Harmoney Corp Ltd · ASX:HMY
Harmoney — Investor Day (November 2021)
62 slides from Harmoney's investor day presentation, Nov 24, 2021
Slide 1: Investor Day
Investor Day Wednesday 24 November 2021 HARMONEY © 2021 Investor Day 24 November 2021 1
Slide 2: Agenda
Agenda 1. Introduction 2. Trading update 3. Business recap 4. Why 100% consumer-direct wins 5. Growth opportunities of consumer-direct 6. Q&A 7. Appendices All amounts in this presentation are denominated in $NZD unless otherwise stated HARMONEY © 2021 Investor Day 24 November 2021 2
Slide 3: Trading update
Trading update HARMONEY © 2021 Investor Day 24 November 2021 3
Slide 4: Trading update
Trading update ● New customer loan origination momentum continues in Australia and New Zealand despite some suppression in NZ due to a continuing lockdown in Auckland. ● Group pro-forma receivables grew to $524m at 31 October 21. ● This momentum has further accelerated with November 21 expected to s
Slide 5: FY22 Market guidance
FY22 Market guidance FY21A FY22F Change Group loan book $501M >$600M >20% Group revenue $79M >$92M >16% Net lending margin 6.8% >7% >0.2% Opex* to revenue 22% <20% >-2% Harmoney forecasts its transition to warehouse funding to be ~90% complete by 30 June 2022. FY21 and FY22 based on pro forma financi
Slide 6: Business recap
Business recap HARMONEY © 2021 Investor Day 24 November 2021 6
Slide 7: Executive summary
Executive summary Harmoney is the largest 100% online consumer-direct lender across Australia & New Zealand 1 2 3 4 Compelling Fundamentals Strong Market Position Credit Product Innovation Warehousing & Securitisation Attractive revenue profile, loan book, Established presence in New Zealand Opportun
Slide 8: Harmoney's growth evolution
NOV 2020 Harmoney’s growth evolution IPO IPO on the ASX & NZX raising AU$70m. JUL 2014 AUG 2015 FEB 2017 NOV 2018 SEP 2019 MAR 2021 First P2P licence in NZ granted by the FMA to $100m Loaned in under 12 months. Australia $1.0b $1.5b $2.0b Harmoney. Loaned to date. Loaned to date. Brisbane pilot laun
Slide 9: Largest 100% online consumer-direct personal lender across Australia & New Zealand
Largest 100% online consumer-direct personal lender across Australia & New Zealand Customer Team Key metrics 83 Net promoter score 75 FTEs (Auckland & Sydney) >$92m FY22 revenue guidance 4.8/5 Average rating >50% FTEs are engineers, product $2.4b Total loan originations managers and data scientists
Slide 10: Rapid growth across all key business metrics
Rapid growth across all key business metrics 1. Account acquisition 2. New loan originations 3. Superior net margins 260% 51% NEW CUSTOMER ORIGINATIONS IN AU CAGR Powerful consumer-direct acquisition engine. Over 724k High growth of new customer originations in Australia Superior net interest margin
Slide 11: Current personal loan product
Current personal loan product Fast, 100% online Use of funds • Personalised fixed rates based on Risk-based Unsecured customer credit characteristics from personal pricing loans 5.35% - 19.99% p.a. Renovation Loans Debt Consolidation • Loans up to $70k in Australia and New Zealand with loan terms of
Slide 12: Proprietary technology
Proprietary technology A seamless consumer experience powered by data and technology >50% of employees Proprietary I.P. are engineers, product managers and data Developed and refined over 7 years, Stellare® scientists combines data analytics, machine learning, and in-house knowledge to create a truly
Slide 13: Our 100% online consumer direct brand
Our 100% online consumer direct brand HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 NOVEMBER 2021 13
Slide 14: Harmoney re-brand
Harmoney re-brand Humanising money We are rolling out a new consumer-direct mobile-first online brand identity. HARMONEY © 2021 Investor Day 24 November 2021 14
Slide 15: 'Introducing Harmoney' video
‘Introducing Harmoney’ video HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 NOVEMBER 2021 15
Slide 16: Why 100% consumer direct wins
Why 100% consumer direct wins HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 NOVEMBER 2021 16
Slide 17: The long term value of consumer-direct Harmoney growth flywheel
Largest 100% online consumer-direct personal lender across Australia & New Zealand The long term value of consumer-direct Harmoney growth flywheel Our unique strategy is to create direct relationships with consumers 100% online, at scale, then nurture them to create high value now and into the future
Slide 18: Why 100% consumer-direct wins
Why 100% consumer-direct wins Consumer-direct market tailwinds Deep Consumer High Lower Data Lower Lower Fixed = Funding = Shareholder + CAC Losses Opex Automation Costs Returns Growth opportunities of consumer-direct model Current personal loan Other financial products Home loans HARMONEY © 2021 INV
Slide 19: Consumer direct market tailwinds
Consumer direct market tailwinds HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 NOVEMBER 2021 19
Slide 20: The big banks were already retreating... then the pandemic hit
The big banks were already retreating... then the pandemic hit and accelerated the trend Aussies and Kiwis migrate online. Ecommerce soars. Just as the consumer‑direct future is disintermediating categories like travel and retail, lending is being disrupted by nimble Fintechs offering people what the
Slide 21: More Aussies signed up for their personal loan online
● More Aussies signed up for their personal loan via online than via phone, branch, broker combined Google, Kantar Shopping Pulse, May 2021. HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 NOVEMBER 2021 21
Slide 22: Harmoney & listed peers <2% Australian personal lending market
Harmoney & listed peers <2% Australian personal lending market Huge market opportunity Australian personal lending (Sep 2021) ● The Australian personal lending market represents Harmoney and listed an enormous growth opportunity as consumers peers Australian market share as at 30 Sept 21 move online
Slide 23: Deep consumer data + automation
Deep consumer data + automation Deep Consumer Lower High Data Lower Lower Fixed = Funding = Shareholder + CAC Losses Opex Costs Returns Automation HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 NOVEMBER 2021 23
Slide 24: Consumer-direct means deep consumer data
Consumer-direct means deep consumer data Broker: Limited data Direct: Deep data Deep data + A.I. 10010110000100111001101111001 10010110000100111001101111001 00001011100111111111100010110 00001011100111111111100010110 00000000110101011110111100001 01010101101011011000011110001 00110110111010110101010
Slide 25: How deep data improves our marketing efficiency
How deep data improves our marketing efficiency Harmoney embraces deep data in three core areas. Data is obtained from different sources and utilised by Stellare® for real-time performance. Consumer behavioural data Financial performance data Operational data • Data-driven targeting and insights • Mini
Slide 26: Stellare's automated loan application process facilitates rapid scalability
Stellare’s automated loan application process facilitates rapid scalability Fully automated loan applications are 68% Straight-through-processing (STP) measures the ratio of loans that complete a fully automated loan application process (no human intervention). Our STP settings can be temporarily ad
Slide 27: Reducing customer acquisition cost (CAC)
Reducing customer acquisition cost (CAC) Marketing Platform Deep Consumer Lower High Data Lower Lower Fixed = Funding = Shareholder + CAC Losses Opex Costs Returns Automation HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 NOVEMBER 2021 27
Slide 28: HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 NOVEMBER 2021
HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 NOVEMBER 2021 28
Slide 29: Google: paid search auction & organic results
Google: paid search auction & organic results Paid search auction Organic search results $43.00 $0.00 $42.99 $40.50 HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 NOVEMBER 2021 29
Slide 30: The 'banks' Google Ads strategy
The ‘banks’ Google Ads strategy Inefficient and costly Competitors: ● Spend millions of advertising dollars buying clicks on Google using keywords such as ‘borrow money’ or ‘personal loans’. ● Use intuition to find their customers. ● Large marketing teams (high opex). HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 NO
Slide 31: Consumer-direct: the challenge for Fintechs
Consumer-direct: the challenge for Fintechs Are unwanted consumers clicking my advertising? ● The "personal loans" search auction on Google is competitive and expensive (~$40+ per click) ● Harmoney has a prime credit criteria threshold which applicants must meet in order to receive a loan offer. ● Wi
Slide 32: How can we attract high intent and eligible applicants at scale?
How can we attract high intent and eligible applicants at scale? HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 NOVEMBER 2021 32
Slide 33: Anil Sabharwal, Vice President at Google video
Anil Sabharwal, Vice President at Google video HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 NOVEMBER 2021 33
Slide 34: Stellare + Google: integrated machine learning
® Stellare + Google: integrated machine learning We leave the competition to their expensive shotgun strategy whilst we are laser focused on our prime consumers. ● Rather than outspending the competition, can we attract our target customers, and exclude users unlikely to meet our credit assessment?
Slide 35: How does Google's integration with Stellare work?
® How does Google’s integration with Stellare work? Application Stellare® calculates the likelihood of the consumer to take the loan and their resulting customer lifetime value. CLV Value $ *CLV = Customer Lifetime Value HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 NOVEMBER 2021 35
Slide 36: How does Stellare's integration with Google work?
How does Stellare’s integration with Google work? CLV Value $ Google’s smart bidding algorithm Device Browsing & Search Location history +250 more data points Website browsing Demographic data Time of day data Harmoney’s advertising is seen by targeted high Anticipates next auction & bid price value
Slide 37: Efficient, accurate and optimised customer acquisition
Efficient, accurate and optimised customer acquisition HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 NOVEMBER 2021 37
Slide 38: Stellare / Google integration video
® Stellare / Google integration video HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 NOVEMBER 2021 38
Slide 39: Harmoney has supercharged its advertising with Google
● Harmoney has supercharged it’s advertising with Google for exponential growth, creating a marketing strategy that connects with more high value ® As the application count grows, our Stellare consumers. algorithms blend with Google’s vast product network to become even more accurate. HARMONEY © 202
Slide 40: Recognised globally as thought leaders by Google
Recognised globally as thought leaders by Google “Harmoney has one of the most advanced digital marketing models in Australia and New Zealand, if not the world.” Nick Love, Head of performance at Google in Australia & New Zealand, Oct. 2020 Australian Financial Review, October 19, 2020. HARMONEY © 2
Slide 41: The consumer-direct multiplier effect
The consumer-direct multiplier effect Meeting customers evolving needs $594m ® ● With a consumer-direct relationship, Stellare targets customers for retention and re-marketing campaigns; offering the right solution for the customer’s next big financial decision at the right time. 5x ● The multiplier eff
Slide 42: Customer acquisition proven in NZ - now driving Australian growth
Customer acquisition proven in NZ - now driving Australian growth Proven acquisition model CAC reducing over time ® ● The Stellare marketing model outbids competitors for target consumers, real-time feedback refines targeting, driving down CAC. ● The consumer-direct relationship then drives CAC Mode
Slide 43: Lower losses
Lower losses Libra platform Deep Consumer Lower High Data Lower Lower Fixed = Funding = Shareholder + CAC Losses Opex Costs Returns Automation HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 NOVEMBER 2021 43
Slide 44: Deep data refines Libra scorecards
Deep data refines Libra scorecards Extensive rich data fuels our proprietary technology 7 yrs Rich customer application 724k People have joined Harmoney history $7.4b Personal lending enquiry $2.4b Funded loans Billions 0.47% Of data points 30 Sep 21 90+ days arrears HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 N
Slide 45: Libra: Harmoney's behavioural data powered credit decisioning engine
Libra: Harmoney’s behavioural data powered credit decisioning engine Stellare® Libra 1.7/1.8: better-than-ever conversion Stellare® Libra 1.7: ~25% better credit performance Bureau credit scores are too generic to be Early analysis of arrears for loans solely relied on for sophisticated pricing scor
Slide 46: Continual Libra improvements lead to the best performance ever
Continual Libra improvements lead to the best performance ever Group arrears & losses performance Arrears in Australia & New Zealand Group arrears and losses continue to perform ahead of expectation and are at historical lows. Implemented Libra 1.7 in Australia in Feb 2021 and Libra 1.8 in New Zeala
Slide 47: Lower funding costs
Lower funding costs Deep Consumer Lower High Data Lower Lower Fixed = Funding = Shareholder + CAC Losses Opex Costs Returns Automation HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 NOVEMBER 2021 47
Slide 48: Average funding rate
Libra’s accuracy rewarded with funding diversity, lower cost of funds and increased return on equity Successful inaugural securitisation Significant cost of funds reduction ● Consistent loss rates have attracted top tier funding, with 8% Harmoney funders including two of the ‘Big 4’ banks. ● A$105m s
Slide 49: Scalability from fixed opex
Scalability from fixed opex Deep Consumer Lower High Data Lower Lower Fixed = Funding = Shareholder + CAC Losses Opex Costs Returns Automation HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 NOVEMBER 2021 49
Slide 50: Scalability powered by automation
Scalability powered by automation Revenue grows materially faster than opex ● Automation powers operating cost efficiencies. $100m 25% ● 100% online application ● 68% of applications completed without human $90m 20% intervention… and climbing. ● Credit Officers static at 6 while annual originations
Slide 51: High shareholder returns
High shareholder returns Deep Consumer Lower High Data Lower Lower Fixed = Funding = Shareholder + CAC Losses Opex Costs Returns Automation HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 NOVEMBER 2021 51
Slide 52: $1billion average book is expected to generate ~$45m Cash EBITDA
$1billion average book is expected to generate ~$45m Cash EBITDA Indicative model Cash EBITDA $60m FY21 At $1b Average Book ~% Avg $m ~$m Book Revenue 79 160 16% $45m $40m Net lending margin 33 100 10% Marketing opex 16 30 3% Fixed opex 21 25 2.5% 45x Normalisation (4) - - $20m Cash EBITDA 0 45 4.5%
Slide 53: Growth opportunities of consumer-direct
Growth opportunities of consumer-direct HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 NOVEMBER 2021 53
Slide 54: Harmoney's growth engine - three areas of focus
Harmoney’s growth engine - three areas of focus 1. Australian expansion 2. AU/NZ conversion gains 3. Enhanced & new products New New initiatives products Dynamic limits Enhanced 9x NZ Libra 1.7 7 year term AU co-borrower loan offers / 1.8 Improving conversion rate ● Australian ‘personal loan’ ● Majo
Slide 55: Parity in conversion opens $1b p.a.
1. Australia is on track to achieve NZ conversion as products align Parity in $1b originations per annum in Australia becomes achievable as conversion metrics reach parity with NZ conversion Parity with NZ in opens $1b p.a. new conversion opportunity in Parity with NZ in Australia retention $1b p.a.
Slide 56: Conversion improvements alone can rapidly grow our loan book
2. Conversion improvements alone can rapidly grow our loan book Quality of accounts attracted to Harmoney Our journey to offering lending to more customers. represents untapped potential to convert credit worthy customers through initiatives With our current strong rate of account creation, continual
Slide 57: Our data superiority drives new products: beyond personal loans to personal lending
3. Our data superiority drives new products: beyond personal loans to personal lending Data advantage The ultimate personal A product for everyone loan We will use our data advantage Strategy Strategy to identify opportunities and • Redesign the personal loan to fit the • Delivering value beyond the
Slide 58: Q&A
Q&A HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 NOVEMBER 2021 58
Slide 59: Appendices
Appendices HARMONEY © 2021 INVESTOR DAY 24 NOVEMBER 2021 59
Slide 60: Listed peer analysis
Listed peer analysis Key metric comparison Listed Listed Listed (A$) Harmoney Peer Avg. Peer #1 Peer #2 Peer #3 ● Highest FY21 pro forma FY21 Pro forma revenue. 74m 46m 27m 58m 53m Revenue ● Second largest pro forma loan book. Loan Book (Sep 2021) 496m 613m 471m 452m 915m ● Revenue to market FY21 Re
Slide 61: Further reading: case studies
Further reading: case studies Publisher Title How Harmoney found a smarter way to surface lifetime value with machine learning Google How Smart Bidding helped Australasia’s Harmoney find and convert its best customers Marketo Harmoney continually raises the level of customer engagement with Marketo M
Slide 62: Important notice and disclaimer
Important notice and disclaimer The material in this presentation is provided for general information purposes No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, only and is current as at the date of this presentation. It is not a prospectus or completeness, accuracy, ade