Ameren Corporation · NYSE:AEE

Ameren — Q4 2024 Earnings Presentation

38 slides from Ameren's earnings presentation, Feb 14, 2025

  1. Slide 1: Powering Growth: Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings

    Powering Growth Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Feb. 14, 2025

  2. Slide 2: Cautionary Statements

    Cautionary Statements Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures In this presentation, Ameren has presented adjusted earnings per share, which is a non-GAAP measure and may not be comparable to those of other companies. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP information is included in this presentation. Gener

  3. Slide 3: Strategic and Business Update

    Strategic and Business Update Marty Lyons Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer, Ameren Corp.

  4. Slide 4: Our Strategic Plan

    Our Strategic Plan INVEST ENHANCE OPTIMIZE Enhance regulatory Invest in rate-regulated Optimize operating frameworks and advocate energy infrastructure performance for responsible policies To capitalize on opportunities to benefit our customers, communities, shareholders and the environment 2024 Res

  5. Slide 5: Successfully Executed 2024 Strategic Business Objectives

    Successfully Executed 2024 Strategic Business Objectives Delivered adjusted 2024 earnings of $4.63 per diluted share; above earnings guidance range midpoint1 Invest ✓ $4.3 billion of infrastructure investment in electric, natural gas and transmission infrastructure projects aligned with regulatory o

  6. Slide 6: Delivering Strong Value to our Customers

    Delivering Strong Value to our Customers Consistently providing customers with reliable, affordable service Improved Reliability1 Affordable Rates2 Strong Outage ¢/KWh Frequency Customer Service 1.00 (per Satisfaction3 1.00 customer +23% 0.98 per year)1 ~10% 16.50 0.95 16 Better 16.00 Below Call Cen

  7. Slide 7: Strong Track Record of EPS and Dividend Growth

    Strong Track Record of EPS and Dividend Growth Weather-Normalized Adjusted Dividends Paid per Share3 Total Shareholder Diluted Earnings per Share1 and Payout as a % of Return $2.90 WN Adjusted EPS 260% $5.00 +124% or +68% 2013 to 2024 $2.84 | 57% $2.70 $4.95 $4.75 248% ~7.6% CAGR $2.68 | 58% $4.50 2

  8. Slide 8: 2025 Strategic Business Objectives

    2025 Strategic Business Objectives Invest • Execute robust electric, natural gas and transmission infrastructure investment plan • File change to Ameren Missouri’s Preferred Resource Plan in the IRP to reliably serve our customers’ growing energy needs Enhance • Request CCN approvals for mix of reli

  9. Slide 9: Expect to Deliver Strong Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth

    Expect to Deliver Strong Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth • Affirm 2025 EPS guidance range of $4.85 to $5.05 – Midpoint of $4.95 represents ~7% EPS growth compared to 2024 results • Remain on track to deliver strong long-term earnings growth – Expect 6% to 8% EPS CAGR from 2025-2029 using 2025 EPS

  10. Slide 10: Executing Our Strategy in 2025 and Beyond

    Executing Our Strategy in 2025 and Beyond Investing in rate-regulated energy infrastructure to benefit our customers, shareholders and the environment • Expect ~9.2% rate base CAGR from 2024-2029; 2025-2029 capital plan of $26.3 billion 2024-2029E Regulated Five-Year Rate – Reflects strategic alloca

  11. Slide 11: Missouri Customer Growth Opportunities

    Missouri Customer Growth Opportunities Strengthening our communities by supplying reliable energy to power economic development • Sales growth expected to increase to ~5.5% Demand Growth Expectations compounded annually over the 5-year plan1 in Ameren Missouri’s IRP 2025 Preferred Plan – Previously

  12. Slide 12: New Missouri Preferred Resource Plan Feb. 2025

    New Missouri Preferred Resource Plan Feb. 20251 Least-cost approach to reliably meet customer energy needs and support economic development • 2025 PRP changes from 2023 PRP: Overall increase of 1.8 GW and $5B by 2030 and 2.3 GW and $7B by 2035 • Load growth: Preferred plan reflects 1.5 GW of load gr

  13. Slide 13: Ameren Missouri New Generation In Progress

    Ameren Missouri New Generation In Progress Reliable, Affordable Energy Through a Balanced Energy Portfolio Anticipated Energy Facility Generation Agreement CCN Developer In-Service Center Size Type Type Status Date Ameren Approved Vandalia1 50 MW Solar Self-Build Q4 2025 Missouri Mar. 2024 Bowling A

  14. Slide 14: MISO Long-Range Transmission Planning Projects

    MISO Long-Range Transmission Planning Projects Supporting resource adequacy across the region amid evolving energy grid needs • MISO approved Tranche 2.1 projects estimated to cost $21.8 billion1 – Portfolio focuses on creating high-voltage transmission highways within the MISO region to maximize va

  15. Slide 15: Proposed Energy Legislative Initiatives

    Proposed Energy Legislative Initiatives Enhancing regulatory frameworks and advocating for responsible energy and economic policies Ameren Missouri • Power Predictability and Reliability Act (SB 4, SB6 and HB 569) – Expands PISA laws to include natural gas generation – Increases PISA deferral to 90%

  16. Slide 16: Robust Investment Opportunities Across All Businesses Over Next Decade

    Robust Investment Opportunities Across All Businesses Over Next Decade Modernizing the grid and investing in a reliable, cleaner energy future Investment Plan 2025-2029 $63B+ ($ billions) Strong Pipeline of Regulated $26.3 Infrastructure Investments $4.6 2025-2034 $1.7 $3.2 • Modernize electric and

  17. Slide 17: Our Value Proposition for Customers, Shareholders and the Environment

    Our Value Proposition for Customers, Shareholders and the Environment Attractive dividend Strong long-term and long-term dividend growth Attractive total growth outlook outlook return potential • Expect 6% to 8% EPS CAGR 2025-20291 • Annualized equivalent dividend rate of • Attractive combined earni

  18. Slide 18: Financial Update

    Financial Update Michael Moehn Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Ameren Corp.

  19. Slide 19: GAAP to Adjusted Earnings Reconciliation

    GAAP to Adjusted Earnings Reconciliation (in millions, except per share amounts) 2023 2024 GAAP Earnings / Diluted EPS $ 1,152 $ 4.38 $ 1,182 $4.42 Charge for additional mitigation relief for Rush Island Energy Center — — 59 0.22 Less: Income tax benefit — — (14) (0.05) Charge, net of tax benefit —

  20. Slide 20: 2024 Adjusted Earnings Analysis Key Variance Drivers

    2024 Adjusted Earnings Analysis Key Variance Drivers1 ↑ Ameren Missouri earnings — Increased investments in infrastructure eligible for PISA and AFUDC: +$0.17 Diluted Adjusted EPS1 — New electric service rates effective July 9, 2023: +$0.09 2023 vs. 2024 — Higher electric retail sales: ~+$0.08 • Wea

  21. Slide 21: Missouri Regulatory Matters

    Missouri Regulatory Matters 2024 Missouri Electric Rate Review Docket: ER-2024-0319 • $446 million annual revenue increase request filed June 2024 with MoPSC Ameren MoPSC Staff - – Test year ended Mar. 31, 2024, with certain pro-forma adjustments through Dec. 31, Key Components Missouri – Direct 202

  22. Slide 22: Illinois Regulatory Matters

    Illinois Regulatory Matters Electric Distribution Rate Review Revised Multi-Year Rate Plan for 2024-2027 • In Dec. 2024, ICC approved revised grid plan and MYRP Average Rate Base reflecting a cumulative revenue increase of $309 million December 2024 Order vs. Proposed Positions compared to Ameren Il

  23. Slide 23: Illinois Regulatory Matters (cont'd)

    Illinois Regulatory Matters (cont’d) Natural Gas Distribution Rate Review • In Jan. 2025, requested a $140 million annual base rate increase – 2026 future test year – 10.7% allowed return on equity and 52% common equity ratio – $3.3 billion average rate base – Expect ICC decision by early Dec. 2025;

  24. Slide 24: Strategically Allocated Rate Base Growth

    Strategically Allocated Rate Base Growth Increased five-year infrastructure investment plan by 20%1 $26.3 Billion of Regulated Infrastructure Investment 2024 to 2029E Regulated Five-Year Rate 2025-20292 Infrastructure Rate Base3,4 Base CAGR4 ($ billions) % of Ameren Illinois $41.9 Total ~9.2% Ameren

  25. Slide 25: Expected 2025-2029 Funding Plan

    Expected 2025-2029 Funding Plan • Cash from Operations – Includes ~$2 billion of income tax deferrals and tax asset utilization – Expect to sell and transfer tax credits worth ~$300 million per year on average to benefit customers – Do not expect corporate minimum tax on adjusted financial statement

  26. Slide 26: Financing Activity, Credit Ratings and External Debt Balances

    Financing Activity Credit Ratings1 and External Debt Balances Approximate Debt Financing for 2025 Expected Issuance As of Dec. 31, 2024 $ in millions Moody's S&P Expected Period Issuer ($M) Q1 Ameren Parent ~$750 Ameren Corporation (Issuer: Baa1/BBB+) Q1 Ameren Illinois ~$350 • Commercial paper $1,0

  27. Slide 27: 2025 Earnings Guidance: Key Drivers & Assumptions vs. 2024

    2025 Earnings Guidance: Key Drivers & Assumptions vs. 2024 Midpoint represents ~7% EPS growth compared to 2024 adjusted earnings results ↑ New electric service rates effective by June 1 ↑ Higher investments in infrastructure eligible for PISA1: ~+$0.16 Ameren ↑ Higher weather-normalized retail sales

  28. Slide 28: Summary

    Summary Expect to deliver strong earnings growth in 2025 with guidance in a range of $4.85 to $5.05 per diluted share Successfully executing our strategy; well-positioned for future growth • Powering economic development through investment in a reliable and cleaner energy grid Strong long-term growt

  29. Slide 29: Appendix

    APPENDIX

  30. Slide 30: Four Regulatory Frameworks

    Four Regulatory Frameworks FERC-regulated: Formula ratemaking Ameren • Allowed ROE is 10.48%, including MISO participation adder of 50 basis points; ~56% average equity ratio Transmission • Rates reset each Jan. 1 based on forward-looking calculation with annual reconciliation ICC-regulated: Future

  31. Slide 31: Change in Ameren Missouri Preferred Resource Plan

    Change in Ameren Missouri Preferred Resource Plan Overall increase of 1.8 GW and $5B1 by 2030 and 2.3 GW and $7B1 by 2035 Key Actions 2023 PRP 2025 PRP Specifics Sioux ~1,000 MW (2032) Sioux ~1,000 MW (by 2035) Coal Retirements Labadie ~1,200 MW (2036) • Sioux retirement extended up to 3 years No ch

  32. Slide 32: Ameren Missouri Smart Energy Plan filed with MoPSC

    Ameren Missouri Smart Energy Plan filed with MoPSC on Feb. 14th Investing in rate regulated energy infrastructure to benefit our customers, shareholders and the environment • $2.7 billion invested in 2024 to support reliability, address aged infrastructure and provide clean energy – Ameren Missouri'

  33. Slide 33: 2025 Planned Capital Expenditures

    2025 Planned Capital Expenditures 2025E Capital Expenditures $4,185M Ameren Illinois Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution Natural Gas $360M $625M 8% Ameren 15% Transmission Ameren Missouri $745M Generation 18% $1,090M 26% $1,365M 33% Ameren Missouri Non-Generation 2024 Results and Guidance | Feb. 1

  34. Slide 34: Long-Term Debt Maturities and Interest Rates

    Long-Term Debt Maturities and Interest Rates Issuer 20251 2026 2027 2028 2029 $350 million 3.65% senior unsecured notes $500 million 1.95% senior $450 million 1.75% senior $700 million 5.00% Ameren Corp. unsecured notes unsecured notes senior unsecured notes $600 million 5.70% senior unsecured notes

  35. Slide 35: GAAP to Adjusted Earnings Per Share Reconciliations

    GAAP to Adjusted Earnings Per Share Reconciliations Year Ended Dec. 31, 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 GAAP Diluted EPS $1.18 $2.40 $2.59 $2.68 $2.14 $3.32 $3.35 $3.50 $3.84 $4.14 $4.38 $4.42 Exclude results from discontinued operations 0.87 — (0.01) — — — — — — — — — Le

  36. Slide 36: Weather-Normalized Earnings per Share Reconciliations

    Weather-Normalized Earnings per Share Reconciliations Year Ended Dec. 31, 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Adjusted1 Diluted EPS $2.10 $2.40 $2.56 $2.68 $2.83 $3.37 $3.35 $3.50 $3.84 $4.14 $4.38 $4.63 Ameren Missouri weather impact included in margins 0.03 0.05 (0.04) 0.16

  37. Slide 37: Select Regulatory and Legislative Matters

    Select Regulatory and Legislative Matters Missouri Public Service Commission • Pending electric rate review filling: Docket No. ER-2024-0319 • Order approving CCN for Castle Bluff Energy Center: EA-2024-0237 • Pending gas rate review filing: Docket No. GR-2024-0369 • Order approving multi-project CC

  38. Slide 38: Glossary of Terms and Abbreviations

    Glossary of Terms and Abbreviations AFUDC – Allowance for funds used during construction LRTP – Long Range Transmission Planning ATXI – Ameren Transmission Company of Illinois M – Million B – Billion MEEIA – Missouri Energy Efficiency Investment Act bps – Basis points MISO – Midcontinent Independent

Ameren — Q4 2024 Earnings Presentation on 6ix