Alcoa Corporation · NYSE:AA
Alcoa — Wolfe Materials of the Future Conference 2025
51 slides from Alcoa's conference presentation, Jun 17, 2025
Slide 1: Investor Presentation
Investor Presentation June 2025 OUR VALUES Act with Integrity Operate with Excellence Care for People v Lead with Courage 1
Slide 2: Cautionary Statement regarding Forward-Looking Statements
Cautionary Statement regarding Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains statements that relate to future events and expectations and as such constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements inclu
Slide 3: Important information
Important information Non-GAAP Financial Measures This presentation contains reference to certain financial measures that are not calculated and presented in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States (GAAP). Alcoa Corporation believes that the presentation of thes
Slide 4: Upstream aluminum company built to perform throughout the cycles
Upstream aluminum company built to perform throughout the cycles Global operations and summary of business segments Global operations by product Business segments ▪ First quartile of bauxite and alumina cost curves2 ▪ 41.3 Mdmt bauxite and 13.2 Mmt alumina shipments, FY24 ▪ 85% of bauxite shipments
Slide 5: Strong first quarter; progressing on 2025 key areas of focus
Strong first quarter; progressing on 2025 key areas of focus Key areas of focus as shared in 4Q24 earnings Safe operations ▪ Safety performance improved in correlate to 1Q25 stability, ▪ Strong 1Q25 financial and productivity and production results profitability Our actions ▪ Completed $1B debt offe
Slide 6: Alumina price returns to historical average
Alumina price returns to historical average Alumina market dynamics Alumina price lower than record highs; increased share of unprofitable refineries in China Platts FOB WA Alumina, $/mt Global refineries business cost curve for 2025 at spot alumina prices, $/mt World ex-China China More than 80% of
Slide 7: Aluminum prices respond to tariffs; resilient 1Q25 order book
Aluminum prices respond to tariffs; resilient 1Q25 order book Aluminum market dynamics LME aluminum price down from 1Q25 LME aluminum, $/mt Midwest premium, $/mt Increased Section 232 Reciprocal tariffs tariffs announced announced 2,800 971 1,000 2,600 800 2025 tariffs on aluminum 2,449 proposed 2,4
Slide 8: Well-positioned to respond to shifts in global market dynamics
Well-positioned to respond to shifts in global market dynamics Alcoa’s competitive advantages make it a premier aluminum supplier Security of supply to customers is key in dynamic markets Alcoa benefits from Security of its positioning: 1. supply Fjarðaál Mosjøen Vertical integration Lista from mine
Slide 9: Canada most strategic supplier of primary aluminum to the U.S.
Canada most strategic supplier of primary aluminum to the U.S. U.S. primary aluminum imports by country of origin (2024 full-year actuals, Mmt) 2.9 Canada 0.7 Middle East 0.1 U.S. primary aluminum balance India 4.1 4.2 0.7 0.8 0.1 Australasia Apparent Production Exports2 Imports2 0.2 Consumption1 Ar
Slide 10: Maximizing value creation through balanced use of cash
Maximizing value creation through balanced use of cash Capital allocation framework and value creation considerations Capital allocation framework Maximize value creation Maintain strong balance sheet Return cash to stockholders through the cycle ▪ 1Q25 dividend payments totaled $26 million (targeti
Slide 11: Appendix
Appendix 11
Slide 12: Offering a variety of value add aluminum products and P1020
Offering a variety of value add aluminum products and P1020 Aluminum segment product offerings and end markets examples 12
Slide 13: Full product suite with carbon advantages, recycled content
Full product suite with carbon advantages, recycled content Summary of Sustana® products and position on carbon emissions curves Alcoa Sustana product line Metric tons of CO2e/mt, by product 8 Alumina ▪ Alumina products from a refinery portfolio with average emissions intensity below 0.6 tonne CO2e
Slide 14: 1Q25 Financial and other information
1Q25 Financial and other information as presented on April 16, 2025 v 14
Slide 15: Strong first quarter; progressing on 2025 key areas of focus
Strong first quarter; progressing on 2025 key areas of focus Key areas of focus as shared in 4Q24 earnings Safe operations ▪ Safety performance improved in correlate to 1Q25 stability, ▪ Strong 1Q25 financial and productivity and production results profitability Our actions ▪ Completed $1B debt offe
Slide 16: Adjusted EBITDA and EPS rise sequentially
Adjusted EBITDA and EPS rise sequentially Quarterly income statement summary 4Q24 1Q25 Change Third party realized prices ($/mt) Realized primary aluminum price $3,006 $3,213 $207 Realized alumina price $636 $575 $(61) Income statement highlights (millions, except per share amounts) Revenue $3,486 $
Slide 17: EBITDA improves with higher metal prices
EBITDA improves with higher metal prices 1Q25 Sequential changes in Adjusted EBITDA excluding special items, $M 49 56 855 76 4Q24 1Q25 Change (12) (3) Alumina1 $716 $664 $(52) (64) (6) Aluminum1 194 134 (60) 86 Transformation (18) (12) 6 Intersegment (156) 103 259 eliminations 677 Other corporate (5
Slide 18: Generated cash and repositioned debt
Generated cash and repositioned debt Quarter cash bridge and 1Q25 Cash flow information, $M 12/31/24 to 03/31/25 Cash balance changes 1Q25 Cash flow information 855 ▪ Generated $75 cash from operations ▪ Debt repositioning closer to operations (446) ▪ $985 net proceeds from issuance in Australia (93
Slide 19: Strong key metrics to start 2025
Strong key metrics to start 2025 Key financial metrics, 1Q25 Return on Days working equity 39.1% capital 47 Days • 1Q25 Return on equity highest since 1Q22 • Working capital increased Capital returns to stockholders $26M Adjusted net debt $2.1B 13 days sequentially; same as 1Q24 at 47 days Free cash
Slide 20: Optimal capital structure targets $1.0B - $1.5B Adjusted net debt
Optimal capital structure targets $1.0B - $1.5B Adjusted net debt Capital allocation process Determine optimal Define debt level for IG Capital structure and capital structure leverage metrics allocation • Target Investment ~$2.1B - $2.5B Grade (IG) leverage Adjusted debt1 • Target Adjusted net debt
Slide 21: 2025 Outlook
2025 Outlook FY25 Key metrics as of March 31, 2025 Income statement excl. special items impacts Cash flow impacts 1Q25 YTD Actual FY25 Outlook 1Q25 YTD Actual FY25 Outlook Alumina production (Mmt) 2.4 9.5 – 9.7 Pension / OPEB cash funding $13M ~ $70M Alumina shipments (Mmt) 3.2 13.1 – 13.3 Stock rep
Slide 22: 25% tariff on Canadian aluminum to U.S., immaterial supply impact
25% tariff on Canadian aluminum to U.S., immaterial supply impact Applicable U.S. tariff summary 2019 - 2024 March 2025 April 2025 Section 232 25% tariffs implemented Section 232 10% tariffs 25% tariffs; tariffs aluminum on March 12; since 2018, Canada no exemptions, no (all origins) no exemptions,
Slide 23: Canada most strategic supplier of primary aluminum to the U.S.
Canada most strategic supplier of primary aluminum to the U.S. U.S. primary aluminum imports by country of origin (2024 full-year actuals, Mmt) 2.9 Canada 0.7 Middle East 0.1 U.S. primary aluminum balance India 4.1 4.2 0.7 0.8 0.1 Australasia Apparent Production Exports2 Imports2 0.2 Consumption1 Ar
Slide 24: Alumina price returns to historical average
Alumina price returns to historical average Alumina market dynamics Alumina price lower than record highs; increased share of unprofitable refineries in China Platts FOB WA Alumina, $/mt Global refineries business cost curve for 2025 at spot alumina prices, $/mt World ex-China China More than 80% of
Slide 25: Aluminum prices respond to tariffs; resilient 1Q25 order book
Aluminum prices respond to tariffs; resilient 1Q25 order book Aluminum market dynamics LME aluminum price down from 1Q25; Midwest premium is up but below range of analysts’ forecasts LME aluminum, $/mt Reciprocal tariffs Midwest premium, $/mt Increased Section 232 announced tariffs announced 2,800 1
Slide 26: San Ciprián: formed joint venture, resuming production at smelter
San Ciprián: formed joint venture, resuming production at smelter Timeline of actions for San Ciprián complex 75% Owner 25% Owner 3Q24 4Q24 1Q25 2Q25 • Sale process conducted • Announced proposed • Announced MoU • Resuming smelter production per viability agreement and concluded with no agreement wi
Slide 27: Well-positioned to capture opportunities and navigate challenges
Well-positioned to capture opportunities and navigate challenges Alcoa’s competitive advantages make it a premier aluminum company ✓ Vertical integration from mine to metal ✓ Long-term supply contracts with customers; preferred for security of ✓ Alumina: world class global network of supply Pure pla
Slide 28: 1Q25 accomplishments; looking ahead to 2Q25
1Q25 accomplishments; looking ahead to 2Q25 First quarter summary ▪ No fatal or serious injuries (FSIAs) ▪ Repositioned debt to Australia ▪ Formed JV and resuming production at San Ciprián smelter ▪ Strong smelter production ▪ Active industry advocacy Looking ahead ▪ Complete sale of Ma’aden joint v
Slide 29: Appendix
Appendix 29
Slide 30: Maximizing value creation through balanced use of cash
Maximizing value creation through balanced use of cash Capital allocation framework and value creation considerations Capital allocation framework Maximize value creation Maintain strong balance sheet Return cash to stockholders through the cycle ▪ 1Q25 dividend payments totaled $26 million (targeti
Slide 31: Quarterly income statement
Quarterly income statement Quarterly income statement for 4Q24 and 1Q25 Sequential Millions, except realized prices and per share amounts 4Q24 1Q25 Change Realized primary aluminum price ($/mt) $3,006 $3,213 $207 Realized alumina price ($/mt) $636 $575 $(61) Revenue $3,486 $3,369 $(117) Cost of good
Slide 32: Special items
Special items Breakdown of special items by income statement classification – gross basis Millions, except per share amounts 4Q24 1Q25 Description of significant 1Q25 special items Net income attributable to Alcoa Corporation $202 $548 Earnings per common share $0.76 $2.07 Special items $74 $20 Port
Slide 33: Quarterly income statement excluding special items
Quarterly income statement excluding special items Quarterly income statement excluding special items for 4Q24 and 1Q25 Sequential Millions, except realized prices and per share amounts 4Q24 1Q25 Change Realized primary aluminum price ($/mt) $3,006 $3,213 $207 Realized alumina price ($/mt) $636 $575
Slide 34: 1Q25 Financial summary
1Q25 Financial summary Three months ending March 31, 2025, excluding special items Intersegment Other Alcoa Millions Alumina Aluminum4 Transformation eliminations corporate Corporation Total revenue $2,175 $1,905 $7 $(723) $5 $3,369 Third-party revenue $1,463 $1,901 $3 - $2 $3,369 Adjusted EBITDA1 $
Slide 35: 1Q25 Segment Adjusted EBITDA drivers
1Q25 Segment Adjusted EBITDA drivers Segment Adjusted EBITDA sequential changes, $M Segment Segment Adjusted Adjusted EBITDA Metal Raw Production EBITDA 4Q24 Currency prices API materials Energy Price/mix Volume costs Other 1Q25 Alumina $716 (33) 0 (64) (7) 17 40 (53) 33 15 $664 Aluminum $194 19 86
Slide 36: Adj. operating costs and Segment Adj. EBITDA reconciliation
Adj. operating costs and Segment Adj. EBITDA reconciliation Adjusted operating costs of produced alumina and aluminum shipped Alumina segment 1Q24 2Q24 3Q24 4Q24 FY24 1Q25 Adj. operating costs ($M) $796 $814 $734 $766 $3,110 $723 Produced alumina shipments (kmt) 2,621 2,595 2,366 2,468 10,050 2,316
Slide 37: Aluminum value chain
Aluminum value chain 2025 YTD Alcoa shipments by product type Bauxite Alumina Aluminum 11.3 Mdmt shipments 3.2 Mmt shipments 0.6 Mmt shipments Intersegment Third party 0% 26% Intersegment 34% 66% 74% Third party Intrasegment 100% Third party 37
Slide 38: Composition of alumina and aluminum production costs
Composition of alumina and aluminum production costs Alcoa 1Q25 production cash costs Alumina refining Input Inventory Pricing FY25 annual cost Bauxite cost flow convention sensitivity Conversion 26% 34% Caustic soda 5 - 6 Months Quarterly, Spot $10M per $10/dmt Quarterly, 91% with Natural gas 1 Mon
Slide 39: 2025 Business information
2025 Business information Estimated annual Segment Adjusted EBITDA sensitivities Midwest Midwest $Millions LME Paid Unpaid Tariff AUD BRL CAD EUR ISK NOK + API + + Europe Japan (LME + 0.01 + 0.10 + 0.01 + 0.01 + 10 + 0.10 Segment $100/mt + $10/mt $100/mt $100/mt + $100/mt + $100/mt +$100/mt) 0.631 5
Slide 40: Currency impacts on Segment Adjusted EBITDA
Currency impacts on Segment Adjusted EBITDA Currency balance sheet revaluation and EBITDA sensitivities impact ($M, except currencies) AUD BRL CAD EUR ISK NOK Total 03/31/25 currencies 0.63 5.77 1.43 1.08 132.33 10.51 1Q25 currency average 0.63 5.85 1.44 1.05 138.62 11.11 1Q25 Balance sheet revaluat
Slide 41: Additional business considerations
Additional business considerations Items expected to impact Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted net income for 2Q25 Expected sequential impacts on Adjusted EBITDA excluding special items, excluding indexed sales prices or currency impacts: ▪ We expect the Alumina segment to maintain strong level of perform
Slide 42: Investments summary
Investments summary Investments listing and income statement location Ownership Carrying value as of Income statement location of Investee Country Nature of investment4 interest March 31, 2025 equity earnings ELYSIS Limited Partnership Canada Aluminum smelting technology 48.235% Ma’aden Aluminium Co
Slide 43: Alcoa 2023 progress on sustainability goals
Alcoa 2023 progress on sustainability goals Alcoa strategic long-term sustainability goals, baseline and progress Goal Description 2015 Baseline 2023 Progress Zero fatalities and serious injuries (life-threatening or life-altering 5 fatal or serious 0 fatalities and 2 serious Health and Safety injur
Slide 44: Production and capacity information
Production and capacity information Alcoa Corporation annual consolidated amounts as of March 31, 2025 Alumina refining, kmt Aluminum smelting, kmt Facility Country Capacity Curtailed Facility Country Capacity Curtailed Kwinana Australia 2,190 2,190 Portland Australia 197 33 Pinjarra Australia 4,700
Slide 45: Adjusted EBITDA reconciliations
Adjusted EBITDA reconciliations Millions 1Q24 2Q24 3Q24 4Q24 FY24 1Q25 Net (loss) income attributable to Alcoa $(252) $20 $90 $202 $60 $548 Add: Net (loss) income attributable to noncontrolling interest (55) 11 8 - (36) - (Benefit from) provision for income taxes (18) 61 86 136 265 120 Other expense
Slide 46: Free cash flow reconciliation
Free cash flow reconciliation Millions 1Q24 2Q24 3Q24 4Q24 FY24 1Q25 Cash (used for) provided from operations $(223) $287 $143 $415 $622 $75 Capital expenditures (101) (164) (146) (169) (580) (93) Free cash flow (324) 123 (3) 246 42 (18) Contributions from noncontrolling interest 61 4 - - 65 27 Dist
Slide 47: Net debt reconciliations
Net debt reconciliations 1Q24 4Q24 1Q25 Alcoa Alcoa Alcoa $M Cons. NCI Prop. Cons. NCI Prop. Cons. NCI1 Prop. Short-term borrowings $52 $- $52 $50 $- $50 $45 $- $45 Long-term debt due within one year 79 31 48 75 - 75 75 - 75 Long-term debt, less amount due within one year 2,469 - 2,469 2,470 - 2,470
Slide 48: DWC working capital and Days working capital reconciliations
DWC working capital and Days working capital reconciliations Millions 1Q24 2Q24 3Q24 4Q24 1Q25 Receivables from customers $869 $939 $862 $1,096 $1,203 Add: Inventories 2,048 1,975 2,096 1,998 2,182 Less: Accounts payable, trade 1,586 1,619 1,544 1,805 1,629 DWC working capital $1,331 $1,295 $1,414 $
Slide 49: Annualized Return on Equity (ROE)
Annualized Return on Equity (ROE) ROE Reconciliation and calculation information as of March 31, 2025 Millions 1Q24 1Q25 (Net Loss/Income Attributable to Alcoa + Special Items1) Numerator: ROE % = X 100 Net (loss) incomes attributable to Alcoa Corporation $(252) $548 (Total Assets – Total Liabilitie
Slide 50: Glossary of terms
Glossary of terms Abbreviations listed in alphanumeric order Abbreviation Description Abbreviation Description % pts Percentage points FOB WA Freight on board Western Australia 1H## Six months ending June 30 FY## Twelve months ending December 31 1Q## Three months ending March 31 GAAP Accounting prin
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