Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. · NASDAQ:RRGB

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers — Q1 2017 Earnings Presentation

24 slides from Red Robin Gourmet Burgers's earnings presentation, May 16, 2017

  1. Slide 1: First Quarter 2017 Results

    CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE First Quarter 2017 Results May 16, 2017

  2. Slide 2: Forward-Looking Statements

    2CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE Forward-Looking Statements Forward-looking statements in this presentation regarding the Company’s strategic initiatives, future performance, off-premise sales, marketing campaign, earnings per share, interest expense, statements under the heading “Outlook for 2017” and al

  3. Slide 3: Red Robin Q1-2017 Results

    3CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE Red Robin Q1-2017 Results • Total revenues increased 4.1% • Comparable restaurant revenue down 1.2% (using constant currency rates) • Restaurant-level operating profit(1) was 20.7% compared to 22.5% in the prior year • Adjusted EBITDA(1) was $45.8 million • Diluted earning

  4. Slide 4: Separating Red Robin from the Pack

    4CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE Separating Red Robin from the Pack • Upping our game on everyday value leads to traffic outperformance of 120 bps(1) • Reinforcing Gourmet Burger Authority -- “Let’s Burger/Red Robin Yummm!” Campaign • Building awareness, investing to meet growing To-Go demand • Online ord

  5. Slide 5: Meeting Growing Off-Premise Demand

    5CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE Meeting Growing Off-Premise Demand

  6. Slide 6: Delivering a Superior Guest Experience

    6CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE Delivering a Superior Guest Experience • Continuing gains in speed of service • Achieving consistently strong Net Promoter Scores • Improving food-to-table times • Retaining Team Members at record levels

  7. Slide 7: Cyber Security Commitment to our Guests

    7CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE Cyber Security Commitment to our Guests We recognize the importance of data security to our Guests, so we use internal resources and external expertise to help protect Guest data and help prevent the occurrence of data breaches. In the event of a data breach relating to in

  8. Slide 8: Financial Update

    CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE 8 Financial Update

  9. Slide 9: Q1-17 Sales Highlights

    9CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE Q1-17 Sales Highlights Q1-17 (16 Weeks) Q1-16 (16 Weeks) Change Restaurant revenue $413.5 million $396.8 million 4.2% Total company revenues $418.6 million $402.1 million 4.1% Company-owned comp revenue(1) -1.2% -2.6% Price/Mix 0.5% 1.5% Guest counts -1.7% -4.1% Franchised

  10. Slide 10: Comparable Restaurant Revenue Trend

    10CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE Comparable Restaurant Revenue Trend(1) 3.1% 2.9% 3.5% -2.0% -2.6% -3.2% -3.6% -4.3% -1.2% -4.5% -2.5% -0.5% 1.5% 3.5% 5.5% Q1-15 Q2-15 Q3-15 Q4-15 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16 Q1-17 (1) Calculated at constant currency rates.

  11. Slide 11: Restaurant Level Operating Profit Margins

    11CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE 23.0% 22.5% 21.6% 21.9% 22.5% 20.9% 18.6% 19.0% 20.7% 16.0% 17.0% 18.0% 19.0% 20.0% 21.0% 22.0% 23.0% 24.0% 25.0% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 2016 2017 Restaurant Level Operating Profit (1) Margins 11 (1) See Appendix for reconciliation of non-GAAP restaurant-level operating profit

  12. Slide 12: Q1-17 Restaurant Results

    12CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE Q1-17 Restaurant Results 12 % of Restaurant Revenue Q1-17 % of Restaurant Revenue Q1-16 Favorable (Unfavorable) Cost of sales 22.9% 23.3% 40 bps Labor 35.2% 33.5% (170 bps) Other operating 13.2% 12.5% (70 bps) Occupancy 8.0% 8.2% 20 bps Restaurant Level Operating Profit(1

  13. Slide 13: Adjusted EBITDA

    13CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE $45.5 $33.6 $30.0 $34.3 $48.9 $33.5 $26.8 $29.2 $45.8 $10.0 $15.0 $20.0 $25.0 $30.0 $35.0 $40.0 $45.0 $50.0 $55.0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 2016 2017 Adjusted EBITDA(1)(2) ($ in millions) 13 (1) See Appendix for reconciliation of non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA to Net Income (Loss) (2) T

  14. Slide 14: Adjusted Earnings Per Diluted Share

    14CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE Adjusted Earnings Per Diluted Share $1.10 $0.78 $0.58 $0.86 $1.27 $0.75 $0.38 $0.35 $0.89 $0.15 $0.35 $0.55 $0.75 $0.95 $1.15 $1.35 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 2016 2017 14 See Appendix for reconciliation of non-GAAP Adjusted Earnings Per Diluted Share to Earnings (Loss) Per Diluted

  15. Slide 15: Outlook for 2017

    15CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE Outlook for 2017 • Diluted EPS projected to be from $2.80 to $3.10, with approximately 45% expected in the first half of 2017 and 55% during second half of 2017 • Interest expense for 2017 of approximately $10 million Note on Guidance Policy: The Company intends to provid

  16. Slide 16: In Closing

    16CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE In Closing 16

  17. Slide 17: Thank you to all of our Team Members!

    17CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE Thank you to all of our Team Members! 17

  18. Slide 18: Appendix

    CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE 18 Appendix

  19. Slide 19: Adjusted Net Income

    19CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE Adjusted Net Income(1) $15.6 $11.2 $8.3 $12.0 $17.6 $10.3 $5.0 $4.5 $11.6 $2.0 $4.0 $6.0 $8.0 $10.0 $12.0 $14.0 $16.0 $18.0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 2016 2017 ($ in millions) 19 (1) See Appendix for reconciliation of non-GAAP Adjusted Net Income to Net Income (Loss)

  20. Slide 20: Cash Flow from Operations

    20CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE $36.0 $31.3 $34.0 $39.6 $42.5 $24.6 $27.6 $4.3 $70.0 $0.0 $10.0 $20.0 $30.0 $40.0 $50.0 $60.0 $70.0 $80.0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 2016 2017 Cash Flow from Operations ($ in millions) 20

  21. Slide 21: Q1-17 Commodity Update

    21CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE Q1-17 Commodity Update 21 % of Total COGS in Q1-17 Market vs. Contract Ground beef 12.6% Market Steak fries 11.2% 100% contracted through 10/17 Poultry 10.0% 100% contracted though 1/18 Meat 7.7% Bacon 80% through 6/17; Prime rib 100% through 10/17 Produce 7.6% 70% contra

  22. Slide 22: Reconciliation of Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EPS

    22CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE Reconciliation of Adjusted Net Income to Net Income (Loss) and Adjusted Earnings Per Diluted Share to Earnings (Loss) Per Diluted Share 22 ($ in thousands, except per share data) 2015 2016 2017 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Net income (loss) as reported $ 16,565 $ 11,166 $ 8

  23. Slide 23: Restaurant Level Operating Profit Reconciliation

    23CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE Restaurant Level Operating Profit Reconciliation to Income from Operations and Net Income (Loss) ($ in thousands) 2015 2016 2017 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Restaurant revenue $ 388,509 $ 288,704 $ 279,496 $ 282,189 $ 396,770 $ 302,117 $ 293,858 $ 287,924 $ 413,451 Restaur

  24. Slide 24: EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation

    24CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation to Net Income (Loss) 24 2015 2016 2017 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Net income (loss) as reported $16,565 $ 11,166 $ 8,282 $11,691 $14,225 $ 7,552 $ (1,300) $ (8,752) $ 11,567 Adjustments to net income (loss): Income tax expense (be

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