Keycorp · NYSE:KEY

Keycorp — Q4 2015 Earnings Presentation

27 slides from Keycorp's earnings presentation, Jan 21, 2016

  1. Slide 1: KeyCorp Fourth Quarter 2015 Earnings Review

    KeyCorp Fourth Quarter 2015 Earnings Review January 21, 2016 Beth E. Mooney Don Kimble Chairman and Chief Financial Officer Chief Executive Officer

  2. Slide 2: Forward-Looking Statements and Additional Information Disclosure

    FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION DISCLOSURE This communication contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 including, but not limited to, KeyCorp’s and First Niagara’s expectations or predictions of future financ

  3. Slide 3: Investor Highlights – 2015

    Investor Highlights – 2015 Pre-Provision Net Generated positive operating leverage from prior year Revenue (a) Total average loans up 5% from prior year +5% Positive Positive trends in fee-based businesses Operating - Investment banking and debt placement (record year, Leverage +12%), corporate serv

  4. Slide 4: First Niagara: A Compelling Opportunity

    First Niagara: A Compelling Opportunity Continued progress and momentum on announced acquisition; anticipated closing in 3Q16 Acquisition Drives Value 4Q15 Updates Accelerates Key’s transformation into a high- Executing against comprehensive pre-merger performing regional bank integration plan Gener

  5. Slide 5: Financial Review

    Financial Review 5

  6. Slide 6: Financial Highlights

    Financial Highlights Metrics 4Q15 3Q15 2Q15 1Q15 4Q14 EPS – assuming dilution $ .27 $ .26 $ .27 $ .26 $ .28 Financial Cash efficiency ratio (e) 66.4 % 66.9 % 65.1 % 65.1 % 64.4 % Performance (a) Net interest margin (TE) 2.87 2.87 2.88 2.91 2.94 Return on average total assets .97 .95 1.03 1.03 1.12 T

  7. Slide 7: Loans

    Loans Total Average Loans Highlights $ in billions Total average loans up 5% Average Loans $60.0 Average total loans up 5% in 4Q15 from 4Q14, $50.0 driven by CF&A loans up 14% – Broad-based growth across Key’s $40.0 commercial lines of business $30.0 Community Bank and Corporate Bank 4Q15 $20.0 aver

  8. Slide 8: Deposits

    Deposits Average Deposits (a) Highlights $ in billions Total average deposits up 3% Deposit cost remains relatively stable $75.0 0.50% $65.0 0.40% vs. Prior Quarter $55.0 0.30% Deposits up 2% from 3Q15 reflecting: $45.0 0.20% – Seasonal and short-term deposit inflows from commercial clients $35.0 .1

  9. Slide 9: Net Interest Income and Margin

    Net Interest Income and Margin Net Interest Income & Net Interest Margin Trend (TE) Highlights $ in millions; continuing operations vs. Prior Quarter $620 $610 4.00% Net interest income up $12 MM, or 2%, from 3Q15, primarily due to higher earning asset $588 yields and loan fees 3.50% $580 3.00% vs.

  10. Slide 10: Noninterest Income

    Noninterest Income Noninterest Income Highlights $ in millions 4Q15 vs. 3Q15 vs. 4Q14 vs. Prior Quarter Trust and investment services income $ 105 $ (3) $ (7) Noninterest income up 3% from 3Q15 Investment banking and debt 127 18 1 placement fees – Investment banking and debt placement Service charge

  11. Slide 11: Noninterest Expense

    Noninterest Expense Noninterest Expense Highlights $ in millions 4Q15 vs. 3Q15 vs. 4Q14 4Q15 noninterest expense includes: Personnel (a) $ 429 $ (3) $ (20) − Efficiency-related costs of $10 MM Net occupancy 64 (4) (1) Computer processing 43 (2) (3) Reflecting branch closures and severance Business s

  12. Slide 12: Credit Quality

    Credit Quality Net Charge-offs & Provision for Credit Losses Highlights $ in millions Net loan charge-offs remain below targeted range, $50 .60% $45 at 25 basis points of average loans $40 $37 $32 .40% Nonperforming loans represented 65 basis points $30 of period-end loans $22 $20 .25% .20% Nonperfo

  13. Slide 13: Capital

    Capital Common Equity Tier 1 Common Equity (a) Tier 1 (a), (b), (c) Highlights 12.00% 11.17% Maintained strong capital position 10.95% 10.00% Common Equity Tier 1 ratio of 10.95% at 12/31/15 8.00% Increased quarterly common share dividend by 15% in 2Q15; planned increase of 13% in 2016 (subject to B

  14. Slide 14: Outlook and Expectations

    Outlook and Expectations FY 2016: Key Stand-alone Average Loans • Mid-single digit growth vs. FY 2015 • Up low single-digit percentage without the benefit from higher interest rates Net Interest Income • Mid-single digit growth with the benefit of higher interest rates Noninterest Income • Mid-singl

  15. Slide 15: Appendix

    Appendix 15

  16. Slide 16: Progress on Targets for Success: Key Stand-alone

    Progress on Targets for Success: Key Stand-alone Metrics (a) 2014 2015 Targets Balance Sheet Loan to deposit ratio (b) 90% -100% 85% 88% Efficiency NCOs to average loans .20% .24% Moderate Risk Profile 40 - 60 bps Provision for credit losses .10% .28% to average loans Net interest margin 2.97% 2.88%

  17. Slide 17: Investment Portfolio

    Investment Portfolio Average Total Investment Securities Highlights $ in billions $20.0 $19.1 5.00% Portfolio composed primarily of GNMA and GSE- $17.1 backed MBS and CMOs 4.00% $15.0 Continue to position portfolio for regulatory 3.00% $10.0 liquidity requirements: 2.00% 2.12% 2.10% – 2015 average b

  18. Slide 18: Interest Rate Risk Management

    Interest Rate Risk Management Naturally Asset Sensitive Balance Sheet Actively Managing Rate Risk • Maintained moderate asset sensitive position of ~3% Loan Portfolio Deposits (a) - Assumes 200 basis point increase in short and intermediate- 4Q15 4Q15 term rates over a 12-month period CDs: • Utilize

  19. Slide 19: Credit Quality Trends

    Credit Quality Trends Delinquencies to Period-end Total Loans Criticized Outstandings(a) to Period-end Total Loans Continuing operations Continuing operations .75% 4.0% 3.1% 3.0% .50% 2.5% .41% .35% 2.0% .25% .17% .12% 1.0% .00% 0.0% 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2

  20. Slide 20: Credit Quality

    Credit Quality Credit Quality by Portfolio Net loan Net loan Allowance / Allowance / Period- Average charge-offs (b) / Nonperforming Ending charge- period-end NPLs end loans loans average loans loans (c) allowance (d) offs loans (d) (%) (%) $ in millions (%) 12/31/15 4Q15 4Q15 4Q15 12/31/15 12/31/15

  21. Slide 21: Oil & Gas

    Oil & Gas Longstanding history, expertise and relationships Strong Portfolio Characteristics >10 years of experience in energy lending with >20 Primarily secured by proven reserves specialists dedicated to oil & gas Relationships contributed ~2% of FY15 investment Focused on middle market companies,

  22. Slide 22: Home Equity Portfolio

    Home Equity Portfolio Highlights High quality portfolio $4.1 billion of the total portfolio are fixed rate loans that require Community bank loans and lines: 98% of total portfolio; branch- principal and interest payments; $6.2 billion are lines originated $1.1 billion in lines outstanding (11% of t

  23. Slide 23: Exit Loan Portfolio

    Exit Loan Portfolio Exit Loan Portfolio Balance on Balance Outstanding Change Net Loan Charge-offs $ in millions Nonperforming Status 12-31-15 vs. 12-31-15 9-30-15 4Q15 3Q15 (b) 12-31-15 9-30-15 9-30-15 Residential properties – homebuilder $ 6 $ 6 - - - $ 8 $ 5 Marine and RV floor plan 1 1 - - - - -

  24. Slide 24: GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation

    GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation $ in millions Three months ended 12-31-15 9-30-15 6-30-15 3-31-15 12-31-14 Tangible common equity to tangible assets at period end Key shareholders’ equity (GAAP) $ 10,746 $ 10,705 $ 10,590 $ 10,603 $ 10,530 Less: Intangible assets (a) 1,080 1,084 1,085 1,088 1,090 Pr

  25. Slide 25: GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation (continued)

    GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation (continued) $ in millions Three months ended 12-31-15 9-30-15 6-30-15 3-31-15 12-31-14 Pre-provision net revenue Net interest income (GAAP) $ 602 $ 591 $ 584 $ 571 $ 582 Plus: Taxable-equivalent adjustment 8 7 7 6 6 Noninterest income (GAAP) 485 470 488 437 490 Less:

  26. Slide 26: Common Equity Tier 1 Under the Regulatory Capital Rules (estimated)

    Common Equity Tier 1 Under the Regulatory Capital Rules (RCR) (estimated) (a) KeyCorp & Subsidiaries Quarter ended $ in billions December 31, 2015 Common Equity Tier 1 under current RCR $ 9.8 Adjustments from current RCR to the fully phased-in RCR: Deferred tax assets and other intangible assets (b)

  27. Slide 27: Important Additional Information and Where to Find It

    IMPORTANT ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND WHERE TO FIND IT In connection with the proposed merger, KeyCorp has filed with the SEC a Registration Statement on Form S-4 on November 30, 2015 that includes the preliminary Joint Proxy Statement of KeyCorp and First Niagara and a preliminary Prospectus of KeyC

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