Amcor Plc · NYSE:AMCR

Amcor — H1 2016 Earnings Presentation

40 slides from Amcor's earnings presentation, Feb 15, 2016

  1. Slide 1: Amcor Half Year Results Investor Presentation

    For personal use only Amcor Half Year Results Investor Presentation Ron Delia – Managing Director & CEO Michael Casamento – CFO

  2. Slide 2: Disclaimer

    For personal use only Disclaimer Forward looking statements readers are cautioned not to place conditions of the major markets in extracted from Amcor’s annual financial This presentation contains forward- undue reliance on such forward looking which Amcor operates. report and have not been subject

  3. Slide 3: Safety

    For personal use only Safety Lost time frequency rate Recordable case frequency rate 2 1.9 9 8.4 1.8 8 7.4 1.6 1.6 7 1.4 1.2 6 1.2 5.1 5 1 0.9 4.1 4.0 0.8 0.8 4 3.4 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 3 2.6 0.6 0.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.4 2 0.2 1 0 0 2001 to 2012 data includes the demerged Orora business. 2013 to 2015 are show

  4. Slide 4: Overview

    For personal use only Overview Strong result with constant currency EPS up 10.2% Strong RoAFE of 20.2% Solid cash flow enabling: • Dividend of 19.0 US cents • Completion of US$500 million on-market share buy-back • 6 acquisitions either announced or completed since 30 June 2015 • US, China, India, B

  5. Slide 5: Half year results

    For personal use only Half year results Constant Strong constant currency earnings growth US$ million Dec 14 Dec 15 % currency • PAT up 6.6% % • EPS up 10.2% Sales revenue 4,809.0 4,547.7 (5.4) 3.3 • Negative currency impact of US$37m on PAT PBIT 518.8 489.0 (5.7) 4.3 Improved shareholder returns PB

  6. Slide 6: Strong constant currency PBIT growth

    For personal use only Strong constant currency PBIT growth 7% 3% 2% Acquisition benefits 4% Organic growth by market: 5% • Developed markets 4% • Emerging markets 6% PBIT Growth Adjustments(1) Adjusted PBIT growth Stronger than expected organic growth in Rigid Plastics and Tobacco Packaging (1) Adju

  7. Slide 7: Flexibles

    For personal use only Flexibles Constant Reported currency • Adjusted PBIT up 6.1%(1) in constant currency terms Euro million Dec 14 Dec 15 % % • Negative impact of CHF:EUR strength Sales revenue 2,521 2,706 7.3 4.5 Tobacco Packaging PBIT 308.1 321.0 4.2 3.0 • Particularly strong performance Adjuste

  8. Slide 8: Flexibles full year outlook for 2015/16

    For personal use only Flexibles full year outlook for 2015/16 The full year earnings outlook for the flexibles business has marginally improved compared with the guidance given in August 2015. The business is expected to deliver modest constant currency earnings growth in the 2015/16 year, compared

  9. Slide 9: Rigid Plastics

    For personal use only Rigid Plastics • Strong earnings performance USD million Dec 14 Dec 15 % • PBIT up 10% Sales revenue 1,563 1,562 (0.1) PBIT 139.1 153.5 10.4 • RoAFE above 20% AFE 1,599 1,513 (5.4) PBIT/AFE % 17.4 20.3 2.9 • Strong volume performance across Operating cash flow (21.0) (45.8) (11

  10. Slide 10: Rigid Plastics full year outlook for 2015/16

    For personal use only Rigid Plastics full year outlook for 2015/16 Strong growth in earnings notwithstanding challenging economic conditions in Brazil, Argentina and Venezuela. 10

  11. Slide 11: Cash flow

    For personal use only Cash flow US$ million Dec 14 Dec 15 Comments PBITDA 701.9 664.3 Up 4.2% on a constant currency basis Interest (72.8) (56.8) Lower due to FX and lower average cost of debt Tax (69.8) (91.4) Refunds received in prior period Capital expenditure (156.3) (162.2) In line with D&A inc

  12. Slide 12: Balance sheet and debt profile

    For personal use only Balance sheet and debt profile Jun 15/ Debt profile Dec 15 Balance sheet Dec 14 (1) Dec 15 Fixed / floating interest rate ratio 37% fixed Net debt (US$ million) 2,880 3,524 Bank debt / total debt 20% bank Net finance costs (US$ million) 91.8 78.2 Undrawn committed facilities US

  13. Slide 13: Amcor shareholder value creation model

    For personal use only Amcor shareholder value creation model Dividend Growth in line with (~$500m) EPS ~ 4% Total shareholder Strong, Reinvestment Organic EPS growth value of 10-15% defensive cash (~$400m) of ~ 3-4% per annum with flow low volatility Acquisitions EPS growth of ~ 2-7% and/or buy-back

  14. Slide 14: Total value creation of 14.0% for the half year

    For personal use only Total value creation of 14.0% for the half year Dividend yield of 4% Constant currency PAT Value creation growth 7% of 14.0% Reduction in average number of shares on issue 3% Multiple sources of value under resilient shareholder value creation model 14

  15. Slide 15: Where to from here....

    For personal use only Where to from here….

  16. Slide 16: Amcor is well positioned

    For personal use only Amcor is well positioned Amcor Today – Position of strength Operating environment – Increasingly dynamic • Focused portfolio – leadership • Lower growth relative to longer positions, good industry structure, term trends significant emerging market • Shorter cycle / more rapid c

  17. Slide 17: Opportunities for Amcor

    For personal use only Opportunities for Amcor Areas of focus Capturing value Generating our own growth • market share gains (customer focus, innovation, M&A) • investing in new plants • Philippines, Indonesia and USA • 6 acquisitions announced since 30 June 2015 • 1 in each Business Group Increasing

  18. Slide 18: Summary

    For personal use only Summary Strong result with constant currency EPS up 10.2% Strong RoAFE of 20.2% Solid cash flow enabling: • Dividend of 19.0 US cents • Completion of US$500 million on-market share buy-back • 6 acquisitions announced or completed since 30 June 2015 Solid foundation to build on

  19. Slide 19: Half Year Results Appendix slides

    For personal use only Half Year Results Appendix slides

  20. Slide 20: Shareholder value creation of 14.0%

    For personal use only Shareholder value creation of 14.0% Contribution to constant Contribution to Shareholder Value 14.0% currency PBIT growth 3.9% 14.0% Acquisitions 2% 12.0% Organic growth 5% Emerging markets 6% Developed markets 4% 3.2% 10.1% 10.0% 8.0% 3% 7% 1.4% 6.0% 2% 5.5% 4% 4.0% 5% 2.0% 0.

  21. Slide 21: Half year results

    For personal use only Half year results • Strong constant currency earnings growth Constant US$ million Dec 14 Dec 15 % currency • Key drivers % Sales revenue 4,809.0 4,547.7 (5.4) 3.3 • Benefits from acquisitions • Underlying organic growth of 5% PBIT 518.8 489.0 (5.7) 4.3 PBIT / Sales margin (%) 1

  22. Slide 22: Results

    For personal use only Results US$ million Dec 14 Dec 15 Average exchange rates Dec 14 Dec 15 Sales revenue 4,809.0 4,547.7 USD:Euro 0.7767 0.9063 PBITDA 701.9 664.3 Depreciation and amortisation (183.1) (175.3) PBIT 518.8 489.0 Net finance costs (91.8) (78.2) Currency impact Profit before tax 427.0

  23. Slide 23: FX Translation impact

    For personal use only FX Translation impact PAT currency exposures(1) Euro:USD Euro, Increase in USD to US$ million impact Increase in Jan 16 25-30% Euro rate on PAT for H1 16 average USD to H1 16 vs H1 15 Euro rate against H1 16 average USD, 16% 14.0 1% 35-40% Other currencies(2):USD Weighted avera

  24. Slide 24: Cash flow

    For personal use only Cash flow US$ million Dec 14 Dec 15 PBITDA 701.9 664.3 Interest (72.8) (56.8) Tax (69.8) (91.4) Capital expenditure (156.3) (162.2) Movements in working capital (325.0) (264.0) Other 25.0 12.0 Operating cash flow 103.0 101.9 Dividends (253.2) (257.4) Free cash flow (150.2) (155

  25. Slide 25: Finance and cash expectations – FY16

    For personal use only Finance and cash expectations – FY16 Net financing costs between US$165 and US$175 million • Cash costs in line with P&L charge Effective tax rate between 21% and 23% • Cash tax 85-95% of P&L charge Corporate costs US$70 – US$75 million taking into account current exchange rate

  26. Slide 26: Working capital performance

    For personal use only Working capital performance Amcor average working capital to sales (1) (%) 9.8% 10.0% 9.5% 9.0% 9.2% 8.2% Dec 10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Working capital to sales ratio continues to improve (1) Working capital to sales for December 2013, 2014 and 2015 exclude the deme

  27. Slide 27: Debt profile

    For personal use only Debt profile Drawn at 31 US$ million Facility Dec 2015(1) Debt currency profile Overdrafts/Leases 130 Commercial paper(2) 958 Other CY2016 350 342 13% Euro 26% CY2017 100 100 CY2018 1,298 1,043 CY2019 1,348 598 AUD CY2020 674 215 19% CY2021 277 277 CY2022 - - CY2023 349 349 (1)

  28. Slide 28: Focused portfolio and balanced global footprint

    For personal use only Focused portfolio and balanced global footprint FY15 Sales FY15 Sales Australia, NZ 5% Emerging Rigid Markets Plastics 32%(1) 35% Western Europe 32% Flexibles 65% Nth America 31% 1. Includes Amcor share of AMVIG sales Focused portfolio Global footprint 28

  29. Slide 29: Focused portfolio – by substrate and end market

    For personal use only Focused portfolio – by substrate and end market FY15 sales by substrate FY15 sales by end market Aluminium Home & Personal Other 14% care 2% 3% Healthcare Food 14% 32% Fibre 14% Tobacco Packaging 14% Plastics 72% Beverage 34% Common substrates Defensive end markets 29

  30. Slide 30: Historic performance – Half yearly sales revenue

    For personal use only Historic performance – Half yearly sales revenue Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec (million) 08 09 09 10 10 11 11 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 15 Flexibles € 935 869 869 1,940 2,248 2,329 2,272 2,411 2,534 2,553 2,467 2,529 2,521 2,711 2,706 Rigid Plastics US$

  31. Slide 31: Historic performance – Half yearly PBIT

    For personal use only Historic performance – Half yearly PBIT Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec (million) 08 09 09 10 10 11 11 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 15 Flexibles € 69 80 81 171 198 252 246 281 280 308 289 317 308 344 321 Rigid US$ 82 103 82 104 101 139 117 156 128 159 128 17

  32. Slide 32: Historic performance – Average funds employed

    For personal use only Historic performance – Average funds employed (million) Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec 08 09 09 10 10 11 11 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 15 Flexibles € 1,033 1,009 981 1,463 2,195 2,209 2,195 2,199 2,447 2,457 2,515 2,498 2,529 2,560 2,611 Rigid US$ 1,655 1

  33. Slide 33: Flexibles – Historic performance half yearly sales

    For personal use only Flexibles – Historic performance half yearly sales Sales Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec € million 08 09 09 10 10 11 11 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 15 Europe, Middle East 654 620 589 1,360 1,552 1,604 1,492 1,558 1,503 1,563 1,475 1,556 1,231 1,341 1,315 an

  34. Slide 34: Flexibles – raw material input costs

    For personal use only Flexibles – raw material input costs 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 Resins Aluminium Rolling quarterly weighted average index for Western European Polyethylene & Polyethylene resins and film and PET film expressed in Euro’s Rolling quarterly average index for LME aluminium p

  35. Slide 35: Rigid Plastics – Historic performance half yearly sales

    For personal use only Rigid Plastics – Historic performance half yearly sales Sales Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec US$ 08 09 09 10 10 11 11 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 15 million North America 845 834 647 815 982 1,203 1,104 1,245 998 1,172 963 1,150 965 1,113 988 Latin America

  36. Slide 36: Rigid Plastics – product mix

    For personal use only Rigid Plastics – product mix North America Sales revenue (1) Total Sales revenue (1) Latin America Sales revenue (1) USD 988 million USD 1,562 million USD 497 million 21% 16% 24% 37% 47% 19% 65% 34% 39% CSDW Custom Diversified Products (1) Sales for the half year ended 31 Decem

  37. Slide 37: Rigid Plastics – North America

    For personal use only Rigid Plastics – North America Custom Containers Diversified Products 8,000 166 250 13 7,000 (7) 4 6,000 200 Sales revenue (US$ millions) 5,000 Million units 150 7,279 4,000 7,075 235 225 3,000 100 2,000 50 1,000 0 0 H1 2015 Growth H1 2016 H1 2015 Raw material Acquistion Improv

  38. Slide 38: Investments / other

    For personal use only Investments / other PBIT (US$ million) Jun 11 Jun 12 Jun 13 Jun 14 Jun 15 Dec 15 AMVIG 33.7 34.0 26.2 19.8 21.3 11.5 Glass Tubing 18.2 - - - - Corporate costs(1) (71.5) (73.7) (63.7) (59.7) (61.9) (30.2) Total (19.6) (39.7) (37.5) (39.8) (40.6) (18.7) Corporate costs for FY16 e

  39. Slide 39: Historical acquisitions

    For personal use only Historical acquisitions Business group Country Completion Currency Acquisition price EBITDA Acquired sales Synergy: date (Local currency Multiple (Local currency Acquired millions) millions) sales Alcan Packaging Flexibles Global H2 2010 USD 1,948 5.1 4,100 5% Alcan Medical Fle

  40. Slide 40: Non-IFRS information

    For personal use only Non-IFRS information The following notes provide further details of certain non-IFRS financial measures used throughout this presentation: Operating cash flow is cash flow from operating activities calculated in accordance with IFRS and extracted from Amcor’s financial statemen

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