Entergy New Orleans LLC · NYSE:ENJ
Entergy New Orleans — Technical Presentation (January 2018)
22 slides from Entergy New Orleans's technical presentation, Jan 22, 2018
Slide 1: ENO 2018 IRP Technical Meeting #1
title style ENO 2018 IRP Technical Meeting #1 January 22, 2018 1
Slide 2: Goals and Agenda of Technical Meeting #1
Goals title and Agenda of Technical Meeting #1 style Goals • As described in the Initiating Resolution (R‐17‐430), the main purpose of this meeting is for ENO, the Advisors, and Intervenors to discuss Planning Scenarios and Strategies with a view towards reaching consensus on the Scenarios and Strat
Slide 3: Section 1: 2018 IRP Objectives
title style Section 1 2018 IRP Objectives 3
Slide 4: ENO's planning process seeks to accomplish three key objectives
ENO’s title planning process seeks to accomplish three key objectives style Reliability Serve customers’ needs reliably Cost Risk Mitigation Serve customers’ needs at Mitigate exposure to risks the lowest reasonable that may affect customer cost cost or reliability Achieve these objectives while con
Slide 5: In the 2018 IRP, ENO will consider the ongoing evolution of the utility industry
In the title 2018 IRP, ENO will consider the ongoing evolution of the style utility industry The Changing Utility Industry Customer Resource Grid Preferences Alternatives Modernization ENO’s planning processes Ever advancing technology ENO’s distribution planning seek to address changing provides ne
Slide 6: Section 2: Analytical Framework
title style Section 2 Analytical Framework 6
Slide 7: Analytic Process to Create and Value Portfolios
Analytic title style Process to Create and Value Portfolios Development of Planning Scenarios and Strategies Market Modeling Portfolio Development Development of Total Relevant Supply Cost assumptions and inputs for Scenarios Projection of MISO Action Plan and Strategies market outside of Constructi
Slide 8: ENO Planning Scenarios - Assumptions
title ENOstyle Planning Scenarios‐‐Assumptions Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 (Reference) Peak Load & Energy Growth Reference Low High Natural Gas Prices Reference Low High Market Coal & Legacy Gas Reference (60 years) Accelerated (50 years) Accelerated (55 years) Deactivations Magnitude of Coal &
Slide 9: ENO Planning Strategies - Assumptions
title ENOstyle Planning Strategies‐‐Assumptions Strategy 1 Strategy 2 Strategy 3 (Reference) Objective Least Cost Planning 0.2/2% DSM Goal TBD Meet 12% long‐term Include a portfolio of DSM Planning Reserve Margin programs that meet the Resource Portfolio Criteria (PRM) target using least‐ Council’s
Slide 10: MISO Market Modeling and Total Relevant Supply Cost Calculation
MISO title Market Modeling and Total Relevant Supply Cost Calculation style ❶ Market Model Set‐Up • Develop projection of MISO market outside ENO for each Scenario – 16% reserve margin target (based on MISO summer peak load and Resource Adequacy process) – Build out MISO resource pool to achieve tar
Slide 11: Assessment of Portfolio Performance Across Scenarios
Assessment title style of Portfolio Performance Across Scenarios • Portfolios developed for each Scenario/Strategy combination will be tested across all other Scenarios to assess performance in a range of possible outcomes • The total relevant supply cost of each of the Scenario/Portfolio combinatio
Slide 12: Section 3: Inputs and Assumptions
title style Section 3 Inputs and Assumptions 12
Slide 13: 2018 IRP Inputs and Assumptions
2018 title IRP Inputs and Assumptions style Present at MISO Market Portfolio Total Relevant Input/Assumption Technical Modeling Development Supply Costs Meeting # Scenarios & Strategies 1 Gas Price Forecast 1 CO2 Price Forecast 1 Capacity Value 1 Supply‐Side Resource Alternativ
Slide 14: Gas Forecast
Gasstyle title Forecast Nominal $/mmbtu $12 $10 $8 High $6 Ref Low $4 $2 $0 Case 2018 2025 2030 2037 Low $2.67 $3.12 $3.68 $4.34 Reference $3.08 $4.48 $5.49 $7.16 High $3.55 $6.48 $7.74 $10.05 14
Slide 15: CO2 Forecast
CO2style title Forecast Nominal $/Short Ton $80 $70 $70 $60 $50 $38 $40 $30 $27 $20 $10 $4 $0 High Ref Low 15
Slide 16: ENO Capacity Value
ENOstyle title Capacity Value Levelized Cost of a New‐Build CT $/kW‐Yr $130 $123 $110 $90 $85 $70 16
Slide 17: Section 4a: Supply-Side Resource Options
title style Section 4a Supply‐Side Resource Options 17
Slide 18: Technology Assessment Process and Purpose
Technology title style Assessment Process and Purpose • Generation technology cost and performance are a • In an effort to minimize operational and economic necessary input to resource planning and portfolio risk, ENO prefers technologies that are proven on a development. commercial scale. Some tech
Slide 19: Identified Supply-Side Resource Alternatives
Identified title style Supply‐Side Resource Alternatives Technology Deployment Over Time Innovation, R&D Maturing Established Conventional Gas Fired Microturbines Frame CT and CCGT Internal Combustion Engine Aeroderivative CT Generation IV Small Modular Generation III Integrated Supercritical Genera
Slide 20: Section 4b: DSM Potential Study
title style Section 4b DSM Potential Study (Navigant Presentation) 20
Slide 21: Section 5: Timeline
title style Section 5 Timeline 21
Slide 22: Current Timeline
Current title style Timeline Description Target Date Status Public Meeting #1‐ Process Overview September 2017 Technical Meeting #1 Material Due January 2018 Technical Meeting #1 January 2018 Technical Meeting #2 Material Due March 2018 ‐ Technical Meeting #2 April 2018 ‐ Technical Meeting #3
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