Advtech Limited · JSE:ADH

Advtech — FY2017 Earnings Presentation

85 slides from Advtech's earnings presentation, March 2018

  1. Slide 1: ACvieCcH

    ACvieCcH GROUP

  2. Slide 2: Agenda

    Agenda Results Financials Academic excellence Schools division Tertiary division Resourcing division Africa Prospects Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  3. Slide 3: Good results: Trading Performance Summary

    Good results Trading Performance Summary Trading Normalised Trading Operational Earnings Revenue Profit Per Share 23% 20% 20% Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  4. Slide 4: Segmental Trading Performance

    Segmental Trading Performance Schools Tertiary Resourcing Revenue 15% 26% 40% Operating Profit 3% 44% 59% Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  5. Slide 5: Growth

    Growth Group 2016 2017 2018 STUDENTS 63 544 60 176 53 337 122 EDUCATIONAL SITES 117 98 Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  6. Slide 6: Growth

    Growth STUDENTS 2016 2017 2018 92 475 Including Oxbridge + University of Africa 63 544 60 176 53 337 122 EDUCATIONAL SITES 117 98 Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  7. Slide 7: Bad debt

    Bad debt Tough economic environment Schools Tertiary Pressure on <1% <3% consumers Well managed and under control Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  8. Slide 8: Financial overview

    Financial overview athe

  9. Slide 9: The reported incident of fraud

    The reported incident of fraud  Total of R48.1 million, perpetrated over a three year period starting in 2015  Overstatement of revenue & understatement of costs  R35.5 million after tax impact  Theft of cash - R5.0 million of which R2.0 million has been secured  Criminal & civil charges being

  10. Slide 10: Impact of fraud

    Impact of fraud 12 Months to 12 Months to 6 Months to 6 Months to Total Amount 31 December 2015 31 December 2016 30 June 2017 31 December R’m R’m R’m R’m 2017 Name Rm’ Revenue overstated - (9.3) (5.1) (2.5) (16.9) Expenses Understated (Including the cash loss of (6.7) (15.1) (2.9) (6.5) (31.2) R5.0

  11. Slide 11: Group Trading Revenue

    Group Trading Revenue +23% 4500 4096 4000 3500 3353 3000 2705 2500 R’m 1932 2000 1766 1500 1000 500 0 13 14 15 16 17 Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  12. Slide 12: Group Trading operating profit

    Group Trading operating profit +20% 800 700 671 600 560 500 448.0 R’m 400 300 256 222 200 100 0 13 14 15 16 17 Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  13. Slide 13: Group trading operating margin

    Group Group trading operating margin 18% 17% 16% 16% 16% 14% 13% 13% 12% 10% • Growth Capex R’m • Capacity utilisation 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 13 14 15 16 17 Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  14. Slide 14: Group NEPS

    Group NEPS +20% 80 75.8 70 63.3 60 53.9 50 42.3 Cents 40 37.9 30 20 10 0 13 14 15 16 17 Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  15. Slide 15: Group Cash flow generation

    Group Cash flow generation 900 Cash generated by operations 811 800 Cash from operations 738 +37% 700 600 558 500 R’m 400 400 363 286 291 300 223 200 200 93 100 0 13 14 15 16 17 Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  16. Slide 16: Free operating cash flow before capex

    Group Free operating cash flow before capex +28% 700 597 600 500 468 400 338 R’m 297 300 196 200 100 0 13 14 15 16 17 Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  17. Slide 17: Capex and acquisitions

    Group Capex and acquisitions CAPEX AND ACQUISITIONS R'm Acquisitions 215.6 - Glenwood House - Summit College - The Private Hotel School - University of Africa - Greenwood Bay College - Elkanah House Capex Projects 718.0 5 Site Acquisitions 226.3 3 New Schools 114.4 Student Management and Finance Sys

  18. Slide 18: Net cash position

    Group Net cash position 13 14 15 16 17 0 -200 -202 -400 -436 -600 -800 R’m -1000 -1200 -1110 -1157 -1400 -1600 -1617 -1800 Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  19. Slide 19: Tough Economic Times - 2017

    Tough Economic Times - 2017 GDP growth last 5 years 1.5% GDP growth last 3 years 1% 135k formal jobs lost Q4 2017 IMF World Economic Outlook: SA expected to remain below 1% GDP growth SA business confidence 2018 highest Unemployment increase STATS SA Q4: 26,5% Since 1970s

  20. Slide 20: Operating Environment

    Operating Environment School market Total SA enrolments 12 932 000 Public 2016 12 342 000 enrolments: +6% 2000 11 647 000 Independent 2016 590 000 enrolments: +130% 2000 256 000 Higher Education market size Total estimated higher education enrolment SA 1 132 000 Public higher 2015 985 000 education:

  21. Slide 21: Strategic Imperatives

    Strategic Imperatives SOCIO-ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT Growth > Organic and Acquisitive > Channel Africa > Product > Segment > Geographic Excellence through specialisation > Niche market focus REGULATION REPUTATION > Benchmarking Academic excellence > Database > Teaching & learning development > Benchmark

  22. Slide 22: Academic Excellence

    Academic Excellence a ha

  23. Slide 23: 2017 Matric results

    Academic Excellence 2017 Matric results 1.6 1 754 2 866 Average distinctions Matriculants Distinctions Per candidate Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  24. Slide 24: Schools academic results comparison

    Academic Excellence Schools academic results comparison NSC IEB ADvTECH ADvTECH Competitor Competitor ADvTECH NSC IEB NSC 2017 NSC IEB 2017 IEB Group Schools Schools 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 Number of matrics 824 530 1 144 1 224 1 754 Matric pass rate 75% 98% 99% 100% 99% Bachelor pass rate 29% 42%

  25. Slide 25: Academic focus: Strategic Areas

    Academic Excellence Academic focus: 4 Strategic Areas CURRICULUM The Department of Basic Education (DBE). Curriculum Assessment Policy Statements (CAPS). Independent Examinations Board (IEB). Cambridge International (Cambridge). Early Years Foundation Stage (EYFS) CORE SKILLS / GLOBAL COMPETENCIES I

  26. Slide 26: GoLab programme at schools

    Academic Excellence GoLab programme at schools Critical Thinking Skills Creative and Innovative Thinking Skills Problem Solving Skills Analytical Skills Computational Thinking Skills Design Thinking Skills “GO Lab empowers learners with 21st- Century Skill Sets and hands-on Helps to address the Unit

  27. Slide 27: Differentiators

    Differentiators The IIE central Regulation, accreditation & operations academic team Portfolio of brands Centralised academic structures Market segmentation and Development of qualifications differentiation Unique value proposition and offerings Centralised systems Public universities, 200+ Tertiary

  28. Slide 28: Accredited courses by category

    Academic Excellence Accredited courses by category THE PRIVATE THE HOTEL UNIVERSITY IIE CAPSICUM SCHOOL OXBRIDGE OF AFRICA 99 5 13 17 31 1 MASTERS 5 VOCATIONAL 2 DIPLOMAS 17 VOCATIONAL 2 PHDs 11 HONOURS TRAINING 2 HIGHER TRAINING 9 MASTERS 27 DEGREES COURSES CERTIFICATES COURSES 20 DEGREES 34 DIPLOM

  29. Slide 29: Tertiary academic results

    Academic Excellence Tertiary academic results 18% 82% 72% 12% Average Average Average Average module module throughput dropout distinction pass rate pass rate rate rate Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  30. Slide 30: International and employer recognition

    Academic Excellence International and employer recognition 2 363 of our graduates were placed in first time employment through our Graduate Empowerment Programme Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  31. Slide 31: Strategic Imperatives – Graduate Placement

    Strategic Imperatives – Graduate Placement International & Employer Recognition Loerie Awards 2 Gold New Blood 2 Silver 4 Finalists Pencil 4 Bronze Winner Future IAB Bookmark Winner Black Pixel National 3 Gold Award Award Instagram pack Hack Finalists Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 D

  32. Slide 32: Academic system

    Academic system Integrated system utilised by schools and tertiary Cloud-based ADMIN Differentiated Academic SYSTEM Scalable System Centralised Flexible Accessible Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  33. Slide 33: Student information system

    Student information system Why this why now? One system Seamless Improves from integration service to Kindergarten – with other the customer Postgrad systems Easy to Replaces Enables operate across legacy data-driven geographies systems decisions and regulatory environments Annual Financial Results

  34. Slide 34: Academic intelligence - KITSO

    Academic intelligence - KITSO Setting module targets Target tracking Benchmarked by: • Students • Lecturers / Teachers • Campuses Cohort qualifications dashboard Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  35. Slide 35: Schools division

    Schools division aerest

  36. Slide 36: Schools Trading Revenue

    Schools Trading Revenue +15% 2000 1876 1800 1644 1600 1432 1400 1200 R’m 1000 915 819 800 600 400 200 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  37. Slide 37: Schools Trading profit – Normalised

    Schools Trading profit – Normalised +3% 350 330 321 300 292 250 200 R’m 157 162 150 100 50 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  38. Slide 38: Schools Capacity Table

    Schools Capacity Table Schools capacity - end of February Feb-15 Feb-16 Feb-17 Feb-18 Students enrolled ('000) 22,9 24,2 26,7 27,4 Existing building capacity ('000) 26,9 28,6 31,2 33,0 % Existing building capacity utilised 85% 85% 86% 83% Ultimate potential site capacity ('000) 34,3 37,0 41,5 45,2 %

  39. Slide 39: Schools Trading operating margin

    Schools Trading operating margin 25% 20% 20% 20% 19% 18% 18% Impact of: 15% • Added R’m capacities not 10% yet filled. 5% 0% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  40. Slide 40: Schools Focus Areas

    Schools Focus Areas Growth Academic Excellence Structure & Systems Efficiencies Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  41. Slide 41: Schools Growth

    Schools Challenge Response Growth • Tough economic climate • Customer & learner experience • Emigration / semigration • Value proposition • Increasing competition • Improved onboarding • Limited pipeline • Stronger greenfield pipeline • Premium school bias • New school models • Geographic imbalance

  42. Slide 42: Student enrolment drivers

    Schools Student enrolment drivers Emigration / Semigration Financial pressure 29% 43% Jan Dec Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  43. Slide 43: Student enrolment drivers: Enrolments remain strong

    Schools Student enrolment drivers Enrolments remain strong Challenge is to minimise leavers • Market share – Value proposition remains competitive • Academic excellence – Academic performance focus • New Product Growth • Financial – Mid fee • Semigration – Increasing regional footprint Annual Financ

  44. Slide 44: Student enrolment drivers: sensitivity

    Schools Student enrolment drivers Additional volume growth Schools sensitivity 2017 Actual 1% 2% Revenue 1 866 1 890 1 908 Increase over 2017 14% 15% 16% Trading Operating Profit 330 354 372 Increase over 2017 3% 7% 13% Operating Margin 18% 19% 20% Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 Dece

  45. Slide 45: Strong pipeline

    Schools Strong pipeline 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 SCHOOLS CAMPUSES (end Feb) 47 47 49 53 59 60 SCHOOLS BY PHASE (end Feb) 89 94 104 114 122 NEW MID-FEE SCHOOLS BY PHASE (included) 4 3 8 6 NEW PREMIUM FEE SCHOOLS BY PHASE 3 7 2 2 (included) Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  46. Slide 46: New product development: Learning Assist

    Schools New product development Learning Assist: The Bridge • Grade 0 - 7 • Opportunities • Gauteng, Northern • West Rand suburbs • Opened 2018 Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  47. Slide 47: Expanding footprint: Western Cape

    Schools Expanding footprint: Western Cape Elkanah House Student # 1 384 5 schools Greenwood Glenwood Bay House Student # Student # 349 831 3 Schools Abbotts 3 Schools College *Numbers at Feb 2018 Student # 557 Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017 2 Schools

  48. Slide 48: New developments: Mooikloof High School

    Schools New developments Mooikloof High School (2018) Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  49. Slide 49: New developments

    Schools New developments Wilgespruit (2019) Kyalami (2019) Glenvista (2019) Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  50. Slide 50: Schools

    Schools Copperleaf College grew by 94% Mid-fee growth Founders Hill grew by is excellent 89% Impacted negatively by: Fraud, emigration and financial pressure

  51. Slide 51: Schools Academic Excellence

    Schools Academic Challenge Response Excellence • Entrench our position as • Academic enhancement market leader through learning analytics • Relevant curricula • Life skills development • Technology investment • Leverage technology in teaching & learning How + What • Advanced SIS • Benchmarking • Cla

  52. Slide 52: Structural / System Efficiencies

    Schools Structural / System Challenge Response Efficiencies • Restructure for growth & • Complete review of brand structures & support functions efficiencies • New accounting & student • Numerous outdated systems information system with limited functionality and lack of integration How + What • New

  53. Slide 53: Finance structure & process changes

    Schools Finance structure & process changes Historic landscape New landscape Aging accounting systems on remote Single finance system on central servers server Time consuming consolidation & Quick & accurate consolidation & reporting reporting Numerous COAs, ledgers and Single COA, significantly red

  54. Slide 54: Tertiary division

    Tertiary division aga

  55. Slide 55: Tertiary Revenue

    Tertiary Revenue +26% 1800 1580 1600 1400 1253 1200 982 1000 R’m 827 800 751 600 400 200 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  56. Slide 56: Tertiary Operating profit

    Tertiary Operating profit +44% 350 321 300 250 223 200 R’m 150 135 100 84 48 50 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  57. Slide 57: Tertiary Operating margin

    Tertiary Operating margin 25% 20.3% 20% 17.8% 15% 13.7% R’m 10.2% 10% 6.4% 5% 0% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  58. Slide 58: Tertiary Segment Growth

    Tertiary Segment Growth Leading hospitality education provider Founded January Fully integrated Excellent 80% acquisition 2 Campuses opportunity for 2006 Stellenbosch campus expansion Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  59. Slide 59: Tertiary

    Tertiary Largest chef school in SA with a national footprint 6 Campuses Integration with 100% Acquisition Founded 2003 Nationally PHS Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  60. Slide 60: Tertiary Segment Growth

    Tertiary Segment Growth New hospitality campus in Rosebank 2018 Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  61. Slide 61: Tertiary: 35% growth

    Tertiary Distance learning provider Degrees, Masters, PHD Lusaka, Zambia Leadership in Africa’s development 35% growth 51% Acquisition Commerce and Education Engineering and Law and management Bio Science Humanities Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  62. Slide 62: Tertiary

    Tertiary Wide range of skills development distance online learning courses National Qualification Framework (NQF) Short learning programme Online courses 27 000+ Students Flexible and accessible vocational education X% Growth Opportunity to Superb distance expand and Support, procedures leverage dis

  63. Slide 63: Tertiary

    Tertiary Quality, affordable education that leads to employment Mega Campus Connected Campuses Polokwane Bloemfontein (2018) Pietermaritzburg (2018) 7 Campuses IT Information & School of Commerce Humanities communication education Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  64. Slide 64: Tertiary

    Tertiary Best of teaching & learning practice, combined with a comprehensive student experience 85% pass rate for the SAICA ITC 8 Campuses board exams School of School of School of Finance School of Law Psychology and Management & Accounting Communication Annual Financial Results for the year ended

  65. Slide 65: Tertiary

    Tertiary The leading creative industry education experience Loerie Awards High industry credibility and reputation Voted #1 by the Loerie Awards Brand Design: management & Digital marketing Creative design communication Gaming | Fashion | Interior Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 Decem

  66. Slide 66: Resourcing division

    Resourcing division ADveCH

  67. Slide 67: Resourcing Growth

    Resourcing Growth SA markets Endorses our Africa Africa revenue strategy Superb growth to diversify and Grew market share Dollar based in a declining market explore alternative markets Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  68. Slide 68: Resourcing Revenue

    Resourcing Revenue +40% 700 644 600 500 461 400 R’m 297 300 200 194 200 100 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  69. Slide 69: Resourcing Operating profit

    Resourcing Operating profit +59% 35 32 30 29 25 20 20 18 18 R’m 15 10 5 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  70. Slide 70: Resourcing Operating margin

    Resourcing Operating margin 12% 9.8% 10% 9.4% 9.1% 8% R’m 6% 5.0% 4.4% 4% 2% 0% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  71. Slide 71: Africa

    Africa

  72. Slide 72: Operating Environment: African Education Market

    Operating Environment African Education Market Currently 2/5 of population Population will double to 2.4bn by 2050 age is 0-14 years 1/5 1.2bn will need education between 15-24 years 66mn scholars in private “Private higher education proves to be one of the Education by 2021 fastest growing sectors

  73. Slide 73: Expansion into the rest of Africa

    Expansion into the rest of Africa Geographic growth 30% revenue 2020 11% of revenue generated outside SA’s borders Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  74. Slide 74: Expansion into the rest of Africa: Kenya

    Expansion into the rest of Africa Kenya Population: -48.5million Economic: ⁻5.8% GDP growth 2016 ⁻6.1% GDP growth forecast 2019 ⁻$3156 GDP per capita 2016 (PPP Current international $) Market: ⁻28% Population growth last 10 years ⁻41% of population between ages 0-14 ⁻19% of population between ages 1

  75. Slide 75: Nairobi, Kenya: Congestion: classic city issues

    Expansion into the rest of Africa Nairobi, Kenya Congestion: classic city issues Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  76. Slide 76: Satellite City – Tatu City

    Expansion into the rest of Africa Nairobi, Kenya Satellite City – Tatu City Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  77. Slide 77: Copperleaf Academy Tatu City

    Expansion into the rest of Africa Copperleaf Academy (2017) Tatu City Nairobi, Kenya Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  78. Slide 78: Crawford International School

    Expansion into the rest of Africa Crawford International School Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  79. Slide 79: Africa development partner

    Expansion into the rest of Africa Africa development partner Largest urban developer in Africa 12 000 hectares under development in Africa Democratic Kenya Ghana Republic of Zambia Nigeria Congo (DRC) Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  80. Slide 80: Dividends per Share

    Dividend Dividends per Share 40.0 35.0 • Strong cash generation 30.0 • Increased capex pipeline 25.0 17.0 19.0 19.0 0% • Balance between preserving cash for 20.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 development projects and 10.0 11% shareholder returns 5.0 10.5 11.0 12.5 13.5 15.0 • Likely to continue increasing dividend

  81. Slide 81: Prospects

    Prospects STE

  82. Slide 82: Prospects

    Prospects Strong performance Clear focus on academic excellence Good growth opportunities Cash ROI ahead of cost generation of capital Annual Financial Results for the year ended 31 December 2017

  83. Slide 83: Prospects: Improved sentiment

    Prospects New President: New Minister of Cyril Ramaphosa Higher Education: Naledi Pandor Improved sentiment Cabinet reshuffle Hope to avoid The Bureau for Economic IMF World Economic Outlook Research: business 2018: Sub-Saharan-Africa ratings downgrade confidence up by highest GDP growth forecast 20

  84. Slide 84: Questions?

    Questions?

  85. Slide 85: GROUP

    GROUP

ADvTECH Group — FY2017 Earnings Presentation on 6ix