Trinity Industries, Inc. · NYSE:TRN

Trinity Industries — Investor Day (November 2020)

87 slides from Trinity Industries's investor day presentation, Nov 19, 2020

  1. Slide 1: Trinity Industries Investor Day Presentation

    Exhibit 99.1 TRINITY INDUSTRIES, INC. InvestorInvestor Day Day Presentation Presentation November 19, 2020 November 19, 2020 DELIVERING GOODS for THE GOOD of ALL

  2. Slide 2: Presentation Speakers and Management Strengths

    Presentation Speakers Management strengths Jean Savage – CEO & President and strategic focus • Joined Trinity in 2020 Proven management team with extensive industry experience Eric Marchetto – EVP & CFO • Joined Trinity in 1995 Experienced operators in cyclical markets Brian Madison – EVP, Services

  3. Slide 3: Investor Day Agenda

    Investor Day Agenda 9:00 AM ET Strategy and Value Proposition — Jean Savage, CEO and President 9:30 AM ET Lease Portfolio Strategy — Brian Madison, EVP, Services Operations 9:45 AM ET Commercial Market Strategy — Gregg Mitchell, EVP, Chief Commercial Officer 10:00 AM ET BREAK - - - - - - - - - - - -

  4. Slide 4: Forward Looking Statements and Other References

    Forward Looking Statements and Other References Some statements in this presentation, which are not historical facts, are “forward-looking statements” as defined by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements include statements about Trinity's estimates, expectat

  5. Slide 5: Strategy and Value Proposition

    STRATEGY AND VALUE PROPOSITION InvestorJean Savage Day Presentation NovemberCEO and 19, President 2020 DELIVERING GOODS for THE GOOD of ALL

  6. Slide 6: Key Takeaways for Enhancing Shareholder Value

    Key Takeaways for Enhancing Shareholder Value Strong Cash Flow Generation through the Rail Cycle Optimize the Returns of the Platform Deliver Premier Financial Performance Prudently Deploy Capital to Drive Value Creation DELIVERING GOODS for THE GOOD of ALL /// 6

  7. Slide 7: Trinity's Value Proposition

    Trinity’s Value Proposition Attractive railcar investments with long-tailed asset utility Strategic synergies generated by rail platform with industry-leading positions Significant and compounding cash flows result from platform synergies Capital allocation focused on shareholder returns and discipl

  8. Slide 8: A Legacy of Growth and a Focus on Transformation

    A Legacy of Growth and a Focus on Transformation THEN NOW • Industrial Manufacturer • Railcar Equipment & Services Provider • Scaling Businesses • Emphasis on Optimization • Premium on Manufacturing • Scaling Platform Offerings Flexibility • Focus on Cash Flow and • Earnings Growth Returns DELIVERIN

  9. Slide 9: Experienced Team Guides a Resilient Platform

    Experienced Team Guides a Resilient Platform . Recent cycle challenged by: . Influx of capital into rail industry . Cyclically Experienced Management Team . Collapse of oil prices . Resilient Cash Flow from Platform of Businesses . Industrial decline . Transformation of Operating Model Underway . Gl

  10. Slide 10: Trinity's Platform is Built to Deliver Shareholder Value

    Trinity’s Platform is Built to Deliver Shareholder Value LTM Sales LTM Cash Flow, Continuing Ops $2.4B $687M LTM LTM OP Margin, Shareholder Adjusted* Returns 13.6% $275M * See appendix for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures DELIVERING GOODS for THE GOOD of ALL /// 10

  11. Slide 11: Optimization Efforts Lay Foundation for Further Success

    Optimization Efforts Lay Foundation for Further Success Major initiatives since year-end 2018 delivered significant improvement: Operating Cost Structure, Cost of Capital, and Capital Allocation Streamlined Commercial Capacity Reductions Organization Realignment 47% Transitioned from $110M Sales Geo

  12. Slide 12: 3-Year Business & Financial Outlook FY 2021-2023

    3 Year Business & Financial Outlook FY 2021 - 2023 Industry Deliveries ~ 120,000 railcars (over 3 years) Lease Portfolio Net $500M - $600M (over 3 years) Investment* Lease Fleet Utilization 95%+ Manufacturing OPM Mid to high single digits Business Drivers Business Pre-tax ROE Mid-teens Total CF from

  13. Slide 13: A New Operating Model and Company Purpose

    A New Operating Model and Company Purpose PURPOSE STRATEGY BUSINESS VALUES DELIVERING GOODS for THE GOOD of ALL /// 13

  14. Slide 14: Strategic Initiatives to Achieve Mid-Teen Pre-Tax ROE

    Strategic Initiatives to Achieve Mid-Teen Pre-Tax ROE Lower Cost of Capital | Reduce Cyclicality | Improve Rail Supply Chain Optimization Pre-tax ROE Improvement Mid- Balance Sheet Optimization Teen • Increase LTV ratio on wholly-owned leased railcar assets Growth • Opportunistically refinance exist

  15. Slide 15: Strategic Initiative: Recapitalize Balance Sheet

    Strategic Initiative: Recapitalize Balance Sheet to Reflect Business Model Q4-18 Current Target Loan to 60- Value 47% 58% Ratio 65% (wholly-owned Lease Fleet) Pre-tax 7.6% 5.2% < 4.5 - 5%* WACC *Noted WACC is an estimate based on current inputs and targeted future capital structure DELIVERING GOODS

  16. Slide 16: Strategic Initiative: Execute Portfolio Optimization

    Strategic Initiative: Execute Portfolio Optimization to Improve Lease Fleet IRR “Hold and Earn” • Increase hurdle rates for incremental investment in portfolio • Leverage rail platform to increase service-based revenue and profitability of assets Increase “Transact and Earn” Portfolio IRR by • Trans

  17. Slide 17: RIV Partnerships Extend Our Commercial Reach

    RIV Partnerships Extend Our Commercial Reach Source Capitalize/Manage Service Maintenance Hold and Owned Earn (Yield > WACC) Originate & Incremental Management & Service Acquire Income Administration Transact and Managed Analytics Earn (lower-hurdled capital) DELIVERING GOODS for THE GOOD of ALL ///

  18. Slide 18: Strategic Initiative: Improve Manufacturing Margin

    Strategic Initiative: Improve Manufacturing Margin by Lowering Breakeven Point Mid-Teen Lower Investment + 3 to 10-12K 5.5 pts • Concentrate manufacturing footprint • Monetize underutilized asset base Reduce Cycle Amplitude • Shift low-value fabrication into supply 2.8% chain • Minimize cycle-relate

  19. Slide 19: Strategic Initiative: Grow New Products and Services

    Strategic Initiative: Grow New Products and Services Offerings to Extend Platform New Product Development: • Differentiated value propositions • Focus on higher margin offerings Grow Share of Aftermarket Parts: PRODUCTS • Increased distribution partnerships • R&D / Fabrication • Management services

  20. Slide 20: Execution Roadmap for Improved Returns Performance

    Execution Roadmap for Improved Returns Performance Lower Cost of Capital | Reduce Cyclicality | Improve Rail Supply Chain Balance sheet and lease fleet optimization Monetize excess facilities / low-yielding equipment Reset SE&A baseline Shift supplier network Rationalize footprint Reallocate footpri

  21. Slide 21: Enterprise Financial KPIs for Long-Term Performance

    Enterprise Financial KPI’s for Long-Term Performance Operating and Free Mid-teen Cash Flow Pre-tax Return Growth on Equity Double- digit Book Value per Share Dividend Growth Growth DELIVERING GOODS for THE GOOD of ALL /// 21

  22. Slide 22: Lease Portfolio Strategy

    LEASE PORTFOLIO STRATEGY InvestorBrian MadisonDay Presentation NovemberEVP, Services 19, 2020 Operations DELIVERING GOODS for THE GOOD of ALL

  23. Slide 23: Railcars Are Attractive Long-term Investments

    Railcars Are Attractive Long-term Investments Stable and Hard Asset Value Tax-advantaged Predictable Cash with Inflation Investment Flows Benefits • Long-term leases • Accelerated depreciation for • 35-50 year useful life tax purposes • High renewal success rates • Positive yield relationship to • 1

  24. Slide 24: GAAP Returns Accelerate as Lease Portfolio Matures

    GAAP Returns Accelerate as Lease Portfolio Matures Illustrative Example of Book Value and Cash Flows* Attractive investment attributes: • Book Values depreciate over 35+ years • Lease revenues generally rise over the life of the railcar due to: • Inflation • Low technological obsolescence • Healthy

  25. Slide 25: Rail Investment Profile vs. Other Asset Classes

    Rail Investment Profile vs. Other Asset Classes Leased railcar investments generate attractive risk-adjusted returns relative to other asset classes* Railcar Attributes Aircraft* Real Estate* Cost of Production / Investment Low / Highly diverse High / highly concentrated High / varied by type Concen

  26. Slide 26: Capitalizing on Structural Change in the Rail Market

    Capitalizing on Structural Change in the Rail Market Railcar Ownership is Shifting from Railroads to Railcar Lessor Ownership Profile Presents Leasing Companies Consolidation Opportunity 100% TRN 90% 14% 14% 80% 70% 60% 14% 13% 50% 40% 6% 30% 13% 48% 53% 43% 20% 35% 10% 26% 0% 1990s 2000s 2010s 2019

  27. Slide 27: Stable Financial Performance Through the Cycle

    Stable Financial Performance Through the Cycle Leasing Operations Revenue and Operating Profit Margin(1) Leading railcar lessor $800 50% • Owned fleet of 105,925 railcars $750 40% $700 • Total Owned and Managed fleet of 132,580 30% railcars $650 20% $600 Growing portfolio and future cash flow $550 1

  28. Slide 28: Proven Asset Management Through Railcar Cycle

    Proven Asset Management Through Railcar Cycle Healthy Customer Renewals Lead to Strong Asset Utilization Average Performance since 2010: 100% 90% 80% 98% 74% 70% Utilization Renewal Success 60% 50% 40% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM 3.4 yrs 17% Portfolio Utilization Renewal Su

  29. Slide 29: Diversified Portfolio of Railcar Equipment

    Diversified Portfolio of Railcar Equipment ~ 900 Different Commodities ~ 270 Different Railcar Designs Construction & Consumer Refined Products & Total Total Car Type Agriculture Energy Metals Products Chemicals (Units) (NBV) Open Aggregates, Steel and Metals Coal Hopper/Gondolas 11% 8% Small Covere

  30. Slide 30: Servicing High-Quality Industrial Shippers

    Servicing High-Quality Industrial Shippers Strong Customer Credit Profiles (by NBV) 700+ 75%+ 14% Customers Full Service Lease 51% 35% Largest customer Top 20 customers represents < 5% of account for 38% of total lease revenue lease revenue Investment Grade Not Rated Non-Investment Grade Serving Ind

  31. Slide 31: Positioned for Further Success in the Marketplace

    Positioned for Further Success in the Marketplace Trinity’s Leasing Company has a bright future and is leading the change for network efficiency to enhance the modal advantage of the railcar industry Disciplined Digital Data Scale & Operating Model Platforms Analytics Consolidation • Moderating leas

  32. Slide 32: Moderating the Pace of Growth for the Lease Portfolio

    Moderating the Pace of Growth for the Lease Portfolio Trinity’s Lease portfolio has amassed scale, and incremental investment is expected to be accretive to the Company’s target return rate 160,000 CAGR < 4% 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 - 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 200

  33. Slide 33: Commercial Market Strategy

    COMMERCIAL MARKET STRATEGY InvestorGregg DayMitchell Presentation NovemberEVP and 19, Chief 2020 Commercial Officer DELIVERING GOODS for THE GOOD of ALL

  34. Slide 34: Integral Part of the North American Supply Chain

    Integral Part of the North American Supply Chain U.S. Freight Ton Miles by Mode of Transportation(2) • 1.7 million railcars in North Pipe, 17% America(1) Air, <1% Water, 9% Truck, 47% • 1.5 trillion ton miles 5.4 trillion total ton miles moved by rail in 2019(2) • 3,500+ commodities Rail, 27% moved

  35. Slide 35: Delivering Essential Goods to the Global Marketplace

    Delivering Essential Goods to the Global Marketplace Refined Construction Consumer Energy Products & Agriculture & Metals Products Chemicals • Coal • Natural Gas Liquids • Grains • Construction • Autos • Biofuels • Refined Products • Grain Mill Products Materials • Paper • Frac Sand • Plastics • Dis

  36. Slide 36: Railcar Market: Recent Trends and Industry Outlook

    Railcar Market: Recent Trends and Industry Outlook Railcar demand is recovering from pandemic lows and remains tepid given economic uncertainty Loadings / Rate Last 4QTR 2021 Projected* Q3-20 Y/Y 2021 Projected* YoY Change Railcar Loadings Railcar Loadings Lease Rates Y/Y Rate Trend Agriculture Cons

  37. Slide 37: Trinity's Platform Services All Customer Channels

    Trinity’s Platform Services All Customer Channels Broadest Market View: Trinity’s Lease Fleet Comprises Majority of Commercial Transactions • 700+ customers • Industrial shippers, 3PLs, Railroads 78% 67% 62% • 900+ commodities 56% 57% • 270 railcar designs • Avg 32,000+ railcars transacted per year

  38. Slide 38: A Differentiated Value Proposition for Our Customers

    A Differentiated Value Proposition for Our Customers Leasing Manufacturing Maintenance Services • Lease Portfolio • Rail Product • Maintenance • Logistics Services Portfolio • Fleet Management • Modifications • Data Analytics • Aftermarket Parts • Equipment Finance • Repair • Connected Railcar Solut

  39. Slide 39: Enhancing Rail Modal Advantage Through Supply Chain Efficiency

    Enhancing Rail Modal Advantage Through Supply Chain Efficiency Modal share from 2000 to 2019: Truck vs. Rail* Shippers demand more information: • Supply chain focus has evolved with technology and lean inventory 2000 Share 45.5% 30.7% management • Rail industry has been slow to innovate 2000 Ton Mil

  40. Slide 40: Investing in High Yield Products and Services

    Investing in High Yield Products and Services Engineering Outcomes Enhance existing • Maintain Products products, design competitive products/services Customer new products for Trinity, or develop portfolio Solutions new-to-the-world Ideas products • Differentiated value Innovation propositions -Ori

  41. Slide 41: Financial Strategy and Outlook

    FINANCIAL STRATEGY AND OUTLOOK InvestorEric Marchetto Day Presentation NovemberEVP and 19, CFO 2020 DELIVERING GOODS for THE GOOD of ALL

  42. Slide 42: Value Proposition Review

    Value Proposition Review Attractive railcar investments with long-tailed asset utility Strategic synergies generated by platform of railcar businesses Significant and compounding cash flows result from platform synergies Capital allocation focused on shareholder returns and prudent growth DELIVERING

  43. Slide 43: Value Proposition Review – A Sustainable Capital Story

    Value Proposition Review – A Sustainable Capital Story Reinvestment Attractive and Return of Yielding Capital Assets Compounding Strategic Cash Flows Synergies DELIVERING GOODS for THE GOOD of ALL /// 43

  44. Slide 44: Attractive Yielding Assets with Long-tailed Utility

    A Sustainable Capital Story: Attractive Yielding Assets with Long-tailed Utility Rail Assets Generate Steady Cash Flow through Cycle $500 Railcar Asset Cash Flow Profile: $450 $400 Stable generation from long-term leases • $350 and balanced renewal exposure $300 $250 • Rising future contribution fro

  45. Slide 45: Trinity's Rail Platform Delivers Strategic Synergies

    A Sustainable Capital Story: Trinity’s Rail Platform Delivers Strategic Synergies FINANCIAL Synergies • Cost-advantaged railcar equipment sourcing ~ $550M+ • Tax-advantaged lease fleet investment Investment advantage offsets taxable income and enhances returns • Lower-relative operational ~$700M+ co

  46. Slide 46: Platform Synergies Create Strong Cash Flows

    A Sustainable Capital Story: Platform Synergies Create Strong Cash Flows Steady State Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Measures the potential capital to be Measures excess cash from the platform deployed after investment to maintain after total investments, leverage, and enterprise cash flow maintaining the

  47. Slide 47: Reinvestment & Capital Return Drive Shareholder Value

    A Sustainable Capital Story: Reinvestment & Capital Return Drive Shareholder Value A growing stream of cash flow from Trinity’s platform creates shareholder value: - Reinvestment into the business when expected returns are above our hurdle rates - Return capital to shareholders through consistent di

  48. Slide 48: Reinvestment & Capital Return Drive Shareholder Value

    A Sustainable Capital Story: Reinvestment & Capital Return Drive Shareholder Value A growing stream of cash flow from Trinity’s platform creates shareholder value: - Reinvestment into the business when expected returns are above our hurdle rates - Return capital to shareholders through consistent di

  49. Slide 49: Enterprise Financial KPIs for Long-Term Performance

    Enterprise Financial KPI’s for Long-Term Performance Operating and Free Mid-teen Cash Flow Pre-tax Return Growth on Equity Double- digit Book Value per Share Dividend Growth Growth DELIVERING GOODS for THE GOOD of ALL /// 49

  50. Slide 50: Platform Optimization is Critical to Improve Pre-tax ROE

    Platform Optimization is Critical to Improve Pre-tax ROE ~ 2 to 3 pts ~ Mid-teen ~ 4 to 5 LT Pre-tax pts ROE Target ~ 4 to 5 pts 5.5% LTM Pre-tax ROE* Strategic Initiatives in Place to Deliver Results Financial Initiatives Balance Sheet Optimization + Return of Capital Optimization Efforts SE&A and

  51. Slide 51: Capital Allocation Framework – Near Term Strategy

    Capital Allocation Framework – Near Term Strategy Trinity’s line of sight on near-term cash flow generation and sources of capital over the next 3 years are expected to create significant shareholder value Cash Flow from Ops • Organic Growth Excess Cash -------------- • Acquisitions Balance Sheet •

  52. Slide 52: Capital Allocation Framework – Long Term Strategy

    Capital Allocation Framework – Long Term Strategy Strong cash generation and disciplined capital allocation positions Trinity for shareholder value creation through the railcar cycle Manage Leverage Reinvest Return Capital Minimum Maintenance Double-digit Liquidity CapEx Dividend Requirements Workin

  53. Slide 53: 3-Year Business & Financial Outlook FY 2021-2023

    3 Year Business & Financial Outlook FY 2021 - 2023 Industry Deliveries ~ 120,000 railcars (over 3 years) Lease Portfolio Net $500M - $600M (over 3 years) Investment* Lease Fleet Utilization 95%+ Manufacturing OPM Mid to high single digits Business Drivers Business Pre-tax ROE Mid-teens Total CF from

  54. Slide 54: Key Takeaways for Enhancing Shareholder Value

    Review Key Takeaways for Enhancing Shareholder Value • Substantial cash flow and balance sheet optimization of over $2B in Strong Cash Flow capital (representing a significant portion of Trinity’s current market cap) Generation to allocate over the next three years • Capitalize on attractive financi

  55. Slide 55: Trinity 2020 Investor Day Q&A

    Trinity 2020 Investor Day Q&A DELIVERING GOODS for THE GOOD of ALL /// 55

  56. Slide 56: Management Biographies

    Management Biographies Investor Day Presentation November 19, 2020 DELIVERING GOODS for THE GOOD of ALL

  57. Slide 57: Jean Savage – CEO and President

    Jean Savage – CEO and President Jean Savage was appointed Chief Executive Officer and President of Trinity Industries in February 2020. She has served as a member of Trinity’s Board of Directors since November 2018. Ms. Savage is also a member of the National Association of Manufacturers Board of Di

  58. Slide 58: Eric Marchetto – EVP and Chief Financial Officer

    Eric Marchetto – EVP and Chief Financial Officer Eric Marchetto was appointed EVP and Chief Financial Officer of Trinity Industries in April 2020. Since joining Trinity in 1995, Mr. Marchetto has held numerous leadership roles most recently serving as Group President of TrinityRail, where he had ove

  59. Slide 59: Brian Madison – EVP, Services Operations

    Brian Madison – EVP, Services Operations Brian Madison was named EVP, Services Operations for Trinity Industries in July 2020, after previously serving as President for Trinity Industries Leasing Company upon joining the Company in 2016. In his current role, Mr. Madison is responsible for the leasin

  60. Slide 60: Gregg Mitchell, EVP and Chief Commercial Officer

    Gregg Mitchell, EVP and Chief Commercial Officer Gregg Mitchell was named Chief Commercial Officer of TrinityRail in October 2019, and EVP and Chief Commercial Officer of Trinity Industries in July 2020. In this role, Mr. Mitchell brings a career of supply chain experience to tailor innovative solut

  61. Slide 61: Jessica Greiner – VP, Investor Relations and Communications

    Jessica Greiner – VP, Investor Relations and Communications Jessica Greiner was promoted to Vice President, Investor Relations and Communications for Trinity Industries in 2018. In her previous position as Executive Director, Corporate Strategic Planning, Ms. Greiner was significantly involved in th

  62. Slide 62: Appendix

    Appendix Investor Day Presentation November 19, 2020 DELIVERING GOODS for THE GOOD of ALL

  63. Slide 63: Trinity's Business Segments – P&L Breakout

    Trinity’s Business Segments – P&L Breakout Trinity $2.4B $330M $83M $607M Industries Adjusted Adjusted Adjusted Total Revenues Income from . Operating Profit* EBITDA* Inc Cont. Ops.* (LTM 9/30/2020) Railcar Leasing and Rail Products Group All Other Intersegment Eliminations Management Services Group

  64. Slide 64: Historical Business Segment Performance Trends

    Historical Business Segment Performance Trends Leading railcar leasing and services provider Leasing Operations Revenue and Operating Profit Margin(1) • 105,925 railcars ($7.3B of net PP&E) in owned fleet $800 50% • Future committed lease revenue of $2.0B $750 40% • Leased railcar backlog of 4,060 r

  65. Slide 65: Strong Balance Sheet Positioned for Market Uncertainty

    Strong Balance Sheet Positioned for Market Uncertainty and Opportunistic Deployment LIQUIDITY DEBT STRUCTURE CAPITAL LEVERS Cash & Equivalents Recourse Debt Unencumbered Railcars $121M $523M @ ~4%(1) $1.4B Revolver Availability Non-recourse Debt • Pledge to warehouse $279M $4.4B @ ~4%(1) • Additiona

  66. Slide 66: Platform Synergies Enhance Lease Portfolio ROE

    Platform Synergies Enhance Lease Portfolio ROE $8.0 Billion $(4.5 Billion) (Assets) (Liabilities) 13.8% Comparable to third party Pre-Tax ROE* leasing (Leasing Group) company Reflects benefits of $(863 Million) integrated platform (DTL) $2.6 Billion $(719 Million) (Deferred Profit) (Assets – $(349 M

  67. Slide 67: Illustrative Single Unit Leased Railcar Example

    Illustrative Single Unit Leased Railcar Example Platform Synergies Enhance the Return Profile (TRN Platform vs. Stand Alone) . The cost-advantage from direct TRN Stand-Alone equipment sourcing increases the pre- New Railcar @ Market Price $ 100,000 $ 100,000 tax ROE potential Railcar Manufacturing C

  68. Slide 68: Case Study #1 – Energy Customer

    Case Study #1 – Energy Customer Customer Need: • The customer maintains a fleet of both owned and leased railcars. They needed to modify their owned fleet for continued use and change the mix of their fleet to match their business needs. Products & Services Offered: • Maintenance Services • Investme

  69. Slide 69: Case Study #2 – Railcar Investment Vehicle Platform

    Case Study #2 – Railcar Investment Vehicle Platform Customer Need: • Institutional investors have ownership in the railcar asset class and look to partner with best in class providers who can manage the servicing and operations of a diverse portfolio Products & Services Offered: • Investment Service

  70. Slide 70: Case Study #3 – New Product & Service Development

    Case Study #3 – New Product & Service Development Customer (Industry) Need: • The industry was oversupplied with tri-level autoracks vs. bi-level autoracks as consumer preference changed from smaller, fuel-efficient automobiles to larger, cross-over and sports-utility vehicles. Products & Services O

  71. Slide 71: Case Study #4 – Large Third Party Leasing Company

    Case Study #4 – Large Third Party Leasing Company Customer Need: • The customer owns a large, young lease fleet, with a considerable need for retrofits, traditional maintenance and new railcars to supplement their portfolio growth. Products & Services Offered: • Maintenance Services • Aftermarket Pa

  72. Slide 72: Key Demand Fundamentals: Railcar Loadings by Submarket

    Key Demand Fundamentals: Railcar Loadings by Submarket YoY Railcar Loadings Move with GDP but Inflect on Specific Fundamental Drivers 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% -50% 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Agriculture Construction/Metals Consumer Products Downstream/Chemicals Energy See appendix for source inf

  73. Slide 73: Key Demand Fundamentals: Railcar Storage by Car Type

    Key Demand Fundamentals: Railcar Storage by Car Type Railcars in Storage Follow Railcar Loading Trends 600,000 35% 30% 500,000 25% 400,000 20% 300,000 15% 200,000 10% 100,000 5% - 0% Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19 Jan-20 Jul-20 Box Cars Covered Hoppers Flat Cars All Other Go

  74. Slide 74: Key Demand Fundamentals: Attrition and Replacement

    Key Demand Fundamentals: Attrition and Replacement Rail Equipment Fleets Vary in Age Based on Cycle Dynamics 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 0-10 11 - 20 21 - 30 31-40 41-50 (in ‘000s) Years Years Years Years Years Tankcar Covered Hoppers Flat Cars Open Hoppers/Gondolas Box Cars Specialty Freight See appe

  75. Slide 75: Key Demand Fundamentals: Railroad PSR Initiatives

    Key Demand Fundamentals: Railroad PSR Initiatives Opinion: PSR efficiencies will reduce overall Opinion: The rail industry has lost modal demand for railcar equipment share due to network inefficiencies and lack of supply chain transparency Research: Efficiency improvement in single Research: A 1% i

  76. Slide 76: Reconciliation: Total Company Pre-tax ROE

    Reconciliation: Total Company Pre-tax ROE FY 2019 LTM Q3-20 Numerator: ($ in millions) Income from continuing operations $ 109.0 $ 139.2 $ (77.1) Provision (benefit) for income taxes 42.6 61.5 (205.8) Income from continuing operations before income taxes 151.6 200.7 (282.9) Net (income) loss attribu

  77. Slide 77: Reconciliation: Leasing Group Pre-Tax ROE

    Reconciliation: Leasing Group Pre-Tax ROE December 31, 2018 2019 ($ in millions) Numerator: Operating profit $ 351.1 $ 406.6 Interest expense (142.3) (197.2) Income from continuing operations before tax 208.8 209.4 Net (income) loss attributable to noncontrolling interest (3.8) 1.5 Adjusted Profit B

  78. Slide 78: Reconciliation: Leasing Economic Profit

    Reconciliation: Leasing Economic Profit 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM Q3-20 (in millions) Operating Profit – Leasing Operations $ 312.5 $ 341.3 $ 291.8 $ 314.7 $ 327.9 (Less): Interest Expense (125.2) (125.8) (142.3) (197.2) (200.0) Profit Before Tax – Leasing Operations 187.3 215.5 149.5 117.5 127.9 (Add

  79. Slide 79: Reconciliation: Steady State Cash Flow

    Reconciliation: Steady State Cash Flow 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM Q3-20 (in millions) Net cash provided by operating activities – continuing operations $ 837.5 $ 610.1 $ 274.2 $ 396.7 $ 687.2 (Add): Proceeds from railcar lease fleet sales owned more than one year at the time of sale 37.7 360.7 230.5 20

  80. Slide 80: Reconciliation: Lease Investment and Required Equity CapEx

    Reconciliation: Lease Investment and Required “Equity CapEx” Lease investment is typically leveraged at a 70-80% LTV, reducing required equity capital and increasing available cash flow. $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 $400 $200 $0 -$200 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM Leasing CapEx* Net, New Debt Funding Equity Ca

  81. Slide 81: Reconciliation: Walking FCF Beyond Lease Investment

    Reconciliation: Walking FCF Beyond Lease Investment Disciplined Balance Sheet Management Yields Strong Excess Cash Flows 2016 2017 2018 2019 LTM Q3-20 (in millions) Net cash provided by operating activities – continuing operations $ 837.5 $ 610.1 $ 274.2 $ 396.7 $ 687.2 (Add): Proceeds from railcar

  82. Slide 82: Reconciliation: Adjusted Operating Results

    Reconciliation: Adjusted Operating Results Nine Months Ended September 30, 2020 Impairment of Impairment of long-lived long-lived assets - assets - Early Income tax Controlling Noncontrolling Restructuring redemption of effect of GAAP Interest (1) (2) Interest (3) activities (2) debt (2) CARES Act A

  83. Slide 83: Reconciliation: Adjusted Operating Results (continued)

    Reconciliation: Adjusted Operating Results (continued) Year Ended December 31, 2019 Restructuring GAAP activities Income Tax Adjusted (in millions, except per share amounts) Operating profit $ 416.3 $ 14.7 $ - $ 431.0 Provision (benefit) for income taxes $ 61.5 $ 3.3 $ (9.7) $ 55.1 Income from conti

  84. Slide 84: Reconciliation: EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA

    Reconciliation: EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA LTM Q3-20 (in millions) Net income (loss) $ (78.1) Less: income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of income taxes (1.0) Income (loss) from continuing operations $ (77.1) Add: Interest expense 222.9 Provision (benefit) for income taxes (205.8) Depreci

  85. Slide 85: Presentation Footnotes

    Presentation Footnotes SLIDE 11 – Optimization Efforts Lay Foundation for Further Success (1) The Company’s calculation of Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) incorporates a risk free rate using an average of the 10yr and 30yr treasury rates, an equity risk premium compiled by NYU, and an averag

  86. Slide 86: Presentation Footnotes (continued)

    Presentation Footnotes (continued) SLIDE 34 – Integral Part of the North American Supply Chain (1) Umler® (October 1, 2020 report), The Umler® system is an electronic resource that contains critical data for North American transportation equipment. Originally created in 1968, Umler ® maintains data

  87. Slide 87: Presentation Footnotes (continued)

    Presentation Footnotes (continued) Appendix SLIDE 68 – Case Study #1 – Energy Customer Net Present Value (“NPV”) is used in the calculation of the transaction contribution to the Company’s profitability as the commercial agreement is ongoing and is expected to continue for several more years. Append

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