Ryder System, Inc. · NYSE:R

Ryder System — Q4 2010 Earnings Presentation

53 slides from Ryder System's earnings presentation, Feb 3, 2011

  1. Slide 1: Fourth Quarter 2010 & 2011 Forecast Earnings Conference Call

    Fourth Quarter 2010 & 2011 Forecast Earnings Conference Call February 3, 2011

  2. Slide 2: Safe Harbor

    Safe Harbor Certain statements and information included in this presentation are “forward-looking statements” under the Federal Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Accordingly, these forward-looking statements should be evaluated with consideration given to the many risks and uncertain

  3. Slide 3: Contents

    Contents Fourth Quarter 2010 Results Overview Asset Management Update 2011 Forecast Q & A

  4. Slide 4: 4th Quarter Results Overview

    4th Quarter Results Overview Earnings per diluted share from continuing operations were $0.80 in 4Q10 vs. $0.43 in 4Q09 4Q10 included a $0.15 net benefit related to income taxes, partially offset by restructuring and other items 4Q09 included a $0.02 net benefit related to income tax changes, partia

  5. Slide 5: 4th Quarter Results Overview — FMS

    4th Quarter Results Overview — FMS Fleet Management Solutions (FMS) total revenue up 5% (and operating revenue up 4%) vs. prior year Contractual revenue down 2% Full service lease revenue down 2% Contract maintenance revenue decreased 5% Commercial rental revenue up 31% Fuel revenue up 10% due prima

  6. Slide 6: 4th Quarter Results Overview — SCS / DCC

    4th Quarter Results Overview SCS / DCC Supply Chain Solutions (SCS) total revenue up 8% (and operating revenue up 4%) vs. prior year due to increased volumes and new business in high-tech and automotive SCS net before tax earnings (NBT) up 5% SCS NBT percent of operating revenue up 10 basis points t

  7. Slide 7: Key Financial Statistics — Fourth Quarter

    Key Financial Statistics ($ Millions, Except Per Share Amounts) Fourth Quarter 2010 2009% B/(W) Operating Revenue (1) $1,061.9 $1,019.8 4% Fuel Services and Subcontracted Transportation Revenue 251.5 227.2 11% Total Revenue $1,313.4 $1,247.0 5% Earnings Per Share From Continuing Operations $0.80 $0.

  8. Slide 8: Key Financial Statistics — Full Year

    Key Financial Statistics ($ Millions, Except Per Share Amounts) Full Year 2010 2009% B/(W) Operating Revenue (1) $4,158.2 $4,062.5 2% Fuel Services and Subcontracted Transportation Revenue 978.1 824.8 19% Total Revenue $5,136.4 $4,887.3 5% Earnings Per Share From Continuing Operations $2.37 $1.62 46

  9. Slide 9: Business Segments — Fourth Quarter

    Business Segments ($ Millions) Fourth Quarter Memo: Total Revenue 2010 2009% B/(W) 2010 2009% B/(W) Operating Revenue: (1) Fleet Management Solutions $726.3 $699.5 4% $948.1 $900.2 5% Supply Chain Solutions 258.3 247.6 4% 325.1 302.1 8% Dedicated Contract Carriage 119.3 113.4 5% 121.8 119.3 2% Elimi

  10. Slide 10: Business Segments — Full Year

    Business Segments ($ Millions) Full Year Memo: Total Revenue 2010 2009% B/(W) 2010 2009% B/(W) Operating Revenue: (1) Fleet Management Solutions $2,846.5 $2,817.7 1% $3,712.2 $3,567.8 4% Supply Chain Solutions 1,005.0 955.4 5% 1,252.3 1,139.9 10% Dedicated Contract Carriage 468.5 456.6 3% 482.6 471.

  11. Slide 11: Capital Expenditures from Continuing Operations

    Capital Expenditures from Continuing Operations ($ Millions) Full Year 2010 $2010 2009 O/(U) 2009 Full Service Lease $647 $548 $99 Commercial Rental 379 7 371 Operating Property and Equipment 62 56 6 Gross Capital Expenditures 1,088 611 476 Less: Proceeds from Sales (Primarily Revenue Earning Equipm

  12. Slide 12: Cash Flow from Continuing Operations

    Cash Flow from Continuing Operations ($ Millions) Full Year 2010 2009 Earnings $125 $90 Depreciation 834 881 Gains on Vehicle Sales, Net (29) (12) Amortization and Other Non-Cash Charges, Net 57 58 Pension Contributions (64) (131) Changes in Working Capital and Deferred Taxes 105 99 Cash Provided by

  13. Slide 13: Debt to Equity Ratio

    Debt to Equity Ratio ($ Millions) 300% 275% 275% 234% 225% 250% 201% 203% 183% 200% 168% 157% Total Obligations to 146% 151% Equity(1) 150% 129% 100% Balance Sheet Debt to Equity 50% 0% 12/31/00 12/31/01 12/31/02 12/31/03 12/31/04 12/31/05 12/31/06 12/31/07 12/31/08 12/31/09 12/31/10 Long Term Targe

  14. Slide 14: Contents

    Contents Fourth Quarter 2010 Results Overview Asset Management Update 2011 Forecast Q & A

  15. Slide 15: Global Asset Management Update

    Global Asset Management Update (1) Units held for sale were 5,200 at quarter end; down 25% from 6,900 units held for sale in the prior year Units held for sale were up 11% from 4,700 at the end of the prior quarter The number of used vehicles sold in the fourth quarter were 4,000, down 23% compared

  16. Slide 16: Contents

    Contents Fourth Quarter 2010 Results Overview Asset Management Update 2011 Forecast Q & A

  17. Slide 17: 2011 Forecast Assumptions — General and FMS

    2011 Forecast Assumptions General Moderately stronger economic and freight environment Stable interest rate environment; average interest rate will decline due to debt rollover Stable foreign exchange rates FMS Improving contractual sales and better renewal rates — resulting in organic fleet growth

  18. Slide 18: 2011 Forecast Assumptions — SCS / DCC

    2011 Forecast Assumptions SCS / DCC Revenue and earnings growth due to both organic sales and acquisitions Improved volumes in SCS Rate increases and productivity improvements offset increase in driver and equipment costs in DCC

  19. Slide 19: Key Financial Statistics — 2011 Forecast

    Key Financial Statistics ($ Millions, Except Per Share Amounts) 2011 Forecast 2010% B / (W) Revenue: Operating (1) $4,600-4,650 $4,158 11-12% Fuel Services and Subcontracted Transportation 1,100-1,110 978 12-13% Total Revenue $5,700-5,760 $5,136 11-12% Earnings From Continuing Operations: Earnings B

  20. Slide 20: Business Segment Revenue 2011 Forecast

    Business Segment Revenue 2011 Forecast Midpoint Change % vs. 2010 Fleet Management Solutions: Gross Revenue (1) 6% Contractual Revenue (2) 2% Commercial Rental Revenue 19% Operating Revenue 5% Supply Chain Solutions: Gross Revenue (3) 25% Operating Revenue 29% Dedicated Contract Carriage: Gross Reve

  21. Slide 21: 2011 Causes of EPS Change

    2011 Causes of EPS Change ($ Earnings Per Share) 9 0 $0.63-0.67 $2.80-2.90 8 7 6 5 4 3 $2.22 $0.10 2 1 $0.16 0 $0.11 9 $0.15-0.17 8 7 ($0.28-0.32) $0.06 6 5 ($0.20) ( $0.11) 4 3 2 1 0 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 (1) 2010 EPS FMS Contractual Strategic Compensation Share Acquisitions Pension Plans SCS/DCC Use

  22. Slide 22: Capital Expenditures, Cash Flow & Leverage

    Capital Expenditures, Cash Flow & Leverage ($ Millions) Full Year 2011 Forecast 2010 Full Service Lease $1,000-1,120 $647 Commercial Rental 575 379 Operating Property and Equipment 120 62 Gross Capital Expenditures 1,695-1,815 1,088 Less: Proceeds from Sales 280 235 Net Capital Expenditures $1,415-1

  23. Slide 23: EPS Forecast — Continuing Operations

    EPS Forecast —Continuing Operations ($ Earnings Per Share) First Quarter Full Year 2011 EPS(1) Forecast $0.40 — 0.44 $2.80 — 2.90 2010 EPS(1) $0.24 $2.22 (1) Non-GAAP financial measure; refer to Appendix — Non-GAAP Financial Measures. 02/03/11 Proprietary and Confidential 23

  24. Slide 24: Summary

    Summary Manage through cumulative impacts of prolonged recession on lease, while driving benefits in rental, used vehicle sales and Supply Chain Solutions Improve new sales and retention rates in lease as economy recovers and through sales/marketing initiatives Leverage increased demand for commerci

  25. Slide 25: Q&A

    Q&A 02/03/11 Proprietary and Confidential 25

  26. Slide 26: Appendix

    Appendix Return on Capital History Business Segment Detail Central Support Services Balance Sheet Asset Management Financial Indicators Forecast Pension Expense Non-GAAP Financial Measures & Reconciliations 02/03/11 Proprietary and Confidential 26

  27. Slide 27: Adjusted Return on Capital History

    Adjusted Return on Capital(1)History Adjusted Return on 7.7% 7.8% 7.9% 7.4% 7.3% Capital (ROC) 6.3% 6.3% 5.7% 6.9% 6.8% 6.7% 6.6% Cost of 6.5% 4.8% Capital (COC) 4.1% 5.2% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Forecast ROC O/(U) COC 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% (2.2)% (1.5)% (0.5)% Return on Equity 15

  28. Slide 28: Fleet Management Solutions (FMS) — Fourth Quarter

    Fleet Management Solutions (FMS) ($ Millions) Fourth Quarter 2010 2009% B/(W) Full Service Lease $485.0 $493.4 (2)% Contract Maintenance 39.0 41.1 (5)% Contractual Revenue 524.0 534.6 (2)% Contract-related Maintenance 39.6 37.4 6% Commercial Rental 145.5 111.0 31% Other 17.1 16.5 4% Operating Revenu

  29. Slide 29: Fleet Management Solutions (FMS) — Full Year

    Fleet Management Solutions (FMS) ($ Millions) Full Year 2010 2009% B/(W) Full Service Lease $1,934.3 $1,989.7 (3)% Contract Maintenance 158.8 167.2 (5)% Contractual Revenue 2,093.1 2,156.9 (3)% Contract-related Maintenance 160.9 163.3 (1)% Commercial Rental 525.1 431.1 22% Other 67.4 66.5 1% Operati

  30. Slide 30: Supply Chain Solutions (SCS) — Fourth Quarter

    Supply Chain Solutions (SCS) ($ Millions) Fourth Quarter 2010 2009% B/(W) Automotive $114.3 $109.3 5% High-Tech 59.3 52.9 12% Retail & CPG 46.0 44.3 4% Industrial & Other 38.7 41.1 (6)% Operating Revenue 258.3 247.6 4% Subcontracted Transportation 66.8 54.5 23% Total Revenue $325.1 $302.1 8% Segment

  31. Slide 31: Supply Chain Solutions (SCS) — Full Year

    Supply Chain Solutions (SCS) ($ Millions) Full Year 2010 2009% B/(W) Automotive $449.2 $409.9 10% High-Tech 220.5 209.9 5% Retail & CPG 177.8 167.1 6% Industrial & Other 157.5 168.6 (7)% Operating Revenue 1,005.0 955.4 5% Subcontracted Transportation 247.3 184.5 34% Total Revenue $1,252.3 $1,139.9 1

  32. Slide 32: Supply Chain Solutions (SCS) Global Historical Information 2008-2009

    Supply Chain Solutions (SCS) ($ Millions) Global Historical Information Full Year Full Year 2008 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 2009 Automotive $616.5 $95.0 $98.1 $107.5 $109.3 $409.9 High-Tech 229.9 52.2 53.0 51.8 52.9 209.9 Retail & CPG 167.9 40.2 40.4 42.2 44.3 167.1 Industrial & Other 193.3 41.1 42.0 44.4

  33. Slide 33: Supply Chain Solutions (SCS) Global Historical Information 2010

    Supply Chain Solutions (SCS) ($ Millions) Global Historical Information Full Year 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 2010 Automotive $106.7 $113.3 $114.8 $114.3 $449.2 High-Tech 51.4 52.8 57.0 59.3 220.5 Retail & CPG 41.8 44.2 45.8 46.0 177.8 Industrial & Other 38.2 39.6 40.9 38.7 157.5 Operating Revenue 238.2 249

  34. Slide 34: Dedicated Contract Carriage (DCC) — Fourth Quarter

    Dedicated Contract Carriage (DCC) ($ Millions) Fourth Quarter 2010 2009% B/(W) Operating Revenue $119.3 $113.4 5% Subcontracted Transportation 2.6 5.8 (56)% Total Revenue $121.8 $119.3 2% Segment Net Before Tax Earnings (NBT) $6.5 $6.9 (6)% Segment NBT as % of Total Revenue 5.3% 5.8% Segment NBT as

  35. Slide 35: Dedicated Contract Carriage (DCC) — Full Year

    Dedicated Contract Carriage (DCC) ($ Millions) Full Year 2010 2009% B/(W) Operating Revenue $468.5 $456.6 3% Subcontracted Transportation 14.0 14.4 (2)% Total Revenue $482.6 $471.0 2% Segment Net Before Tax Earnings (NBT) $31.0 $37.6 (18)% Segment NBT as % of Total Revenue 6.4% 8.0% Segment NBT as %

  36. Slide 36: Central Support Services (CSS) — Fourth Quarter

    Central Support Services (CSS) ($ Millions) Fourth Quarter 2010 2009% B/(W) Allocated CSS Costs $37.2 $34.3 (8)% Unallocated CSS Costs 10.8 11.3 4% Total CSS Costs $48.0 $45.6 (5)% 02/03/11 Proprietary and Confidential 36

  37. Slide 37: Central Support Services (CSS) — Full Year

    Central Support Services (CSS) ($ Millions) Full Year 2010 2009% B/(W) Allocated CSS Costs $142.2 $131.7 (8)% Unallocated CSS Costs 41.5 35.8 (16)% Total CSS Costs $183.7 $167.6 (10)% 02/03/11 Proprietary and Confidential 37

  38. Slide 38: Balance Sheet

    Balance Sheet ($ Millions) December 31, December 31, 2010 2009 Cash and Cash Equivalents $213 $99 Other Current Assets 810 782 Revenue Earning Equipment, Net 4,201 4,179 Operating Property and Equipment, Net 607 544 Other Assets 821 657 Total Assets $6,652 $6,260 Short-Term Debt / Current Portion Lo

  39. Slide 39: Financial Indicators

    Financial Indicators Forecast (1) Total Cash Generated (2) (3) Gross Capital Expenditures (3) ($ Millions) Full Service Lease $1,684 Commercial Rental $1,571 $1,757 $1,755 $1,465 PP&E/Other $1,381 $1,328 $1,252 $1,266 $1,399 $1,179 $1,054 $1,091 $1,289 $1,265 $1,165 $1,182 $1,088 $949 $835 $725 $657

  40. Slide 40: Pension Expense

    Pension Expense ($ Millions) 2010 Pension Expense $42 Higher than Assumed Return on Assets in 2010 (7) Benefit of 2010 Voluntary Pension Contributions (4) Benefit of 2010 Plan Freeze (3) Discount Rate 3 Lower Expected Return Assumption 1 Other 1 2011 Estimated Pension Expense $33 02/03/11 Proprietar

  41. Slide 41: Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    Non-GAAP Financial Measures This presentation -GAAP financial measures” as defined by includes “non rules, we provide a reconciliation of each non-GAAP financial measure to the most comparable GAAP measure and an explanation why management believes that presentation of the non-GAAP financial measure

  42. Slide 42: Earnings and EPS from Continuing Operations Reconciliation

    Earnings and EPS from Continuing Operations Reconciliation ($ Millions or $ Earnings Per Share) 4Q10 — 4Q10 — 4Q09 — 4Q09 -Earnings EPS Earnings EPS Reported $41.4 $0.80 $23.7 $0.43 Int’l Asset(Gain on Sale)/Impairment (0.9) (0.02) 2.4 0.05 Tax Benefits (10.8) (0.21) — -Tax Law Changes - - — (4.1) (

  43. Slide 43: NBT and Tax Rate from Continuing Operations Reconciliation 2010

    NBT and Tax Rate from Continuing Operations Reconciliation ($ Millions or $ Earnings Per Share) 4Q10 — 4Q10 — 4Q10 -NBT Tax Tax Rate Reported $49.6 $8.1 16.4% Gain on Sale of Building (0.9) -Tax Benefits — 10.8 Acquisition Costs 4.1 -Comparable $52.7 $18.9 35.9% FY10 — FY10 — FY10 - -NBT Tax Tax Rat

  44. Slide 44: NBT and Tax Rate from Continuing Operations Reconciliation 2009

    NBT and Tax Rate from Continuing Operations Reconciliation ($ Millions or $ Earnings Per Share) 4Q09 — 4Q09 — 4Q09 -NBT Tax Tax Rate Reported $31.8 $8.1 25.6% Int’l Asset Impairment 2.4 - -Tax Law Changes — 4.1 Restructuring Charges 0.3 0.1 Comparable $34.5 $12.3 35.5% FY09 — FY09 - FY09 -NBT Tax Ta

  45. Slide 45: Adjusted Return on Capital Reconciliation 2004-2008

    Adjusted Return on Capital Reconciliation ($ Millions) 12/31/04 12/31/05 12/31/06 12/31/07 12/31/08 Net Earnings (1) $216 $227 $249 $254 $200 Change in Accounting Principle — 2 — - - -Restructuring and Other Charges, Net and Other Items (24) (2) — 1 70 Income Taxes 115 129 144 152 150 Adjusted Earni

  46. Slide 46: Adjusted Return on Capital Reconciliation 2009-2010

    Adjusted Return on Capital Reconciliation ($ Millions) 12/31/09 12/31/10 Net Earnings (1) $62 $118 Restructuring and Other Charges, Net and Other Items 30 6 Income Taxes 54 61 Adjusted Earnings Before Income Taxes 146 185 Adjusted Interest Expense (2) 150 133 Adjusted Income Taxes (3) (122) (124) Ad

  47. Slide 47: Segment Adjusted Return on Capital Reconciliation 2010

    Segment Adjusted Return on Capital Reconciliation ($ Millions) 2010 FMS SCS DCC Net Earnings (1) $118 $26 $19 Restructuring and Other Charges, Net and Other Items — 3 -Income Taxes 54 18 12 Adjusted Earnings Before Income Taxes 172 47 31 Adjusted Interest Expense (2) 134 5 2 Adjusted Income Taxes (3

  48. Slide 48: Segment Adjusted Return on Capital Reconciliation 2009

    Segment Adjusted Return on Capital Reconciliation ($ Millions) 2009 FMS SCS DCC Net Earnings (1) $88 $14 $23 Restructuring and Other Charges, Net and Other Items 6 8 -Income Taxes 46 14 15 Adjusted Earnings Before Income Taxes 140 36 38 Adjusted Interest Expense (2) 148 6 2 Adjusted Income Taxes (3)

  49. Slide 49: Debt to Equity Reconciliation 2000-2007

    Debt to Equity Reconciliation ($ Millions) % to % to % to % to % to % to % to % to 12/31/00 Equity 12/31/01 Equity 12/31/02 Equity 12/31/03 Equity 12/31/04 Equity 12/31/05 Equity 12/31/06 Equity 12/31/07 Equity Balance Sheet Debt $2,017 161% $1,709 139% $1,552 140% $1,816 135% $1,783 118% $2,185 143

  50. Slide 50: Debt to Equity Reconciliation 2008-2010

    Debt to Equity Reconciliation ($ Millions) % to % to % to 12/31/08 Equity 12/31/09 Equity 12/31/10 Equity Balance Sheet Debt $2,863 213% $2,498 175% $2,747 196% Receivables Sold — - — PV of minimum lease payments and guaranteed residual values under operating leases for vehicles 163 119 100 Total Ob

  51. Slide 51: Cash Flow Reconciliation 2000-2009

    Cash Flow Reconciliation ($ Millions) 12/31/00 (4)12/31/01 12/31/02 12/31/03 12/31/04 12/31/05 12/31/06 12/31/07 12/31/08 12/31/09 Cash Provided by Operating Activities $1,023 $365 $617 $803 $867 $776 $852 $1,097 $1,248 $985 Less: Changes in Bal. of Trade Rec. Sold (270) 235 110 — - — - - - - -Colle

  52. Slide 52: Cash Flow Reconciliation 2010

    Cash Flow Reconciliation ($ Millions) 12/31/10 Cash Provided by Operating Activities from Continuing Operations $1,028 Proceeds from Sales (Primarily Revenue Earning Equipment) 235 Collections of Direct Finance Leases 62 Other, Net 3 Total Cash Generated (1) 1,328 Capital Expenditures (2) (1,070) Fr

  53. Slide 53: CAtyder

    CAtyder

Ryder System — Q4 2010 Earnings Presentation on 6ix