Phillips 66 · NYSE:PSX

Phillips 66 — Q2 2020 Earnings Presentation

41 slides from Phillips 66's earnings presentation, Jul 31, 2020

  1. Slide 1: Second Quarter 2020 Conference Call

    Beaumont Terminal NEDERLAND, TX SECOND QUARTER 2020 CONFERENCE CALL July 31, 2020 Second Quarter 2020 Conference Call 1

  2. Slide 2: Cautionary Statement

    Cautionary Statement This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, which are intended to be covered by the safe harbors created thereby. Wo

  3. Slide 3: Executing the Strategy

    Executing the Strategy Sweeny Fractionators 2 and 3 Construction Site OLD OCEAN, TX Second Quarter 2020 Conference Call 3

  4. Slide 4: 2Q 2020 Overview

    2Q 2020 Overview $MM (UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED) Dock Construction at Beaumont Terminal NEDERLAND, TX Adjusted loss $ (324) Adjusted EPS1 (0.74) Operating cash flow 764 Adjusted capital spending2 901 Shareholder distributions3 393 Common shares outstanding at June 30 437 MM 1) Dollars per share Second

  5. Slide 5: 2Q 2020 Adjusted Loss

    2Q 2020 Adjusted Loss 2Q 2020 VS. 1Q 2020 ($MM) 450 (215) (104) (324) 214 19 (466) (195) (27) 1Q 2020 Midstream Chemicals Refining Marketing Corporate Income Noncontrolling 2Q 2020 Adjusted & Specialties & Other Taxes Interests Adjusted Earnings Loss 245 89 (867) 293 (224) 190 (50) 2Q 2020 Adjusted

  6. Slide 6: Midstream Adjusted Pre-Tax Income

    2Q 2020 Midstream Adjusted Pre-Tax Income 2Q 2020 VS. 1Q 2020 ($MM) Impacted by reduced throughput volumes (70) Started full operations on (96) Gray Oak Pipeline 460 (49) 245 Completed tie-in work at Sweeny Fracs 2 and 3 1Q 2020 Transportation NGL & DCP 2Q 2020 Adjusted Other Midstream Adjusted Pre-

  7. Slide 7: Chemicals Adjusted Pre-Tax Income

    2Q 2020 Chemicals Adjusted Pre-Tax Income 2Q 2020 VS. 1Q 2020 ($MM) 103% O&P utilization Meeting strong polymer demand for food packaging 193 (87) (1) and medical supplies (16) 89 Lower O&P margins 1Q 2020 Olefins & Specialties, Other 2Q 2020 Adjusted Polyolefins Aromatics & Adjusted Pre-Tax Income

  8. Slide 8: Refining Adjusted Pre-Tax Loss

    2Q 2020 Refining Adjusted Pre-Tax Loss 2Q 2020 VS. 1Q 2020 ($MM) 1Q 2020 Atlantic Gulf Central West 2Q 2020 Adjusted Basin / Coast Corridor Coast Adjusted Pre-Tax Loss Europe Pre-Tax Loss 75% crude utilization (401) 83% clean product yield (867) (24) $2.60/BBL realized margin (183) $38 MM turnaround

  9. Slide 9: Refining Margins – Market vs. Realized

    2Q 2020 Refining Margins – Market vs. Realized WORLDWIDE REFINING ($/BBL, UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED) (1.03) (0.95) (0.67) 7.47 (2.22) 2.60 2Q 2020 Configuration Secondary Feedstock Other 2Q 2020 Market Products Realized 3:2:1 Margin Avg Market Crude: $29.36 35% Market Capture Second Quarter 2020 Confer

  10. Slide 10: Marketing & Specialties Adjusted Pre-Tax Income

    2Q 2020 Marketing & Specialties Adjusted Pre-Tax Income 2Q 2020 VS. 1Q 2020 ($MM) Lower global marketing volumes and margins (175) Reimaged 313 branded sites (20) 488 worldwide 293 Refined product exports of 160 MBPD 1Q 2020 Marketing Specialties 2Q 2020 Adjusted & Other Adjusted Pre-Tax Income Pre-

  11. Slide 11: Corporate & Other Adjusted Pre-Tax Loss

    2Q 2020 Corporate & Other Adjusted Pre-Tax Loss 2Q 2020 VS. 1Q 2020 ($MM) 1Q 2020 Net Interest Corporate 2Q 2020 Adjusted Expense Overhead Adjusted Pre-Tax Loss & Other Pre-Tax Loss (197) (224) (19) (8) Second Quarter 2020 Conference Call 11

  12. Slide 12: YTD 2020 Cash Flow

    YTD 2020 Cash Flow $B 2.7 1.4 (1.8) (0.4) (1.2) (0.4) 1.6 1.9 December 31, CFO Working Debt Adjusted Shareholder Other June 30, 2019 (excluding Capital Capital Distributions 2020 Cash Working Spending2 Cash Balance1 Capital) Balance1 1) Includes cash and cash equivalents Second Quarter 2020 Conferen

  13. Slide 13: 3Q 2020 Outlook

    3Q 2020 Outlook Los Angeles Refinery WILMINGTON, CA Global Olefins & Polyolefins utilization Mid-90% Refining crude utilization Market Conditions Refining turnaround expenses (pre-tax) $50 MM – $70 MM Corporate & Other costs (pre-tax) $220 MM – $230 MM Second Quarter 2020 Conference Call 13

  14. Slide 14: Questions and Answers

    Phillips 66 Branded Marketing Site ST. LOUIS, MO Questions and Answers

  15. Slide 15: Appendix

    Phillips 66 Branded Marketing Site ST. LOUIS, MO Appendix

  16. Slide 16: 2020 Estimated Sensitivities

    2020 Estimated Sensitivities Annual EBITDA $MM Midstream - DCP (net to Phillips 66) 10¢/Gal Increase in NGL price 9 10¢/MMBtu Increase in Natural Gas price 2 $1/BBL Increase in WTI price 1 Chemicals - CPChem (net to Phillips 66) 1¢/Lb Increase in Chain Margin (Ethylene, Polyethylene, NAO) 65 Worldwi

  17. Slide 17: 2Q 2020 Cash Flow

    2Q 2020 Cash Flow $B 1.5 (0.9) 0.7 0.1 (0.4) (0.3) 1.9 1.2 March 31, CFO Working Debt Adjusted Shareholder Other June 30, 2020 (excluding Capital Capital Distributions 2020 Cash Working Spending2 Cash Balance1 Capital) Balance1 1) Includes cash and cash equivalents Second Quarter 2020 Conference Cal

  18. Slide 18: Capital Structure

    Capital Structure Consolidated PSX Excluding PSXP 38% 35% 34% 30% 31% 29% 35% 27% 33% 25% 25% 22% 30% 27% 28% 23% 22% 20% 17% 14% 27.4 27.2 27.2 23.6 23.3 25.1 24.7 24.9 21.4 20.7 13.0 14.4 10.1 11.2 11.8 10.7 8.1 8.2 9.4 1.2 7.2 1.3 1.1 3.1 3.0 1.6 1.9 2.9 3.0 1.9 2017 2018 2019 1Q 2Q 2017 2018 201

  19. Slide 19: Refining Margins – Atlantic Basin / Europe

    2Q 2020 Refining Margins – Market vs. Realized ATLANTIC BASIN / EUROPE ($/BBL, UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED) Brent: $29.20 0.43 (1.55) 75% crude utilization 8.90 (5.82) (0.43) 1.53 17% market capture 2Q 2020 Configuration Secondary Feedstock Other 2Q 2020 Market Products Realized 3:2:1 Margin Market 3:2:1

  20. Slide 20: Refining Margins – Gulf Coast

    2Q 2020 Refining Margins – Market vs. Realized GULF COAST ($/BBL, UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED) LLS: $30.07 2.50 (0.84) 79% crude utilization 5.12 (1.95) 7% market capture (4.47) 0.36 2Q 2020 Configuration Secondary Feedstock Other 2Q 2020 Market Products Realized 3:2:1 Margin Market 3:2:1 - LLS / Gasolin

  21. Slide 21: Refining Margins – Central Corridor

    2Q 2020 Refining Margins – Market vs. Realized CENTRAL CORRIDOR ($/BBL, UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED) WTI: $27.80 (0.43) 0.10 (0.80) (1.01) 73% crude utilization 7.92 5.78 73% market capture 2Q 2020 Configuration Secondary Feedstock Other 2Q 2020 Market Products Realized 3:2:1 Margin Market 3:2:1 - WTI /

  22. Slide 22: Refining Margins – West Coast

    2Q 2020 Refining Margins – Market vs. Realized WEST COAST ($/BBL, UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED) ANS: $30.37 (1.10) (1.02) (1.14) 72% crude utilization 9.69 (1.38) 5.05 52% market capture 2Q 2020 Configuration Secondary Feedstock Other 2Q 2020 Market Products Realized 3:2:1 Margin Market 3:2:1 - ANS / Los

  23. Slide 23: 2Q 2020 Adjusted Loss vs. 2Q 2019

    2Q 2020 Adjusted Loss 2Q 2020 VS. 2Q 2019 ($MM) (178) (186) 1,379 560 30 (324) (1,850) (60) (19) 2Q 2019 Midstream Chemicals Refining Marketing Corporate Income Noncontrolling 2Q 2020 Adjusted & Specialties & Other Taxes Interests Adjusted Earnings Loss 245 89 (867) 293 (224) 190 (50) 2Q 2020 Adjust

  24. Slide 24: Midstream Adjusted Pre-Tax Income vs. 2Q 2019

    2Q 2020 Midstream Adjusted Pre-Tax Income 2Q 2020 VS. 2Q 2019 ($MM) (115) 423 (60) (3) 245 2Q 2019 Transportation NGL & Other DCP 2Q 2020 Adjusted Midstream Adjusted Pre-Tax Income Pre-Tax Income 130 83 32 2Q 2020 Second Quarter 2020 Conference Call 24

  25. Slide 25: Chemicals Adjusted Pre-Tax Income vs. 2Q 2019

    2Q 2020 Chemicals Adjusted Pre-Tax Income 2Q 2020 VS. 2Q 2019 ($MM) 275 (154) (23) (9) 89 2Q 2019 Olefins & Specialties, Other 2Q 2020 Adjusted Polyolefins Aromatics & Adjusted Pre-Tax Income Styrenics Pre-Tax Income 106 11 (28) 2Q 2020 Second Quarter 2020 Conference Call 25

  26. Slide 26: Refining Adjusted Pre-Tax Loss vs. 2Q 2019

    2Q 2020 Refining Adjusted Pre-Tax Loss 2Q 2020 VS. 2Q 2019 ($MM) 983 (478) (578) (867) (633) (161) 2Q 2019 Atlantic Gulf Central West Coast 2Q 2020 Adjusted Basin / Coast Corridor Adjusted Pre-Tax Income Europe Pre-Tax Loss (220) (356) (113) (178) 2Q 2020 Second Quarter 2020 Conference Call 26

  27. Slide 27: Marketing & Specialties vs. 2Q 2019

    2Q 2020 Marketing & Specialties Adjusted Pre-Tax Income 2Q 2020 VS. 2Q 2019 ($MM) (35) (25) 353 293 2Q 2019 Marketing Specialties 2Q 2020 Adjusted & Other Adjusted Pre-Tax Income Pre-Tax Income 259 34 2Q 2020 Second Quarter 2020 Conference Call 27

  28. Slide 28: Corporate & Other vs. 2Q 2019

    2Q 2020 Corporate & Other Adjusted Pre-Tax Loss 2Q 2020 VS. 2Q 2019 ($MM) 2Q 2019 Net Interest Corporate 2Q 2020 Adjusted Expense Overhead Adjusted Pre-Tax Loss & Other Pre-Tax Loss (205) (224) (17) (2) Second Quarter 2020 Conference Call 28

  29. Slide 29: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2020 2019 Jun YTD 2Q 1Q Jun YTD 2Q Phillips 66 Consolidated Earnings (Loss) $ (2,637) (141) (2,496) 1,628 1,424 Pre-Tax Adjustments: Pending claims and settlements (37) — (37) (21) — Pension settlement expense 38 38 — — — Impairments 3

  30. Slide 30: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2020 2019 Jun YTD 2Q 1Q Jun YTD 2Q Midstream Pre-Tax Income (Loss) $ (378) 324 (702) 739 423 Pre-Tax Adjustments: Pension settlement expense 5 5 — — — Lower-of-cost-or-market inventory adjustments 1 — 1 — — Impairments 1,161 — 1,161 —

  31. Slide 31: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2020 2019 Jun YTD 2Q 1Q Jun YTD 2Q Refining Pre-Tax Income (Loss) $ (3,139) (878) (2,261) 785 983 Pre-Tax Adjustments: Pending claims and settlements — — — (21) — Pension settlement expense 26 26 — — — Impairments 1,845 — 1,845 — — Low

  32. Slide 32: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2020 2019 Jun YTD 2Q 1Q Jun YTD 2Q Midstream - Transportation Pre-Tax Income $ 414 214 200 448 245 Pre-Tax Adjustments: Asset dispositions (84) (84) — — — Adjusted Pre-Tax Income $ 330 130 200 448 245 Midstream - NGL & Other Pre-Tax In

  33. Slide 33: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2020 2019 Jun YTD 2Q 1Q Jun YTD 2Q Chemicals - Olefins & Polyolefins Pre-Tax Income $ 247 70 177 479 260 Pre-Tax Adjustments: Lower-of-cost-or-market inventory adjustments 37 21 16 — — Impairments by equity affiliates 15 15 — — — Adjus

  34. Slide 34: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2020 2019 Jun YTD 2Q 1Q Jun YTD 2Q Refining - Atlantic Basin / Europe Pre-Tax Income (Loss) $ (864) (227) (637) 251 258 Pre-Tax Adjustments: Impairments 441 — 441 — — Pension settlement expense 7 7 — — — Adjusted Pre-Tax Income (Loss)

  35. Slide 35: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2020 2019 Jun YTD 2Q 1Q Jun YTD 2Q Refining - Central Corridor Pre-Tax Income (Loss) $ (331) (104) (227) 597 520 Pre-Tax Adjustments: Pending claims and settlements — — — (21) — Lower-of-cost-or-market inventory adjustments — (15) 15 —

  36. Slide 36: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2020 2019 Jun YTD 2Q 1Q Jun YTD 2Q Marketing & Specialties - Marketing & Other Pre-Tax Income $ 726 255 471 432 294 Pre-Tax Adjustments: Pension settlement expense 4 4 — — — Pending claims and settlements (37) — (37) — — Adjusted Pre-T

  37. Slide 37: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars (Except as Indicated) 2Q 2020 Atlantic Basin/ Central Europe Gulf Coast Corridor West Coast Worldwide Realized Refining Margins Loss before income taxes $ (227) (365) (104) (182) (878) Plus: Taxes other than income taxes 15 25 14 22 76 Depreciation, amort

  38. Slide 38: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations 2020 June YTD Numerator ($MM) Net Loss $ (2,494) After-tax interest expense 180 GAAP ROCE loss (2,314) After-tax special items 2,739 Adjusted ROCE earnings $ 425 Denominator ($MM) GAAP average capital employed1 $ 38,337 2020 Annualized GAAP ROCE (12)% 2020 Annualized Adjuste

  39. Slide 39: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars (Except as Indicated) June 30, 2020 Phillips 66 Phillips 66 Phillips 66 Excluding Consolidated Partners1 Phillips 66 Partners Total Debt $ 14,446 3,707 10,739 Total Equity 23,295 2,550 20,745 Debt-to-Capital Ratio 38 % 34 % Total Cash $ 1,890 7 1,883 Net

  40. Slide 40: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars Millions of Dollars 2Q 2020 2020 June YTD Growth Sustaining Total Growth Sustaining Total Capital Expenditures and Investments Midstream $ 543 54 597 $ 1,072 105 1,177 Refining 67 97 164 165 244 409 Marketing & Specialties 73 13 86 89 22 111 Corporate & O

  41. Slide 41: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2Q 2020 Effective Tax Rates Loss before income taxes $ (445) Special items (19) Adjusted loss before income taxes $ (464) Income tax benefit $ (378) Special items 188 Adjusted income tax benefit $ (190) GAAP effective tax rate 84.9 % A

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