Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. · NASDAQ:RRGB

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers — Q1 2015 Earnings Presentation

23 slides from Red Robin Gourmet Burgers's earnings presentation, May 19, 2015

  1. Slide 1: First Quarter 2015 Results

    First Quarter 2015 Results May 19, 2015

  2. Slide 2: Forward-Looking Statements

    Forward-Looking Statements Forward-looking statements in this presentation regarding our revenues, restaurant-level operating profit margins, new restaurant growth (including Red Robin Burger Works) and remodels, future economic performance, costs, expenses, tax rate, capital investments, promotions

  3. Slide 3: Strategic Priorities

    Strategic Priorities Engagement Efficiency Expansion 2

  4. Slide 4: Brand Transformation Initiative

    Brand Transformation Initiative 3 122 completed through April 19, 2015 Targeting 150 transformations in 2015

  5. Slide 5: Red Robin Burger Works continuing with strong sales

    Chicago and D.C. Red Robin Burger Works® continuing with strong sales Planning fourth market for expansion Red Robin Burger Works 4

  6. Slide 6: Q1 Marketing Initiatives Continued

    Q1 Marketing Initiatives Continued $6.99 Everyday Value message on television The Wild Pacific Crab Cake Burger (Finest) Strong gift card redemptions The Cure Burger – Secret Menu Item Burgers and a Movie™ - popular Paul Blart Mall Cop 2 5

  7. Slide 7: Financial Update

    Financial Update 6

  8. Slide 8: Red Robin Delivered Strong Q1 Results

    Comparable restaurant revenue up 3.1%, Guest counts up 1.1% Restaurant revenue increased 16.0% Restaurant-level operating profit was 23.0% compared to 22.4% in prior year Adjusted EBITDA was $47.0 million, an increase of 27.1% Adjusted diluted EPS of $1.10, an increase of 34.1% 1 Red Robin® restaura

  9. Slide 9: Q1-15 Sales Highlights

    Q1-15 Sales Highlights (1) Excludes Red Robin Burger Works® fast casual restaurants 8 Q1-15 (16 Weeks) Q1-14 (16 Weeks) Change Restaurant revenue $388.5 million $335.0 million +16.0% Total company revenues $394.9 million $340.5 million +16.0% Company-owned comp revenue 3.1% 5.4% -230 bps Price/Mix 2

  10. Slide 10: Comparable Restaurant Revenue Growth

    5.4% 1.2% 0.9% 3.6% 3.1% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% Q114 Q214 Q314 Q414 Q115 Comparable Restaurant Revenue Growth 9

  11. Slide 11: RLOP Margins

    21.5% 23.3% 20.4% 21.7% 22.4% 22.2% 19.5% 21.3% 23.0% 16.0% 17.0% 18.0% 19.0% 20.0% 21.0% 22.0% 23.0% 24.0% 25.0% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2013 2014 2015 (2) (2) (2) RLOP (1) Margins 10 (1) See reconciliation of non-GAAP restaurant-level operating profit to income from operations and net income on Schedule II of

  12. Slide 12: Q1-15 Restaurant Results

    Q1-15 Restaurant Results 11 % of Restaurant Revenue Q1-15 % of Restaurant Revenue Q1-14 Favorable (Unfavorable) Cost of sales 25.2% 25.1% (10 bps) Labor 32.0% 33.1% 110 bps Other operating 12.0% 12.1% 10 bps Occupancy 7.8% 7.3% (50 bps) Restaurant Level Operating Profit (Non-GAAP) 23.0% 22.4% 60 bps

  13. Slide 13: Adjusted EBITDA

    $32.5 $29.7 $21.0 $25.8 $37.0 $29.3 $25.6 $31.1 $47.0 $10.0 $15.0 $20.0 $25.0 $30.0 $35.0 $40.0 $45.0 $50.0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2013 2014 2015 See slide 21 for reconciliation of non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA to Net Income Trailing 4 Quarters Q1 2015 $132.9M Q1 2014 $113.5M Adjusted EBITDA $ in millions 12

  14. Slide 14: Adjusted Net Income

    Adjusted Net Income $9.5 $11.1 $4.7 $9.1 $11.9 $9.8 $7.2 $9.4 $15.6 $3.0 $5.0 $7.0 $9.0 $11.0 $13.0 $15.0 $17.0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2013 2014 2015 30.9% Growth Q1 2015 vs Q1 2014 $ in millions 13 See slide 22 for reconciliation of non-GAAP Adjusted Net Income to Net Income

  15. Slide 15: Adjusted Earnings Per Diluted Share

    Adjusted Earnings Per Diluted Share $0.66 $0.77 $0.32 $0.62 $0.82 $0.68 $0.50 $0.66 $1.10 $0.15 $0.35 $0.55 $0.75 $0.95 $1.15 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2013 2014 2015 14 See slide 22 for reconciliation of non-GAAP Adjusted Earnings Per Diluted Share to Earnings Per Diluted share 34.1% Growth Q1 2015 vs Q1 2014

  16. Slide 16: 2015 Outlook

    2015 Outlook Total revenues expected to grow 12.0% to 12.5% Comparable restaurant revenue growth expected between 2.5% to 3.0% RLOP margins expected to be approximately 22.0% Open 20 new and relocated 3 company-owned Red Robin restaurants, open 5 Red Robin Burger Works, and complete approximately 15

  17. Slide 17: In Closing

    In Closing 16

  18. Slide 18: Thank you to all of our Team Members!

    Thank you to all of our Team Members! 17

  19. Slide 19: Appendix

    Appendix 18

  20. Slide 20: Cash Flow from Operations

    $40.4 $30.6 $11.2 $31.3 $36.0 $20.1 $26.8 $40.7 $36.0 $0.0 $5.0 $10.0 $15.0 $20.0 $25.0 $30.0 $35.0 $40.0 $45.0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2013 2014 2015 Cash Flow from Operations $ in millions 19 Trailing 4 Quarters Q1 2015 $123.5M Q1 2014 $109.2M

  21. Slide 21: Q1-15 Commodity Update

    Q1-15 Commodity Update 20 % of Total COGS in Q1-15 Market vs. Contract Ground beef 16.0% Market Poultry 10.8% 60% Contract through 12/15, 40% through 6/15 Steak fries 9.8% Contract through 10/16 Meat 6.7% Bacon through 9/15; Prime rib through 12/15 Produce 6.6% Contract through 10/15 Bread 6.1% Cont

  22. Slide 22: Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation to Net Income

    Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation to Net Income Numbers are displayed in Thousands 21 2013 2014 2015 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Net income as reported $ 9,480 $ 11,139 $ 4,661 $ 6,959 $ 11,944 $ 9,470 $ 7,208 $ 3,939 $16,565 Adjustments to net income: Income tax expense 2,977 3,576 1,517 940 4,424 3,52

  23. Slide 23: Reconciliation of Adjusted Net Income to Net Income and Adjusted EPS

    Reconciliation of Adjusted Net Income to Net Income and Adjusted Earnings Per Diluted Share to Earnings Per Diluted Share 22 2013 2014 2015 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Net income as reported $ 9,480 $ 11,139 $ 4,661 $ 6,959 $ 11,944 $ 9,470 $ 7,208 $ 3,939 $ 16,565 Adjustments to net income: Change i

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