Bank Of Ireland Group Plc · EURONEXT:BIRG

Bank Of Ireland — Debt Investor Presentation (December 2023)

62 slides from Bank Of Ireland's debt investor presentation, Dec 31, 2023

  1. Slide 1: FY 2023 Debt Investor Presentation

    FY 2023 20 Debt Investor Presentation 23 31 December 2023 1

  2. Slide 2: Overview

    = Bank of Ireland Bank of Ireland Overview

  3. Slide 3: Step change in business performance

    Step change in business performance Strategic +23% +8% +18% delivery Irish loans New customers1 AUM Strong financial performance €1.9bn 42% 17.3% PBT CIR2 ROTE3 Step change in 340bps 14.3% €1.15bn distributions Capital generation4 CET1 72% total distribution (2018-22 avg 100bps) 13% of market capita

  4. Slide 4: Highly attractive Irish market

    Highly attractive Irish market Irish franchises driving profit growth Strong household finances1 €160 115% 110% 5% €150 105% €140 19% 100% Billions €130 n Ireland 95% % of Group n UK €120 profits 90% n Other €110 85% 76% €100 80% Q120 Q420 Q321 Q222 Q123 Q423 Deposits (LHS) Debt / Disposable Income

  5. Slide 5: Strong Irish retail performance

    Strong Irish retail performance Irish residential mortgages Everyday Banking Wealth and Insurance +8% €80.1bn €46bn Net Irish mortgage book growth y/y Irish customer balances AUM (+18% y/y) (excluding KBCI portfolio) 1 (+€2.5bn in 2023) 41% +11% €3.3bn Irish mortgage market share Customer fee income

  6. Slide 6: Supporting Irish businesses and a complementary international footprint

    Supporting Irish businesses and a complementary international footprint Corporate and Commercial Retail UK Ireland Property and international corporate €3.4bn -10% +22% Irish SME new lending Net reduction in property and international Growth in new lending y/y (+6% y/y) corporate book y/y €0.9bn 3.4

  7. Slide 7: Strategic pillars supporting growth and improved Customer experience

    Strategic pillars supporting growth and improved Customer experience… 1 Stronger relationships 2 Simpler business +75k +8% -5% +18% Increased product New-to-bank customer Customer complaints y/y 3 Active digital users4 y/y holdings1 y/y growth2 in 2023 Growing Customer numbers Better Customer outcom

  8. Slide 8: Delivering benefits to Society and Colleagues

    …delivering benefits to Society and Colleagues… 3 Sustainable company Practical, meaningful ESG interventions #1 €11.1bn 46% 80% for Financial Wellbeing Sustainable finance Female senior appointments in Colleague Cultural Embedding Index1 in Ireland +35% y/y 2023 vs 50:50 target (40% 2022) (+4ppts y

  9. Slide 9: Rewarding our Shareholders

    …and rewarding our Shareholders FY23-25 Financial Targets FY23 performance (all targets apply to each year) Return on Tangible Equity (ROTE) c.15% 17.3% Cost-to-Income Ratio (CIR) < 50% 42% Ordinary dividend Building to c.40% payout 40% payout c.40-60% policy provides flexibility (60c DPS)1 Distribu

  10. Slide 10: Unique opportunity as The National Champion Bank

    Unique opportunity as The National Champion Bank Strategic clarity Differentiated and focus business model Strong capital generation Interim distributions to commence in 2024 On track to Highly attractive deliver 2023-2025 markets financial targets 10

  11. Slide 11: Operational Performance

    = Bank of Ireland Operational Performance

  12. Slide 12: FY23 financial performance; PBT +92%

    FY23 financial performance; PBT +92% FY 2022 FY 2023 y/y (€m1) (€m) 2023 PBT up 92% Net interest income 2,482 3,682 48% Total income +42% Business income 624 707 13% • higher interest rates Other income and valuation items 11 39 nmf Total Income 3,117 4,428 42% • strategic actions and acquisitions O

  13. Slide 13: 48% growth in net interest income

    48% growth in net interest income Net interest income movement Increase in 2023 • Liquid asset income from higher rates and growing deposit franchise • Lending income driven by higher yields, €600m (€730m) Irish franchise momentum and KBCI transaction, marginally offset by UK €1,330m personal loans

  14. Slide 14: Structural hedge providing NII resilience

    Structural hedge providing NII resilience Structural hedge (gross fixed leg income)1 Higher structural hedge volumes in ........€60-65bn ........... Avg volume €36bn €44bn €65bn ............................................................................... 2023 primarily due to growth in current a/

  15. Slide 15: Loan book growth reflects KBCI and Irish net lending

    Loan book growth reflects KBCI and Irish net lending Group loan book movement Net lending in Irish non-property loan books of €2.0bn supported by 25% increase in new mortgage lending €2.0bn (€1.6bn) €8.0bn (€0.8bn) €0.1bn €79.7bn Reduction in property and international corporate lending reflects cau

  16. Slide 16: Total business income 10% higher

    Total business income1 10% higher FY 2022 FY 2023 (€m2) (€m) Increase in business income Wealth and Insurance 234 332 • Wealth and Insurance +42%; growth in New Ireland and full year Davy Retail Ireland 144 146 contribution3 • Retail Ireland fee income growth, with Retail UK (36) (34) small positive

  17. Slide 17: Operating expenses in line with c.€1.85bn guidance

    Operating expenses1 in line with c.€1.85bn guidance Operating expenses movement2 Acquisitions primarily Davy and KBCI €62m €39m (c.2.5%) net growth reflects inflation €39m €81m and BAU investment, partially offset by pension costs and efficiencies €1,857m Other includes accrual for performance- €1,6

  18. Slide 18: Non-core items of €85m

    Non-core items of €85m FY 2022 FY 2023 Non-core items Non-core items (€m) (€m) • Acquisition costs related to KBCI and Transformation programme costs (50) (2) Davy transactions • Liability management exercises related Acquisition costs (54) (61) to repurchase of legacy securities • Portfolio divestm

  19. Slide 19: Improved asset quality and strong coverage maintained

    Improved asset quality and strong coverage maintained Group loan book segment mix (net) n Consumer Diversified loan book with strong €5.6bn collateralisation n Property and Construction (CRE) 7% €7.0bn 9% • c.60% residential mortgages; weighted average LTV of 55%; FY23 new lending 40% n Ireland mort

  20. Slide 20: Pro-active approach to CRE

    Pro-active approach to CRE 12% reduction in CRE lending Book heavily skewed to Ireland 12% y/y reduction in CRE loans; cautious 11% 9% approach and pro-active portfolio €1.1bn management €0.5bn 69% Ireland c.70% of lending; modest US CRE €7.1bn €6.7bn exposure with prudent coverage 21% 10% Average L

  21. Slide 21: Higher impairment charge due to management adjustments

    Higher impairment charge primarily due to additional management adjustments FY23 impairment loss allowance (ILA) components1 Slightly higher loan loss experience; of risk Cost 33bps 10bps 7bps 50bps portfolio activity charge of €265m • Net losses on portfolio activity €232m (vs €214m FY222) €59m • K

  22. Slide 22: Capital, MREL & Liquidity

    = Bank of Ireland Capital, MREL & Liquidity

  23. Slide 23: Significantly higher capital generation

    Significantly higher capital generation… Fully Loaded CET1 Net organic capital generation of 340bps RWAs RWAs €46.8bn1 €52.5bn RWA growth of €5.7bn primarily reflects KBCI (€3.5bn of RWA), lending and 340bps (70bps) operational risk RWA (140bps) Total distribution of c.€1.15bn / 240bps • Ordinary di

  24. Slide 24: Sustainable step change in distributions

    …results in sustainable step change in distributions Net organic capital generation c.2x 260-340bps Outlook 135-185bps • Sustainably higher capital generation, 260-280bps expected in 2024 • Distributions for FY24 expected to comprise both dividends and buybacks 2021-2022 2023-2024 • Interim distribu

  25. Slide 25: Regulatory Ratios

    Regulatory Ratios Regulatory CET1 340bps (70bps) (140bps) RWAs (240bps) €47.5bn1 RWAs (30bps) €52.6bn 15.9% 14.5% Dec 22 CRD Phasing Net organic capital2 RWA KBC/IFRS 17 Distributions to Dec 23 shareholders Regulatory Capital Metrics Dec 22 Dec 23 CET1 • Movement in Regulatory CET1 ratio broadly ali

  26. Slide 26: Strong retail deposit franchise

    Strong retail deposit franchise Growth in customer deposits Term migration trends 2023 deposit trends • Increase in volumes primarily due to €77.6bn €81.2bn €80.1bn growth in Everyday Banking of €2.5bn €99bn €100bn • Everyday Banking performance in H2 Everyday Banking reflects underlying growth offs

  27. Slide 27: Balance sheet

    Balance sheet Dec 22 Dec 23 Funding & Liquidity (€bn) (€bn) • Funding and liquidity remains strong from stable customer deposits and MREL issuance Customer loans 72 80 • LDR increased (73% to 80%), NSFR reduced (163% to 157%) and LCR Liquid assets 49 44 decreased (221% to 196%); the changes in all t

  28. Slide 28: Significant buffer to potential MDA restrictions

    Significant buffer to potential MDA1 restrictions Regulatory CET1 ratio vs. MDA Threshold MDA MDA • Regulatory CET1 ratio of 14.5% at Dec 2023; includes c.20bps of c.3.5% c.3.2% Buffer Buffer transitional adjustments which are expected to be phased out 1.16% 1.47% in 2024 1.5% 1.5% n Pillar 1 n Pill

  29. Slide 29: Risk Weighted Assets (RWAs) / Leverage ratio

    Risk Weighted Assets (RWAs) / Leverage ratio EBA transparency exercise 2023 Customer lending average credit risk weights – Dec 20231, 2 Country by country average IRB risk weights (Based on regulatory exposure class) Residential Mortgages – Jun 2023 EAD 3 RWA Avg. Risk Sweden 4.9% (€bn) (€bn) Weight

  30. Slide 30: EBA Transparency Exercise 2023

    EBA Transparency Exercise 20231 Bank of Ireland’s IRB RWA density across major loan portfolios exceeds a wide distribution of European peers IRB RWA: SME Lending2 IRB RWA: Corporate Lending3 120% 120% 100% 100% 80% 80% 60% 60% 40% 40% 20% 20% 0% 0% 1 2 BOI 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

  31. Slide 31: Regulatory capital requirements

    Regulatory capital requirements Pro forma CET1 regulatory capital requirements 2023 2024 2025 Pillar 1 – CET1 4.50% 4.50% 4.50% Pillar 2 Requirement (P2R) 1.27% 1.32% 1.32% Capital Conservation Buffer (CCB) 2.50% 2.50% 2.50% Ireland Countercyclical buffer (CCyB) 0.63% 0.94% 0.94% UK Countercyclical

  32. Slide 32: Credit ratings

    Credit ratings Instrument ratings BOIG BOIG (Stand alone (Senior ratings) BOIG GovCo BOIMB (ACS)1 BOIG GovCo BOIG GovCo ratings) Aaa Aaa Aaa C AAA AAA AAA AAA Investment Grade Aa1 Aa1 Aa1 AA+ AA+ AA+ AA+ baa1 A3 Aa2 Aa2 Aa2 AA AA AA AA Positive Positive Aa3 Aa3 Aa3 AA- AA- AA- AA- A1 A1 S A1 A+ A+ A

  33. Slide 33: Summary highlights

    Summary highlights • Strong capital generation of 340bps in 2023; 260-280bps expected in 2024 Capital • Future capital issuance influenced by market conditions and refinancing/ growth • IRB RWA density across largest customer loan portfolios continues to exceed a wide distribution of European peers

  34. Slide 34: Green Bond Framework

    = Bank of Ireland Green Bond Framework 34

  35. Slide 35: Green Bond Framework

    Green Bond Framework Green Bonds are an important part of the Group’s Responsible and Sustainable Business Strategy as we look to finance our customers’ transition to the low carbon economy and take an active role in combating climate change through sustainable finance. Key Features Green Bond Frame

  36. Slide 36: Use of proceeds

    Use of proceeds Green Bond Principles Eligibility Criteria Impact UN SDG Eligible Category • Residential property with an energy efficiency rating within the Top 15% in Ireland, equivalent to Annual energy Green Buildings BER of ‘B3’ or better efficiency & Energy • Residential property with a date o

  37. Slide 37: Green Bond Allocation Report - 31 December 2023

    Green Bond Allocation Report - 31 December 2023 Green Eligible Assets Portfolio Green Liabilities Eligibility Criteria Number of Loans Amount (EUR) ISIN Settlement Date Maturity Date Amount (EUR) Green Buildings - Residential 22,626 7,661,967,239 XS2311407352 10-Mar-21 10-May-271 750,000,000 Green B

  38. Slide 38: Footnote glossary

    Footnote glossary Slide 3: Step change in business performance Slide 12: FY23 financial performance; PBT +92% 1. New Irish bank channel customer relationships as a proportion of total 1. Restated for impact of IFRS 17 customers at the start of the year 2. TNAV calculation as at 31 Dec 2023 and does

  39. Slide 39: Footnote glossary (continued)

    Slide 16: Total business income 10% higher Slide 23: Significantly higher capital generation 1. Business income including share of associates and JVs 1. Restated for impact of IFRS 17; reported FY22 RWA €47.5bn 2. Restated for impacts of IFRS 17 and transfer of Business Banking from Retail 2. Net or

  40. Slide 40: Footnote glossary (continued)

    Slide 29: Risk Weighted Assets (RWAs) / Leverage ratio Slide 36: Use of proceeds 1. EAD and RWA include both IRB and Standardised approaches and comprise 1. As determined by reference to established energy performance benchmarks. both non-defaulted and defaulted loans Bank of Ireland anticipates dra

  41. Slide 41: Appendix

    = Bank of Ireland Appendix 41

  42. Slide 42: Appendix

    Appendix Slide No. • BOI overview – customer loans / new lending volumes 43 • Ireland mortgages 44 • UK customer loans 45 • Net interest income analysis 46 • Asset quality – Non-performing exposures by portfolio 47 – Portfolio by stage 48 – Residential mortgages / Consumer loans 49 – Non-property SM

  43. Slide 43: Overview of customer loans

    Overview of customer loans Profile of customer loans1 at Dec 2023 (Gross) Composition (Dec 23) Ireland (€bn) UK (€bn) RoW (€bn) Total (€bn) Total (%) Mortgages 32.3 15.2 0 47.5 59% Non-property SME & Corporate 10.6 4.8 5.0 20.4 25% SME 7.1 1.6 0 8.7 11% Corporate 3.5 3.2 5.0 11.7 15% Property & Cons

  44. Slide 44: Ireland mortgages

    Ireland mortgages New lending volumes and market share Ireland mortgages (gross) 41% €32.0bn 28% €22.4bn €22.5bn 23% €23bn €4.9bn €13.1bn €15.6bn €3.9bn €2.4bn €2.5bn €3.6bn €1.6bn €6.8bn €5.3bn €5.4bn FY 21 FY 22 FY 23 Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 n New lending volumes Market share n Tracker n Variable rat

  45. Slide 45: UK customer loans

    UK customer loans £21.3bn (€24.5bn) UK mortgages – £13.2bn; NPEs 2.6% • Average LTV of 57% on existing stock at Dec 2023; average LTV of 74% on new UK mortgages in 2023 • 70% of the current mortgage portfolio originated since 2010; of these, £0.3bn 79% are standard owner occupier mortgages • BTL boo

  46. Slide 46: Net interest income analysis

    Net interest income analysis H1 2022 H2 2022 H1 2023 H2 2023 Average Gross Gross Average Gross Gross Average Gross Gross Average Gross Gross volumes interest rate volumes interest rate volumes interest rate volumes interest rate (€bn) (€m) (%) (€bn) (€m) (%) (€bn) (€m) (%) (€bn) (€m) (%) Ireland loa

  47. Slide 47: Non-performing exposures by portfolio

    Non-performing exposures by portfolio Non-performing Impairment loss Advances Non-performing exposures Impairment loss Composition (Dec 23) (€bn) (€bn) exposures as % of allowance (€bn) allowance as % of advances non-performing exposures Residential mortgages 47.5 0.9 1.9% 0.2 27% ­– Ireland 32.3 0.

  48. Slide 48: Portfolio by stage

    Portfolio by stage Gross carrying amount Composition (Dec 23) Impairment loss allowance (before impairment loss allowance) ILA % of Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 POCI Total Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 POCI Total gross loans Sectoral analysis by stage €m €m €m €m €m €m €m €m €m €m Residential Mortgages 42,786

  49. Slide 49: Residential mortgages / Consumer loans

    Residential mortgages / Consumer loans Gross loans by stage Residential mortgages Residential mortgages Consumer • Mortgage portfolios 59% of Group loan book €38.0bn €47.3bn €5.3bn €5.8bn – Average LTV of 55% on stock €0.1bn €0.9bn €0.1bn – 88% of the portfolio has LTV < 80% €3.6bn €0.8bn €0.5bn €0.

  50. Slide 50: Non-property SME and Corporate / Property and Construction

    Non-property SME and Corporate / Property and Construction Gross loans by stage Non-property SME and Corporate Non-property SME and Corporate Property & Construction • 25% of Group loan book, well diversified by geography and sector €21.5bn €20.5bn €8.2bn €7.2bn €0.4bn • €0.1bn decrease in Stage 2 l

  51. Slide 51: Forward Looking Information (FLI) – macroeconomic scenarios

    Forward Looking Information (FLI) – macroeconomic scenarios Ireland United Kingdom 31 December 2023 2024 2025 2026-2028 2024 2025 2026-2028 Probability weighted scenario GDP growth1 2.9% 3.6% 3.4% 0.1% 0.6% 1.5% GNP growth1 3.6% 3.4% 3.3% n/a n/a n/a Unemployment rate2 4.6% 5.1% 5.3% 4.9% 5.2% 5.3%

  52. Slide 52: ILA sensitivity to macroeconomic scenarios

    ILA sensitivity to macroeconomic scenarios The following table indicates the approximate extent to which impairment loss allowance (ILA), excluding Group management adjustments, would be higher or lower than reported were a 100% weighting applied to the central, upside and downside future macroecono

  53. Slide 53: Ordinary shareholders’ equity and TNAV

    Ordinary shareholders’ equity and TNAV Dec 22 Dec 23 Movement in ordinary shareholders’ equity (€m1) (€m) Ordinary shareholders’ equity at beginning of period 9,933 10,489 Movements: Profit / (Loss) for the period 858 1,601 Share buy back - repurchase of shares (50) (125) Dividend paid to ordinary s

  54. Slide 54: Fully Loaded CET1 ratio

    Fully Loaded CET1 ratio Fully loaded ratio (€bn) Fully loaded ratio (€bn) Capital ratios – 31 Dec 2023 Dec 23 Dec 224 Total equity 12.6 11.5 Foreseeable distribution (1.2)3 (0.3) Less Additional Tier 1 (1.0) (1.0) Deferred tax 1 (0.8) (1.0) Intangible assets and goodwill (1.0) (1.0) Expected loss de

  55. Slide 55: Return on Tangible Equity (ROTE)

    Return on Tangible Equity (ROTE) FY 2023: Headline vs. Adjusted Adjustments FY 2023 Additional gains Adjusted for FY 2023 Pension Headline & valuation items, CET1 ratio Adjusted Surplus (€m) net of tax at 14.0% (€m) Profit for the period 1,601 Coupon on Additional Tier 1 securities (69) Preference s

  56. Slide 56: Underlying Cost-to-income ratio

    Underlying Cost-to-income ratio Headline vs. Adjusted FY 2023 Pro forma FY 2023 Headline adjustments Pro forma (€m) (€m) (€m) Net interest income 3,682 3,682 Other income – Business income 707 707 – Additional gains and other valuation items 39 (39) 0 Total Income 4,428 (39) 4,389 Costs – Operating

  57. Slide 57: Wealth and Insurance – IFRS 17 application

    Wealth and Insurance – IFRS 17 application • On 1 Jan 2023, the IFRS 17 accounting standard related to insurance FY 20221 FY 2023 contracts became effective, replacing IFRS 4. This has a material impact (€m) (€m) on the recognition, measurement, presentation and disclosure of the Income 230 325 insu

  58. Slide 58: Defined benefit pension schemes

    Defined benefit pension schemes Group IAS19 defined benefit pension (deficit)/surplus Total Group defined benefit pension scheme assets (%) 3.60% 3.40% €7.2bn €7.2bn €8.4bn €8.9bn €9.6bn €6.9bn €7.1bn 2.10% 2.00% 1.30% 1.35% 55% 65% 65% 69% 66% 66% 69% 0.80% €0.60bn €0.70bn €0.68bn 21% 23% 23% 21% 2

  59. Slide 59: Corporate Structure

    Corporate Structure Holding company Capital / MREL Bank of Ireland Group plc (BOIG) AT1 Tier 2 Senior unsecured 100% The Governor and Company of the Bank of Ireland (GovCo) Senior unsecured Operating subsidiaries 1 Funding 100% 100% 100% New Ireland Assurance Bank of Ireland Mortgage Bank Unlimited

  60. Slide 60: Forward-Looking Statement

    Forward-Looking Statement This document contains forward-looking statements with respect to certain of the Bank of Ireland Group plc (the ‘Company’ or ‘BOIG plc’) and its subsidiaries’ (collectively the ‘Group’ or ‘BOIG plc Group’) plans and its current goals and expectations relating to its future

  61. Slide 61: Contact details

    Contact details For further information please contact: • Group Chief Financial Officer Mark Spain tel: +353 1 250 8900 ext. 43291 mark.spain@boi.com • Investor Relations Darach O’Leary tel: +353 87 948 0650 darach.oleary@boi.com Eamonn Hughes tel: +353 87 202 6325 eamonn.hughes@boi.com Owen Callan

  62. Slide 62: Slide 62

Bank of Ireland Group — Debt Investor Presentation (December 2023) on 6ix