Discovery Limited · JSE:DSY

Discovery — FY2018 Earnings Presentation

93 slides from Discovery's earnings presentation, September 2018

  1. Slide 1: Results and cash dividend declaration for the year ended 30 June 2018

    Results and cash dividend declaration for the year ended 30 June 2018

  2. Slide 2: Key results highlights

    Normalised Core new business Headline earnings Normalised operating profit headline earnings to R8 266m to R16 137m to R5 803m to R5 401m +6% to R16 878m incl. DH take-on of new closed schemes and gross revenue for the Vitality Group 2

  3. Slide 3: Strategic observations for the period

    Strategic observations for the period 2018 Ambition Discovery’s core purpose has manifested in a globally relevant Shared-Value Insurance model. Our confidence in the efficacy and impact of the model led to the 2018 Ambition and consequent operating framework. Financial This framed the financial res

  4. Slide 4: Established and emerging businesses performance

    Operating profit New business1 Net cash flow5 RoE Experience variances2 +17% +10% Excellent performance. Mandate is to continue to provide its +11% +8%3 R2,828m >rf+10% R214m members access to quality, affordable healthcare on a sustainable basis, assisting in enhancing the healthcare system for all

  5. Slide 5: Make people healthier and enhance and protect their lives

    Life insurance Make people healthier and Health insurance enhance and protect their lives Short-term insurance Long-term savings Banking 5

  6. Slide 6: Trends underpinning the Shared-Value model remain relevant

    Trends underpinning the Shared-Value model remain relevant Societies require companies to fulfil a socially progressive core purpose Consumers live in a technology-dominated world and seek solutions instead of services The nature of risk is behavioural and solutions are becoming increasingly persona

  7. Slide 7: Controllable behaviours that led to Shared-Value model

    Controllable behaviours that led to Shared-Value model Life insurance Health insurance Motor insurance Long-term savings Banking 4 4 4 4 5 3 3 3 4 Lifestyle Chronic Deaths Lifestyle Chronic Deaths Driving Driving Fatal Controllable Conditions Inadequate Controllable Credit behaviours conditions worl

  8. Slide 8: Dynamics of the model manifest across all industries

    Dynamics of the model manifest across all industries Sales x Selection x Behaviour x Lapses → Life 15%+ insurance 20%-30% 20%+ >50% lower lapse rates increase in better claims experience lower mortality on market share compared to non-Vitality highly engaged Stayers have 50% Higher VNB mortality of

  9. Slide 9: 2018 Ambition: best insurer in the world and a powerful force for social good

    2018 Ambition: best insurer in the world and a powerful force for social good BUSINESSES FINANCIAL AND SOCIAL IMPACT 1 Insurgent 1 R10bn in pre-tax earnings 2 Significant 2 CPI + 10% profit growth engagement 3 Risk free + 10% return on capital 3 Superior dynamics actuarial 4 10m Vitality members 4 M

  10. Slide 10: Operating model

    Operating model Group profit growth of Return on capital FLR Cash buffer 10

  11. Slide 11: Organic growth engine

    Organic growth engine Group profit growth of risk free + 10% Return on capital FLR Cash buffer < 28% R1-2bn 11

  12. Slide 12: Core new business

    Core new business 12 12 to R16 137m months months % +6% to R16 878m incl. DH take-on of new closed Rm schemes and gross revenue for the Vitality Group to 30 Jun to 30 Jun change 2018 2017 6 573 6 109 +8% Continued growth off a high base 2 188 2 175 +1% Established +10% Individual life new business +

  13. Slide 13: Impacting a significant number of members globally

    Impacting a significant number of members globally 17.8m Lives Ping An Vitality lives UK 6.4m PAH* 1.1m lives 4.3m Run Vitality 5.9m 11.4m 1.1m Vitality members Vitality Group (excl. US) Vitality Group 0.8m Vitality members (US) 5.5m 0.8m Vitality members South Africa 4.4m lives Insurance Vitality s

  14. Slide 14: Operating profit by business

    Operating profit By business DISCOVERY HEALTH DISCOVERY LIFE 12 months 12 months % DISCOVERY INVEST Rm to 30 Jun to 30 Jun VITALITY to R8 266m 2018 2017 change VITALITYHEALTH VITALITYLIFE 2 777 2 505 +11% DISCOVERY INSURE VG PAH 3 837 3 588 +7% Established 885 744 +19% By industry +10% Relative grow

  15. Slide 15: Normalised headline earnings

    Normalised headline earnings 12 months 12 months % Rm ended June ended June to R5 401m change 2018 2017 Profit from operations 8 266 7 048 17 Normalised headline (959) (478) Higher finance earnings per share Finance costs costs (diluted) Other 105 (798) +8% Profit before tax 7 412 5 772 28 +11% +1%

  16. Slide 16: Impact of finance lease accounting

    Impact of finance lease accounting 1 Discovery Place (Phase 1 and 2) Depreciation Finance costs Cash Payment 12 months 800 % Rm ended June change 2018 700 Headline earnings 5 803 32 600 Finance lease accounting 208 500 Finance costs 210 Rand Millions 400 Depreciation 126 Market-related rental (128)

  17. Slide 17: Established and emerging earnings performance

    Performance largely in line with growth engine 12 months 12 months Actual earnings allocation % Rm to 30 Jun to 30 Jun to R8 266m 2018 2017 change 2 777 2 505 +11% 3 837 3 588 +7% Established 885 744 +19% ESTABLISHED Discovery Health Discovery VitalityHealt h VitalityLife 58 25 +132% CPI+9% Life Dis

  18. Slide 18: Cash management framework

    Cash management framework Group profit growth of CPI + 10% risk free + 10% Return on capital FLR Cash buffer < 28% R1-2bn 18

  19. Slide 19: Cash generated from in-force business

    Cash generated from in-force business Rm Net cash flow1 New business IRR Cash Cash used 2,828 > RF+10% generated Tax, dividends 539 RF+10% 475 and finance costs R3.4bn RF+9% New business -393 RF+7% R7.8bn 2 RF+17% -151 New businesses R2bn 1. Movement in shareholder free cash 19

  20. Slide 20: Capital management philosophy

    Capital management philosophy Group profit growth of CPI + 10% Return on capital FLR Cash buffer 20

  21. Slide 21: Performance against capital and cash management philosophy

    Performance against capital and cash management philosophy Return on equity Established Emerging Return on capital >RF + 10% businesses businesses 109% Target 87% 87% 71% *Excludes RF + 10% Regulatory deferred tax asset in earnings 52% capital Allocated 28% 35% capital Regulatory capital and reserve

  22. Slide 22: Return on Embedded Value

    Return on Embedded Value (EV) 397 67,564 Growth in EV 787 Rm 5,955 305 585 65,624 1,355 Experience Variances: Excl. economic: 678 Economics: -373 2,826 57,294 Opening EV Value of new Unwind of risk Experience Methodology Other EV before new New initiatives Change in capital Closing EV business disco

  23. Slide 23: Operating model

    Operating model Group profit growth of Return on capital FLR Cash buffer 23

  24. Slide 24: Established businesses have significant scale and continue to grow

    2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 Operating profit (Rm) 2016 2018 2 777 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 of earnings 2012 R8bn 2014 2016 2018 3 837 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 885 CPI + 8.6% Established businesses have significant scale and continue to grow 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 20

  25. Slide 25: Emerging businesses have significant potential

    Emerging businesses have significant potential Fastest growing short-term insurer in SA Global platform with leading insurance Top specialist health insurer in China partners FY16 FY17 FY18 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY16 FY17 FY18 Shared-Value Insurance Model Accelerating growth Distribution channels Durationa

  26. Slide 26: Substantial new businesses and initiatives in the pipeline

    Substantial new businesses and initiatives in the pipeline Discovery For Business VitalityInvest Discovery Bank Risk solutions and employee Long-term savings products Building a fully-fledged benefits for businesses in the UK retail bank Launch: Launch: Launch: Q2 2018 Q2 2018 2018 Business insuranc

  27. Slide 27: Shared-Value model has been rolled out globally

    Shared-Value model has been rolled out globally Business is well-positioned for growth:  Established businesses are robust and growing strongly  Emerging businesses are all profitable and have significant potential  New initiatives are substantial and fully funded within the plan The capital plan

  28. Slide 28: SA composite model

    = ar | SA COMPOSITE MODEL UK COMPOSITE MODEL PARTNER COMPOSITE MODEL WORLD'S LARGEST BEHAVIOURAL PLATFORM LINKED TO FINANCIAL SERVICES SHOE QOOGSHHSSPHdSOS# OO?

  29. Slide 29: Considerable progress in building Discovery Bank

    Considerable progress in building Discovery Bank Approval subject to certain conditions Acquisition of additional 2015 FirstRand Bank Limited to divest its entire 25.01% shareholding interest in 54.99% of the Card Discovery Bank over 5 years APR 2016 Submitted Bank Opportunity to own 100% of licence

  30. Slide 30: Excellent performance of Discovery Card

    Excellent performance of Discovery Card Operating profit (Rm) Financial metrics ahead of peers +17% Credit loss ratio Non-performing loans (%) Cost to income (%) to advances to R 414m 1.6% 7.9% 58.5% Advances 40.0% R4.3bn (+3.5%) 3% Turnover spend R25.3bn (+5%) DiscoveryCard SA banks DiscoveryCard S

  31. Slide 31: Link between financial behaviour and wellness engagement

    Demonstrable link between financial behaviour and wellness engagement Average monthly spend Annual closure rate Percentage clients going into arrears Vitality status Discovery product Driving behaviour count -76% 4.7x -85% -60% -80% 1 2 3 4 5 6 Average monthly spend Average closure rate

  32. Slide 32: Group Funding Plan would be stretched if purchase funded internally

    Group Funding Plan would be stretched, if purchase funded internally Adjusted FLR (%) FLR=28% FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 Current plan Card purchase funded internally 32

  33. Slide 33: Partner composite model

    > ar ] SA COMPOSITE MODEL UK COMPOSITE MODEL PARTNER COMPOSITE MODEL WORLD'S LARGEST BEHAVIOURAL PLATFORM LINKED TO FINANCIAL SERVICES SHOE QOOGSHHSSPHdSOS# OO?

  34. Slide 34: Vitality-integrated API revenue and operating result

    Vitality-integrated API Revenue Operating result +78% * +40% * +131% USD390m USD2.6m R5 014m USD51.1m R34m R657m FY16 FY17 FY18 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY16 FY17 FY18 Vitality USA Insurance partners *From insurance partners 34

  35. Slide 35: Accelerated membership growth with significant latent potential

    Accelerated membership growth with significant latent potential VG has learnt what works and is taking less time to Insurance Partner Membership make markets successful +91% 8 Months to add 250 000 4 years to get to 0.8m 500 000 members ~40k PREMIUM DISCOUNTS COVER BOOSTS UNIT FUNDS BOOSTS New activ

  36. Slide 36: Single technology platform to deliver Vitality's product roadmap

    Single technology platform to deliver Vitality’s product roadmap ONE ENHANCED DIGITAL USER EXPERIENCE Superior customer experience Significant configurability Invested LAYERED CLOUD BASED COMPONENT BASED CLOUD-BASED Scalable Multi-tenancy Multi-currency DISTRIBUTED MULTI TENANT Multi-language Deploy

  37. Slide 37: Vitality works across multiple contexts

    Vitality works across multiple contexts Case one: Flat growth in a large life Case two: Large market with Case three: Annually renewable insurance market infrequent customer interaction premiums with >15% lapse rates p.a. 10% Compounded annual Change in exercise days after taking up Active 100% sale

  38. Slide 38: Continued growth will come from three strategies

    Continued growth will come from three strategies 01 02 03 15 New Motor Invest Card ETC….. Vitality 11 Discussions attachment 7 Developing business case Vitality 4 Completed business case take-up 3 Signed LOI Engagement 4 Signed 38

  39. Slide 39: Sumitomo Vitality Launch Video

    01 Sumitomo Vitality Launch Video 39

  40. Slide 40: Ping An Health results

    Ping An Health operating Discovery’s operating New business Written premium profit profit 95% +87% 20x to USD443.6m to USD753.9m to USD29.9m to USD4.4m R5 738m R9 695m R385m R56m FY16 FY17 FY18 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY16 FY17 FY18 After Discovery’s costs 40

  41. Slide 41: Massive opportunity in China

    Massive opportunity in China Market in its infancy Significant out-of-pocket expenses PHI expected to grow faster than SHI Private health insurance premiums per capita Healthcare spending in China 9.1 CNY, trillion; % of total healthcare expenditure Out of pocket 1,690 Private health insurance Socia

  42. Slide 42: Potential to extract even more value from distribution

    Potential to extract even more value from distribution Ping An Health’s branch network covers Ping An Health’s use of Ping An Life There are two types of digital insurance most of the biggest cities in China agents is increasing platforms and Ping An Health uses both Traditional insurers with online

  43. Slide 43: Ping An Health's own digital distribution channel achieved significant traction

    Ping An Health’s own digital distribution channel achieved significant traction in two years New users Registered users registered daily Number of service Premium revenue interactions Monthly active users Rank out of >100k 43

  44. Slide 44: Ping An Health adapts product strategy to market realities

    Ping An Health adapts product strategy to market realities Revenue The quality of the business is strong ZAR million and stable Group high end 6 987 Loss ratio Pricing assumption  CNY 8,000 average premium  Comprehensive cover 5 996  Independent brokers  Sold to employers, typically multinationa

  45. Slide 45: Access to affordable cancer drugs is a major social issue in China

    Access to affordable cancer drugs is a major social issue in China people die of cancer in China each year Ping An Health launched two cancer protection products in August 2018 people diagnosed with cancer each year average premium DYING TO SURVIVE Provides cover for: Highlights the issue of restric

  46. Slide 46: Ping An Health is investing in scaling operations

    Ping An Health is investing in scaling operations Policy applications Cases* processed Operational cost of capacity per minute per day processing claim (CNY) Number of providers Ping An Health has invested in digitalisation and operational efficiency: 4 000 10 000 18.79 1 520 Automated underwriting

  47. Slide 47: Discovery working closely with PAH to ensure profitability and sustainability

    Discovery working closely with PAH to ensure profitability and sustainability In development Disease Medical network strategy Interventions Management & outcomes management Member Product builder tools Product development profiling Products and support profiling Hospital AI & Risk analytics Big data

  48. Slide 48: Ping An Health's growth is expected to continue

    Ping An Health’s growth is expected to continue Exceptional growth in 2018 Revenue for seven months to July 2018 same as full 2017 Cumulative premium revenue by month 7 months 12 months China’s health insurance 2018 2017 market is expected to keep growing Potential to extract even more value from di

  49. Slide 49: UK composite model

    > ar J SA COMPOSITE MODEL UK COMPOSITE MODEL PARTNER COMPOSITE MODEL 1 Manulife ‘SUUITONO UFE WORLD'S LARGEST BEHAVIOURAL PLATFORM LINKED TO FINANCIAL SERVICES SHOE QOOGSHHSSPHdSOS# OO?

  50. Slide 50: UK Vitality Health results

    New business Operating profit* Lives covered +12% +44% +11% to R2 279m to R1 104m to 1.084m lives GBP millions GBP millions FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 *VH + VL + TP Margin 50

  51. Slide 51: Building a single UK Vitality platform

    Building a single UK Vitality platform LIFE HEALTH HEALTH INVESTMENTS INVESTMENTS 65k INSURANCE INSURANCE INSURANCE Apple watches 330k Monthly Starbucks PRODUCT 160k Monthly cinema tickets PARTNERS PROGRAMS 400k ACTIVE REWARDS HEALTHY AGING MENTAL WELLBEING Ocado deliveries to date BRAND 250k Page v

  52. Slide 52: VitalityLife results

    New business Operating profit Lives covered +14% +108% +7% to R1 107m to R589m to 577k lives GBP millions GBP millions FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 52

  53. Slide 53: Operating result driven by Shared-Value model

    Operating result driven by Shared-Value model Selection x Behaviour x Lapses Vitality selects healthier customers Change in behaviour directly correlated with claims Engaged members have lower lapses Vitality customers against UK census data Claims relativity by engagement Lapse rate by status Vital

  54. Slide 54: Additional value from pricing sophistication and claims management

    Additional value from pricing sophistication and claims management Premium x Claims management Use rich data and AI that leads to sophisticated pricing Tariff and care pathways Claims management initiatives have led to increased claims have kept PLPM costs stable > 100m possible savings over time co

  55. Slide 55: Lower loss ratio, strong cash generation and increasing return

    Lower loss ratio, strong cash generation and increasing return Decreasing loss ratio over time Strong cash generation (Rm) Greater return on capital Achieved 12.3% ROC at June 2018 10x -21% Risk free 1 513 1 038 12.3% RF + 10% 7.2% FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 FY 18 475 Decreasing loss ratio driven

  56. Slide 56: VitalityInvest and UK investments results

    New business Operating profit* Lives covered +10% +6% +15% to R1 172m to R515m to 507k lives GBP millions GBP millions FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 *includes Transfer Price Margin 56

  57. Slide 57: Interest rate change introduced to ensure stability going forward

    Interest rate change introduced to ensure stability going forward Review assumptions to a long- Continued negative implied real yields and interest rate volatility term view UK Forward Real Gilt Yield UK Forward Nominal Gilt Yield Volatility VitalityLife risk adjusted yield vs passive interest rate

  58. Slide 58: Business reconfigured for a low interest rate environment

    Business has been reconfigured for a low interest rate environment Term assurance new business mix Indexed premium new business mix Term Indexed Whole of life Level 24% 38% 67% 96% 2014 2018 2014 2018 58

  59. Slide 59: New business acceleration while maintaining margin

    New business acceleration while maintaining margin Strong new business in second New business IRR 4x higher than half of the year Maintained VNB margin risk free VNB margin New Business IRR 4x 11% 18.3 Risk free 17.9 11% 17.2 10% 10% 14.3 8% 8% 6% 5% 5% GBP millions 3% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Jun-14 Jun-15 Jun-

  60. Slide 60: Extending the Vitality platform to investments

    Extending the Vitality platform to investments 60

  61. Slide 61: The rationale for VitalityInvest

    The rationale for VitalityInvest Key trends in asset management Market size and target opportunity Increased Increased choice Reduced costs Annual new business flows sophistication Authorised funds Fund innovation Asset weighted expense ratio Total investment market of R3 119bn 3458 1.4% VitalityInv

  62. Slide 62: Sophisticated product offering and expanded reach

    Sophisticated product offering and expanded reach VitalityInvest product Increased distribution footprint 62

  63. Slide 63: Market-first financial planning tools with personalised life expectancy algorithm

    Market-first financial planning tools that incorporate personalised life expectancy algorithm, developed in collaboration with University of Cambridge and RAND Europe Case study: 35-year old male 75% 50% 25% • 79kg, 177cm, 94cm (waist) 1. Current health and • Normal biometrics Improved lifestyle lif

  64. Slide 64: Positively different investments

    Positively different investments. 64

  65. Slide 65: SA composite model

    SA COMPOSITE MODEL UK COMPOSITE MODEL PARTNER COMPOSITE MODEL 1 Manulife ‘SUUITONO UFE % WORLD'S LARGEST BEHAVIOURAL PLATFORM LINKED TO FINANCIAL SERVICES SHOE QOOGSHHSSPHdSOS# OO?

  66. Slide 66: Discovery Health new business, membership and operating profit

    2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 to R6 573m 2007 +8% 2008 New business 2009 excl. take-on of new closed schemes 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 Membership 2003 2005 >3.5m 2007 2009 under administration 2011 2013 2015 2017 2002 2004 2006 to R2 777m 2008 Operating profit

  67. Slide 67: Scale of Discovery Health

    Scale of Discovery Health 16/17 Restricted schemes won over the previous 10 years 18 Restricted schemes 40% Total market share >3.5m Lives under administration 17% Restricted scheme market share >670 000 Lives 1 Open scheme 56.0% Open scheme market share 2013 >2.8m 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

  68. Slide 68: DHMS continued excellence in a challenging economic environment

    DHMS continued excellence in a challenging economic environment Competitive advantage Growth and stability Security -16.4% Lowest premiums in the scheme market 56% Market share 27.44% Solvency (2017: -15.1%) +2.08% Membership growth 4.8% Annualised lapse rate R16.4bn 10.1% DHMS admin and Reserves ma

  69. Slide 69: Regulatory environment

    Regulatory environment Discovery Health is actively supporting the development of the NHI and remains committed to growing shared value in South Africa’s healthcare system National Health Medical Schemes Health Market Insurance Bill Amendment Bill Inquiry 1. Slow and phased-in process 1. Most recomm

  70. Slide 70: Discovery Health's social mandate is to bring down the cost of healthcare

    Discovery Health’s social mandate is to bring down the cost of healthcare for members Discovery Health average annualised inflation rates (2008 – 2017) 1.0% 4.7% 11.3% 1.9% Supply-side utilisation  Supplier induced demand  High cost medication 0.5%  Technology 6.1% 2.8% Demand-side utilisation 

  71. Slide 71: Supply-side utilisation – supplier induced demand

    Supply-side utilisation – supplier induced demand Supplier induced demand New hospitals are substantial High cost medication drivers of utilisation Case study: Pietermaritzburg Technology January 2016 to March 2018 Life Hilton hospital opened September 2015 Growth between 2010 and 2016 Total spend T

  72. Slide 72: Demand-side utilisation – increasing cancer incidence rates

    Demand-side utilisation – increasing cancer incidence rates Increasing disease burden Severe adverse selection All cancers-lives on scheme All cancers-lives on scheme Ageing insured population All cancers more than 5 years All cancers more than 5 years 2.42X 2.75X 2008-2017 2008-2017 4.12 4.54 Breas

  73. Slide 73: Becoming the lowest cost administrator

    Becoming the lowest cost administrator Effective interventions to manage Lowest quartile admin fees Decreasing real admin fee increases claims costs 10.1% DH total fees as a Administration expenditure as % of GCI Impact of Discovery Health and Vitality on % of GCI over time DHMS risk claims in 2017

  74. Slide 74: Fully integrated digital platform to drive engagement

    Significant progress in building a fully integrated digital platform to enrich interactions and drive engagement HealthID CARE PATHWAY ENGAGEMENT APP STORE ENGINE ENGINE OMICS Over 1 993 doctors Over 1.7 m member consents POPULATION MANAGEMENT TOOL DrConnect 329 543 members and 2 700+ doctors enroll

  75. Slide 75: Discovery Life new business, operating profit and market share

    New business Operating profit Market share +1% +7% 27% 29% 31% of retail affluent market to R2 188m to R3 837m Individual +4% Individual +9% 20% 19% 18% 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 200

  76. Slide 76: Discovery Life realisation of Shared Value

    Discovery Life realisation of Shared Value Selection x Mortality x Lapses Shared Value Proportion of healthy lives at Actual = Expected (Standard life), risk adjusted Discovery Life Paybacks underwriting (Vitality Rating) Other SA Insurers 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

  77. Slide 77: Continued product innovation

    Continued product innovation PROACTIVE CLAIMS GLOBAL EDUCATION PROTECTOR PURPLE LIFE PLAN Up to 100% of a 3-year tertiary degree covered through shared-value +135% # of GEP Premium Guaranteed Enhanced policies sold efficiency convertibility to global US dollars treatment CLASSIC GLOBAL SMART LIFE AN

  78. Slide 78: Discovery Life's considerations when reporting earnings

    Discovery Life’s considerations when reporting earnings Unique nature of Discovery Life Earnings reporting considerations IRR profile FULL UPFRONT 1 RECOGNITION Long-tailed, predominantly LEVEL OF UPFRONT CASH FLOW RECOGNITION IFRS PROFIT protection business PRUDENT 2 - Profit overstated on Mean dur

  79. Slide 79: Criteria to assess the appropriateness of the accounting policy

    Criteria to assess the appropriateness of the accounting policy Earnings reporting considerations Accounting policy FULL UPFRONT Profit emergence aligned with risks RECOGNITION borne and services rendered LEVEL OF UPFRONT CASH FLOW RECOGNITION IFRS PROFIT PRUDENT - Profit overstated on Assumptions E

  80. Slide 80: Assumptions | Resilience of the negative reserve

    Assumptions | Resilience of the negative reserve Life and Invest at June 2017 Available margin under various 1 in 200 stresses Assumptions Resilient under 1/200 Compulsory and stresses Discretionary margins R24bn Experience variances Positive non-economic experience variances Base Nominal Int Rate R

  81. Slide 81: Experience variances | Positive

    Experience variances | Positive Non-economic EV Claims vs. Lapses vs. Policy alterations Assumptions variances over time expectation expectation Rm Resilient under 1/200 stresses 357 FY 17 FY18 106% 239 162 100% 118 128 83 -74 52 Long-term average Experience variances -242 +24 H2 Positive non-econom

  82. Slide 82: Cash flow and capital | Robust cash, VNB, IRR and CAR

    Cash flow and capital| Robust cash, VNB, IRR and CAR Assumptions Cash flow (Discovery Life and Invest) Capital robustness Resilient under 1/200 Rm stresses 12,794 -7,510 Quarterly SCR = ~170% Capital Adequacy Ratio New business IRR 3.9x Experience variances 3.56x 3.5x Positive non-economic Value of

  83. Slide 83: Discovery Invest results

    Assets under New business Net flows Operating profit administration -2% +10% +18% +19% to R2 454m to R6 397m to R81.8bn to R885m Up 0.3% if effect of R500m corporate endowment is excluded Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15 Jun-16 Jun-17 Jun-18 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11

  84. Slide 84: Leveraging behavioural science and Vitality to change the way people invest

    Leveraging behavioural science and Vitality to change the way people invest INVESTMENT AD-HOC INCOME Accumulation BOOST INVESTMENT BOOST Withdrawal BOOST SAVE FOR LONGER MANAGE HEALTH AND WEALTH IN RETIREMENT Investment boosts Boost to retirement income 35+ 25-34 20-24 15-19 10-14 Years to retiremen

  85. Slide 85: Product design has improved competitiveness while maintaining margins

    Product design has improved competitiveness while maintaining margins Decreased platform fees Higher Discovery fund take-up Profit maintenance 0.7% 100% 4% 92% 4% 0.6% 90% 2.9% 3% 0.6% Discovery fund take-up 80% Platform fees Profit margin 3% 0.5% 70% 2% 0.5% 2% 60% 0.4% 1% 50% 0.4% 1% 0.3% 40% 0% 2

  86. Slide 86: Extending the Shared-Value model

    Extending the Shared-Value model Pension and provident fund solutions that maximise retirement outcomes by rewarding good decision-making and healthy living Shared-Value Investment programme Strong new business acquisition tool and offering Compelling product 86

  87. Slide 87: Discovery Insure results

    New business Gross written premium Vehicles covered Operating profit +17% +28% +18% to R1 047m to R2 712m to 200k R68m Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15 Jun-16 Jun-17 Jun-18 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 87

  88. Slide 88: Manifestation of Shared Value

    Manifestation of Shared Value Selection x Behaviour x Lapses Correlations Better driving compared Improvement in driving Better drivers have lower Correlations between health, to population over time lapses wealth and driving 6x 4x After Before Before After Bad drivers Good drivers Manage Manage hea

  89. Slide 89: Discovery Insure are among the safest drivers globally

    Discovery Insure are among the safest drivers globally Discovery Insure drivers have 60% lower Silver+ Discovery Insure drivers have the same road fatalities road fatalities than South African drivers as drivers in the US Driver fatalities per 100,000 motor vehicles Driver fatalities per 100,000 mot

  90. Slide 90: Quality of in-force book is excellent

    Quality of in-force book is excellent Longer duration clients are Combined ratio reduces by In-force book is strong better risks duration R324m Non-weather loss ratio by duration, relative to first Cash generated year business from in-force* First year 16% 21% 29% 13% 35 31% Months, average 3% durat

  91. Slide 91: Extending the Shared-Value model to business insurance

    Extending the Shared-Value model to business insurance Applying Vitality to fleets Developing better businesses Developed in partnership with Business Health Check produces a diagnostic report 34% 49% 17% Personal Corporate Commercial 91

  92. Slide 92: Strategic observations for the period

    Strategic observations for the period 2018 Ambition Discovery’s core purpose has manifested in a globally relevant Shared-Value Insurance model. Our confidence in the efficacy and impact of the model led to the 2018 Ambition and consequent operating framework. Financial This framed the financial res

  93. Slide 93: Results and cash dividend declaration

    Results and cash dividend declaration for the year ended 30 June 2018

Discovery — FY2018 Earnings Presentation on 6ix