Absa Group Limited · JSE:ABG

Absa — H1 2010 Earnings Presentation

45 slides from Absa's earnings presentation, 2010

  1. Slide 1: Absa Group Limited - Six months ended 30 June 2010

    A b sa Gro up Lim it ed For the six months ended 30 June 2010

  2. Slide 2: Contents

    Contents The six months under review Maria Ramos Financial overview David Hodnett Cluster performance Louis von Zeuner Outlook Maria Ramos 2

  3. Slide 3: The six months under review

    The six months under review Maria Ramos 3

  4. Slide 4: Key macro factors impacting the results

    Key macro factors impacting the results • Uneven global economic recovery Global macro • Increased downside risk to global economic recovery factors • Unfolding regulatory reform • Subdued economic upturn Local • Real income growth macro factors • Muted consumer and commercial sectors • High unemplo

  5. Slide 5: Positioned for sustainable growth

    Positioned for sustainable growth Implementing the “One Absa” strategy Sustainable growth in targeted Balance sheet optimisation and markets pro-active risk management Simple, streamlined Group for Customer- and people-centred customer delivery organisation 5

  6. Slide 6: Delivering to plan

    Delivering to plan • Corporate Bank co-coverage in place • Double digit increase in Absa Business Bank’s electronic and cash transactions Balance sheet Sustainable growth in optimisation and • Two million cellphone customers at June 2010 targeted markets pro-active risk management • Strengthened lea

  7. Slide 7: Delivering to plan

    Delivering to plan • Further improved long-term funding • Core tier I ratio rose to 11.9% Balance sheet Sustainable growth in optimisation and • Enhanced retail collections strategy targeted markets pro-active risk management Simple, streamlined Customer- and • Innovative products launched, especial

  8. Slide 8: Delivering to plan

    Delivering to plan • Upgraded data centres and systems re- platforming Sustainable Balance sheet optimisation and growth in targeted markets pro-active risk • Enhanced FX capability management • Re-designing customer processes on an Simple, end-to-end basis streamlined Customer- and Group for people

  9. Slide 9: Sound financial performance

    Sound financial performance Jun Change Jun 2010 % 2009 Headline earnings (Rm) 3 862  1 3 826 Headline earnings per share (HEPS) (cents) 539.3  4 564.4 Diluted HEPS (cents) 535.9  3 550.5 Attributable earnings (Rm) 3 842  17 3 272 Dividends per ordinary share (cents) 225  0 225 Net asset value p

  10. Slide 10: Diversified earnings mix

    Diversified earnings mix Headline earnings Headline earnings mix – Jun 2010 (%) Jun Jun 4% 2010 Change 2009 Rm % Rm 16% 26% Retail banking 1 018 40 728 Absa Business Bank 1 355 (9) 1 481 Absa Capital 747 (19) 917 19% Bancassurance 606 (10) 672 Corporate centre 136 >100 28 35% Retail banking Absa Bus

  11. Slide 11: Financial overview

    Financial overview David Hodnett 11

  12. Slide 12: Positive earnings

    Positive earnings Headline earnings (Rm) Jun Jun 2010 Change 2009  8%  19%  1% Rm % Rm Net interest income 11 293 5 10 772 Non-interest income 9 713 (5) 10 209 Total income 21 006 0 20 981 Credit impairments (3 704) 23 (4 834) Operating expenditure (11 264) (15) (9 782) Other (421) 74 (1 608) Tax

  13. Slide 13: Net interest income resilient

    Net interest income resilient 3.74% 3.60% 3.58% 3.89% 3.71% 3.29% 3.31% 2.95% 2.62% 1.97% 6 891 8 574 10 565 10 772 11 293 Jun 06 Jun 07 Jun 08 Jun 09 Jun 10 Net interest income (Rm) Margin on interest-bearing assets before credit impairments (%) Margin on interest-bearing assets after credit impair

  14. Slide 14: Improved net interest margin

    Improved net interest margin Hedging impact on margin (%) YoY  bps 18 4.0 Advances 15 3.5 16 • Change in client rates 13 3.0 • Change in composition 2 14 2.5 Deposits (17) 12 2.0 • Client pricing/endowment (27) 1.5 • Change in composition 10 10 1.0 Capital (11) 8 Interest rate management 36 0.5 Oth

  15. Slide 15: Fee and commission income growth

    Fee and commission income growth Non-interest income (Rm) Non-interest income as a % of operating income (%) Jun 2010 Change Mix Rm % % Retail fees and commissions 4 890 3 50 ABB fees and commissions 1 879 7 19 Bancassurance 1 596 0 17 Markets and Investment 1 336 (10) 14 Banking Private Equity and

  16. Slide 16: Credit impairment ratios declining

    Credit impairment ratios declining Credit impairment ratio NPL coverage ratio Jun 2010 Dec 2009 Jun 2009 Jun 2010 Dec 2009 % % % % % Retail banking 1.90 2.30 2.49 28.8 27.1 • Home Loans 1.30 1.76 1.86 19.2 17.5 • AVAF 2.79 2.05 2.88 40.6 43.2 • Card 4.43 7.13 8.41 78.4 77.3 • Other 3.23 3.42 2.88 41

  17. Slide 17: Investing in the franchise

    Investing in the franchise Operating expenses Cost-to-income ratio (%) 53.6% 49.3% Jun 46.6% 2010 Change 21% Rm % Staff costs 5 875 19 Accommodation, property and 1 837 7 equipment-related Information technology 1 054 24 Communication and 4% 878 (2) 13% 15% 0% marketing (2%) Fees and insurance 710 7

  18. Slide 18: Low demand for credit

    Low demand for credit Net loans and advances to customers (Rbn) Jun 2010 Change Mix  18%  7%  4% Rbn % % Retail banking 332 (1) 65 71 56 58 • Credit cards 20 (0) 4 • Instalment finance 40 (7) 8 114 124 123 • Mortgages 247 (1) 48 • Other 25 9 5 Absa Business Bank (ABB) 125 (1) 24 Absa Capital 56 (

  19. Slide 19: Grew retail and commercial deposits

    Grew retail and commercial deposits Deposits due to customers (Rbn) Jun 2010 Change Mix  19%  7%  3% Rbn % % Cheque accounts 107 11 30 Savings, transmission and 140 121 65 3 18 investment accounts 146 Fixed deposits 106 (9) 29 124 126 107 Call deposits 52 (15) 14 94 107 112 Other 30 (11) 9 Jun 08

  20. Slide 20: Net asset value growth

    Net asset value growth Compounded annual growth of 14% 27.4% 27.2% 23.4% 15.5% 15.0% 15.5% 14.5% 14.0% 14.0% 13.5% 4 717 5 537 6 998 7 038 7 420 Dec 06 Dec 07 Dec 08 Dec 09 Jun 10 Net asset value (NAV) per share (cps) RoE (%) Cost of equity (CoE) (%) 20

  21. Slide 21: Well capitalised

    Well capitalised Capital adequacy ratios (Jun 2010) Absa Group – Capital adequacy ratio (%) Core 14.1 15.6 15.8 Tier l Tier l Total % % % Absa Group 2.7 2.9 Capital adequacy ratio 11.9 13.1 15.8 2.5 Regulatory minimum 5.25 7.00 9.75 Target 9.5 10.5 13.0 Absa Bank Capital adequacy ratio 10.7 12.0 14.

  22. Slide 22: Cluster performance

    Cluster performance Louis von Zeuner 22

  23. Slide 23: Retail banking: Financial performance

    Retail banking Financial performance Jun Change Jun 2010 % 2009 Headline earnings (Rm) 1 018  40 728 Revenue (Rm) 11 282  2 11 531 Cost-to-income ratio (%) 57.9 52.1 Credit impairment ratio (%) 1.90 2.49 Return on regulatory capital (%) 14.0 9.8 23

  24. Slide 24: Retail banking: Performance drivers

    Retail banking Performance drivers Attributable earnings (Rm) • Resilient fee income, particularly in  26%  9% card and electronic banking 1 049 523 • Lower advances, but improved quality • Enhanced collections  25%  16% 133 • Continued cost control  2% 1 060 • Grew customer base and Absa– 916

  25. Slide 25: Retail banking: Unsecured lending and deposits drove earnings

    Retail banking Unsecured lending and deposits drove earnings Attributable earnings – Jun (Rm) • Secured lending remained under 72%  285% 75%  48% pressure but is recovering 1 320 – Limited demand for credit – Wider margins – Improved impairments 304 • Unsecured lending continued to 13 50 531 680

  26. Slide 26: Retail banking: Credit impairment ratios trending down

    Retail banking Credit impairment ratios trending down Early arrears (%) 50% • Early arrears improving 45% 40% 35% • Stabilising late cycle arrears and 30% 25% legal, offset by debt counselling 20% 15% arrears 10% 5% 0% • Improvements due to: Jun 08 Sep 08 Dec 08 Mar 09 Jun 09 Sep 09 Dec 09 Mar 10 Ju

  27. Slide 27: Retail banking: Strategic focus

    Retail banking Strategic focus • Make banking easier for our customers • Optimise distribution footprint Sustainable growth in Balance sheet optimisation and • Deepen customer relationships and improve targeted markets pro-active risk management solutions Simple, streamlined Customer- and • Prudent

  28. Slide 28: Absa Business Bank: Financial performance

    Absa Business Bank Financial performance Jun Change Jun 2010 % 2009 Headline earnings (Rm) 1 355  9 1 481 Revenue (Rm) 5 671  2 5 558 Cost-to-income ratio (%) 54.6 48.7 Credit impairment ratio (%) 0.99 1.06 Return on regulatory capital (%) 23.2 26.9 28

  29. Slide 29: Absa Business Bank: Performance drivers

    Absa Business Bank Performance drivers Attributable earnings (Rm) • Solid transactional volume growth  9% 14%  2% particularly in electronic banking and 55 387 cash 113 • Deepened primary banking 1 518 relationships  11%  9% 76 1 375 • Stabilisation of impairments • Lower advances but positive

  30. Slide 30: Absa Business Bank: Motivated sales force with a broad footprint

    Absa Business Bank Motivated sales force with a broad footprint Profit before taxation – Jun (Rm)  33%  16%  5%  99%  159% • Large segment – Commercial Property 917 Finance (CPF) and Commercial Asset Finance (CAF) books declined • Medium segment – negatively impacted by impairments 578 600 • Sm

  31. Slide 31: Absa Business Bank: Strategic focus

    Absa Business Bank Strategic focus • Enhance transactional capabilities • Deepen primary banking relationships Sustainable Balance sheet growth in targeted optimisation and pro-active risk • Improve collaboration and product innovation markets management Simple, streamlined Customer- and • Expand Ag

  32. Slide 32: Absa Capital: Financial performance

    Absa Capital Financial performance Jun Change Jun 2010 % 2009 Headline earnings (Rm) 747  19 917 Attributable earnings (Rm) 700  443 129 Revenue (Rm) 2 556  10 2 315 Cost-to-income ratio (%) 53.7 39.8 Return on regulatory capital (%) 15.4 18.6 32

  33. Slide 33: Absa Capital: Performance drivers

    Absa Capital Performance drivers Attributable earnings (Rm) • Revenue growth as a result of  88%  49% improved performance from Private 1 070 451 Equity, sub-Saharan Africa and Debt Capital Markets  578% • Focused containment of capital 289  443% utilisation 700 • Lower SSF impairment with  10%

  34. Slide 34: Absa Capital: Diversified business model resulted in a mixed picture

    Absa Capital Diversified business model resulted in a mixed picture Revenue after credit and other impairments – Jun (Rm) • Markets – pressure on revenue owing  10%  8%  9%  72%  99% to reduced client activity, lower 1 736 volatility and tighter margins • Investment Banking – both fee and 938 m

  35. Slide 35: Absa Capital: Strategic focus

    Absa Capital Strategic focus • Further enhance foreign exchange capability • Implement corporate bank model Sustainable growth in Balance sheet optimisation and • Leverage new cash equities and equity targeted pro-active risk markets management capital markets business Simple, streamlined Group for

  36. Slide 36: Bancassurance: Financial performance

    Bancassurance Financial performance Jun Change Jun 2010 % 2009 Headline earnings (Rm) 606  10 672 Net premium income (Rm) 2 165 16 1 867 Return on equity (%) 35.6 38.3 Embedded value of new business (Rm) 211  29 164 Combined ratio (%) 90.9 89.7 Investments – assets under management 147 8 136 (Rbn)

  37. Slide 37: Bancassurance: Performance drivers

    Bancassurance Performance drivers Attributable earnings (Rm)  16%  14% • Strong premium growth in insurance businesses 298 146  48% • Increase in insurance claims ratio 124 • New business strain impacting  6%  7% reserves  11%  10% 672 37 69 • Lower fee income 12 606 594 • Operating expenses

  38. Slide 38: Bancassurance: Resilient operational performance

    Bancassurance Resilient operational performance Jun Change Jun 2010 % 2009 • Absa Life’s ability to write profitable business and earn superior returns Life – Return on embedded entrenched 32.3 14.7 value (RoEV) (%) • Absa Life’s new business APE driven by growth in recurring Life – New business ann

  39. Slide 39: Bancassurance: Strategic focus

    Bancassurance Strategic focus • Improve cross sell and penetration into the Absa customer base • Grow distribution capacity through multiple channels Sustainable Balance sheet • growth in optimisation and targeted markets pro-active risk management Expand Africa bancassurance presence Simple, stream

  40. Slide 40: Outlook

    Outlook Maria Ramos ember of the §@ BARCLAYS croup GSABSA 4

  41. Slide 41: Review

    Review • Maintained strong balance sheet and liquidity position • Well capitalised • Enhanced quality of new business • Diversified offerings stood the business in good stead • Risk management remained a key focus 41

  42. Slide 42: Basel III amendments expected to have far reaching implications

    Basel ll Amendments expected to have far reaching implications Implications of capital/liquidity Leading to changes • Sharper focus on returns, • Higher funding costs potentially a shift in product mix • Premium on gathering deposits • Greater competition amongst and raising long-term unsecured bank

  43. Slide 43: Strategic priorities

    Strategic priorities Key priorities Enhancing business Core fundamentals as usual • Corporate Bank • Lead foreign • Strengthening risk • Absa Business Bank’s exchange centre in management market positioning South Africa • Balance sheet • Retail business • Entry-level and optimisation growth inclusiv

  44. Slide 44: The next six months

    The next six months • Domestic trading conditions to improve slowly • Challenging business environment Macro • Low consumer credit appetite factors • Subdued corporate credit demand • Regulatory environment to remain challenging • Adaptability to capital and liquidity imperatives • Subdued revenue g

  45. Slide 45: Absa Group Limited - Six months ended 30 June 2010

    A b sa Gro up Lim it ed For the six months ended 30 June 2010

Absa Group — H1 2010 Earnings Presentation on 6ix