Fertiglobe Plc · ADX:FERTIGLB

Fertiglobe — Q4 2021 Earnings Presentation

29 slides from Fertiglobe's earnings presentation, Feb 15, 2022

  1. Slide 1: Fertiglobe Q4 2021 Results Presentation

    Fertiglobe Q4 2021 Results Presentation 15 February 2022

  2. Slide 2: Disclaimer

    Disclaimer The information contained in this presentation is for background purposes only and does not purport to be full or complete. No reliance may or should be placed by any person for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or f

  3. Slide 3: Fertiglobe at a Glance

    Fertiglobe at a Glance(1) Leading Nitrogen Fertilizer Exporter Globally and Unique Ammonia Platform(2) 4 World-class Strategically Located Production Facilities 50% of Assets Younger Global In-House Distribution Capabilities, than 10 years 50% 13.8% including ~1,000kt Storage Capacity 36.2% 6.6mt Se

  4. Slide 4: Key Fertiglobe Investment Highlights

    Key Fertiglobe Investment Highlights 1 Leading nitrogen fertilizer exporter globally and unique ammonia platform Strategically located asset base and global distribution capabilities driving structurally higher realized 2 prices High quality asset base at attractive cost curve position underpinned b

  5. Slide 5: Fertiglobe Reports Strong Q4 2021 Results Supported by Healthy Market Fundamentals

    Fertiglobe Reports Strong Q4 2021 Results Supported by Healthy Market Fundamentals Q4 2021 revenues increased to $1,184 million (+138%), while adjusted EBITDA grew 347% to $648 million, driven by higher selling prices, more than offsetting lower volumes due to planned turnarounds. Adjusted net incom

  6. Slide 6: Q4 2021 Financial Performance

    Q4 2021 Financial Performance

  7. Slide 7: Fertiglobe is Committed to Maintaining the Highest Safety Standards

    Fertiglobe is Committed to Maintaining the Highest Safety Standards 12-month rolling recordable incident rate to 31 December 2021 0.28 incidents per 200,000 manhours Total TRIR (Total Recordable Injury Rate)(1) Target Zero Injuries at All Facilities 1.5 ▪ Achieve leadership in safety and occupationa

  8. Slide 8: Fertiglobe Reports Strong Q4 2021 Underpinned by Robust Markets

    Fertiglobe Reports Strong Q4 2021 Underpinned by Robust Markets Summary Key Financials1 and KPIs Own-produced volumes sold down in Q4 ‘21 vs. Q4 ‘20 $ million unless otherwise stated Q4 2021 Q4 2020 %Δ 2021 2020 %Δ Revenue 1,184.0 498.5 138% 3,310.7 1,550.8 113% Gross Profit 626.2 101.6 516% 1,406.9

  9. Slide 9: Fertiglobe Reports Strong Earnings in Q4 2021 and Full Year

    Fertiglobe Reports Strong Earnings in Q4 2021 and Full Year Own-Produced Sales Volumes (Mt) Key Product Benchmark Prices, $/t Revenue ($m) +113% 5.5 5.6 Urea Egypt Ammonia Black Sea 0.9 1.3 +239% +304% +113% +172% +138% 3,311 1.6 4.6 4.3 0.1 1.2 895 852 0.2 1,551 529 555 1,184 1.4 1.0 264 249 499 21

  10. Slide 10: Strong Revenue Profile Translating Into Robust EBITDA and Cash Flow Generation

    Strong Revenue Profile Translating Into Robust EBITDA and Cash Flow Generation Through Low Capex EBITDA Margin and FCF Conversion Advantages Result in Ample Dividend Capacity ~$3.3bn Revenue Favourable geographical positioning and centralized commercial strategy LTM Dec-21 leveraging on unique distr

  11. Slide 11: Nitrogen Markets

    Fertiglobe ‘An ADNOC and OCI Company Nitrogen Markets

  12. Slide 12: Nitrogen Outlook Supported by Attractive Supply-Demand Dynamics

    Nitrogen Outlook Supported by Attractive Supply-Demand Dynamics Supporting Strong Pricing Outlook For 2022 and Beyond as We Recover From a 5-year Downturn Bull Market Drivers Support Demand Driven Environment Prior cycle (last 5-6 years) 2022+ CROP PRICES SUPPORTIVE OF HIGHER AFFORDABILITY 30% 26% C

  13. Slide 13: Agricultural Fundamentals Support Robust Demand At Least Until H2 2023

    Agricultural Fundamentals Support Robust Demand At Least Until H2 2023 Crop Prices Supported by “Stocks : Use” Ratio at 7 Year Lows, Spot and Futures Crop prices supportive of strong fertilizer demand Requiring at Least Two More Growing Seasons to Replenish Corn and wheat prices, $ / bushel Crop pri

  14. Slide 14: Markets Tightening With Demand Expected To Exceed Capacity Additions

    Markets Tightening With Demand Expected To Exceed Capacity Additions Ex-China Urea Capacity Additions Delayed Relative to 2015-19, with Merchant Ammonia Market Expected to Significantly Tighten Utilization Rates Slow to Ramp Up Global ammonia and net capacity additions ex-China ex-urea, Mt ✓ Demand

  15. Slide 15: Supportive Dynamics In China And India With Chinese Urea Export Curtailments

    Supportive Dynamics In China And India With Chinese Urea Export Curtailments To At Least H2 2022 And Robust Indian Import Demand • Chinese market balances supported by: Chinese Exports Curtailed on Domestic Demand and Closures – The government has implemented measures to China urea exports, Mt curb

  16. Slide 16: Higher feedstock costs for marginal producers supportive of prices

    Higher feedstock costs for marginal producers supportive of prices Global Feedstock Prices 2017-2022F, $/MMBtu Cash Costs per ton of Ammonia 2017-2022F, $/t 45 TTF futures are ~$26/MMBtu for 2022 and Marginal costs have escalated on high 40 1400 c.$15/MMBtu in 2023/2024 end of cost curve and not exp

  17. Slide 17: Structural Shift Into A Demand-Driven Pricing Environment

    Structural Shift Into A Demand-Driven Pricing Environment Strong Support for Current Nitrogen Price Levels from Low Global Crop Inventories, Strong Farm Economics, Continued Strong Fertilizer Demand and Recovering Industrial Demand Urea and Ammonia Prices (Monthly Averages, 2011 – Q1 2022(1)), $/t D

  18. Slide 18: Hydrogen and Clean Ammonia Potential

    Hydrogen and Clean Ammonia Potential

  19. Slide 19: Ammonia is Well Positioned to Capture the Hydrogen Opportunity

    Ammonia is Well Positioned to Capture the Hydrogen Opportunity With >40% of Grey Hydrogen Use Today, Ammonia is a Building Block in the Emerging H2 Economy Acting As Its Best Carrier Hydrogen Production Conversion to Ammonia Ammonia End Uses Conventional Uses Conventional Grey Fertilizer Natural Gas

  20. Slide 20: Significant Incremental Ammonia Demand from New Clean Energy Applications

    Significant Incremental Ammonia Demand in the Medium-Term from New Clean Energy Applications Clean Hydrogen is Strongly Positioned to Lead the World’s Energy Transition, and Ammonia is the Key Enabler for Such Clean Hydrogen Energy ▪ Clean hydrogen use in energy applications will be a major contribu

  21. Slide 21: Ammonia Expected to be the Cheapest Zero-carbon Fuel for Container Ships in 2030

    Ammonia Expected to be the Cheapest Zero-carbon Fuel for Container Ships in 2030(1) $m p.a. for Container Ship(2,3) and Bunkering Location in the Middle East, 2030 Conventional Fuel Grey / Blue Ammonia Fuel(4) Zero-carbon Shipping Fuel ▪ From 2030, green shipping ~83 ~214 ~416 will be at cost parity

  22. Slide 22: Marine Fuel Represents a Substantial Market Opportunity for Fertiglobe

    Marine Fuel Represents a Substantial Market Opportunity for Fertiglobe Shipping Accounts for ~3% of GHG Emissions Worldwide ▪ Ammonia as a marine fuel is one of the most practical alternatives to Heavy Fuel Oil (HFO) - burns cleanest when used as an energy source vs. other fuels (>50% reduction in G

  23. Slide 23: Fertiglobe is Plug-and-Play for Low Carbon Ammonia

    Fertiglobe is Plug-and-Play for Low Carbon Ammonia Huge Competitive Advantage in Low Carbon Ammonia Relative to Greenfields Fertiglobe competitive advantage, accessed through low CAPEX Blue Ammonia Merchant CO2 EOR(1) Ammonia position sequestration + network Ammonia Ammonia storage Ammonia import On

  24. Slide 24: Fertiglobe Clean Ammonia Execution Roadmap

    Fertiglobe Clean Ammonia Execution Roadmap ✓ ✓ ✓ Q2 2021 Q1 2022 Q3 2021 FID Blue Abu-Dhabi Blue Announcement Signed Production of of Fertiglobe Production of collaboration Ammonia Ammonia plant 70 ktpa of Blue participation first pilot batch agreement with Project in Abu start-up with a Ammonia wor

  25. Slide 25: Appendix

    Fertiglobe ‘An ADNOC and OCI Company Appendix

  26. Slide 26: December 2021 Net Debt

    31 December 2021 Net Debt H1 2022 Dividend Expected to Substantially Exceed $200 million Minimum Guidance $ million 31 Dec ‘20 PF 30 Sep ‘21 31 Dec ‘21 Cash and bank balances 535 463 899 Loans and borrowings - current 126 237 60 Loans and borrowings - non-current 545 1,339 1,326 Total borrowings 671

  27. Slide 27: Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Net Income

    Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Net Income Reconciliation of reported operating income to adjusted EBITDA $ million Q4 ‘21 Q4 ‘20 2021 2020 Adjustment in P&L Operating profit as reported 596.3 77.6 1,304.6 181.6 Depreciation and amortization 64.9 67.2 267.0 268.0 EBITDA 661.2 144.8 1,

  28. Slide 28: Reconciliation of EBITDA to Free Cash Flow and Change in Net Debt

    Reconciliation of EBITDA to Free Cash Flow and Change in Net Debt Reconciliation of EBITDA to Free Cash Flow and Change in Net Debt $ million Q4 ‘21 Q4 ‘20 2021 2020 EBITDA 661.2 144.8 1,571.6 449.6 Working capital 61.6 54.6 (62.1) 130.4 Maintenance capital expenditure (48.6) (20.7) (77.5) (53.5) Ta

  29. Slide 29: Thank you

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