Advtech Limited · JSE:ADH

Advtech — FY2019 Earnings Presentation

74 slides from Advtech's earnings presentation, March 2020

  1. Slide 1: Annual Financial Results

    ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE FINANCIAL YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2019 1

  2. Slide 2: Contents

    CONTENTS 01 FINANCIAL OVERVIEW 05 RESOURCING DIVISION 02 COVID-19 06 CORPORATE RESPONSIBILITY 03 SCHOOLS DIVISION 07 INVESTMENT 04 TERTIARY DIVISION

  3. Slide 3: Economy

    ECONOMY TOUGH ENVIRONMENT DUE TO POOR GROWTH, POWER OUTAGES AND COVID-19 GDP growth 0.2% in 2019 IMF Load Historical forecasts shedding poor GDP Job losses Business 0.8% negative growth high and confidence GDP growth economic of 0.8% growing COVID-19 lowest in in 2020 impact last 5 years 29.1% Emigr

  4. Slide 4: Good Results Snapshot

    GOOD RESULTS SNAPSHOT 10% 16% 8% 18% 20% 8% STUDENT REVENUE OPERATING PROFIT FOR HEPS NEPS ENROLMENTS PROFIT THE YEAR ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 4

  5. Slide 5: Overview: Operational Highlights

    OVERVIEW OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS • Schools division records strong growth in rest of Africa and a significant increase in presence in mid-fee sector • Encouraging 5% organic growth in 2020 Schools division enrolments • Continued excellent performance in Tertiary division • Tertiary division enrolment

  6. Slide 6: COVID-19 Immediate Response

    COVID-19 IMMEDIATE RESPONSE • Safety and wellbeing of all our staff and students is our first priority • School & Tertiary closure from 18 March 2020 per government guidance • Follow and implement the World Health Organisation and NICD protocols and advice • Continuation of quality teaching and lear

  7. Slide 7: COVID-19 Preparation

    COVID-19 PREPARATION • Established an Incident Support Team • All schools will go onto a modified four-term calendar • Leveraging technologies for online learning (e.g. MS Teams, IIE Learn) • Established educational delivery systems testing done and guidelines widely distributed • Ongoing process ke

  8. Slide 8: COVID-19 Responses to Date

    COVID-19 RESPONSES TO DATE ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 8

  9. Slide 9: COVID-19 Responses to Date

    COVID-19 RESPONSES TO DATE ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 9

  10. Slide 10: COVID-19 Impact & Risk

    COVID-19 IMPACT & RISK • Board has delayed decision on the dividend declaration • Capex plans reconsidered • Expect some cost and revenue impact which will be determined by the tenure of closures ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 10

  11. Slide 11: Market Trends in the Schools Sector

    EDUCATION SECTOR MARKET TRENDS IN THE SCHOOLS SECTOR 5% 13% 26 789 12 230 194 11 647 172 23 289 2000 2018 92% 130% 1 865 589 348 971 256 283 Public Schools Private Schools Public Schools Private Schools Number of schools Number of scholars Source: Centre for Risk Analysis, Socio-Economic Survey of S

  12. Slide 12: School Leaver Market

    SCHOOL LEAVER MARKET 500 000 450 000 442 672 400 000 32% 350 000 300 000 334 718 15% 250 000 Qualifying school leavers First year enrolments (Public) 200 000 193 282 150 000 168 388 100 000 50 000 0 2009 2010 2016 2017 ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 12

  13. Slide 13: Market Trends in the Tertiary Sector

    EDUCATION SECTOR MARKET TRENDS IN THE TERTIARY SECTOR 1 200 000 11% 1 000 000 1 036 984 938 000 800 000 600 000 2011 80% 2017 400 000 185 046 200 000 103 000 0 Public Universities Private Higher Education ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 13

  14. Slide 14: Enrolment Numbers

    ENROLMENT NUMBERS STRONG ENROLMENT GROWTH IN 2020 10% 10% 44 975 39 629 13% 33 463 36 136 29 138 Tertiary 30 827 32 370 5% 24 199 26 713 27 408 School 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Schools Tertiary: Full Qualifications ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 14

  15. Slide 15: Financial Overview

    02 FINANCIAL OVERVIEW

  16. Slide 16: Consistent Growth

    CONSISTENT GROWTH 18% 18% 869 5 108 808 4 389 3 938 668 3 224 560 2 594 454 CAGR 15 16 17 18 19 15 16 17 18 19 Group revenue Operating profit (R’m) (R’m) ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 16

  17. Slide 17: Operating Margin Comparison

    OPERATING MARGIN COMPARISON EXCLUDING IIE MSA, CIS, MAKINI AND RESOURCING 21,4% 21,8% 20,5% 19,7% 18,8% 18,4% 17,5% 17,4% 17,0% 17,0% 15 16 17 18 19 Operating margin (Group) Operating margin (excl IIE MSA, CIS, Makini & Resourcing) ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 17

  18. Slide 18: HEPS & NEPS

    HEPS & NEPS 14% 12% 86,0 85,2 79,0 71,1 71,4 75,3 68,8 63,3 51,0 53,9 CAGR 15 16 17 18 19 15 16 17 18 19 Headline earnings per share Normalised earnings per share (cents) (cents) ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 18

  19. Slide 19: Cash Flow Generation

    CASH FLOW GENERATION R’m 21% 1192 1083 806 738 558 426 455 394 291 223 15 16 17 18 19 Cash generated by operations Cash inflow from operating activities ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 19

  20. Slide 20: Balance Sheet Remains Sound

    BALANCE SHEET REMAINS SOUND • Disciplined approach to capital • Debtors allocation • well managed • increased emphasis on collections • Capital expenditure – slow down: • following extensive expansion • Borrowings well within covenants programme • Banks 3.5x • focus on maximising ROI • Internal 3.0x

  21. Slide 21: Cash vs Net Borrowings Position

    CASH VS NET BORROWINGS POSITION R’m 21% Cash 1 083 1 192 generated by 738 806 operations 558 Net -1 157 -1 110 borrowings -1 671 position -1 915 -2 554 CAGR 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Ratio = Net Borrowing : 2.1 1.5 2.0 1.8 2.1 Cash generation ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 20

  22. Slide 22: Capex and Acquisitions

    CAPEX AND ACQUISITIONS R’m 1 000.7 Capex Projects 680.7 320,0 278,7 165,5 172,9 25,0 18,1 20,5 1 3 2 Student Additions to Furniture, Acquisition site new school new tertiary management existing sites fittings, IT of IIE MSA acquisition campuses sites systems and vehicles constructed ANNUAL FINANCIAL

  23. Slide 23: School Division: Excellent Growth Capacity

    SCHOOL DIVISION EXCELLENT GROWTH CAPACITY ‘000 85% 86% 83% 81% 79% 41,2 38,2 33,0 32,4 31,2 30,8 28,6 27,4 26,7 24,2 16 17 18 19 20 Students enrolled Existing building capacity % Existing building capacity utilised ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 23

  24. Slide 24: Segmental Overview

    SEGMENTAL OVERVIEW Segmental revenue Segmental operating profit contribution contribution 2019 14% 2019 3% 5% 15% 40% 41% 43% 43% 2018 2018 51% 39% 57% 42% 3% 0% 4% -2% Schools - South Africa Schools – Africa Tertiary Resourcing ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 24

  25. Slide 25: Schools Division

    03 SCHOOLS DIVISION 25

  26. Slide 26: School Division Initiatives

    SCHOOL DIVISION INITIATIVES Sharpening the focus on our brand positioning & improve customer value Improved operational Increased presence in the mid-fee effectiveness and sector, new campuses exceeding efficiencies target enrolment numbers Significant expansion All sales/marketing/customer past 5 y

  27. Slide 27: School Division Initiatives

    SCHOOL DIVISION INITIATIVES Organic enrolment growth of 5% for 2020, despite continued consumer financial pressure and high levels of emigration ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 27

  28. Slide 28: Schools Revenue

    SCHOOLS REVENUE R’m 13% 2 226 2 009 1 742 1 545 1 350 CAGR 15 16 17 18 19 ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 28

  29. Slide 29: SA Schools

    SA SCHOOLS 6% 11% 2 022 349 358 1 877 324 315 1 685 286 1 491 1 309 CAGR 15 16 17 18 19 15 16 17 18 19 SA schools revenue SA schools operating profit (R’m) (R’m) ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 29

  30. Slide 30: Africa Revenue and EBIT

    AFRICA REVENUE AND EBIT R’m 89% 204 131 Revenue: Africa schools EBIT: Africa 57 schools 12 4 CAGR -13 17 18 19 Africa schools revenue and EBIT (R’m) ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 30

  31. Slide 31: Revenue: SA Schools and Rest of Africa

    REVENUE SA SCHOOLS AND REST OF AFRICA 2 022 1 877 1 685 1 491 1 309 South Africa Rest of Africa 204 131 41 54 57 15 16 17 18 19 ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 31

  32. Slide 32: Africa Schools

    AFRICA SCHOOLS ENROLMENTS 5 977 5 379 1 950 1 965 17 18 19 20 ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 32

  33. Slide 33: Rest of Africa

    REST OF AFRICA Revenue up by 55% Crawford International School, Kenya will move out of the J-curve in 2020, a mere 15 months after opening its doors. Currently have 419 students Makini Schools up 12% enrolment growth ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 33

  34. Slide 34: New Schools - 2020

    NEW SCHOOLS - 2020 TRINITYHOUSE PINNACLE COLLEGE PINNACLE COLLEGE GLENVISTA LINDEN WATERFALL Premium positioning Mid-fee positioning Mid-fee positioning Pre-Primary, Primary, High Pre-Primary, Primary, High Pre-Primary, Primary, High Currently grades 000 - 9 Currently grades 0 to 8 Currently grades

  35. Slide 35: Repositioned Schools

    REPOSITIONED SCHOOLS REPOSITIONED PINNACLE COLLEGE KYALAMI & RYNFIELD AS MID-FEE • Exceeded enrolment targets • Investment in facilities • Clear value proposition MERGED • Abbotts Century Gate with Abbotts Claremont effective 2020 REBRANDED MARAGON RUIMSIG TO CRAWFORD INTERNATIONAL RUIMSIG MARAGON •

  36. Slide 36: Initiatives to Improve Operational Efficiencies

    SCHOOL DIVISION INNITIATIVES TO IMPROVE OPERATIONAL EFFICIENCIES AND EFFECTIVENESS Group Shared Services: • GSS managed debtors book debt to revenue ratio improved from 5.6% in 2018 to 4.6% in 2019 • Accounts payable • Consolidating of vendors reduced payment volumes by 28% • Improved processes lead

  37. Slide 37: Marketing and Student Enrolment Process

    MARKETING AND STUDENT ENROLMENT PROCESS Sales Digital marketing Measures of training: successes: improvement: • All sales/marketing/customer • Increased emphasis on lead • STASY leads up 623% YoY facing staff received customer generation • Cost per lead down 69% service, sales and lead • Utilising a

  38. Slide 38: Growing Mid-Fee Presence

    SCHOOL DIVISION GROWING MID FEE PRESENCE GROWING MID-FEE SCHOOLS PREMIUM SCHOOLS REST OF AFRICA • Operational efficiencies • Greenfield developments • Botswana – GIS • Rationalisation • Repositioning • Kenya – Crawford • Integration • Acquisitions International & Makini • 67 Schools • 29 Schools • 1

  39. Slide 39: Academic Excellence

    SCHOOL DIVISION ACADEMIC EXCELLENCE • 1 582 matric candidates • 2 910 distinctions • 100% pass rate for IEB students • 96% IEB students achieved a bachelor pass • IEB students averaged 2.2 distinctions per student • As a group the bachelor pass rate increased from 81% to 89% in last 4 years ANNUAL F

  40. Slide 40: Future Focused Education

    FUTURE FOCUSED EDUCATION ACADEMIC EVERY STUDENT IS DEVELOPING INCREMENTALLY, IN AN ENGAGING, CURRICULUM EXCELLENCE INSPIRING AND CHALLENGING LEARNING ENVIRONMENT. DIGITAL IEB, DBE, ISASA, Future-focused Challenging Performance EYFS, Cambridge, teaching and and engaging analysis = LITERACY Internatio

  41. Slide 41: Schools Future Capex

    SCHOOLS FUTURE CAPEX • Reduced capex in the year ahead • No new schools planned for 2021 opening • Additional capacity on recently opened sites ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 41

  42. Slide 42: Tertiary Division

    04 TERTIARY DIVISION 42

  43. Slide 43: Tertiary Division: Continued Excellent Performance

    TERTIARY DIVISION CONTINUED EXCELLENT PERFORMANCE • Revenue increased 25% • Good enrolment growth 13% in 2020 • Growing reputation for providing a quality offering & work ready graduates • Our graduate and alumni successes which are recognised throughout industry • Clear brand positioning • Efficien

  44. Slide 44: Tertiary Division Overview

    TERTIARY DIVISION TERTIARY DIVISION OVERVIEW • IIE is SA’s leading “private university” • Central academic body; 15-year track record of Academic leadership • 33 Campuses • Division has 197 accredited courses from undergraduate programmes to Masters degrees • Multi-channel modes of delivery Contact:

  45. Slide 45: Tertiary Revenue and Operating Profit

    22% 2 145 38% 1 719 496 1 556 415 1 228 321 954 223 135 CAGR 15 16 17 18 19 15 16 17 18 19 Tertiary revenue Tertiary operating profit (R’m) (R’m) ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 45

  46. Slide 46: Tertiary Operating Margin

    25.3% 2,2% 24,1% 23,1% 20,7% 18,2% 14,1% IIE MSA restructure & integration 15 16 17 18 19 Tertiary operating margin ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 46

  47. Slide 47: The IIE Trendsetters

    THE IIE TRENDSETTERS RECOGNITION FOR OUR LLB QUALIFICATION • High Court rules in favour of IIE Varsity College law degree • Positive precedent to address the issue of ‘private university’ / private higher education institutions • Confirms to professional bodies in all fields, including law, engineer

  48. Slide 48: IIE's Six Faculties

    TERTIARY DIVISION IIE’S SIX FACULTIES IIE Faculty Faculty Faculty Faculty Faculty Faculty of of of of of of Social Sciences Communication Information & Technology Humanities Commerce Education Law

  49. Slide 49: IIE Growth in Professional Qualifications

    TERTIARY DIVISION IIE GROWTH IN PROFESSIONAL QUALIFICATIONS 2017 2020 GROWTH Law 1 634 3 187 95% Education 1 783 5 919 232% Accounting 166 733 342% Engineering 0 97 IT 4 655 6 801 46% Total 8 238 16 737 103% ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 49

  50. Slide 50: BCom and BEd Prices Compared

    TERTIARY DIVISION BCOM AND BEd PRICES COMPARED BCom BEd R63 580 – UCT Stellenbosch University R44 273 R81 380 Varsity College R73 338 Varsity College R42 688 UP R47 500 UJ R41 008 Stellenbosch University R47 248 WITS R34 175 WITS R45 885 Rosebank College R33 490 ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year

  51. Slide 51: Growth in IIE Online Distance Students

    TERTIARY DIVISION GROWTH IN IIE ONLINE DISTANCE STUDENTS 3457 56% 2219 50% 1479 111% 615% 701 58% 62 98 14 15 16 17 18 19 ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 51

  52. Slide 52: Rosebank College New Campus

    ROSEBANK COLLEGE NEW CAMPUS Port Elizabeth Campus ‒ Digitally enabled campus ‒ Opened in 2020 with 310 students ‒ Blended learning ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 52

  53. Slide 53: Rosebank College New Campus

    ROSEBANK COLLEGE NEW CAMPUS Cape Town Campus ‒ Mega campus ‒ Opened in 2020 with 471 students ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 53

  54. Slide 54: Varsity College

    VARSITY COLLEGE • The premium brand in the ADvTECH stable • Increasing capacity to accommodate student growth at Cape Town and Pretoria campuses • Module pass rate of 87% testament of their excellence in teaching and learning ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 54

  55. Slide 55: Varsity College: Increase Capacity

    VARSITY COLLEGE INCREASE CAPACITY TO MEET DEMAND Cape Town Campus - Move to new premises in 2021 ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 55

  56. Slide 56: Varsity College: Increase Capacity

    VARSITY COLLEGE INCREASE CAPACITY TO MEET DEMAND Pretoria Campus - Expanding existing site ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 56

  57. Slide 57: Academic Excellence: International and Employer Recognition

    ACADEMIC EXCELLENCE INTERNATIONAL AND EMPLOYER RECOGNITION 25 172 IIE graduates in the last 5 years 71% were employed within 6 months after graduation ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019

  58. Slide 58: International and Employer Recognition

    STRATEGIC IMPERATIVES INTERNATIONAL AND EMPLOYER RECOGNITION 2 Gold 2 Silver 1 Bronze 1 New Blood Award 4 Silver Black Pixel Award 2 students in the top 10 Top Talent Vega ranked # 1 Tertiary Brand by the Loeries 2019 annual official rankings in Africa and Middle East 2nd Place & Bronze Judges menti

  59. Slide 59: International and Employer Recognition

    STRATEGIC IMPERATIVES INTERNATIONAL AND EMPLOYER RECOGNITION Young Chef Best Food and 2020 to represent SA wine Pairing menu​ EMEA Business Awards at Global Winner Market Associate of the competition​ Best Cocktail​ Year Young Star Beverage student 2nd place​ Reaching for Young Stars Young Star Chef

  60. Slide 60: Tertiary Capex

    TERTIARY CAPEX 2020 / 2021: • Varsity College Cape Town moving to new leased Capex required premises R300mn • Varsity College Pretoria expansion • Rosebank Pretoria expansion 2017 2018 2019 2020 1 4 1 2 Campuses opened / • University of Africa • Private Hotel School • Private Hotel School • Rosebank

  61. Slide 61: Resourcing Division

    RESOURCING DIVISION GROUP

  62. Slide 62: Resourcing Division

    RESOURCING DIVISION • SA market – very tough • Solid performance under circumstances • Africa strategy to develop other markets and geographies now represents approximately half of operating profit • If rest of Africa investment not done Resourcing division profits would be 38% lower ANNUAL FINANCIA

  63. Slide 63: Impact of Africa Investments

    RESOURCING DIVISION IMPACT OF AFRICA INVESTMENTS Africa countries South Africa market - decline • Mauritius-based business • Highest levels of unemployment in 15 years • Invested in additional services offerings – future growth • Declining business confidence • Country payroll services • Medical aid

  64. Slide 64: Resourcing Remains Highly Cash-Generative

    RESOURCING DIVISION REMAINS HIGHLY CASH-GENERATIVE 800 45 700 40 600 35 30 500 25 400 20 300 15 200 10 100 5 Mauritius South Africa 0 0 2018 2019 2018 2019 Revenue EBIT ANNUAL FINANCIAL RESULTS for the year ended 31 December 2019 64

  65. Slide 65: Corporate Responsibility

    06 CORPORATE RESPONSIBILITY

  66. Slide 66: Our ESG Focus Areas

    OUR ESG FOCUS AREAS OUR BUSINESS IS ABOUT PEOPLE DEVELOPMENT & EDUCATION Governance Social Environmental impact impact impact • Corporate governance focus • Academic excellence: 100% • Low energy and water efficient grounded on principles of IEB Matric pass rate campuses King IV & Companies Act • 25

  67. Slide 67: Investment

    07 INVESTMENT 67

  68. Slide 68: Strategic Imperatives

    STRATEGIC IMPERATIVES SOCIO-ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT Innovation Excellence through Growth Rest of Africa specialisation • Organic and acquisitive Growth in the rest of Africa • Market focus • Channel • Benchmarking: industry • Product & salary • Segment • Data driven insights • Geographic Risk mitigatio

  69. Slide 69: Africa Investment Case

    AFRICA INVESTMENT CASE 20% of population 66mn 6mn households Urbanisation Population will are between scholars in will earn between will be double to 15 – 24 years private education $5K - $20K 50% 2.4bn 2020 2021 2025 2030 2050 40% 1.2bn will of population need under 14 years education Source: Caeru

  70. Slide 70: A Continent Leader in Private Education

    A CONTINENT LEADER IN PRIVATE EDUCATION • Academic excellence • Tertiary offering: • 6 faculties • 197 accredited qualifications • Portfolio of schools to meet a variety of demands • Opportunity for internationalisation for our brands • World class teaching and learning practices • Sound investment

  71. Slide 71: Investment Thesis

    INVESTMENT THESIS • Proven track record of profit growth • Strong cash generation • Large asset base underpin • Diverse revenue streams • Strong balance sheet • Growing demand for high quality education in South Africa and the rest of Africa • Tertiary division remains well positioned to continue to

  72. Slide 72: Dividend and Share Buyback Consideration

    INVESTMENT DIVIDEND AND SHARE BUYBACK CONSIDERATION • Defer the dividend declaration in view of the highly uncertain economic outlook owing to the impact of COVID-19 • Confident on navigating the business through the unpredictability of COVID-19 • Board will reconvene in May 2020, when impact of pan

  73. Slide 73: Prospects

    PROSPECTS WELL POSITIONED TO DELIVER A SOLID PERFORMANCE IN THE YEAR AHEAD • Went through a phase of significant growth, we are now focusing on delivering returns on the investment • Strong organic enrolment growth in 2020 • The restructuring and rationalisation of the Schools division – starting to

  74. Slide 74: Thank You

    THANK YOU 74

ADvTECH — FY2019 Earnings Presentation on 6ix