Torm Plc Class A · OMXCOP:TRMD_A

Torm Plc Class A — Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation

49 slides from Torm Plc Class A's earnings presentation, Nov 11, 2020

  1. Slide 1: Q3 2020 Results

    11 N O V E M B E R 2 0 2 0 Q3 2020 RESULTS 1

  2. Slide 2: Safe Harbor Statement

    SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT Matters discussed in this release may constitute forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements reflect our current views with respect to future events and financial performance and may include statements concerning plans, objectives, goals, strategies, future events or

  3. Slide 3: Agenda

    AGENDA 1 Introduction to TORM and Q3 2020 highlights 2 Product tanker market overview and outlook 3 Financial metrics 4 Asset management & scrubber investments 3

  4. Slide 4: TORM at a Glance

    TORM AT A GLANCE A world-leading product tanker company Fleet overview* 72 Owned 4 On order • A leading pure-play product tanker owner • Large commercial footprint with presence in all key product tanker segments 10 ⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫ • Strong capital structure to support disciplined growth strategy LR2 +2

  5. Slide 5: Q3 2020 Financial Highlights

    Q3 2020 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS 5

  6. Slide 6: The Reference Company in the Product Tanker Segment

    THE REFERENCE COMPANY IN THE PRODUCT TANKER SEGMENT TORM is a large-scale tanker owner, TORM’s superior integrated active in all key product tanker operating platform includes segments in order to meet customer in-house technical and commercial management needs. as preferred by customers. Our produc

  7. Slide 7: TORM Commercially Outperforms Peers in Its Key MR Segment

    TORM COMMERCIALLY OUTPERFORMS PEERS IN ITS KEY MR SEGMENT CORRESPONDING TO USD 36M IN Q1-Q3 2020 MR reported TCE, USD/day Q3 2020 performance: • TORM: USD/day 15,077 • Peer average: USD/day 14,016 TORM MR USD 14m USD 36m USD 20m USD 24m USD 36m premium* Note: Peer group is based on Ardmore, d’Amico

  8. Slide 8: TORM's Commercial Capabilities Focused on Optimizing Geographical Positioning

    TORM’S COMMERCIAL CAPABILITIES ARE FOCUSED ON OPTIMIZING GEOGRAPHICAL POSITIONING USD/day (%) 14,000 80 West outperformance Majority of TORM’s MRs west of Suez 12,000 10,000 70 8,000 6,000 60 4,000 2,000 0 50 -2,000 East outperformance Majority of TORM’s -4,000 MRs east of Suez 40 -6,000 -8,000 30 -

  9. Slide 9: Cost Focus Maintained with Current Low Levels

    COST FOCUS MAINTAINED WITH CURRENT LOW LEVELS PARTLY IMPACTED BY COVID-19 FACTORS Significant reduction in OPEX OPEX per day (yearly, weighted avg. in USD/day) -18% Compared to the full year 2014, TORM has reduced 7,655 7,193 the OPEX cost base by 6,771 6,673 approx. USD 36m on an 6,389 6,371 6,280

  10. Slide 10: CSR Highlights

    CSR HIGHLIGHTS TORM remains committed to taking an active GENDER DIVERSITY FUEL role in caring for communities and our EFFICIENCY environment. It is not just our shared duty, but our shared responsibility. Therefore, IMPROVEMENT TORM continues the work to combat carbon, IN THE SHORE-BASED sulfur and

  11. Slide 11: Industry Cooperation and Transparency Are Key to TORM's CSR

    INDUSTRY COOPERATION AND TRANSPARENCY ARE KEY TO TORM’S CORPORATE SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY AND INDUSTRY INITIATIVES TORM is committed to support… UN Sustainable TORM supports the SDGs based on an assessment of our CSR activities Development Goals and areas of impact. UN Global TORM became signatory to

  12. Slide 12: Third Quarter Highlights

    THIRD QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS Q3/Q1-Q3 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS VESSEL INVESTMENTS TORM sold two older MR vessels during Q3 2020. After Q3 ended, TORM has acquired two Hyundai MIPO Q3 2020 TCE of USD/day 16,762 Q1-Q3 2020 TCE of USD/day 21,942 2010-built deepwell MR vessels for a total consideration of USD 3

  13. Slide 13: Equity Investment Highlights

    EQUITY INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS 13

  14. Slide 14: Agenda

    AGENDA 1 Introduction to TORM and Q2 2020 highlights 2 Product tanker market overview and outlook 3 Financial metrics 4 Asset management & scrubber investments 14

  15. Slide 15: COVID-19 Related Factors Leaving Product Tanker Freight Rates Ice Cold

    COVID-19 RELATED FACTORS LEAVING PRODUCT TANKER FREIGHT RATES ICE COLD LR2 (TC1) TORM MR (spot) USD/day MR (avg.) TORM MR covered Q4 2020 as of 9 November 2020 170,000 Q3 2020 80,000 • Unwinding of product tanker floating 75,000 storage, limiting demand for transportation and releasing tonnage to 70

  16. Slide 16: Oil Market Moved from Stockbuilding to Stockdrawing Phase

    THE OIL MARKET HAS MOVED FROM STOCKBUILDING TO STOCKDRAWING PHASE • The COVID-19 pandemic led to an Pre-COVID-19 unprecedented oil demand Jan 2020 destruction • Initially, refinery runs have been Refined product lagging declines in demand, leading stocks build to unprecedented inventory builds bring

  17. Slide 17: Floating Storage Has Come Down

    FLOATING STORAGE HAS COME DOWN AS A FIRST STEP TOWARDS REBALANCING Vessels in floating storage Mn dwt 20 LR2 • At its peak in early May, 14% of the LR1 clean trading tonnage was tied up in MR floating storage, with ~90% of this 15 being in logistical floating storage and the remainder being committe

  18. Slide 18: Onshore Inventories Have Started to Decline

    ONSHORE INVENTORIES HAVE STARTED TO DECLINE AFTER UNPRECEDENTED BUILDS CPP inventories in key trading hubs* Middle distillates • The COVID-19 caused demand Mn bbl Mn bbl Light distillates destruction and resulted in a counter-seasonal growth of CPP inventories in the US, ARA and Singapore to an all-

  19. Slide 19: Shift in Fleet Balance Towards the East

    SHIFT IN THE FLEET BALANCE TOWARDS THE EAST LED TO A STRONG OUTPERFORMANCE OF THE WESTERN MARKET IN Q3 No of MR vessels East West • COVID-19-related decline in 850 oil demand in the West led to record high West-East light 800 distillate flows in Q2 750 • Reduced exports from China and North Asia due

  20. Slide 20: Oil Demand in China and India on the Rebound

    OIL DEMAND IN CHINA AND INDIA ON THE REBOUND, ILLUSTRATING A POTENTIAL POST-COVID-19 SITUATION While oil demand recovery in the West has stalled… Oil demand growth Y-o-Y, % Europe United States 10 10 0 0 • China’s oil demand has recovered -3 -3 -3 -2 to pre-COVID-19 levels on -10 -8 -10 -13 -12 -11

  21. Slide 21: Low Tonnage Supply Growth Alleviating Effects from Destocking

    LOW TONNAGE SUPPLY GROWTH ALLEVIATING EFFECTS FROM DESTOCKING Product tanker order book at historical low level as % of total fleet 56% • The order book to fleet ratio is at a historical low of 7% • Similarly, crude tanker order book is at a historical low of 37% 8%, indicating potentially lower mar

  22. Slide 22: COVID-19 Has Led to a New Wave of Refinery Closures

    COVID-19 HAS LED TO A NEW WAVE OF REFINERY CLOSURES, INCREASING TON-MILES IN THE MEDIUM AND LONG TERM Announced refinery closures and capacity additions in 2020-2023* 130 kb/d 58 kb/d 55 kb/d 295 kb/d 280 kb/d 137 kb/d 335 kb/d 200 kb/d 190 kb/d 115 kb/d 267 kb/d 1,030 kb/d 250 kb/d 200 kb/d 1,560 k

  23. Slide 23: Share of Tonnage in the Dirty Trade Remains Relatively High

    DESPITE SOME LR2 CLEANING-UP, THE SHARE OF TONNAGE IN THE DIRTY TRADE REMAINS RELATIVELY HIGH USD/day % Aframax rate premium to LR2 • Over Q4 2019 and Q1 2020, the 40,000 Share of LR2s in dirty trades (rhs) 55 product tanker market was 30,000 supported by around 40 LR2s 50 switching to dirty trades,

  24. Slide 24: Middle East Refinery Capacity Additions Expected to Have Positive Impact

    MIDDLE EAST REFINERY CAPACITY ADDITIONS EXPECTED TO HAVE A POSITIVE LONG-TERM IMPACT Middle East refinery capacity net additions (m b/d) Forecasted Realized 1.03 0.34 2021-24 avg.=0.38 mb/d 0.25 0.16 0.14 0.00 2015-19 avg. 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F 2024F • As oil product demand increases, the ton-mile

  25. Slide 25: Medium and Long Term Drivers Remain Positive

    MEDIUM AND LONG TERM DRIVERS REMAIN POSITIVE Key medium- to long-term market drivers • Economic stimulus supporting recovery in oil demand in 2021 and restoring some of the trades distorted by the COVID-19 once the initial stock draw is over • Refinery consolidation in the West/OECD Asia and capacit

  26. Slide 26: Vessel Values Follow Declines in Market Rates

    VESSEL VALUES FOLLOW DECLINES IN MARKET RATES ‘000 USD/day USDm LR2 ‘000 USD/day USDm MR 60 35 40 25 55 30 35 20 25 50 20 45 15 30 15 40 10 10 25 35 5 0 0 0 5 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20 Newbuilding 5 yr. Second-Hand 1 Yr T/C Source: Clarksons. T/C rate for

  27. Slide 27: Agenda

    AGENDA 1 Introduction to TORM and Q2 2020 highlights 2 Product tanker market overview and outlook 3 Financial metrics 4 Asset management & scrubber investments 27

  28. Slide 28: Q3 2020 Financials

    Q3 2020 FINANCIALS USDm Q3 2020 Q3 2019 Q1-Q3 2020 Q1-Q3 2019 2019 P&L TCE earnings 110 84 443 299 425 Gross profit 63 43 309 172 252 Sale of vessels 1 0 1 1 1 EBITDA 43 32 264 134 202 Profit before tax 1 -9 129 20 167 Profit before tax excl. impairment reversal 1 -9 129 20 47 Balance sheet Equity 1

  29. Slide 29: Spot-Orientation Provides Significant Operating Leverage

    SPOT-ORIENTATION PROVIDES SIGNIFICANT OPERATING LEVERAGE Significant operational leverage Unfixed days as of 30 September 2020 LR2 MR (% of total days) LR1 Handy 26,448 (99%) 23,311 (90%) 4,170 2,259 3,177 2,715 4,241 (66%) 17,610 18,374 166 3,466 461 148 726 726 2020 2021 2022 Q4 2020 coverage refl

  30. Slide 30: Net Asset Value Estimated at USD 867M, Net Loan-to-Value 49%

    NET ASSET VALUE ESTIMATED AT USD 867M WHILE NET LOAN-TO-VALUE OF JUST 49% 30 September 2020 figures, USDm Net LTV of 49% 1,621 867 867 30 12 86 157 Value of vessels Outstanding debt Committed Cash Working Capital Other* Net Asset Value (incl. newbuildings) CAPEX • Net Loan-to-Value was 49% ensuring

  31. Slide 31: Well-Positioned to Service Future CAPEX Commitments

    WELL-POSITIONED TO SERVICE FUTURE CAPEX COMMITMENTS AND FURTHER LEVERAGE MARKET OPPORTUNITIES Liquidity and CAPEX as of 30 September 2020 USDm Available liquidity CAPEX commitments 289 Retrofit scrubbers Newbuildings incl. scrubber 11 76 45 157 94 4 9 86 86 5 0 5 Cash Available LR2 Scrubber Total 20

  32. Slide 32: Favorable Financing Profile with No Major Near-Term Maturities

    FAVORABLE FINANCING PROFILE WITH NO MAJOR NEAR- TERM MATURITIES Scheduled debt repayments as of 30 September 2020 – adjusted for USD 150m CO2 emission-linked refinancing concluded during Q4 USDm Financial lease 875 10 Mortgage debt 12 20 147 90 13 90 13 90 27 88 38 728 69 33 280 Oustanding ROY 2020

  33. Slide 33: Agenda

    AGENDA 1 Introduction to TORM and Q2 2020 highlights 2 Product tanker market overview and outlook 3 Financial metrics 4 Asset management & scrubber investments 33

  34. Slide 34: TORM Is a Long-Term Industrial Player

    TORM IS A LONG-TERM INDUSTRIAL PLAYER WITH FOCUS ON SUPERIOR OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE Long-term industrial player with an integrated operational platform • Industrial player with a long-term time horizon in the product tanker market • Prevalent platform through several cycles with superior financial

  35. Slide 35: Historical Vessel Purchases and Vessel Value Development

    HISTORICAL VESSEL PURCHASES AND VESSEL VALUE DEVELOPMENT USDm LR2 - Newbuildings MR - Newbuildings 58 LR1 - Newbuildings MR - 7.5-year second-hand (based on avg. of 5 and 10 years) 56 54 52 Four GSI LR2s 50 (excl. scrubbers) 48 Two GSI LR2s 46 (incl. scrubbers) 44 42 40 Two GSI LR1s 38 (incl. scrubb

  36. Slide 36: TORM's Recent Vessel Sales Are Done at Broker Value

    TORM’S RECENT VESSEL SALES ARE DONE AT BROKER VALUE Vessel name Vessel segment Delivery date Age Sales price, net of commission, USDm Broker values, USDm TORM Ohio Handy Q3-18 16.7 TORM Neches MR Q3-18 18.0 TORM Clara MR Q4-18 17.9 TORM Charente Handy Q4-18 17.2 TORM Amazon MR Q1-19 17.1 • Since Q3

  37. Slide 37: Two Main Options to Comply with IMO 2020 Sulfur Regulation

    THERE ARE TWO MAIN OPTIONS FOR OCEAN-GOING VESSELS TO COMPLY WITH THE IMO 2020 SULFUR REGULATION Product/chemical Worldwide tankers1) TORM2) Newbuildings Scrubber ~4,400 ~500 50 vessels installations vessels vessels sass (11%) (15%) (66%) Existing fleet on the Shipowners’ sulfur water regulation com

  38. Slide 38: Scrubber Installations Across Shipping Segments

    SCRUBBER INSTALLATIONS ACROSS SHIPPING SEGMENTS Product tankers to be fitted with scrubbers (% of current fleet) No. of vessels 300 In service and fitted with scrubber/in yard 16% In service and reported for retrofit 250 On order and to be fitted with scrubber 200 150 30% 100 50 10% 3% 0 LR2 Panamax

  39. Slide 39: TORM's Scrubber JV

    50 SCRUBBER INSTALLATIONS WILL BE CONDUCTED SUPPORTED BY TORM’S SCRUBBER JV TORM’s scrubber JV, ME Production China Ownership share: 27.5% ME • One of the largest risks with scrubber Production installations is the potential delay during both China the production and the installation phase • Due to

  40. Slide 40: Fuel Spread Has Narrowed Along with Lower Crude Oil Price

    FUEL SPREAD HAS NARROWED ALONG WITH LOWER CRUDE OIL PRICE Price spread between 0.5% compliant fuels and 3.5% HSFO, Rotterdam delivery vs Brent USD/t USD/bbl • The spread 320 70 VLSFO-HSFO spread (spot) between 0.5% 300 compliant fuel Brent (RHS) 65 280 and 3.5% HSFO 260 60 is currently 240 trading a

  41. Slide 41: Appendix

    APPENDIX TORM

  42. Slide 42: Management Team with International Outlook

    MANAGEMENT TEAM WITH AN INTERNATIONAL OUTLOOK AND MANY YEARS OF SHIPPING EXPERIENCE Executive Director Jacob Meldgaard ▪ Executive Director of TORM plc ▪ CEO of TORM A/S since April 2010 ▪ Chairman of the Board of Danish Shipping and member of the Board of Danish Ship Finance ▪ Previously Executive

  43. Slide 43: Key Figures

    KEY FIGURES USDm Q3 2020 Q3 2019 Q1-Q3 2020 Q1-Q3 2019 2019 Revenue 164 147 642 499 693 EBITDA 43 32 264 134 202 Profit/(loss) before tax 1 -9 129 20 167 Net profit/(loss) 1 -9 128 19 166 Net profit/(loss) excluding impairment charges 1 -9 128 19 46 Balance sheet Total assets 2,047 1,834 2,047 1,834

  44. Slide 44: Fleet Overview

    FLEET OVERVIEW # of vessels LR2 LR1 MR Handy As of 11 November 2020 on water 80 76 72 73 70 10 12 10 60 9 9 9 50 40 30 52 53 51 20 10 0 2 2 2 11 November End 2020 End 2021 Sale and leaseback 8 8 10 vessels1 1. Sale and leaseback vessels are included in the chart. 44

  45. Slide 45: Medium-Haul and Long-Haul Trade Supported by IMO 2020

    BOTH MEDIUM-HAUL REGIONAL TRADE AND LONG-HAUL TRADE ARE SUPPORTED BY THE IMO 2020 REGULATION Examples of trade routes impacted by the IMO 2020 sulfur regulation • Increased flexibility to produce additional diesel in net exporting regions and refinery expansion support long-haul and medium-haul trad

  46. Slide 46: Product Tanker Benchmark Freight Rates

    PRODUCT TANKER BENCHMARK FREIGHT RATES LR2 (TC1) MR (average) USD ‘000/day USD ‘000/day Source: Clarksons. Spot earnings: LR2: TC1 Ras Tanura-> Chiba, MR: average basket of Rotterdam->NY, Bombay->Chiba, Mina Al Ahmadi->Rotterdam, Amsterdam->Lome, Houston->Rio de Janeiro, Singapore->Sydney. 46

  47. Slide 47: IMO 2020 Effects on Clean Trading Have Not Fully Unfolded

    IMO 2020 EFFECTS ON CLEAN TRADING HAVE NOT FULLY UNFOLDED MGO and VLSFO price spreads (USD/t) 90 MGO-VLSFO spread, Rotterdam MGO-VLSFO spread, Singapore 60 30 0 Oct- Nov- Dec- Jan- Feb- Mar- Apr- May- Jun- Jul- Aug- Sep- Oct- Nov- 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Bunker sales in Singapore (

  48. Slide 48: Expected Positive TCE Impact from Scrubber Investments

    TORM EXPECTS A POSITIVE TCE IMPACT ON THE TORM FLEET DUE TO THE SCRUBBER INVESTMENTS Avg. fuel Compliant fuel and TCE impact per Annual TCE impact Vessel type consumption, HSFO fuel spread vessel, USD/day2) per vessel, USDm tons/day1) assumption, USD/t MR Eco vessel ~11 × 100 = ~1,100 0.4 MR Non-eco

  49. Slide 49: Oaktree Is Majority Shareholder with Free Float of 29%

    OAKTREE IS THE MAJORITY SHAREHOLDER WITH A REMAINING FREE FLOAT OF 29% Share information Estimated shareholdings as of November 20201) (%) TORM’s shares are listed on Nasdaq in Copenhagen and Nasdaq in New York under 100 the tickers TRMD A and TRMD, respectively. 13 Shares 16 • 74.8m A-shares, one B

TORM — Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation on 6ix