Alcoa Corporation · NYSE:AA

Alcoa — Investor Presentation (October 2016)

57 slides from Alcoa's investor presentation, Oct 20, 2016

  1. Slide 1: Alcoa Corporation Investor Presentation October 2016

    • Alcoa Corporation Investor Presentation October 2016

  2. Slide 2: Important information

    Important information • Forward–Looking Statements • This presentation contains statements that relate to future events and expectations and as such constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements include th

  3. Slide 3: Important information (continued)

    Important information (continued) • Non-GAAP Financial Measures • This presentation includes unaudited “non-GAAP financial measures” as defined in Regulation G under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, including Adjusted EBITDA. Alcoa and Alcoa Corporation believe that the presentation of non-GAAP

  4. Slide 4: Agenda

    Agenda • Today’s conversation Agenda 4 Topics Our Business • Financial Overview • Q&A Presenters

  5. Slide 5: Our Business

    • Our Business Roy Harvey

  6. Slide 6: Alcoa Corporation: a compelling investment

    Alcoa Corporation: a compelling investment • Global network of world-class aluminium assets and operations • Strong customer relationships and robust growth opportunities • Highly experienced senior management with operator-centric culture • Focused on optimizing cost and return on capital (ROC), cr

  7. Slide 7: Global-leading portfolio of low-cost, world-class assets

    Global-leading portfolio of low-cost, world-class assets • Global-leading portfolio of low-cost, world-class assets 7 2016 global cost curve positions World’s largest alumina refiner1 Well-positioned smelting assets Alumina Aluminum 1st Quartile Mid 2nd Quartile Source: CRU and Alcoa analysis • 1. B

  8. Slide 8: Strengthened, independent businesses with proven record

    Strengthened, independent businesses with proven record • Strengthened, independent businesses with proven record 8 Business segments Geographically dispersed mines with a premier low-cost position Bauxite Nine refineries on five continents with access to growth markets in Asia, Middle East, and Lat

  9. Slide 9: Global portfolio provides access to growth markets

    Global portfolio provides access to growth markets • 9 Global Strength: • 16,000 employees • 25 manufacturing facilities • 10 countries Global portfolio provides access to growth markets

  10. Slide 10: 3rd-party bauxite leads solid growth prospects

    3rd-party bauxite leads solid growth prospects • 3rd-party bauxite leads solid growth prospects 10 Source: CRU, CM Group, and Alcoa analysis • 2016-2017 balance figures are post-trade with Chinese imports of 3.0 Mt alumina (2016), 40 kt aluminum (2016), and 25 kt aluminum (2017) • Based on Platts FO

  11. Slide 11: Leadership team ready to support the business

    Leadership team ready to support the business • Leadership team ready to support the business 11 Roy Harvey, Chief Executive Officer • William Oplinger, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer • Tómas Már Sigurdsson, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer • Leigh Ann Fishe

  12. Slide 12: Promoting strong, efficient, operator-centric culture

    Promoting strong, efficient, operator-centric culture • Promoting strong, efficient, operator-centric culture 12 Act with Integrity • Operate with Excellence • Care for People Unrelenting focus on safety • Reducing greenhouse gas emissions, lowering energy and fresh water consumption • Supporting co

  13. Slide 13: Financial Overview

    • Financial Overview William Oplinger

  14. Slide 14: Six segments diversify revenue and EBITDA

    Six segments diversify revenue and EBITDA • Key financial metrics – Six months ending June 30, 2016 Six segments diversify revenue and EBITDA 14 Before intersegment eliminations. • See appendix for adjusted EBITDA reconciliations. • Represents the elimination of revenue generated from product sales

  15. Slide 15: Resilient EBITDA despite lower prices

    Resilient EBITDA despite lower prices • Financial trends Resilient EBITDA despite lower prices 15 See appendix for adjusted EBITDA reconciliations • Metal price represents combined annual averages of LME + Midwest premium Total Sales ($M) Adjusted EBITDA (1) ($M) Capital Expenditures ($M) Metal Pric

  16. Slide 16: Capital structure: low debt, substantial liquidity

    Capital structure: low debt, substantial liquidity • Pro forma capital structure as of June 30, 20161 Capital structure: low debt, substantial liquidity 16 Conservative balance sheet with substantial liquidity • Assumes starting cash balance of $632M • Alcoa Corporation issued $1.25B of funded debt,

  17. Slide 17: Strong balance sheet and financial position

    Strong balance sheet and financial position • Pro Forma balance sheet1 – key metrics as of June 30, 2016 Strong balance sheet and financial position 17 Net Debt-to-LTM EBITDA Current business operations are ready to support our debt • Focus on maintaining strong non-investment grade rating Debt-to-E

  18. Slide 18: Balance sheet contains hidden value drivers

    Balance sheet contains hidden value drivers • Pro Forma balance sheet as of June 30, 2016 – Other Noncurrent Assets Balance sheet contains hidden value drivers 18 1. Investment in Saudi Arabian joint venture, formed in 2009 with the Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma’aden).

  19. Slide 19: High-return projects pipeline across the businesses

    High-return projects pipeline across the businesses • High-return projects pipeline across the businesses Potential future key capital projects by business segment1 Capital investment amount ($M) # of Projects 3 5 4 19 ($M) Estimated combined totals Based on estimated LME forward curve of $1,500/mt

  20. Slide 20: Disciplined financial policies for prudent capital allocation

    Disciplined financial policies for prudent capital allocation • Financial policy framework Disciplined financial policies for prudent capital allocation 20 Financial Policies Leverage Aggressive asset portfolio management Liquidity Efficient use of available capital Maintain appropriate leverage thr

  21. Slide 21: Outlook focused on operations and managing cash

    Outlook focused on operations and managing cash • Key measures Outlook focused on operations and managing cash 21 Operational volumes 2017 Financial Return-seeking capital expenditures of < $100M Other corporate overhead2 • < $200M Pension and OPEB cash contributions of < $250M Sustaining capital ex

  22. Slide 22: Closing Remarks

    • Closing Remarks Roy Harvey

  23. Slide 23: Alcoa Corporation: a compelling investment

    Alcoa Corporation: a compelling investment • Alcoa Corporation: a compelling investment Global network of world-class aluminum assets and operations • Bauxite and Alumina: Combination of global industry-leading low-cost assets • Aluminum: Well-positioned portfolio includes Saudi Arabia Joint Venture

  24. Slide 24: Appendix

    • Appendix

  25. Slide 25: Contact information

    Contact information • Contact information Investors: • Jim Dwyer, Vice President of Investor Relations • (212) 518-5450 • AlcoaIR@Alcoa.com • Media: • Monica Orbe, Senior Vice President, Chief Communications Officer • (212) 518-2632 • Monica.Orbe@Alcoa.com • Investor and media contact information 25

  26. Slide 26: Transaction overview

    Transaction overview • Transaction overview 26 Share information 1. Includes shares of common stock of Alcoa Corporation retained by Arconic.

  27. Slide 27: Alcoa Corporation's leading governance practices

    Alcoa Corporation’s leading governance practices • Alcoa Corporation’s leading governance practices 27 Governance practices

  28. Slide 28: Accomplished Board of Directors

    Accomplished Board of Directors • Michael Morris • Non-Executive Chairman, Alcoa Corporation; Former Chairman and CEO, American Electric Power James Nevels • Founder and Chairman, The Swarthmore Group James Owens • Former Chairman and CEO, Caterpillar Inc. Accomplished Board of Directors Board of Di

  29. Slide 29: Actively participating in each segment of the value chain

    Actively participating in each segment of the value chain • Bauxite Actively participating in each segment of the value chain 29 Product shipments by business (Estimated 2016 shipments in millions of metric tons) 3rd Party Rolling Mining Refining Smelting & Casting 47.5 – 48.5 ~85% ~15% ~35% ~65% ~5

  30. Slide 30: Income statement

    Income statement1 • Income statement1 30 See appendix for EBITDA reconciliations.

  31. Slide 31: 2015 key financial information

    2015 key financial information • Key financials – Full year ending December 31, 2015 2015 key financial information 31 Before intersegment eliminations. • See appendix for adjusted EBITDA reconciliations. • Represents the elimination of revenue generated from product sales from one Alcoa Corporation

  32. Slide 32: Pension and OPEB information

    Pension and OPEB information • Pension and OPEB information Pro forma pension and OPEB liabilities and expenses1,2 32 • For additional information, see Alcoa Upstream Corporation Form 10 as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on October 11, 2016. • OPEB: Other Postretirement Employee B

  33. Slide 33: AWAC: world's largest bauxite miner, alumina refiner

    AWAC: world’s largest bauxite miner, alumina refiner • AWAC: world’s largest bauxite miner, alumina refiner AWAC Facts • Alcoa is the operator of the joint venture • A Strategic Council consisting of representatives from Alcoa Inc. and Alumina Limited oversees the venture • Alcoa internally consumes

  34. Slide 34: Alumina and aluminum global cost curves

    Alumina and aluminum global cost curves • Production (MMT) Alumina and aluminum global cost curves Alcoa moves to the 38th percentile in 2016 Alcoa moves to 17th percentile in 2016 2016 Actual: • 17th Percentile 2010: • 30th Percentile Source: CRU and Alcoa analysis 34

  35. Slide 35: Bauxite global cost curve

    Bauxite global cost curve • Bauxite global cost curve Alcoa is in the 20th percentile in 2016 Production (mn dmt) Source: CRU and Alcoa analysis 35 200 220 240 50 40 30 60 20 70 0 320 140 160 180 80 100 120 10 300 280 260 2016: • 20th Percentile

  36. Slide 36: 2016 demand grows at 5%; supply grows at 3%

    2016 demand grows at 5%; supply grows at 3% • 2016 demand grows at 5%; supply grows at 3% 36 2016 Primary aluminum demand & Y-o- Y growth (Mt) Primary aluminum demand and supply by region China India North Asia Europe North America Russia Brazil Other (1) MENA SE Asia 59.7 Mt 6.5% 3.5% 2.0% 1.0% 7.0

  37. Slide 37: Aluminum market remains in deficit at 615 kmt

    Aluminum market remains in deficit at 615 kmt • Aluminum market remains in deficit at 615 kmt Continue to see global deficit in 2016 2016E Aluminum balance (kmt) Aluminum fundamentals overview Global inventories at 54 days, - 7.5 days Y-o-Y Source: Alcoa analysis, CRU, Wood Mackenzie, IAI, CNIA, NBS

  38. Slide 38: Alumina market remains in deficit at 1.6 Mmt

    Alumina market remains in deficit at 1.6 Mmt • Alumina market remains in deficit at 1.6 Mmt Continue to see large deficit for 2016 2016E Alumina balance (kmt) Alumina fundamentals overview Demand growth at 5% while supply only grows at 1% in 2016 Source: Alcoa analysis, CRU, Wood Mackenzie, IAI, CNI

  39. Slide 39: Premier bauxite position, world's largest producer

    Premier bauxite position, world’s largest producer • Premier bauxite position, world’s largest producer 39 Largest bauxite miner, 45.3 Mmt production in 2015 • First quartile cost curve position 1 • Next to major markets, with space to grow • Technical refining knowledge to provide multi-product cus

  40. Slide 40: World's most attractive alumina refining business

    World’s most attractive alumina refining business • World’s most attractive alumina refining business Largest alumina producer, 15.7 Mmt production in 2015 • First quartile cost curve position1 driven by technology, operating expertise • Geographically diverse portfolio; nine refineries on five cont

  41. Slide 41: Aluminum portfolio positioned for any market

    • Aluminum portfolio positioned for any market World’s 4th largest primary aluminium producer in 2015 • ~50% of capacity, 1.7M mt, at top-tier sites • Canada, Iceland, Norway • 25.1% ownership of the world’s lowest-cost smelter (Saudi Arabia JV) ...complemented by success factors ensuring long-term

  42. Slide 42: Cast Products global focus on value-added products

    Cast Products global focus on value-added products • Cast Products global focus on value-added products World-class casthouses • 181 casthouses providing value-added products • Casthouse Center of Excellence driving continuous improvement and best practice sharing across the portfolio ...continuousl

  43. Slide 43: Value-added products serve array of end markets

    Value-added products serve array of end markets • Value-added products serve array of end markets 43 Cast Products key markets, uses and value-added products Slab End Markets • Transportation, Industrial, B&C, Packaging • Main Uses • Sheet and plate, can stock • Supplying Locations • Canada: Baie Co

  44. Slide 44: Leading can sheet supplier in North America

    Leading can sheet supplier in North America • Leading can sheet supplier in North America World-class operations serving can sheet market • Warrick Operations: Food stock, beverage end & tab stock, lithographic sheet, body stock, and bottle stock • Ma’aden Rolling Company1: Wide body stock, beverage

  45. Slide 45: Driving value through substantial energy assets

    Driving value through substantial energy assets • Driving value through substantial energy assets ...managed to create maximum profitability under a variety of situations Energy assets 1 in North and South America... Strategic power management • Brazil assets provide optionality between market sales

  46. Slide 46: Bauxite mines detailed information

    Bauxite mines detailed information • Bauxite mines detailed information 46 Source: Alcoa Corporation Form 10 • This entity is part of the AWAC group of companies and is owned 60% by Alcoa Corporation and 40% by Alumina Limited • Alumínio is owned 100% by Alcoa Corporation • Brazilian mineral legisla

  47. Slide 47: Geographically distributed refining assets

    Geographically distributed refining assets • Geographically distributed refining assets 47 Source: Alcoa Corporation Form 10 • Nameplate Capacity is an estimate based on design capacity and normal operating efficiencies and does not necessarily represent maximum possible production • The figures in

  48. Slide 48: Global smelting network

    Global smelting network • Global smelting network 48 Source: Alcoa Corporation Form 10 • Nameplate Capacity is an estimate based on design capacity and normal operating efficiencies and does not necessarily represent maximum possible production • The figures in this column reflect Alcoa Corporation'

  49. Slide 49: Global network of casthouses

    Global network of casthouses • Global network of casthouses 49 Source: Alcoa Corporation Form 10 • The named company or an affiliate holds this interest • The Alumar casthouse has been fully curtailed since April 2015 • Owned through Rio Tinto Alcan Inc.'s interest in Pechiney Reynolds Québec, Inc.,

  50. Slide 50: Rolling assets are US, Saudi-based

    Rolling assets are US, Saudi-based • Rolling assets are US, Saudi-based 50

  51. Slide 51: Energy assets

    Energy assets • Energy assets 51 Source: Alcoa Corporation Form 10 • The Consolidated Capacity of the Brazilian energy facilities is the assured energy that is approximately 55% of hydropower plant nominal capacity

  52. Slide 52: Alcoa upstream capacity closed, sold and curtailed

    Alcoa upstream capacity closed, sold and curtailed • Alcoa upstream capacity closed, sold and curtailed 52 Smelting capacity Refining capacity Closed / Sold Since December 2007 Curtailed

  53. Slide 53: Composition of upstream production costs

    Composition of upstream production costs • Composition of upstream production costs Alumina refining cost structure Aluminum smelting cost structure Natural Gas Caustic Bauxite Conversion Fuel Oil Alumina Carbon Power Materials Natural gas information related to Point Comfort will no longer apply as

  54. Slide 54: Business sensitivities

    Business sensitivities • Estimated annual EBITDA sensitivities Business sensitivities 54 Price information

  55. Slide 55: Alcoa Corporation adjusted EBITDA reconciliation

    Alcoa Corporation adjusted EBITDA reconciliation • Alcoa Corporation adjusted EBITDA reconciliation 55 Alcoa Corporation’s definition of Adjusted EBITDA (Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) is net margin plus an add-back for depreciation, depletion, and amortization. Net

  56. Slide 56: Segment adjusted EBITDA reconciliation

    Segment adjusted EBITDA reconciliation • Segment adjusted EBITDA reconciliation 56 Alcoa Corporation’s definition of Adjusted EBITDA (Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) is net margin plus an add-back for depreciation, depletion, and amortization. Net margin is equivalen

  57. Slide 57: Segment adjusted EBITDA reconciliation

    Segment adjusted EBITDA reconciliation • Segment adjusted EBITDA reconciliation 57 Alcoa Corporation’s definition of Adjusted EBITDA (Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) is net margin plus an add-back for depreciation, depletion, and amortization. Net margin is equivalen

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