Shell Plc · LSE:SHEL

Shell — Royal Dutch Shell — Q2 2018 Earnings Presentation

32 slides from Shell's earnings presentation, Jul 26, 2018

  1. Slide 1: Second quarter 2018 results

    Second quarter 2018 results Delivering a world-class investment case Royal Dutch Shell plc July 26, 2018 #makethefuture Royal Dutch Shell July 26, 2018

  2. Slide 2: Ben van Beurden, Chief Executive Officer

    Ben van Beurden Chief Executive Officer Royal Dutch Shell Royal Dutch Shell July 26, 2018

  3. Slide 3: Definitions & cautionary note

    Reserves: Our use of the term “reserves” in this presentation means SEC proved oil and gas reserves. Resources: Our use of the term “resources” in this presentation includes quantities of oil and gas not yet classified as SEC proved oil and gas reserves. Resources are consistent with the Society of

  4. Slide 4: Summary

    Summary Key messages Thrive in  Confidence in free cash flow outlook the energy transition  Focus on capital discipline in line with financial framework  $30 billion divestments1 completed or announced  $25 billion share buyback programme launched World-class investment case Q2 2018  Strong res

  5. Slide 5: HSSE performance

    HSSE Goal Zero on safety Operational spills1 performance Injuries – TRCF (per million working hours) million working hours Volume in thousand tonnes # TRCF Working hours (RHS) Volume of spills Number of spills (RHS) Upstream flaring Process safety Million tonnes CO2e Number of incidents  HSSE prior

  6. Slide 6: Financial summary

    H1 2018 Financial summary 10.1 Earnings ($ billion); EPS +34% versus H1 2017 18.9 Cash flow from operations ($ billion) 14.7 Free cash flow ($ billion) 6.5 ROACE (%) 23.6 Gearing (%) Nanhi petrochemicals plant - China Earnings and ROACE on CCS basis, excluding identified items Royal Dutch Shell July

  7. Slide 7: Recent portfolio developments

    Portfolio & projects  Whale and Dover discoveries in the Gulf of Mexico Recent portfolio Exploration success developments  Bid rounds in Mexico and Brazil  Entry into Mauritania  FID: Gumusut Kakap Ph2, Vito, Penguins, Fram and Borssele 3/4 Project delivery  Start-up: Kaikias and Nanhai petroch

  8. Slide 8: Gulf of Mexico

    Portfolio & projects Gulf of Mexico Exploration success Bid round - Mexico Whale – discovery Dover – discovery Bid round – Mexico Project delivery Appomattox on location Kaikias start-up Vito FID  Leading position  Growth and operational excellence longevity Royal Dutch Shell July 26, 2018 8

  9. Slide 9: Projects delivery

    Portfolio & projects Nanhai petrochemicals expansion – start-up Prelude – progress towards start-up Projects delivery  New ethylene cracker and derivatives unit in China  Floating LNG facility offshore Australia  Key component of growth and competitiveness in  Final plant commissioning underway

  10. Slide 10: High-quality Upstream growth options

    Portfolio & projects Reserves & resources Upstream – Deepwater High-quality Billion boe Pre-FID funnel break-even price $ per barrel Upstream growth options Conventional Deep water Shales oil & gas Percentage of capital investment Discovered resources Reserves (SEC proved) (2P+2C development pending

  11. Slide 11: Cash momentum

    Cash momentum Project start-ups 2014 to 2020 Total cash flow $ billion cash flow per annum $ billion 52 44 54 64 ~651 $/bbl ~$10 billion  New projects cash delivery on track  Confidence in 2020 free cash flow CFFO1 Cash flow from operations (excluding working capital movements) outlook 2018 YTD es

  12. Slide 12: Capital discipline supporting growth

    Financial framework Capital investment Capital investment Capital discipline $ billion (p.a.) 2018-20 $ billion supporting Oil products 4-5 -$12 billion growth Conventional 4-5 oil + gas 30 Integrated gas 4-5 25 Deep water 5-6 Chemicals 3-4 Shales 2-3 New energies 1-2  $25-30 billion Total 25-30 or

  13. Slide 13: Shareholder returns

    Shareholder  Attractive dividend key to Total shareholder returns January 2016 to end June 2018 returns % total shareholder return and world-class investment case  $25 billion share buyback by end 20201  First buyback tranche $2 billion in Q3 2018 Shell Delivering a world- class investment case 1

  14. Slide 14: Jessica Uhl, Chief Financial Officer

    Jessica Uhl Chief Financial Officer Royal Dutch Shell Royal Dutch Shell July 26, 2018

  15. Slide 15: Foundation of the world-class investment case

    Foundation of the world-class investment case Thrive in Key features the energy transition  Maximising value for shareholders through cycle  Focus on shareholder distributions World-class  Multi-year timescales investment case  Surplus free cash flow in up-cycle and dividends fully covered in do

  16. Slide 16: Cash flow priorities

    Financial framework Cash flow priorities 1 2 3 Priorities Buybacks Debt reduction Dividends & capital for cash investment Continue to reduce gearing Cancel scrip dividend Buy back shares Progress towards a world-class investment case Increase shareholder distributions Royal Dutch Shell July 26, 2018

  17. Slide 17: Financial summary

    Financial Earnings & ROACE Cash flow summary $ billion % $ billion Upstream Downstream CFFO CFFI FCF Integrated Gas Corporate + NCI ROACE (RHS) Divestments Net debt & gearing $ billion $ billion % Net debt Gearing (RHS) Earnings and ROACE on CCS basis, excluding identified items. Divestments: headli

  18. Slide 18: Financial highlights

    Q2 2018 $ billion Q2 2017 Q2 2018 Earnings Q2 2017 to Q2 2018 Financial Upstream 0.3 1.5 $ billion highlights Integrated Gas 1.2 2.3 Downstream (CCS) 2.5 1.7 Corporate & (0.4) (0.7) non-controlling interest CCS earnings 3.6 4.7 CCS earnings, $ per share 0.44 0.56 Cash flow from 11.3 9.5 operations F

  19. Slide 19: US Gulf Coast: one year after Motiva

    Downstream US Gulf Coast: Shell terminals Retail product supply: one year after Shell refineries Shell chemical plants end to end value generation Motiva Sewaren: integrated operations Mobile: retail, refining & trading integration Mobile Norco Convent Norco: hydrocracker Deer Park upgrade & integra

  20. Slide 20: LNG portfolio

    Integrated Gas Emerging LNG Supply – Demand gap LNG Market & outlook LNG portfolio Million tonnes per annum (DES)  LNG is the fastest-growing gas supply source  2017-18: continued supply/demand balance  Early 2020s: supply gap Shell response  Globally balanced and resilient portfolio  Competiti

  21. Slide 21: Permian Performance

    Upstream Production growth Permian Thousand boe per day  ~260,000 net acres with ongoing efforts to Performance +160% consolidate footprint through swaps  Strong delivery to date and more than 30% annual production growth through 2020 +85%  Growth plans not impacted by infrastructure bottlenecks

  22. Slide 22: Strategic themes delivery: on track

    Q2 2018 4Q rolling ~$64 2019-21 ~$60 Strategic themes delivery: Strategic Capital Free ROACE Capital Free ROACE on track themes employed ($ bln end 2017) cash flow ($ bln p.a) (%) employed ($ bln) cash flow ($ bln p.a) (%) Cash engines ~60% ~10 ~10 ~70% 25-30 >10 Growth ~28% ~4 ~5 ~20% 1-2 ~5 priori

  23. Slide 23: Ben van Beurden, Chief Executive Officer

    Ben van Beurden Chief Executive Officer Royal Dutch Shell Royal Dutch Shell July 26, 2018

  24. Slide 24: Summary

    Summary Key messages Thrive in  Confidence in free cash flow outlook the energy transition  Focus on capital discipline in line with financial framework  $30 billion divestments1 completed or announced  $25 billion share buyback programme launched World-class investment case Q2 2018  Strong res

  25. Slide 25: Questions & Answers

    Questions & Answers Ben van Beurden Jessica Uhl Chief Executive Officer Chief Financial Officer Royal Dutch Shell July 26, 2018 25

  26. Slide 26: Q3 2018 Outlook

    Q3 2018 Q3 – Q3 OUTLOOK: Year-ago baseline reflects Shell’s earnings seasonality Outlook  Integrated gas  Production volumes: negative impact of 40-70 thousand boe/d, mainly due to divestments and higher maintenance  Liquefaction volumes: at similar level  Upstream  Production volumes: negative

  27. Slide 27: Prices & margins

    Q2 2018 Shell oil & gas realisations Industry refining margins Industry chemicals margins Prices & margins $/barrel $/mscf $/barrel $/tonne Oil US West Coast US ethane Gas (RHS) US Gulf Coast coking Western Europe naphtha Rotterdam complex NE/SE Asia naphtha Singapore Royal Dutch Shell July 26, 2018

  28. Slide 28: Financial highlights

    Q2 2018 $ billion Q2 2017 Q2 2018 Earnings Q2 2017 to Q2 2018 Financial Upstream 0.3 1.5 $ billion highlights Integrated Gas 1.2 2.3 Downstream (CCS) 2.5 1.7 Corporate & (0.4) (0.7) non-controlling interest CCS earnings 3.6 4.7 CCS earnings, $ per share 0.44 0.56 Cash flow from 11.3 9.5 operations F

  29. Slide 29: Integrated Gas results

    Q2 2018 Earnings Q2 2017 to Q2 2018 Integrated Gas $ billion results Environment Choice Earnings on CCS basis, excluding identified items Royal Dutch Shell July 26, 2018 29

  30. Slide 30: Upstream results

    Q2 2018 Earnings Q2 2017 to Q2 2018 Upstream $ billion results Environment Choice Earnings on CCS basis, excluding identified items Royal Dutch Shell July 26, 2018 30

  31. Slide 31: Downstream results

    Q2 2018 Earnings Q2 2017 to Q2 2018 Earnings mix Downstream $ billion $ billion results Marketing Refining & Trading Chemicals Earnings on CCS basis, excluding identified items Royal Dutch Shell July 26, 2018 31

  32. Slide 32: Royal Dutch Shell July 26, 2018

    Royal Dutch Shell July 26, 2018

Royal Dutch Shell — Q2 2018 Earnings Presentation on 6ix