Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited · ASX:DMP

Domino's Pizza Enterprises — H1 2023 Earnings Presentation

67 slides from Domino's Pizza Enterprises's earnings presentation, Feb 22, 2023

  1. Slide 1: Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited ASX market presentation cover letter

    Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited 1/485 Kingsford Smith Drive Hamilton, QLD, Australia 4007 ACN: 010 489 326 www.dominos.com.au 22 February 2023 The Manager Market Announcements Office Australian Securities Exchange 4th Floor, 20 Bridge Street SYDNEY NSW 2000 Dear Sir Market presentation for the ha

  2. Slide 2: Half-year results

    Half-year results Period ending 01.01.2023

  3. Slide 3: HOTT

    HOTT SUS TNE DELIVERY

  4. Slide 4: Group – value equation

    Group – value equation Proximity to Customers – allows for quicker, more Fortressing – consistent delivery brings us closer experience Management is working with franchisees to Customers to deliver ▪ The Value Equation is at the heart of Domino’s strategy Improved customer ▪ During this Half, Domino

  5. Slide 5: Group – key metrics

    Group – key metrics H122 H123 Growth vs. H120 (1) Growth vs. H122 Actual Actual (Pre COVID to now) Network Sales $2,048.4m $1,966.3m -$82.1m -4.0% +$384.1m +24.3% Online Sales $1,597.7m $1,525.1m -$72.6m -4.5% +$394.7m +34.9% Same Store Sales Growth +2.8% -0.6% Network Store Count 3,227 stores 3,736

  6. Slide 6: Group – EBIT performance – pre covid to now

    Group – ebit performance – pre covid to now (1) +13.7% -1.5% ▪ 3-Year EBIT growth +13.7%, excluding Germany royalty payment step-up, Denmark investment and FX translation headwind ▪ 3-Year EBIT growth includes the benefit of Malaysia and Singapore acquisitions from December 2022, and Taiwan acquisit

  7. Slide 7: Group – trading update

    Group – trading update Trading Update Half Year Results First Weeks of Trade for H2 H122 H123 H221 H222 H223 (1) (2) (3) Actual Actual Actual YTD Actual YTD Actual YTD Network Sales Growth +11.1% -4.0% +20.9% +6.0% +4.2% Same Store Sales Growth +2.8% -0.6% +10.1% +1.7% -2.2% +129 stores +79 stores N

  8. Slide 8: Group – short-term headwinds

    Group – short-term headwinds Lower than anticipated SSS and pass-through of inflation affected earnings ▪ Response to inflation – Domino’s acted to offset rapidly increasing inflation, including through price rises ▪ After multiple buy cycles some of the initial positive effect unwound in December,

  9. Slide 9: Group – recent performance achievements

    Group – recent performance achievements ▪ Domino’s team members – Management recognises the extraordinary and ongoing efforts of our team members in stores and in corporate roles, navigating historic inflation to deliver for customers, franchisees and the greater business ▪ Digital technology innova

  10. Slide 10: Group – network sales

    Group – network sales (1) NETWORK SALES ONLINE SALES Online Sales H118 H119 H120 H121 H122 H123 +11.5% -4.5% +26.7% +21.0% $1,597.7m $1,525.1m +17.7% $1,432.5m +20.5% $1,130.4m $934.3m $794.0m 77.7% 78.0% 77.6% 63.6% 65.3% 71.4% (2) (3) Online Sales (4) Online % (5) ▪ Network Sales declined -4.0% (-

  11. Slide 11: Group – store additions

    Group – store additions NETWORK STORE COUNT EXISTING AND NEW NETWORK SALES (1) (1) (2) ▪ Group: +357 stores added to the network during ▪ Continued significant store growth, from both new H123 (+79 organic stores and +278 acquired stores) and existing stores ▪ Asia: +36 new stores, plus +278 stores

  12. Slide 12: Group – H123 dashboard

    Group – H123 dashboard Network sales Organic New store additions $1.97b +79 stores Underlying ebit (1) net capex (investing activities) $113.9m $65.4m 1) Underlying EBIT, excluding significant charges 2) Note a 3-Year Dashboard is also available in Appendix 3 11

  13. Slide 13: Group – franchisee dashboard

    Group – franchisee dashboard (1) (3) (2) (4) 1) Franchised Store Count – is based on closing period store counts as per Appendix 2 4) Franchisee profitability - includes 73% of stores that have submitted P&Ls during Q1 23 12-month 2) Number of stores per Franchisee, including Taiwan for all periods

  14. Slide 14: Group financials

    N GROUP FINANCIALS

  15. Slide 15: Group – financial highlights (including fx)

    Group – financial highlights (including fx) H122 H123 Growth vs. Underlying Underlying H122 $ mil $ mil $ mil % Network Sales 2,048.4 1,966.3 -82.1 -4.0% Revenue 1,206.6 1,154.5 -52.2 -4.3% EBIT 144.7 113.9 -30.8 -21.3% NPAT 91.3 71.7 -19.6 -21.5% EPS (basic) 105.5 cps 82.5 cps -23.0 cps -21.8% Divi

  16. Slide 16: Group – geographic summary (including fx)

    Group – geographic summary (including fx) H120 H121 H122 H123 Growth vs. Underlying Underlying Underlying Underlying H122 $ mil $ mil $ mil $ mil $ mil % Revenue Europe 281.0 324.8 361.0 364.3 +3.3 +0.9% ANZ 343.1 383.0 403.0 402.7 -0.3 -0.1% Asia 281.7 387.3 442.6 387.5 -55.1 -12.5% Total Revenue 9

  17. Slide 17: Group – non-recurring costs

    Group – non-recurring costs (1) ▪ $5.4m – ANZ Fast Food Industry Award class action legal defense costs (2) ▪ $3.2m – Acquisition and integration costs, primarily incurred in ANZ, relating to specialist advisors for the Malaysia, Singapore and Cambodia acquisitions ▪ $2.5m – EU Non-Recurring costs,

  18. Slide 18: Group – free cash flow

    Group – free cash flow (1) H1 21 H1 22 H1 23 Statutory Statutory Statutory $ mil $ mil $ mil Underlying EBITDA 218.2 212.8 182.3 Change in working capital (11.7) (57.2) (11.6) ▪ Working Capital is $11.6m higher than FY22. Primarily as a Profit on sale of non-current assets (13.2) (13.3) (11.4) resul

  19. Slide 19: Group – investing activities (CAPEX)

    Group – investing activities (CAPEX) ▪ H123 Net CAPEX excluding acquisitions $65.4m (Prior Half $66.1m) ▪ CAPEX which Recycles $29.9m (Prior Year $28.5m) ‒ Gross CAPEX $66.4m, including investment in new corporate stores (primarily Japan), franchisee loans for new and existing stores and franchisee

  20. Slide 20: Group – balance sheet

    Group – balance sheet vs. FY22 H123 FY22 $ mil $ mil $ mil ▪ Net Debt (1) $666.5m– $95.8m higher than FY22, primarily as a Cash & cash equivalents 76.9 143.7 66.8 Trade and other receivables 163.6 170.8 7.2 result of higher borrowings relating to the Malaysia and Singapore Inventories 30.9 58.7 27.9

  21. Slide 21: Group – debt position

    Group – debt position DPE strengthens its balance sheet & funding capability Banking Covenant Ratios H122 FY22 H123 12 Month Rolling EBITDA (ex AASB 16) $362.6m $339.7m $310.8m ▪ The Group raised new debt, with a 4-year term, to fund the Total Debt $598.5m $647.5m $810.2m acquisition of Malaysia and

  22. Slide 22: Group – key financial ratios

    Group – key financial ratios H122 FY22 H123 Underlying Underlying Underlying DPE Key Financial Ratios (1) Return on Equity 48.0% 42.3% 29.3% ▪ ROE lower, as a result of lower profits and a small dilution from the recent capital raising Return on Capital Employed 18.1% 16.8% 13.0% ▪ ROCE lower, due t

  23. Slide 23: Group – underlying EPS

    Group – underlying eps ▪ Underlying EPS 82.5c, -21.8% on H122 ▪ Underlying EPS 5-Year CAGR +2.9% ▪ Underlying EPS 10-Year CAGR +15.3% 22

  24. Slide 24: Europe Performance

    Dominos EUROPE PERFORMANCE

  25. Slide 25: Europe financial highlights AUD – constant currency

    Eu financial highlights AUD – constant currency (1) H122 H1 23 Growth vs. Underlying Underlying H122 Europe $ mil $ mil $ mil % Network Sales 759.0 769.0 +10.1 +1.3% Revenue 343.9 364.3 +20.4 +5.9% EBITDA 67.1 46.5 -20.6 -30.7% EBIT 47.4 25.6 -21.7 -45.8% EBITDA on Revenue 19.5% 12.8% EBIT on Revenu

  26. Slide 26: Europe - Performance

    Europe - Performance ▪ Our European business has faced significant geopolitical disruption, challenging macro- economic conditions, including navigating the highest levels of inflation across the Group ▪ Price increases to the customer has seen a decline in customer counts, particularly within deliv

  27. Slide 27: Asia Performance

    Dominos ASIA PERFORMANCE

  28. Slide 28: Asia financial highlights AUD – constant currency

    Asia financial highlights AUD – constant currency (1) H122 H1 23 Growth vs. Underlying Underlying H122 Asia $ mil $ mil $ mil % Network Sales 494.9 510.0 +15.1 +3.0% Revenue 391.6 387.5 -4.1 -1.0% EBITDA 67.1 64.1 -2.9 -4.4% EBIT 40.2 36.4 -3.8 -9.5% EBITDA on Revenue 17.1% 16.6% EBIT on Revenue 10.

  29. Slide 29: Asia - Performance

    Asia - Performance ▪ Our Markets in Asia are materially larger vs pre-COVID, with mature stores (+5 years) delivering strong returns for franchised and corporate operations ▪ Sales in Asia increased +3.0% on a constant currency basis ▪ The newly acquired markets (Malaysia and Singapore) are performi

  30. Slide 30: Australia & New Zealand Performance

    Australia & New Zealand Performance

  31. Slide 31: ANZ – financial highlights

    ANZ – financial highlights H122 H1 23 Growth vs. H120 H1 23 G Underlying Underlying H122 Underlying Underlying (Pr ANZ $ mil $ mil $ mil % $ mil $ mil $m Network Sales 689.6 687.3 -2.3 -0.3% 613.2 687.3 +74. Revenue 403.0 402.7 -0.3 -0.1% 343.1 402.7 +59. EBITDA 78.7 81.9 +3.3 +4.1% 76.8 81.9 +5.1 E

  32. Slide 32: ANZ - Performance

    ANZ - Performance ▪ EBIT grew +5.2% to $63.4 million, with Network Sales marginally lower (-0.3%), to $687.3 million ▪ Reinvestment in the franchise base (Project Ignite) has delivered network expansion, with +23 new stores opened in the Half, versus 23 in the prior Full Year (including +3 Mobile Pi

  33. Slide 33: Domino's for GooD

    Domino’s for GooD Environment, Social, Governance

  34. Slide 34: Sustainability Report highlights

    Sustainability Report highlights ▪ Submitted our Science Based Targets and developed our environmental strategy and climate roadmap ▪ Approaching our 2030 target of 40% female leadership across all regions ▪ Making strong advances on animal welfare through new initiatives and partnerships: our work

  35. Slide 35: ESG - environmental strategy

    ESG - environmental strategy Key focus areas and current actions ▪ Roadmaps for every Centre of Excellence that include near term targets and a clear direction for the markets towards 2030 ▪ Improving data quality and measurement to help us target our actions and report on progress ▪ Guidelines on s

  36. Slide 36: Looking forward

    Dominos LOOKING FORWARD

  37. Slide 37: Rebuilding with customers first

    Looking forward Rebuilding with customers first ▪ Commodity and labour increases are anticipated in the short term, continuing into FY24, albeit not as significant as previous increases passed through in FY23 ▪ There remains a potential for further, unanticipated inflationary pressures to affect uni

  38. Slide 38: Domino's Value Tree

  39. Slide 39: Domino's Value tree: store initiatives (NPS)

    Domino’s Value tree: store initiatiVes (nPs) Store Initiatives ▪ Delivery times remain industry-leading through fortressing, e-bikes and Domino’s end-to-end ownership of the ordering experience ▪ Supply-chain initiatives, including the expansion of in-store dough making in Asia, will support operati

  40. Slide 40: Domino's Value tree: Brand Positive

    Domino’s Value tree: BranD PositiVe Digital ▪ Domino’s digital sales channels are performing strongly, led by the new- generation mobile application ▪ The new app is delivering a record proportion of online sales ▪ App users demonstrate a higher Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) through increased order

  41. Slide 41: Domino's Value tree: inflation Busters

    Domino’s Value tree: inflation Busters Pricing ▪ Menu and promotional pricing remains highly complex – balancing different cohorts, occasions and ordering channels ▪ Repeated buying cycles has provided Domino’s additional insights into the affect of pricing changes on customer behaviour ▪ These insi

  42. Slide 42: Outlook

    Dominos OUTLOOK ASIA PACIFIC | EUROPE

  43. Slide 43: Group – future outlook

    group – future outlook ▪ Europe milestone 3,050 stores by 2033 − Europe 2.2x current market size ▪ ANZ store target 1,200 by 2025-2028 − ANZ 1.3x current market size ▪ Asia milestone 3,000 stores by 2033 − Asia 2.1x current market size ▪ Group milestone 7,250 stores by 2033 − Group 1.9x current mark

  44. Slide 44: 3-5 year group outlook

    3-5 year group outlook H121 H122 H123 3-5 Year Actual Actual Actual Annual Outlook Same Store Sales Growth +8.5% +2.8% -0.6% +3-6% +131 stores +129 stores +79 stores New Organic Store Additions +8-10% of network +4.7% of network +4.0% of network +2.1% of network Net CAPEX(1) $36.4m $66.1m $65.4m $10

  45. Slide 45: Conclusion: performance

    Conclusion: performance ▪ Group Network Sales – were positive in Q2, however, not as strong as anticipated ▪ Inflation – Domino’s has seen a short-term decline in delivery customers and is rebalancing the value equation ▪ FX headwinds – c. $5m NPAT for H1, with the AUD strengthening against both the

  46. Slide 46: Conclusion: outlook

    Conclusion: outlook with new markets anD organic growth, Domino’s is now 1,140 stores (44%) larger than h120 ▪ People – Domino’s is confident in the power of our people to navigate these extraordinary times. Management is proud of their efforts to respond and lift our performance ▪ Performance – DPE

  47. Slide 47: Dashboards

    Dominos DASHBOARDS

  48. Slide 48: Europe – dashboard (euro)

    Europe – dashboard (euro) (1) (2) (3) (4) 1) H123 closing same-store count was 967 out of 1,413 total stores (68.4%) 3) Online Sales percentage calculated as total Online Sales divided by total Network Sales 47 2) Including sales via aggregator platforms 4) New organic stores include all new stores

  49. Slide 49: Europe – region in focus

    Europe – region in focus Germany Benelux France 416 TOTAL STORES H123 486 TOTAL STORES H123 484 TOTAL STORES H123 +8 NEW STORES NIL NEW STORES +11 NEW STORES AVERAGE NUMBER OF STORES PER AVERAGE NUMBER OF STORES PER AVERAGE NUMBER OF STORES PER FRANCHISEE: FRANCHISEE: FRANCHISEE: 2.4 (+0.1) 2.6 (+0.

  50. Slide 50: Asia – dashboard (AUD including fx)

    Asia – dashboard (AUD including fx) (1) (2) (3) (4) 1) H123 closing same-store count was 886 out of 1,417 total stores (62.5%) 3) Online Sales percentage calculated as total Online Sales divided by total Network Sales 49 2) Including sales via aggregator platforms from FY20 onwards 4) New organic st

  51. Slide 51: Asia – region in focus

    ASIA – region in focus Japan Taiwan 957 TOTAL STORES H123 181 TOTAL STORES H123 +24 NEW STORES +11 NEW STORES AVERAGE NUMBER OF STORES PER AVERAGE NUMBER OF STORES PER FRANCHISEE: FRANCHISEE: 4.3 (+0.2) 4.1 (-0.3) POPULATION: 126.2M POPULATION: 23.9M 132,000+ 132,000+ PEOPLE PER STORE PEOPLE PER STO

  52. Slide 52: Asia – region in focus continued

    ASIA – region in focus continued Malaysia Singapore 241 TOTAL STORES H123 38 TOTAL STORES H123 +1 NEW STORES NIL NEW STORES POPULATION: 32.8M POPULATION: 5.5M 136,000+ 145,000+ PEOPLE PER STORE PEOPLE PER STORE 51

  53. Slide 53: ANZ – dashboard (AUD)

    ANZ – dashboard (AUD) (1) (2) (3) (4) 1) H123 closing same-store count was 767 out of 906 total stores (84.7%) 3) Online Sales percentage calculated as total Online Sales divided by total Network Sales 52 2) Including sales via aggregator platforms 4) New organic stores include all new stores opened

  54. Slide 54: ANZ – region in focus

    ANZ – region in focus 906 TOTAL STORES H123 +23 NEW STORES AVERAGE NUMBER OF STORES PER FRANCHISEE: 2.2 (+0.0) POPULATION: 31.0M 34,000+ PEOPLE PER STORE 53

  55. Slide 55: Appendix

    Dominos APPENDIX

  56. Slide 56: Appendix 1 – investor relations calendar

    Appendix 1 – investor relations calendar ▪ May – ASEAN Investor Day (virtual) ▪ August 23 – DMP Full Year Results ▪ November 1 – DMP Annual General Meeting Clarification: FY22 Annual Report A graphic on page 15 of the Annual Report showing ‘APAC 107.3 million pizzas sold’ in FY22, reflected only ANZ

  57. Slide 57: Appendix 2 – network store count

    Appendix 2 – network store count H1 20 FY 20 H1 21 FY 21 H1 22 FY 22 H1 23 European stores Franchised stores 1,042 1,060 1,105 1,174 1,198 1,267 1,278 Corporate stores 81 101 102 112 123 134 135 European Network Stores 1,123 1,161 1,207 1,286 1,321 1,401 1,413 Net stores added in period 26 64 46 125

  58. Slide 58: Appendix 3 – group 3-year performance dashboard

    Appendix 3 – group 3-year performance dashboard $1,97b +339 stores (1) H121 $10.3m $6.8m $10.8m $8.5m $36.4m H122 $28.5m $21.0m $6.5m $10.1m $66.1m $113.9m H123 $29.9m $23.3m $6.7m $5.5m $65.4m CAPEX which Recycles Digital Capex Stay in Business CAPEX Other Investments 1) Underlying EBIT, excluding

  59. Slide 59: Appendix 4 – group P&L highlights

    Appendix 4 – group P&L highlights 2-Year Movement 3-Year Movement H1 22 H1 23 +/(-) H122 H1 21 +/(-) H121 H120 +/(-) H120 Underlying Underlying Underlying Underlying Underlying Underlying Underlying $ mil $ mil % $ mil % % % Network Sales 2,048.4 1,966.3 (4.0%) 1,843.0 6.7% 1,582.2 24.3% Revenue 1,2

  60. Slide 60: Appendix 5 – group statutory to underlying reconciliation

    Appendix 5 – group statutory to underlying reconciliation H122 H122 H122 H123 H123 H123 (1) +/(-) H122 Significant Significant Statutory Underlying Statutory Underlying Underlying Charges Charges $ mil $ mil $ mil $ mil $ mil $ mil % Network Sales 2,048.4 2,048.4 1,966.3 1,966.3 (4.0%) Revenue 1,206

  61. Slide 61: Appendix 6 – group litigation update

    Appendix 6 – group litigation update ▪ The Company rejects the allegations and has been defending the action vigorously ▪ The trial was held in November 2022 and a judgment is not expected to be delivered before June 2023 ▪ The statement of claim does not quantify any loss by the lead applicant or t

  62. Slide 62: Appendix 6 – group litigation update continued

    Appendix 6 – group litigation update continued ▪ Multiple separate proceedings have been brought in relation to matters which occurred before the Company's ownership of the Pizza Sprint company: ▪ In one proceeding brought by the French Ministry for the Economy and Finance, the Court ruled in favour

  63. Slide 63: Appendix 7 – group financial ratios

    Appendix 7 – group financial ratios H122 FY22 H123 H122 FY22 H123 (1) Return on Equity Return on Capital Employed Underlying Underlying Underlying Underlying Underlying Underlying $ mil $ mil $ mil $ mil $ mil $ mil 12 Month Rolling NPAT (Before Minority Interest) 193.2 173.0 150.4 12 Month Rolling

  64. Slide 64: Appendix 8 – group financial ratios continued

    Appendix 8 – group financial ratios continued H122 FY22 H123 H122 FY22 H123 Cash Conversion Movement in Working Capital Underlying Underlying Underlying $ mil $ mil $ mil $ mil $ mil $ mil Operating cash flow before interest & tax 140.0 283.7 157.9 Trade and other receivables (5.9) (16.0) (11.5) Tra

  65. Slide 65: Appendix 9 – group banking covenant ratios

    Appendix 9 – group banking covenant ratios H122 FY22 H123 H122 FY22 H123 Interest Coverage Underlying Underlying Underlying (1) Net Debt Underlying Underlying Underlying Pre AASB16 Pre AASB16 Pre AASB16 Pre AASB 16 Pre AASB 16 Pre AASB 16 $ mil $ mil $ mil $ mil $ mil $ mil 12 Month Rolling EBITDA (

  66. Slide 66: Appendix 10 – group network & same-store calculation

    Appendix 10 – group network & same-store calculation ▪ Same Store Sales are calculated weekly, measured in local currency ✓ Same Store Sales is the process of comparing year-on-year growth of existing, mature, stores ✓ Stores are included after two years of trading (either two years of DPE, or one y

  67. Slide 67: Disclaimer and important information

    Disclaimer and important information ▪ Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited (Domino’s) advises that the information in this presentation contains forward looking statements which may be subject to significant uncertainties outside of Domino’s control ▪ Domino’s does not undertake any obligation to pro

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