Msci Inc. · NYSE:MSCI

Msci — Q2 2023 Earnings Presentation

38 slides from Msci's earnings presentation, Jul 25, 2023

  1. Slide 1: Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Presentation

    Second Quarter 2023 EARNINGS PRESENTATION July 25, 2023 © 2023 MSCI Inc. All rights reserved.

  2. Slide 2: Forward-Looking Statements

    Forward-Looking Statements • This earnings presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including without limitation, MSCI’s full-year 2023 guidance. These forward-looking statements relate to future events or to future

  3. Slide 3: Other Information

    Other Information • Percentage changes and totals in this earnings presentation may not sum due to rounding. • Percentage changes refer to the comparable period in 2022, unless otherwise noted. • All financial figures for the three months ended June 30, 2023 are unaudited unless otherwise noted. • F

  4. Slide 4: MSCI Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Call Participants

    MSCI Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Call Participants Henry Fernandez Baer Pettit Andy Wiechmann Jeremy Ulan Chairman & CEO President & COO Chief Financial Officer Head of IR & Treasurer 4

  5. Slide 5: Financial & Strategic Highlights

    Financial & Strategic Highlights

  6. Slide 6: 2Q23 Financial Results Snapshot

    2Q23 Financial Results Snapshot Robust earnings growth reflecting all weather franchise As of June 30, 2023 As of June 30, 2023 2Q23 Operating Revenues 2Q23 Operating Revenues Subscription Run Rate Subscription Run Rate (reported) (organic) Growth (reported) Growth (organic) +13% +13% +12% +11% 2Q23

  7. Slide 7: Strong Performance Across Regions

    Strong Performance Across Regions 2Q23 Subscription Run Rate by Region Americas EMEA APAC +9% +15% +13% $835M YoY $735M YoY $322M YoY Organic: $835M; +9% YoY Organic : $727M; +13% YoY Organic : $323M; +13% YoY 2Q23 Recurring Net New Subscription Sales by Region Americas EMEA APAC -22% $20M -17% $11M

  8. Slide 8: 2Q23 Operating Highlights

    2Q23 Operating Highlights (US$ in millions) +10% Total Run Rate • $2.4B of Total Run Rate across MSCI Organic +11% • 38th consecutive quarter of double-digit Asset-Based Fees Run Rate growth for Index subscription run rate. $2,450 $2,213 +10% • Quarterly Retention rate of 95.5%. Organic Analytics re

  9. Slide 9: Significant Recurring Revenue Model with Global Client Base

    Significant Recurring Revenue Model with Global Client Base Operating Revenues Mix MSCI Subscription Run Rate MSCI Subscription Run Rate Quarter Ended 06/30/2023 as of 06/30/2023 by Geography as of 06/30/2023 by Client Base by Segment by Type Wealth All Other – Private Assets 6% Non-Recurring 4% F&O

  10. Slide 10: Emerging Growth Opportunities

    Emerging Growth Opportunities Run Rate (US$ in millions) $384 06/30/2022 06/30/2023 $325 $151 $138 $91 $94 $95 $78 $83 $81 $55 $59 $62 $55 Insurance Climate 1 Fixed Income 2 Futures & Options 3 Wealth Management 4 Private Assets ESG (ex. Climate) 5 Expanding in attractive additional addressable mark

  11. Slide 11: 2Q23 Summary Financial Results

    2Q23 Summary Financial Results (US$ in thousands, except per share data) For the Three Months Ended June 30, (Unaudited) 2023 2022 YoY% Change Operating revenues $ 621,157 $ 551,806 12.6 % Operating income $ 345,953 $ 300,381 15.2 % Operating margin % 55.7 % 54.4 % Net income $ 247,825 $ 210,587 17.

  12. Slide 12: 2Q23 Segment Operating Revenues

    2Q23 Segment Operating Revenues (US$ in millions) ESG & Climate All Other – Index Analytics (Reportable Segment) Private Assets 13% +6% +29% +12% Organic Organic Organic Organic 13% $362.3 +6% $320.9 $23.4 $149.9 +29% $71.2 +11% $9.0 $141.7 $2.4 $1.2 $37.8 $2.2 $34.0 $0.3 $138.2 $55.1 $0.2 $132.2 $1

  13. Slide 13: 2Q23: Organic Subscription Run Rate Growth of 11%

    2Q23: Organic Subscription Run Rate Growth of 11% (US$ in millions) Index Subscription Analytics ESG & Climate All Other – (Reportable Segment) Private Assets +12% +6% +24% +9% +12% $818.8 Organic Organic Organic Organic +7% +26% $732.1 $71.4 +16% $96.0 $631.2 $592.0 $57.4 $83.0 $115.5 +17% +9% $98.

  14. Slide 14: Index Segment: Asset-Based Fees Details

    Index Segment: Asset-Based Fees Details (US$ in millions, except AUM in billions and Average BPS) Asset-based Fees (ABF) Revenue Quarterly Average AUM and Period-End Basis Point Quarter-End AUM by Market Exposure3 of Fee2 of ETFs linked to MSCI Equity Indexes ETFs linked to MSCI Equity Indexes Futur

  15. Slide 15: 2Q23 QoQ AUM Drivers: MSCI-Linked Equity ETFs

    2Q23 QoQ AUM Drivers: MSCI-Linked Equity ETFs (US$ in billions) By Geographic Exposure By Product ESG & Climate $12.1 U.S. $23.2 Factors $5.9 DM ex. U.S. $19.6 Market Cap $30.5 Weighted EM $5.7 $3.1 $2.5 $5.2 $15.6 $48.4 $48.4 $11.0 $0.0 $ 1,372.5 $1,372.5 Cash inflows / (outflows): $18.7 Cash inflo

  16. Slide 16: 2Q23 YoY AUM Drivers: MSCI-Linked Equity ETFs

    2Q23 YoY AUM Drivers: MSCI-Linked Equity ETFs (US$ in billions) By Geographic Exposure $45.0 U.S. DM ex. $83.4 U.S. $8.2 EM $24.2 $136.6 $31.6 $(9.4) $ 1,372.5 Cash inflows / (outflows): $46.4 $1,189.5 2Q22 Ending U.S. Developed Markets Emerging Markets Market Change 2Q23 Ending AUM ex. U.S. AUM 16

  17. Slide 17: Strong Market Movement and Momentum in Cashflows Continues

    Strong Market Movement and Momentum in Cashflows Continues (US$ in billions) 9M22: MSCI-linked equity ETF AUM 4Q18: MSCI-linked equity ETF balance declined 26% vs Dec-21 amid AUM of ETFs linked to MSCI Equity Indexes AUM balance declined 9% high inflation, interest rate hikes, Total QoQ amid concern

  18. Slide 18: Listed Futures & Options Linked to MSCI Indexes

    Listed Futures & Options Linked to MSCI Indexes Run Rate From Listed Futures & Options Futures & Options Volume Linked Linked to MSCI Indexes to MSCI Indexes (US$ in millions) (in millions of contracts traded1) $62.2 $60.3 31.5 30.8 $59.0 $58.1 29.5 29.3 $55.0 28.0 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 2Q22 3Q22

  19. Slide 19: Adjusted Earnings Per Share Growth Drivers

    Adjusted Earnings Per Share Growth Drivers (US$ in per share amounts) Business Growth Capital Activities Tax, FX1 and Other +17.3% $0.44 $0.08 ($0.04) YoY ($0.26) $0.02 ($0.03) $3.26 $0.06 ($0.01) $0.70 $2.78 2Q22 Revenue Expenses Sharecount Net Interest & Tax Rate Net Fx Impact/ 2Q23 Adjusted EPS O

  20. Slide 20: Strong Balance Sheet Provides Optionality

    Strong Balance Sheet Provides Optionality (US$ in millions, unless otherwise noted) Cash1 and Debt as of 06/30/2023 • In 2Q23, returned $550.4M to shareholders through share repurchases of $440.8M and quarterly dividends of $109.6M. Total Cash $792M • Strong balance sheet provides optionality Total

  21. Slide 21: Full-Year 2023 Guidance

    Full-Year 2023 Guidance Full-Year 2023 Guidance Item Previous Guidance Current Guidance Operating Expense $1,090 to $1,130 million $1,090 to $1,130 million Adjusted EBITDA Expense $965 to $995 million $965 to $995 million Interest Expense1 $184 to $187 million $185 to $187 million (including amortiz

  22. Slide 22: Q&A

    Q&A

  23. Slide 23: Additional Information

    Additional Information

  24. Slide 24: Continued Resilient Key Operating Metrics

    Continued Resilient Key Operating Metrics YoY Recurring Subscription Run Rate Growth (as Reported and Organic) 17% 18% 18% 18% 14% 13% 10%10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 11% 10% 10% 10% 10% 11% 12% 12% 12% 14% 14% 11% 10% 10% 11% 12% 13% 12% 12% 12% 11% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 7% 7% 8% 8% 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19

  25. Slide 25: 2Q18 to 2Q23 YoY Segment Run Rate Growth

    2Q18 to 2Q23 YoY Segment Run Rate Growth Index 45% 49% 37% 21% 27% 27% 13% 11% 12% 11% 11% 11% 13% 17% 15% 12% 13% 12% 12% 12% 10% 12% 11% 5% 9% 11% 10% 11% 11% 11% 11% 12% 12% 7% 1% 4% 5% -2% -4% -13% -13% -7% 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22

  26. Slide 26: 2Q18 to 2Q23 YoY Segment Run Rate Growth

    2Q18 to 2Q23 YoY Segment Run Rate Growth ESG & Climate 44% 46% 47% 50% 47% 42% 42% 36% 37% 29% 29% 28% 28% 31% 30% 25% 25% 25% 26% 24% 42% 46% 44% 47% 26% 39% 41% 28% 28% 33% 33% 34% 24% 27% 23% 27% 26% 29% 24% 23% 22% 24% 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q

  27. Slide 27: Geographic Market Exposures Of MSCI-Linked ETFs Increasingly Diversified Over Time

    Geographic Market Exposures Of MSCI-Linked ETFs Increasingly Diversified Over Time Mix of MSCI linked equity ETF AUM balance by geographic exposure % US DM Ex US EM 22% 26% 27% 26% 33% 30% 29% 32% 29% 30% 26% 42% 44% 44% 45% 46% 58% 51% 46% 43% 50% 51% 47% 53% 46% 43% 23% 25% 27% 30% 28% 28% 20% 20%

  28. Slide 28: Significant Growth Across ESG and Climate Franchise

    Significant Growth Across ESG and Climate Franchise AUM in ETFs Linked to MSCI ESG and Climate Equity ESG & Climate Run Rates Across all Segments1 Indexes ESG Subscription Climate Subscription (US$ in billions) ESG ABF Climate ABF U.S. $14.1 +26% $478 $30 +127% DM ex. U.S. $14.3 $64 +53% $2.5 $380 E

  29. Slide 29: Long-term Targets

    Long-term Targets Revenue Adj. EBITDA Expense Adj. EBITDA Adj. EBITDA Growth Rate1 Growth Rate Growth Rate Margin % High Single Digit MSCI Low Double Digit to Low Double Low to Mid Teens High 50s Digit Index Low Double Digit Low Double Digit Analytics High Single Digit Mid Single Digit ESG & Climate

  30. Slide 30: Appendix

    Appendix

  31. Slide 31: Use of Operating Metrics

    Use of Operating Metrics • MSCI has presented supplemental key operating metrics as part of this earnings presentation, including Retention Rate, Run Rate, subscription sales, subscription cancellations and non- recurring sales. • Retention Rate is an important metric because subscription cancellati

  32. Slide 32: Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures • MSCI has presented supplemental non-GAAP financial measures as part of this earnings presentation. Reconciliations are provided in the following slides below that reconcile each non-GAAP financial measure with the most comparable GAAP measure. The non-GAAP financ

  33. Slide 33: Reconciliation of Net Income to Adjusted EBITDA (UNAUDITED)

    Reconciliation of Net Income to Adjusted EBITDA (UNAUDITED) (1) Incremental and non-recurring costs attributable to acquisitions directly related to the execution of the transaction and integration of the acquired business that have occurred no later than 12 months after the close of the transaction

  34. Slide 34: Reconciliation of Net Income and Diluted EPS to Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EPS

    Reconciliation of Net Income and Diluted EPS to Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EPS (UNAUDITED) (1) Incremental and non-recurring costs attributable to acquisitions directly related to the execution of the transaction and integration of the acquired business that have occurred no later than 12 mont

  35. Slide 35: Reconciliation of Operating Expenses to Adjusted EBITDA Expenses (UNAUDITED)

    Reconciliation of Operating Expenses to Adjusted EBITDA Expenses (UNAUDITED) (1) We have not provided a full line-item reconciliation for total operating expenses to adjusted EBITDA expenses for this future period because we believe such a reconciliation would imply a degree of precision and certain

  36. Slide 36: Reconciliation of Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities to Free Cash Flow

    Reconciliation of Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities to Free Cash Flow (UNAUDITED) (1) We have not provided a line-item reconciliation for free cash flow to net cash from operating activities for this future period because we believe such a reconciliation would imply a degree of precision and

  37. Slide 37: Second Quarter 2023 Reconciliation of Operating Revenue Growth to Organic Growth

    Second Quarter 2023 Reconciliation of Operating Revenue Growth to Organic Operating Revenue Growth (UNAUDITED) 37

  38. Slide 38: Six Months 2023 Reconciliation of Operating Revenue Growth to Organic Growth

    Six Months 2023 Reconciliation of Operating Revenue Growth to Organic Operating Revenue Growth (UNAUDITED) 38

MSCI — Q2 2023 Earnings Presentation on 6ix