Ppl Corporation · NYSE:PPL

Ppl — Q4 2011 Earnings Presentation

40 slides from Ppl's earnings presentation, Feb 27, 2012

  1. Slide 1: 4th Quarter Earnings Call

    Exhibit 99.3 th 4 Quarter Earnings Call PPL Corporation February 10, 2012 Revised February 27, 2012 ©PPL Corporation 2012 1

  2. Slide 2: Cautionary Statements and Factors That May Affect Future Results

    Cautionary Statements and Factors That May Affect Future Results Any statements made in this presentation about future operating results or other future events are forward-looking statements under the Safe Harbor Provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may

  3. Slide 3: Agenda

    Agenda 2011 Earnings Results J. H. Miller 2011 Operational Overview and 2012 W. H. Spence Earnings Forecast 2011 Segment Results and Financial P. A. Farr Overview Q&A ©PPL Corporation 2012 3

  4. Slide 4: Earnings Results

    Earnings Results Fourth Quarter Fourth Quarter Reported Earnings Earnings from Ongoing Operations $1.00 $1.00 $0.83 $0.78 $0.73 $0.71 $0.50 $0.50 $0.00 $0.00 4Q 2010 4Q 2011 4Q 2010 4Q 2011 Year-to-Date Year-to-Date Reported Earnings Earnings from Ongoing Operations $3.50 $3.50 $3.13 $3.00 $2.70 $3.

  5. Slide 5: PPL Well-Positioned for Future Success

    PPL Well-Positioned for Future Success Increased mix of rate-regulated earnings provides stability in weak economic environment Approximately 70% of projected 2012 EPS from regulated businesses Substantial organic growth in rate base: ~8% CAGRfrom 2012-2016 Business Risk Profile rated “Excellent” by

  6. Slide 6: 2011 Operational Review

    2011 Operational Review Midlands Integration Kentucky ECR approval Pennsylvania storm restorations Overcame Susquehanna outages Supply rail contract negotiation ©PPL Corporation 2012 6

  7. Slide 7: International Regulated Segment Investment Highlights

    International Regulated Segment Investment Highlights Highly attractive rate-regulated business with significant growth prospects Regulator-approved 5-year forward-looking revenues based on future business plan, including capital expenditures and O&M plus adjustments for inflation Real-time return o

  8. Slide 8: Kentucky Regulated Segment Investment Highlights

    Kentucky Regulated Segment Investment Highlights Efficient, well-run utility focused on safety, reliability and customer service Projected rate base CAGR of 9.6% through 2016 Constructive regulatory environment that provides a timely return on a substantial amount of planned capex over the next 5 ye

  9. Slide 9: Pennsylvania Regulated Segment Investment Highlights

    Pennsylvania Regulated Segment Investment Highlights Significant growth in transmission portion of business which earns a favorable rate of return on a near real-time basis CAGR of 21.7% in transmission rate base through 2016 driven by initiatives to improve aging infrastructure and Susquehanna-Rose

  10. Slide 10: Supply Segment Investment Highlights

    Supply Segment Investment Highlights Very well-positioned competitive generation PJM assets: Low marginal cost nuclear and hydro facilities Efficient supercritical coal units with fuel switching optionality Attractive gas-fired assets that capture market opportunity and back-stop base load unit avai

  11. Slide 11: Enhancing Value Through Active Hedging

    Enhancing Value Through Active Hedging 2012 2013 Baseload (1) Expected Generation (Million MWhs) 53.7 53.1 East 45.5 44.8 West 8.2 8.3 Current Hedges (%) 95-99% 80-84% East 94-98% 80-84% (4) West 98-102% 82-86% Average Hedged Price (Energy Only) ($/MWh)(2) (3) East $54-55 $49-52 West (4) $50-52 $47-

  12. Slide 12: 2012 Earnings Forecast

    2012 Earnings Forecast $/Share $3.50 $3.00 $2.73 $2.45 $2.50 $2.00 $2.15 $1.50 $1.00 $0.50 $0.00 2011A 2012E Note: See appendix for reconciliation of earnings from ongoing operations to reported earnings. Revised February 27, 2012 ©PPL Corporation 2012 12

  13. Slide 13: Ongoing Earnings Overview

    Ongoing Earnings Overview Q4 2011 Q4 2010 Change Kentucky Regulated $0.06 $0.07 ($0.01) International Regulated 0.28 0.07 0.21 Pennsylvania Regulated 0.10 0.05 0.05 Supply 0.27 0.64 (0.37) Total $0.71 $0.83 ($0.12) 2011 2010 Change Kentucky Regulated $0.40 $0.06 $0.34 International Regulated 0.87 0.

  14. Slide 14: International Regulated Segment Earnings Drivers

    International Regulated Segment Earnings Drivers 2011 2010 EPS –Ongoing Earnings $0.53 Midlands(1) 0.50 Delivery revenue 0.13 O&M (0.02) Income taxes & other (0.06) Effect of exchange rates 0.03 Dilution (0.24) Total 0.34 2011 EPS –Ongoing Earnings $0.87 Note: See Appendix for the reconciliation of

  15. Slide 15: Pennsylvania Regulated Segment Earnings Drivers

    Pennsylvania Regulated Segment Earnings Drivers 2011 2010 EPS –Ongoing Earnings $0.27 Electric Delivery Margins 0.09 O&M 0.01 Income taxes & other 0.03 Dilution (0.09) Total 0.04 2011 EPS –Ongoing Earnings $0.31 Note: See Appendix for the reconciliation of earnings from ongoing operations to reporte

  16. Slide 16: Supply Segment Earnings Drivers

    Supply Segment Earnings Drivers 2011 2010 EPS –Ongoing Earnings $2.27 Margins (0.55) O&M (0.09) Income taxes & other (0.17) Dilution (0.31) Total (1.12) 2011 EPS –Ongoing Earnings $1.15 Note: See Appendix for the reconciliation of earnings from ongoing operations to reported earnings. Revised Februa

  17. Slide 17: 2011A to 2012E Earnings Walk

    2011A to 2012E Earnings Walk Int'l Regulated Supply $3.00 $0.23 ($0.40) $2.73 PA $2.75 Regulated KY Midlands: $0.28 (1) ($0.09) Share Revenue: $0.14 Regulated O&M: ($0.06) ($0.04) Dilution $2.50 Other: ($0.11) ($0.13) Margins: ($0.19) Currency: ($0.02) O&M: ($0.11) Other: ($0.10) O&M: ($0.08) $2.30

  18. Slide 18: Free Cash Flow before Dividends

    Free Cash Flow before Dividends Free Cash Flow before Reconciliation of Cash from Dividends Operations to Free Cash Flow (Millions of Dollars) before Dividends (Millions of dollars) $800 $600 $531 $400 $314 2010A 2011A 2012E Cash from Operations $ 2,034 $ 2,507 $ 2,800 $200 Increase (Decrease) in ca

  19. Slide 19: Continued Dividend Increases

    Continued Dividend Increases A significantly more rate-regulated business mix provides strong support for current dividend and a platform for future growth 2.9% Dividend $/Share Increase Annualized $1.50 $1.30 (2) $1.10 Ongoing EPS Dividend $0.90 $0.70 $0.50 (1) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 (1) Ongoing

  20. Slide 20: Appendix

    Appendix ©PPL Corporation 2012 20

  21. Slide 21: Midlands Integration – Improved Network Performance

    Midlands Integration – Improved Network Performance Percentage of customers restored within one hour of an HV fault Customer Minutes Lost 85% 80% 8.00 7.00 75% 6.00 70% 5.00 65% 4.00 3.00 60% 2.00 55% 1.00 50% 0.00 Number of customers off more than 18 hours Customer Interruptions (per 100 customers)

  22. Slide 22: Regulated Volume Variances

    Regulated Volume Variances KY Regulated Weather-Normalized Sales 3-months ended 12/31/11 vs 12/31/10 12-months ended 12/31/11 vs 12/31/10 2.5% 2.02% 2.0% 1.5% 1.27% 0.89% 1.0% 0.38% 0.5% 0.18% 0.0% -0.5% -1.0% -1.5% -1.06% -1.37% -1.44% -2.0% Residential Commercial Industrial Total Residential Comme

  23. Slide 23: Market Prices

    Market Prices Balance of 2013 2012 ELECTRIC PJM On-Peak $39 $43 Off-Peak $28 $31 (1) ATC $33 $37 Mid-Columbia On-Peak $26 $32 Off-Peak $20 $25 (1) ATC $24 $29 GAS (2) NYMEX $2.86 $3.56 TZ6NNY $3.13 $3.87 PJM MARKET (3) HEAT RATE 12.5 11.1 CAPACITY PRICES $123.63 $187.49 (Per MWD) EQA 88% 90% (1) 24-

  24. Slide 24: Capital Expenditures

    Capital Expenditures ($ in billions) $4.5 $4.2 $4.1 $4.0 $3.8 $0.7 $0.6 $3.7 $3.5 $0.5 $0.9 $0.4 $0.3 $0.3 $2.9 $3.0 $0.5 $0.5 $0.3 $0.4 $0.6 $2.5 $0.3 $0.7 $0.8 $0.7 $0.3 $2.0 $0.6 $0.3 $1.5 $0.8 $0.8 $0.7 $0.5 $0.6 $0.1 $1.0 $0.5 $1.1 $1.1 $1.1 $1.1 $1.1 $0.0 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E (1) (2)

  25. Slide 25: Regulated Rate Base Growth

    Regulated Rate Base Growth ($ in billions) 2012E – 2016E Regulatory Asset Base (1) CAGR: 7.8% $30.0 $25.8 $25.2 $25.0 $23.5 $5.4 $21.3 $5.2 $4.7 $20.0 $19.0 $17.7 $4.1 $3.5 $3.2 $15.0 $10.2 $10.2 $9.4 $8.3 $7.1 $6.5 $10.0 $5.0 $9.4 $9.8 $10.2 $8.0 $8.4 $8.9 $0.0 2011A 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E (

  26. Slide 26: Debt Maturities

    Debt Maturities (Millions) 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 (1) (2) PPL Capital Funding $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 LG&E and KU Energy (Holding Co LKE) 0 0 0 400 0 Louisville Gas & Electric 0 0 0 250 0 Kentucky Utilities 0 0 0 250 0 (3) PPL Electric Utilities 0 0 10 100 0 (4) PPL Energy Supply 0 737 300 300 350 WPD 0 0

  27. Slide 27: Liquidity Profile

    Liquidity Profile Letters of Credit Outstanding & Total Commercial Expiration Facility Paper Backup Drawn Availability Institution Facility Date (Millions) (Millions) (Millions) (Millions) PPL Energy Supply Syndicated Credit Facility Oct-2016 $3,000 $541 $0 $2,459 Letter of Credit Facility Mar-2013

  28. Slide 28: Reconciliation of Fourth Quarter Earnings from Ongoing Operations to Reported Earnings

    Reconciliation of Fourth Quarter Earnings from Ongoing Operations to Reported Earnings (Millions of Dollars, After-Tax) Kentucky International Pennsylvania Quarter Ending December 31, 2011 Regulated Regulated Regulated Supply Other Total Earnings from Ongoing Operations $ 36 $ 164 $ 58 $ 152 $ 410 S

  29. Slide 29: Reconciliation of Fourth Quarter Earnings from Ongoing Operations to Reported Earnings

    Reconciliation of Fourth Quarter Earnings from Ongoing Operations to Reported Earnings (Per Share) Kentucky International Pennsylvania Quarter Ending December 31, 2011 Regulated Regulated Regulated Supply Other Total Earnings from Ongoing Operations $ 0.06 $ 0.28 $ 0.10 $ 0.27 $ 0.71 Special Items:

  30. Slide 30: Reconciliation of Year-to-Date Earnings from Ongoing Operations to Reported Earnings

    Reconciliation of Year-to-Date Earnings from Ongoing Operations to Reported Earnings (Millions of Dollars, After-Tax) Kentucky International Pennsylvania Year-to-Date December 31, 2011 Regulated Regulated Regulated Supply Total Earnings from Ongoing Operations $ 220 $ 482 $ 173 $ 634 $ 1,509 Special

  31. Slide 31: Reconciliation of Year-to-Date Earnings from Ongoing Operations to Reported Earnings

    Reconciliation of Year-to-Date Earnings from Ongoing Operations to Reported Earnings (Millions of Dollars, After-Tax) Kentucky International Pennsylvania Year-to-Date December 31, 2010 Regulated (a) Regulated Regulated Supply Other (b) Total Earnings from Ongoing Operations $ 25 $ 230 $ 115 $ 990 $

  32. Slide 32: Reconciliation of Year-to-Date Earnings from Ongoing Operations to Reported Earnings

    Reconciliation of Year-to-Date Earnings from Ongoing Operations to Reported Earnings (Per Share) Kentucky International Pennsylvania Year-to-Date December 31, 2011 Regulated Regulated Regulated Supply Total Earnings from Ongoing Operations $ 0.40 $ 0.87 $ 0.31 $ 1.15 $ 2.73 Special Items: Adjusted e

  33. Slide 33: Reconciliation of Year-to-Date Earnings from Ongoing Operations to Reported Earnings

    Reconciliation of Year-to-Date Earnings from Ongoing Operations to Reported Earnings (Per Share) Kentucky International Pennsylvania Year-to-Date December 31, 2010 Regulated Regulated Regulated Supply Other Total Earnings from Ongoing Operations $ 0.06 $ 0.53 $ 0.27 $ 2.27 $ 3.13 Special Items: Adju

  34. Slide 34: Reconciliation of PPL's Earnings from Ongoing Operations to Reported Earnings

    Reconciliation of PPL’s Earnings from Ongoing Operations to Reported Earnings (Per Share) Forecast Actual High Low 2012 2012 2011 2010 2009 Earnings from Ongoing Operations $ 2.45 $ 2.15 $2.73 $3.13 $1.95 Special Items: Adjusted energy-related economic activity, net 0.12 (0.27) (0.59) Sales of asset

  35. Slide 35: Gross Margins Summary

    Gross Margins Summary (Millions of Dollars) Twelve Months Ended December 31, Per Share Diluted 2011 2010 Change (after-tax) (a) KY Gross Margins $ 1,548 $ - $ 1,548 $ 2.12 PA Gross Delivery Margins by Component Distribution $ 741 $ 679 $ 62 $ 0.08 Transmission 180 176 4 0.01 Total $ 921 $ 855 $ 66 $

  36. Slide 36: Reconciliation of Year-to-Date Operating Income to Margins

    Reconciliation of Year-to-Date Operating Income to Margins Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2011 Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2010 (Millions of Dollars) Unregulated Unregulated Kentucky PA Gross Gross Kentucky PA Gross Gross Gross Delivery Energy Operating Gross Delivery Energy Operating Margins

  37. Slide 37: Margins Footnotes

    Margins Footnotes a) Represents amounts that are excluded from Margins. b) As reported on the Statement of Income. c) Kentucky Gross Margins were not used to measure the financial performance of LKE for the two-month period subsequent to the acquisition in 2010. d) Primarily represents WPD's utility

  38. Slide 38: Forward-Looking Information Statement

    Forward-Looking Information Statement Statements contained in this presentation, including statements with respect to future earnings, cash flows, financing, regulation and corporate strategy are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Although PPL Corporation

  39. Slide 39: Definitions of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    Definitions of Non-GAAP Financial Measures “Earnings from ongoing operations” should not be considered as an alternative to reported earnings, or net income attributable to PPL, which is an indicator of operating performance determined in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAA

  40. Slide 40: Definitions of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    Definitions of Non-GAAP Financial Measures "Kentucky Gross Margins" is a single financial performance measure of the Kentucky Regulated segment's electricity generation, transmission and distribution operations as well as its distribution and sale of natural gas. In calculating this measure, utility

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