Orsted · OMXCOP:ORSTED

Orsted — DONG Energy — FY2015 Earnings Presentation

24 slides from Orsted's earnings presentation, Feb 4, 2016

  1. Slide 1: Financial Report Full Year 2015

    FINANCIAL REPORT FULL YEAR 2015 I N V E S T O R P R E S E N TAT I O N 4 February 2016 FY 2015 RESULTS 1

  2. Slide 2: Disclaimer

    Disclaimer Certain statements in this presentation are based on the beliefs of our We urge you to read our annual report available on our website at management as well as assumptions made by and information currently www.dongenergy.com for a discussion of some of the factors that could available to

  3. Slide 3: Strong operating result, but significant impairment charges

    Strong operating result, but significant impairment charges Highlights 2015 Group EBITDA  Strong operating results despite low oil & gas prices (DKKbn) +13% 18.5  EBITDA of DKK 18.5bn (up 13% y/y) 16.4 15.0 13.7  Strong underlying earnings growth in Wind Power 8.6  Solid credit metrics (FFO/Adju

  4. Slide 4: Conclusion of Oil & Gas strategic review

    Conclusion of Oil & Gas strategic review Adapting the O&G business to a new market reality  Based on an extensive evaluation of different scenarios, the Oil & Gas business unit (formerly named E&P) will be kept as part of the portfolio and the planned IPO of the Group  Oil & Gas (O&G) holds a high

  5. Slide 5: Global leader in attractive offshore wind market

    Global leader in attractive offshore wind market DONG Energy’s offshore wind business Buildout plan towards 2020 (installed & secured capacity, GW)  Global leader in attractive offshore wind market 2015 3.0 2016 0.6 Gode Wind 1+2  Growth path towards 2020 highly predictable through 2016 3.6 sancti

  6. Slide 6: Decision to build Hornsea 1 offshore wind farm

    Decision to build Hornsea 1 offshore wind farm  Hornsea 1 to become the world’s largest operating wind farm DONG Energy’s UK offshore wind presence (1.2 GW) once operational in 2020  UK installed capacity currently amounts to 1.7GW  UK installed capacity expected to reach 4.4GW by 2020  Hornsea

  7. Slide 7: Revised portfolio strategy with accentuated focus on renewables

    Revised portfolio strategy with accentuated focus on renewables Comments to the revised portfolio strategy The 2015 Business Unit EBITDA mix is not a strong indicator of the mix for 2016 and onwards as we expect earnings from Wind Power to increase significantly while the O&G earnings expectedly wil

  8. Slide 8: Current key priorities

    Current key priorities Key priorities 2015 Status Key priorities 2016/2017 Status  Westermost Rough on stream   FID Hornsea   Borkum Riffgrund 1 on stream   FID Borkum Riffgrund 2  FID Race Bank   Gode Wind 1+2 on stream  FID Walney Extension   Burbo Bank Extension on stream  Renegotia

  9. Slide 9: Market conditions and prices

    Market conditions and prices OIL AND GAS PRICE UK POWER PRICE USD/bbl EUR/MWh EUR/MWh Oil price Gas TTF (rhs) 120 35 80 Forward prices Forward price 100 30 70 80 25 60 60 20 50 40 15 40 20 10 30 2012 2013 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Source: Platts, Argus (forwards from 8 Jan. 2

  10. Slide 10: Financial highlights 2015

    Financial highlights 2015 EBITDA – DKK 18.5bn (up 13% y/y) Selected financials (DKKm) 2015 2014  Solid operating performance in WP and O&G Revenue 70,843 67,048 EBITDA 18,484 16,389  Strong underlying growth in WP Net finance costs -2,124 -1,710  Contribution from new wind assets and construction

  11. Slide 11: Significant impairment charges within O&G

    Significant impairment charges within O&G Explanation of impairment charges totalling DKK 17.0bn Oil price curve today vs. one-year ago  Impairment charges within O&G amounted to DKK 15.8bn USD/boe Current forward (25-Jan 2016) Forward curve EoY 2014 (DKK 14.9bn after tax) and can be ascribed to th

  12. Slide 12: Wind Power

    Wind Power Operational highlights 2015 Renewable generation (TWh) +16%  Production up 16% y/y 5.8 5.3 5.0  Contribution from new wind farms West of 4.4 4.6 Duddon Sands, Westermost Rough and Borkum 2.8 2.9 4.3 4.9 Riffgrund 1 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.6  Outages on Anholt, Horns Rev 2 and Walney 2 0.5 0.

  13. Slide 13: Bioenergy & Thermal Power (previously named Thermal Power)

    Bioenergy & Thermal Power (previously named Thermal Power) Operational highlights 2015 Thermal heat and power generation (PJ, TWh)  Heat generation up 7% y/y primarily due to slightly 60 20 colder weather than in 2014 15 40  Power generation down 19% y/y reflecting a 10 challenging market with neg

  14. Slide 14: Distribution & Customer Solutions (previously named Customers & Markets)

    Distribution & Customer Solutions (previously named Customers & Markets) Operational highlights 2015 Operational figures 2014 2015  Overall, stable volumes for sales and distribution Gas sales TWh 151.3 159.1  Satisfactory outcome from settlement of a gas Power sales TWh 34.5 35.5 contract renegot

  15. Slide 15: Oil & Gas (previously named Exploration & Production)

    Oil & Gas (previously named Exploration & Production) Operational highlights 2015 Oil & Gas production (mboe) Oil Gas  Production down 2% y/y -2%  Scheduled shutdown of Ormen Lange for 42 days 41.8 40.9 in Q2 15 partly compensated by additional catch- 28.5 31.7 10.6 10.1 26.4 8.2 up volumes in 201

  16. Slide 16: Hedging of oil and gas in O&G

    Hedging of oil and gas in O&G Hedging of oil and gas Value of hedge instruments in O&G – transfer to EBITDA  DONG Energy has a conservative hedge policy with a hedge  In accordance with the principles for Business Performance, horizon of up to 5 years for oil and gas production value adjustments o

  17. Slide 17: Debt overview

    Debt overview Net debt development 2015 Gross debt and hybrids 2015 14% Bonds 2% 13.6 Hybrids 18.7 26% 58% Bank loans 2.7 9.2 4.0 Other debt incl. repo 2.6 Net debt Capex Operating Divestments Other 1 Net debt cash flow EoY 2014 EoY 2015 Key ratios loan portfolio2 Q4 14 Q4 15 Note (1): Other include

  18. Slide 18: Outlook 2016 and financial policies

    Outlook 2016 and financial policies Group EBITDA outlook EBITDA direction 2016 vs. 2015 per Business Unit DKK 20-23bn in 2016 Wind Power – significantly higher: The outlook is particularly sensitive to divestment gains in WP,  Ramp up of power generation from new wind farms renegotiations of gas so

  19. Slide 19: Q&A

    Q&A (to ask a question on the conference call, press 01 on the telephone key pad) FY 2015 RESULTS 19

  20. Slide 20: Appendix

    APPENDIX DONG FY 2015 RESULTS 20 energy

  21. Slide 21: Financial mid-term targets and policies

    Financial mid-term targets and policies Mid-term targets Financial policies  FFO/Adjusted net debt around 30%  Minimum rating of BBB+/Baa1  Pay-out-ratio: 40-60% of profit for the year attributable to the shareholders of DONG Energy A/S1  The previously announced ROCE target of 10% for 2016 is e

  22. Slide 22: Comparison Q4 15 vs. Q4 14

    Comparison Q4 15 vs. Q4 14 EBITDA Q4 15 y/y by Business Units Group financials (DKKm) Q4 15 Q4 14 Revenue 15,693 17,127 EBITDA 3,648 3,365 Wind Power – up DKK 0.9 y/y Net profit -15,319 -6,140  Contribution from new farms  Higher activity on construction agreements (primarily Gode Wind 1+2) Assets

  23. Slide 23: Investments

    Investments Investments in 2015 (DKKm) Gross investments on Business Units in 2015 Cash flow from investing activities -12,799 6% Purchase and sale of securities (reversal) - 3,237 7% Oil & Gas Wind Power Sale of assets and companies (reversal) - 2,605 32% Bioenergy & Thermal Power Other - 52 DKK Di

  24. Slide 24: FFO/Adjusted net debt calculation

    FFO/Adjusted net debt calculation FFO/Adjusted net debt 2015 2014 EBITDA 18,484 16,389 Adjusted net interest expenses -2,280 -2,494 Net interest expenses -767 -1,145 Capitalised interest -389 -339 Interest element of decommission obligations -494 -416 50% of hybrid coupons -411 -377 Operating leases

DONG Energy — FY2015 Earnings Presentation on 6ix