont.)

    FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION ADVISORY (CONT.) Although the Company believes that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements and FOFI contained are forced to shut-in production, whether due to commodity prices decreasing, extreme weather events such as wild in this document, and the

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