Lowell Resources Funds Management Ltd · ASX:LRT
Lowell Resources Funds Management — Lowell Resources Fund — Investor Presentation (October 2024)
49 slides from Lowell Resources Funds Management's investor presentation, Oct 15, 2024
Slide 1: Lowell Resources Fund Investor Presentation October 2024
LOWELL RESOURCES For personal use only FUNDS MANAGEMENT LOWELL RESOURCES FUND INVESTOR PRESENTATION OCTOBER 2024 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 ABN 36 006 769 982 AFSL 345674
Slide 2: Disclaimer
Disclaimer Important Notice • This presentation does not constitute investment advice. Neither this presentation nor the information contained in it constitutes an offer, For personal use only invitation, solicitation or recommendation in relation to the purchase or sale of units or shares in any ju
Slide 3: 1. Overview
Lowell Resources Fund For personal use only 1. Overview ASX.LRT 3
Slide 4: Fund Summary September 2024
Fund Summary 30 September 2024 350 Overview LRT 5 Yr Total Return incl distributions For personal use only Rebased to 100 Fund size (NAV) A$49.8 m 300 Units on issue 34.6m units Net Asset Value 31/08/24 (post- $1.44/unit distribution) 250 Distribution FY24 paid 31/07/24 $0.152/unit ASX Unit Price on
Slide 5: ASX Traded Discount to NAV
ASX Traded Discount to NAV 10% For personal use only <$200m ASX LIT/LIVs Avge Discount LRT Discount to NAV 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% -25% -30% -35% Source Bell Potter 5
Slide 6: Fund Summary: Characteristics of the Lowell Resources Fund
Fund Summary Characteristics of the Lowell Resources Fund For personal use only Nature of Fund • Long only, ungeared fund Investee • Small mining & energy companies, predominantly in the exploration phase offering major growth Companies potential Investment • Predominantly listed equities globally T
Slide 7: Our Strategy: Investing in Exploration Stage
Our Strategy: Investing in Exploration Stage Capitalising on value accretion: optimal stage For personal use only Drill out / Resource Feasibility & Production Expansion Reserves LRT TARGET INVESTMENT STAGE Share Price Commissioning Financing Discovery Construction Exploration Time Leverage: miles
Slide 8: Investment Committee
Investment Committee Members For personal use only John Forwood, Richard Morrow, Stephen Mitchell, Stuart Baker, Investment Chief Investment Officer Committee Member Investment Committee Investment Committee Mr Forwood is a trained Member Chair geologist and lawyer, with Mr Baker has a strong local
Slide 9: LICs & LITs NTA Compound Annual Growth Rate
LICs & LITs NTA Compound Annual Growth Rate over 5 years • Outperformance For personal use only • Uncorrelated 9
Slide 10: Fund Performance
Fund Performance For personal use only S&P/ASX Small ASX Resources Total Portfolio LRT Change in ASX 200 Index Resources 300 Index Performance to 30 NAV per unit incl Accumulation Index (Total Return) September 2024 distributions (Total Return) (XSRAI) 12 months 8.4% 6.6% 3.5% 21.8% 5 years p.a. 23.
Slide 11: LRT Portfolio by Resource Development Stage
LRT Portfolio by Resource Development Stage 30 September 2024 For personal use only 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 11
Slide 12: LRT Commodity Exposure September 2024
LRT COMMODITY EXPOSURE 30 SEPTEMBER 2024 For personal use only Mineral Sands Uranium Helium Cash 2% 3% 1% 8% Nickel 1% Battery 3% O&G Gold & PGM 9% 46% Base Metals 20% REE Silver 0% 7% 12
Slide 13: Portfolio Characteristics September 2024
Portfolio Characteristics 30 September 2024 Portfolio by Geography of Main Project For personal use only Asia/Pacific, 5% Cash, 9% North Africa, 12% America, 14% Europe, 3% Investment Listing London Latin America, 1% Unlisted Cash 17% 9% 9% Australia, 41% North America 15% ASX 66% 13
Slide 14: We Invest in Explorers because Explorers Make the Discoveries
We Invest in Explorers….because Explorers Make the Discoveries Australian Mineral Discoveries by Company Size For personal use only Source: Minex Consulting 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Unkown Other Small Major Moderate Junior Producer Company Producer Explorer 2000-2009 2010
Slide 15: 2. Key Market Factors
Market Thematics For personal use only 2. Key Market Factors 15
Slide 16: Commodity Prices Monthly Change
12 Month Commodity Prices 12 month change to Sept 2024 12 Month Change to Oct 2024 For personal use only Lithium Carbonate Iron Ore 62% Large positive Lithium Carbonate Nickel moves in Iron Ore Neodymium September: Oil (Brent) Natural Gas Natural Gas base metals, Nickel Oil (Brent) bulks and Lead Le
Slide 17: Banks vs Resources: ASX
Banks vs Resources: ASX For personal use only Rotation from Banks into Resources after Chinese Stimulus. 17
Slide 18: Commodities Undervalued vs Equities
Commodities Undervalued vs Equities For personal use only 18
Slide 19: Small Caps vs Large Caps
Small Caps vs Large Caps For personal use only Small Equities decouple from Large Caps 19
Slide 20: Gold Price vs HUI Gold Index
Gold Price vs HUI Gold Index For personal use only Gold 30% above 2011 peak, but HUI 50% below HUI today is only 10% above its August 2016 level- when gold was US$1,300 per ounce. HUI’s earnings per share expected to quadruple this year compared to 2016. Gold Equities decouple from Gold Price 20
Slide 21: Central Banks & Gold
Central Banks & Gold For personal use only Ukraine War China Gold Reserves can grow 21
Slide 22: Australian Gold Producers
Australian Gold Producers Cash holdings (AUD$mil) Australian Gold Producers For personal use only 140 $1,000 $900 120 $800 100 $700 $600 80 Average Cash $500 equivalents 60 $400 ~A$350million $300 40 $200 20 $100 0 $0 CMM EMR GOR GMD WAF WGX RMS RSG RED RRL PRU Qtrly Production (koz au) Net Cash & B
Slide 23: O&G Drilling - WA
O&G Drilling - WA For personal use only Sustained underinvestment globally in oil Source: Strike Oil 23
Slide 24: Gold in USD vs US CPI – 1980's
Gold in USD vs US CPI – 1980’s For personal use only 24
Slide 25: 3. Recent Outperforming Stocks
Investment Examples For personal use only 3. Recent Outperforming Stocks 25
Slide 26: Azure Minerals
Azure Minerals For personal use only Azure Minerals LRT Investment $4.50 $4.00 $3.50 $3.00 $2.50 $2.00 $1.50 $1.00 $0.50 $- Jul-21 Jul-22 Jul-23 Jan-21 Jan-22 Jan-23 $(0.50) $(1.00) LRT Trade (A$ mil) AZS Price 26
Slide 27: Southern Cross Gold SXG.ASX
Southern Cross Gold SXG.ASX $3.50 LRT For personal use only $3.00 Investments $2.50 $2.00 $1.50 $1.00 $0.50 Seed $- 05/17/2022 09/26/2022 2/07/2023 06/19/2023 10/27/2023 3/08/2024 27
Slide 28: Case Study: De Grey Mining
Case Study: De Grey Mining De Grey Mining (DEG.ASX) For personal use only $1.80 $1.60 LRF Sales $1.40 $1.20 $1.00 LRF Investments $0.80 $0.60 $0.40 $0.20 $0.00 28
Slide 29: 4. Preferred Positions
Current and Upcoming For personal use only 4. Preferred Positions 29
Slide 30: Top Positions
Top 10 Positions LRT Portfolio at 30 September 2024 For personal use only Code Company Commodity Portfolio Weight Comment RMS Ramelius Resources Gold 7.2% Held from scrip takeover of Musgrave Minerals AAR Astral Resources Gold 5.5% WA Goldfields M&A or standalone development PDI Predictive Discovery
Slide 31: Lowell – a Unique Investment Opportunity
Lowell – a Unique Investment Opportunity For personal use only 01 Fund Focus • One of the few investment funds that offers exposure to the junior 01 02 resources sector across Australia and global stock exchanges in unlisted and listed companies 02 Successful track record for 20 years • Superior per
Slide 32: Contact
Contact For personal use only Investment Responsible Entity Manager LOWELL RESOURCES CREMORNE CAPITAL LIMITED FUNDS MANAGEMENT ACN 006 769 982 ACN 006 844 588 AFSL 345674 AFSL 241175 Address Level 6, 412 Collins Street, Address Melbourne VIC 3000 8 Chapel Street, Tel: (03) 9642 0655 Richmond VIC 312
Slide 33: Appendix: Resources Market Information
Appendix 1 For personal use only Resources Market Information 33
Slide 34: Rotation / Trickle Down - AUSTEX
Rotation / Trickle Down - AUSTEX For personal use only THE ASX RESOURCES MARKET QUARTILE RANGES LAST 24 LAST 12 LAST ONE Data to 27th Sep 2024 MARKET CAP LAST 6 MTHS LAST 3 MTHS MTHS MTHS MTH FIRST QUARTILE >$61m 44% 29% 26% 12% 11% SECOND >$16m - $61m -26% -1% 11% 10% 7% THIRD >$6m - $16m -49% -28%
Slide 35: Lead Time for New Mines
Lead Time for New Mines For personal use only 35
Slide 36: Lead Time for New Mines
Lead Time for New Mines For personal use only 36
Slide 37: IEA Metals Recycling
For personal use only IEA Metals Recycling -
Slide 38: Gold Miners to Gold Price Ratio
Gold Miners to Gold Price Ratio For personal use only 38
Slide 39: Copper Consumption 1900-2023
Copper Consumption 1900-2023 For personal use only 39
Slide 40: Oil Market
Oil Market For personal use only Oil traders reported to return to metals in H1 2024 40
Slide 41: Appendix: Fund Structure and Process
Appendix 2 For personal use only Fund Structure and Process 41
Slide 42: Fee Structure
Fee Structure Gross Asset Value Existing Management Fee For personal use only < $20m $300,000 p.a. plus 0.6% Next $20m - $50m 2.100% Next $50m - $150m 1.600% Next > $150m 1.600% PERFORMANCE FEES (calculated 6 monthly) Variables Existing Benchmark 10% pa outperformance Fee rate 17.5% Calculated & Pai
Slide 43: Stock Selection
Stock Selection Top down focus Criteria For personal use only Management • Macroeconomics Geographic location • Equity markets 1 Geological setting Resource/ Reserve magnitude • Market sectors Grade, metallurgy • Commodities 2 Stage Infrastructure and market Indicative economics • Re
Slide 44: Our Investment Process
Our Investment Process For personal use only Organisation Due Deal Monitoring Investment Disposal: Existing Diligence: Structuring: and Additional Committee On-market / Network In-house Placement/I Reporting: Investment Approval Trade Sale expertise PO/ on- Up to weekly market LRFM prefers to keep
Slide 45: Application in Portfolio
Application in Equities allocation Portfolio For personal use only Core Manager Core Manager 2 3 Lowell Resources Fund Core Manager (LRT.ASX) 1 Small Caps • There is a compelling case for Lowell Resources Fund to be in an equities portfolio (Australian or Global), as one of the small cap manager all
Slide 46: Appendix: Portfolio Analysis
Appendix 3 For personal use only Portfolio Analysis 46
Slide 47: LRT Commodity Allocation over Time
LRT Commodity Allocation over Time For personal use only Battery, 4% 2% 5% 5% 2% 7% 4% Nickel, 8% 7% 10% 8% 12% 6% 7% 1% 13% 16% 6% Oil & Gas, 7% 9% 8% 9% Base Metals, 6% 9% 19% 17% 15% 21% 21% 19% 19% 20% 22% Au/Ag/PGM, 57% 37% 54% 50% 42% 42% 48% 45% 34% 16% Cash… 12% 9% 7% 5% 4% 3% 4% 2016 2017 2
Slide 48: LRT Project Stage Allocation
LRT Project Stage Allocation Porfolio by Project Stage For personal use only 100% 7% 6% 4% 2% 2% Production, 13% 80% 14% 14% 19% 22% 20% 22% 60% Feasibility, 18% 19% 45% 59% 38% 40% 47% 14% 35% Exploration & Resource, 37% 20% 33% 23% 25% 18% 15% Grass Roots, 14% 17% 0% 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Slide 49: LRT Top Holdings
LRT Top 20 Holdings LRT Holdings by Value 31 August 2024 For personal use only ADX RUG KAR HAN AAR TWO RZ CIPANGO RMS COI FVL UNITY USL CZR PDI STN CVV ORDELL' SPD AAM 49
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