Axa Sa · EURONEXT:CS

Axa Sa — FY2017 Earnings Presentation

114 slides from Axa Sa's earnings presentation, Feb 22, 2018

  1. Slide 1: FY17 Earnings

    FY17 Earnings February 22, 2018

  2. Slide 2: Important legal information and cautionary statements

    IMPORTANT LEGAL INFORMATION AND CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS CONCERNING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS Certain statements contained herein may be forward-looking statements including, but not limited to, statements that are predictions of or indicate future events, trends, plans, expectations or objectives. Un

  3. Slide 3: Table of contents

    Table of contents 1. Introduction & highlights A.04 Thomas Buberl, Group CEO 2. FY17 Business performance A.15 Gérald Harlin, Deputy CEO & Group CFO 3. FY17 Financial performance A.23 Gérald Harlin, Deputy CEO & Group CFO 4. Concluding remarks A.37 Thomas Buberl, Group CEO A3 Full Year 2017 Earnings

  4. Slide 4: Introduction & highlights

    Introduction & highlights 1 Thomas Buberl, Group CEO

  5. Slide 5: Key takeaways

    Key takeaways Strong earnings growth fueling a significant uplift in dividend All five geographies contributing to growth in underlying earnings Our focus on profitable growth is driving excellent results Strong and reliable capital position and cash generation capacity Innovating in Health and lead

  6. Slide 6: Ambition 2020 – Delivering on the upper end of the target range

    Ambition 2020 – Delivering on the upper end of the target range Underlying earnings per share Free cash flows2 In Euro In Euro billion +7% Ambition Ambition +4% 6.2 6.3 2020 2020 2.24 2.40 2.16 3% - 7% 28 - 32 Euro billion UEPS CAGR1 cumulative FCF 2015-2020 2015-2020 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY16 FY17 Adjust

  7. Slide 7: Strong earnings growth at the top of the Ambition 2020 target range

    Strong earnings growth at the top of the Ambition 2020 target range Underlying earnings1 Underlying earnings per share In Euro billion In Euro +7.3% +7.5% 2.40 6.0 2.24 5.7 FY16 FY17 FY16 FY17 A7 Full Year 2017 Earnings | February 22, 2018 All notes are on pages 44 and 45 Back to agenda Change at co

  8. Slide 8: Adjusted earnings and net income at historically high levels

    Adjusted earnings and net income at historically high levels Adjusted earnings1 Net income In Euro billion In Euro billion +7.6% +8.5% 6.5 6.2 6.1 5.8 FY16 FY17 FY16 FY17 A8 Full Year 2017 Earnings | February 22, 2018 All notes are on pages 44 and 45 Back to agenda Change at constant FX

  9. Slide 9: Uplift in dividend fueled by earnings growth and increased payout

    Uplift in dividend fueled by earnings growth and increased payout Adjusted earnings per share Dividend per share In Euro In Euro +7.6% +8.6% 2.59 1.26 2.41 1.16 FY16 FY17 55% Payout ratio 49% guidance1 45%-55% 48% 45% FY16 FY17 A9 Full Year 2017 Earnings | February 22, 2018 All notes are on pages 44

  10. Slide 10: All five geographies contributing to growth in earnings

    All five geographies contributing to growth in earnings FY17 underlying FY17 underlying earnings (Euro billion) earnings growth ✓ Top 3 position in L&S, P&C and Health France 1.4 +3% ✓ Innovation leader shaping the insurance market ✓ Distribution powerhouse with blended channels ✓ Strongholds in P&C

  11. Slide 11: Excellent and still increasing NBV margin

    Excellent and still increasing NBV margin FY17 NBV margin1 Market leading business mix 43.1% (+3.5 pts) 20% G/A Savings 32% Protection 10% Euro 6.5 billion Mutual funds & other FY17 NBV1 +8% Euro 2.8 billion 25% Unit-Linked 13% Health FY17 APE1 split by product type A11 Full Year 2017 Earnings | Feb

  12. Slide 12: Improvement in profitability ratios across the board

    Improvement in profitability ratios across the board P&C Protection Health CY combined ratio Combined ratio Combined ratio 97.6% 96.9% 94.7% (-0.1 pt) (-0.2 pt) (-0.3 pt) Strong technical discipline driving profitability A12 Full Year 2017 Earnings | February 22, 2018 Back to agenda Change at consta

  13. Slide 13: Health | Fast-growing, profitable business and a key area for innovation

    Health | Fast-growing, profitable business and a key area for innovation Gross revenues In Euro billion 12 | +6% Serving 500+ mid/large-size employers with over 1 million lives covered Underlying earnings In Euro million – Integrated digital platform +11% – Full set of health benefits administration

  14. Slide 14: Leading the way as a responsible and sustainable insurer

    Leading the way as a responsible and sustainable insurer 3 Billion Euros of additional divestments from carbon-intensive energy producers x4 Green investments commitment by 2020, twice as high as COP21 recommendation 5 years thought leadership initiative to improve governance, curb emissions and rel

  15. Slide 15: Ambition 2020 – Delivering on the upper end of the target range

    Ambition 2020 – Delivering on the upper end of the target range Underlying earnings per share Free cash flows2 In Euro In Euro billion +7% Ambition Ambition +4% 6.2 6.3 2020 2020 2.24 2.40 2.16 3% - 7% 28 - 32 Euro billion UEPS CAGR1 cumulative FCF 2015-2020 2015-2020 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY16 FY17 Adjust

  16. Slide 16: FY17 Business performance

    FY17 Business performance 2 Gérald Harlin, Deputy CEO & Group CFO

  17. Slide 17: Underlying earnings

    Underlying earnings In Euro million Underlying earnings Underlying earnings by geography +7% FY16 FY17 Change restated 6,002 5,688 France 1,385 1,429 +3% Europe 2,305 2,326 +2% Asia 1,047 1,089 +7% United States 998 1,135 +16% International 288 337 +20% Transversal & central holdings -335 -313 +8% U

  18. Slide 18: France | Growth fueled by technical strength and leading market positions

    France | Growth fueled by technical strength and leading market positions Underlying earnings Market leader focused on profitability In Euro million +3% P&C CoR Health CoR NBV margin 1,385 1,429 94.6% 98.7% 34.5% (-0.4 pt) (stable) (+3 pts) + Higher Unit-Linked fees L&S + Lower loss ratio in Protect

  19. Slide 19: Europe | Strong technical results and growth in preferred segments

    Europe | Strong technical results and growth in preferred segments Underlying earnings Highly profitable business… In Euro million +2% P&C CoR Health CoR NBV margin 2,305 2,326 94.6% 96.1% 56.6% Italy (-0.5 pt) (-0.2 pt) (+8 pts) Spain UK & + Higher technical margins notably in Ireland Belgium and G

  20. Slide 20: Asia | Strong profitability in highly competitive markets

    Asia | Strong profitability in highly competitive markets Underlying earnings Strong and improving profitability… In Euro million +7% P&C CoR Health CoR NBV margin 1,047 1,089 97.6% 78.3% 70.6% (-0.2 pt) (-0.9 pt) (+6 pts) + Lower expenses in Japan, Japan including lower pension costs …from growing

  21. Slide 21: United States | Growth across all businesses

    United States | Growth across all businesses Underlying earnings Growth in Life & Savings… In Euro million +16% NBV APE NBV margin 1,135 +14% +6% 23.4% 998 Euro 0.4 billion Euro 1.8 billion (+2 pts) + Higher Unit-Linked management fees + Higher GMxB hedge margin …and improving mix in Asset Managemen

  22. Slide 22: International | Building for growth and managing for profits

    International | Building for growth and managing for profits Underlying earnings Improving profitability… In Euro million +20% P&C CoR Health CoR NBV margin 337 101.4% 101.6% 28.0% (+0.3 pt (-1.2 pts) (+6 pts) 288 o/w +1.5 pts nat cat) + Higher investment income and …with pace and discipline improve

  23. Slide 23: AXA IM | Improved operating performance and strong growth in earnings

    AXA IM | Improved operating performance and strong growth in earnings Underlying earnings Growing volumes… In Euro million +16% Euro 8 billion 257 net inflows o/w Euro 9 billion in third party 225 + Higher management fees …and improving cost income ratio + Improved cost income ratio 72.4% + Improved

  24. Slide 24: FY17 Financial performance

    FY17 Financial performance 3 Gérald Harlin, Deputy CEO & Group CFO

  25. Slide 25: Group earnings / Balance sheet

    Group earnings Balance sheet A25 Full Year 2017 Earnings | February 22, 2018 Back to agenda

  26. Slide 26: Underlying earnings

    Underlying earnings In Euro million Underlying earnings Underlying earnings by geography +7% FY16 FY17 Change restated 6,002 5,688 France 1,385 1,429 +3% Europe 2,305 2,326 +2% Asia 1,047 1,089 +7% United States 998 1,135 +16% International 288 337 +20% Transversal & central holdings -335 -313 +8% U

  27. Slide 27: Adjusted earnings

    Adjusted earnings In Euro million Adjusted earnings Details of adjusted earnings +8% FY16 FY17 6,457 6,103 Underlying earnings 5,688 6,002 Net realised capital gains/losses 415 455 o/w realised capital gains 880 674 o/w net impairments -395 -127 o/w hedging of equity portfolio -70 -92 Adjusted earni

  28. Slide 28: Net income

    Net income In Euro million Net income Details of net income +8% FY16 FY17 6,209 Adjusted earnings 6,103 6,457 5,829 Change in fair value and Forex -118 -134 o/w gains/losses on economic hedges1 -158 -357 o/w change in fair value of assets accounted for as fair value option 40 222 Exceptional and dis

  29. Slide 29: Group | Underlying earnings by geography and details by business line

    Group | Underlying earnings by geography and details by business line Underlying earnings 1 o/w o/w o/w o/w Asset Total (In Euro million) Life & Savings Property & Casualty Health Management FY17 Change FY17 Change FY17 Change FY17 Change FY17 Change France 1,429 +3% 765 +8% 608 -2% 69 +3% - - Europ

  30. Slide 30: Improvement in profitability ratios across the board

    Improvement in profitability ratios across the board P&C combined ratio – details Health combined ratio 94.7% Current year Prior year reserve All-year combined ratio + developments combined ratio (-0.3 pt) 97.7% 97.6% 96.4% 96.3% 0.5% 0.7% -1.3% -1.2% P&C all-year combined ratio 96.3% (stable) FY16

  31. Slide 31: Well on track towards our cost savings Ambition

    Well on track towards our cost savings Ambition In Euro billion 2.1 Euro 0.3 billion1 from leaner central functions will be phased in over FY18 and FY19 Ambition 2020 0.5 +3% 0.3 contribution to 2015 – 2020E UEPS CAGR FY16 FY17 FY20 Plan from cost savings A31 Full Year 2017 Earnings | February 22, 2

  32. Slide 32: Group earnings / Balance sheet

    Group earnings Balance sheet A32 Full Year 2017 Earnings | February 22, 2018 Back to agenda

  33. Slide 33: High quality investment portfolio and resilient yield

    High quality investment portfolio and resilient yield FY17 Total General Account invested assets FY17 New fixed income investments 82% in Fixed Income with long duration (8.2 years) 40% BIG credit (8%) Govies & related 18% Euro ABS (~9%) Euro ~56% Other1 575 70 Investment grade credit billion3 34% ~

  34. Slide 34: Robust investment margin and yields – ahead of Ambition 2020 guidance

    Robust investment margin and yields – ahead of Ambition 2020 guidance Spread above guaranteed rates1 L&S investment margin1 P&C yield2 -12 bps Average 73 bps Yield on Spread above 69 bps 3.4% FY17 guaranteed 3.3% assets guarantee rates Inforce 3.1% 1.8% +130 bps New business 2.1% 0.3% +180 bps • Sig

  35. Slide 35: Shareholders’ equity

    Shareholders’ equity In Euro billion 70.6 69.6 FY17 vs. FY16 + Net income for the period +6.2 + Change in net unrealized capital gains +1.4 + Change in pension benefits +0.4 - Forex and other -4.8 - Subordinated debt (incl. interest charges) -0.6 - Share buyback -0.9 - Dividends -2.8 FY16 FY17 Adjus

  36. Slide 36: Solvency II ratio

    Solvency II ratio Solvency II ratio1 Key sensitivities In Euro billion Ratio as of December 31, 2017 205% 197% 205% Interest rate +50bps 207% +2 pts 57.9 57.8 Interest rate -50bps 199% -6 pts 29.4 28.2 Corporate spreads +75bps 203% -2 pts Available capital Required capital Equity markets +25% 205% 0

  37. Slide 37: Strong cash flow generation and remittance

    Strong cash flow generation and remittance In Euro billion Remittance ratio 88% 78% in line with our guidance of 75% - 85% 6.2 6.3 5.4 4.9 Operating free cash flows Cash remitted from entities FY16 FY17 A37 Full Year 2017 Earnings | February 22, 2018 Back to agenda

  38. Slide 38: Concluding remarks

    Concluding remarks 4 Thomas Buberl, Group CEO

  39. Slide 39: Key takeaways

    Key takeaways Strong earnings growth fueling a significant uplift in dividend All five geographies contributing to growth in underlying earnings Our focus on profitable growth is driving excellent results Strong and reliable capital position and cash generation capacity Innovating in Health and lead

  40. Slide 40: Q&A

    Q&A

  41. Slide 41: AXA Investor Relations | Keep in touch

    AXA Investor Relations | Keep in touch Call us Meet our management Investor Relations +33 1 40 75 48 42 March 20-21 Morgan Stanley European Financials Conference London Andrew Wallace-Barnett +33 1 40 75 46 85 Head of Investor Relations +33 1 40 75 39 82 April 10 HSBC West Coast Financials Conferenc

  42. Slide 42: Thank You

    Thank You

  43. Slide 43: Scope

    Scope FY16 has been restated to reflect the new reporting which is aligned with the new operating model and organization announced on November 13, 2017. ▪ France: includes insurance activities, banking and holdings activities in France. ▪ Europe: includes Belgium (insurance activities and holdings),

  44. Slide 44: Notes (1/2)

    Notes (1/2) Page A6 1. Compound annual growth rate 2. Adjusted RoE and free cash flows are non-GAAP financial measures. For further information, please refer to the reconciliation of adjusted ROE to the financial statements and its definition in the Glossary, which are provided in AXA’s 2017 Activit

  45. Slide 45: Notes (2/2)

    Notes (2/2) Page A21 1. Includes Euro -0.1 billion mortality model update in 1H17, a Euro +0.1 billion mortality model update in 2H17 and a Euro -0.1 billion GMxB model update in 2H17 Page A28 1. Interest rate and foreign exchange economic hedges not eligible for hedge accounting under IAS 39 Page A

  46. Slide 46: Full Year 2017 Appendices

    Full Year 2017 Appendices February 22, 2018

  47. Slide 47: Important legal information and cautionary statements

    IMPORTANT LEGAL INFORMATION AND CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS CONCERNING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS Certain statements contained herein may be forward-looking statements including, but not limited to, statements that are predictions of or indicate future events, trends, plans, expectations or objectives. Un

  48. Slide 48: Table of contents

    Table of contents 1. GROUP OVERVIEW B.4 2. GEOGRAPHIES B.10 3. PROFITABILITY ANALYSIS B.26 4. BALANCE SHEET B.36 5. CORPORATE RESPONSIBILITY B.64 6. PRO-FORMA REPORTING SCOPE B.67 B3 Full Year 2017 Earnings l Appendices l February 22, 2018

  49. Slide 49: B1 Group overview

    B1 Group overview

  50. Slide 50: Revenues and underlying earnings by geography

    Revenues and underlying earnings by geography FY17 figures Revenues by geography Underlying earnings by geography Transversal1 5% Transversal1 6% International 7% International 5% France 21% France 25% US 17% US 17% Euro 99 billion Euro 6.0 billion2 Asia 9% Europe 37% Europe 35% Asia 16% 1. Includin

  51. Slide 51: AXA’s rankings

    AXA’s rankings FY17 figures1 Current engines High potentials #3 France #13 Spain #15 China #4 Thailand #2 Switzerland #14 Japan #2 Indonesia #2 Philippines3 L&S #8 Germany #6 Hong Kong L&S #3 Belgium #3 US (VA2) #9 Mexico #6 Italy #2 France #1 Ireland #20 Brazil #16 Thailand #1 Switzerland #6 Italy

  52. Slide 52: Revenues and underlying earnings by line of business

    Revenues and underlying earnings by line of business FY17 figures Revenues by line of business Underlying earnings by line of business Asset management 4% Other1 1% Asset management 8% Other1 1% Health 8% Health 13% Euro 99 billion L&S 51% Euro 6.0 billion2 L&S 48% P&C 35% P&C 32% 1. Other correspon

  53. Slide 53: Life & Savings | Distribution and product mix

    Life & Savings | Distribution and product mix FY17 APE including life-like Health APE by channel APE by product Other 7% Funds & Other 10% Partnerships 20% Protection 32% Agents & salaried Unit-Linked 25% Euro 6,470 million Euro 6,470 million sales force 54% Brokers – IFAs & others 19% Health 13% G/

  54. Slide 54: Property & Casualty | Distribution and product mix

    Property & Casualty | Distribution and product mix FY17 revenues excluding Health Revenues by channel Revenues by product Other 3% Direct 10% Partnerships 8% Non-Motor 57% Agents 35% Euro 31.8 billion Euro 31.8 billion Motor 43% Brokers – IFAs & others 44% B9 Full Year 2017 Earnings l Appendices l F

  55. Slide 55: B2 Geographies

    B2 Geographies

  56. Slide 56: France | Topline overview

    France | Topline overview L&S APE Health revenues P&C revenues In Euro million (excl. Health) In Euro million In Euro billion -1% +14% +1% 1,350 1,331 3,877 7.3 7.3 3,404 Protection 399 387 Commercial lines 3.2 +1% 3.1 G/A Savings 518 558 Revenues Personal 0% 4.1 4.2 lines Unit-Linked 332 387 Funds

  57. Slide 57: France | Profitability analysis

    France | Profitability analysis Protection combined ratio Health combined ratio P&C combined ratio -1.4 pts 0.0 pt -0.4 pt 96.9% 95.6% 98.7% 98.7% 95.0% 94.6% Loss ratio 74.8% 71.1% Loss ratio 68.5% 67.5% Loss ratio 81.2% 80.7% Expense ratio 22.1% 24.4% Expense ratio 26.5% 27.1% Expense ratio 17.5%

  58. Slide 58: Europe | Topline overview

    Europe | Topline overview L&S APE Health revenues P&C revenues In Euro million (excl. Health) In Euro million In Euro billion +4% +1% -8% 1,015 5,004 5,105 15.7 15.6 926 Commercial Protection 461 lines 5.9 6.1 +3% 415 Revenues G/A Savings 346 268 Personal 9.7 0% lines 9.5 Unit-Linked 177 209 Funds &

  59. Slide 59: Europe | Profitability analysis

    Europe | Profitability analysis Protection combined ratio Health combined ratio P&C combined ratio -1.3 pts -0.2 pt -0.5 pt 98.3% 97.0% 96.3% 96.1% 95.1% 94.6% Loss ratio 67.4% 67.3% Loss ratio 90.9% 90.4% Loss ratio 86.6% 86.9% Expense ratio 27.7% 27.3% Expense ratio Expense ratio 7.4% 6.5% 9.7% 9.

  60. Slide 60: Asia | Topline overview

    Asia | Topline overview L&S APE Health revenues P&C revenues In Euro million (excl. Health) In Euro million In Euro billion -7% +2% -1% 1,431 2,041 1,970 1.3 1.3 1,291 Commercial 0.2 +3% lines 0.2 Protection 935 932 Revenues Personal 1.2 1.2 lines -2% G/A Savings 471 Unit-Linked 343 25 16 FY16 FY17

  61. Slide 61: Asia | Profitability analysis

    Asia | Profitability analysis Protection combined ratio Health combined ratio P&C combined ratio +0.8 pt -0.9 pt -0.2 pt 85.9% 86.7% 79.1% 78.3% 97.7% 97.6% Loss ratio 56.1% 54.6% Loss ratio 73.1% 72.3% Loss ratio 68.9% 72.0% Expense ratio 22.9% 23.7% Expense ratio 24.6% 25.2% Expense ratio 17.1% 14

  62. Slide 62: US | Life & Savings profitability analysis

    US | Life & Savings profitability analysis US Variable Annuity GMxB Underlying earnings3 US L&S Underlying earnings3 In Euro million In Euro million +8% 807 852 Net of DAC and tax1 FY163 FY17 Variable Annuity base fees & other, less expenses2 331 309 GMxB hedge margin 13 69 FY16 FY17 Reserve strengt

  63. Slide 63: Group | Topline overview

    Group | Topline overview L&S APE Health revenues P&C revenues1 In Euro million (excl. Health) In Euro million In Euro billion -1% +6% +1% 5,772 5,607 11,959 12,403 31.9 31.8 Protection 2,122 2,057 Commercial +2% 15.1 15.1 lines G/A Savings 1,438 1,269 Revenues 0% Personal Unit-Linked 1,549 1,631 16.

  64. Slide 64: Group | Profitability analysis

    Group | Profitability analysis Protection combined ratio Health combined ratio P&C combined ratio -0.2 pt -0.3 pt 0.0 pt 97.0% 96.9% 94.9% 94.7% 96.4% 96.3% Loss ratio 69.2% 69.0% Loss ratio 80.7% 82.8% Loss ratio 78.8% 78.4% Expense ratio 27.2% 27.3% Expense ratio 16.3% 14.1% Expense ratio 16.2% 16

  65. Slide 65: Group | Underlying earnings by geography and details by business line

    Group| Underlying earnings by geography and details by business line Underlying earnings 1 o/w o/w o/w o/w Asset Total (In Euro million) Life & Savings Property & Casualty Health Management FY17 Change FY17 Change FY17 Change FY17 Change FY17 Change France 1,429 +3% 765 +8% 608 -2% 69 +3% - - Europe

  66. Slide 66: Group | Net flows

    Group | Net flows FY17 figures L&S: Euro +0.8 billion Health: Euro +3.1 billion P&C NNC: -851k contracts in Euro billion in Euro billion in millions of contracts +2.3 +1.2 0.0 +1.7 +1.0 +1.0 +0.5 -0.1 -0.1 Of which Turkey -0.5 0.0 -1.3 -2.2 -0.2 -0.6 France Europe Asia US International France Europe

  67. Slide 67: L&S and Health | APE, NBV and NBV margin by geography

    L&S and Health | APE, NBV and NBV margin by geography FY17 figures FY17 APE by product Total APE NBV NBV margin Change on a Change on a Change on a Mutual funds FY16 FY16 FY16 Protection G/A Savings Unit-Linked Health FY17 comparable FY17 comparable FY17 comparable & other restated restated restated

  68. Slide 68: P&C | Revenues by business line

    P&C | Revenues by business line FY17 figures Personal Motor Personal Non-Motor Commercial Motor Commercial Non-Motor Change on Change on Change on Change on In Euro million Gross revenues comparable basis Gross revenues comparable basis Gross revenues comparable basis Gross revenues comparable basis

  69. Slide 69: P&C | Price effect by geography

    P&C | Price effect by geography Personal Lines Commercial Lines Price Revenues Price Revenues In Euro million Revenues effect growth Revenues effect growth 2018 Market pricing trends Increase in prices in personal lines and increased pressure on prices in France 4,168 +1.3% +0.3% 3,139 +2.2% +0.8% c

  70. Slide 70: Asset management | Asset under management rollforward

    Asset management | Asset under management rollforward FY17 figures Assets under Management rollforward AXA IM - Fully AXA IM - Asian Joint In Euro billion AB AXA IM Total consolidated scope Ventures AUM at FY16 486 717 607 110 1,203 Net flows 12 8 8 0 +19 Market appreciation 53 21 19 2 +75 Scope & o

  71. Slide 71: B3 Profitability analysis

    B3 Profitability analysis

  72. Slide 72: Profitability analysis | Group underlying earnings margin analysis

    Profitability analysis | Group underlying earnings margin analysis FY17 Change FY17 Change FY17 Change Investment margin 4,647 -3% Fees & revenues 8,123 +3% Net technical margin 11,929 -1% + + + - Acquisition expenses 10,642 -3% - Administrative expenses 6,256 +2% - VBI amortization 42 -74% 1 + Pre-

  73. Slide 73: Profitability analysis | Group underlying earnings margin analysis by country

    Profitability analysis | Group underlying earnings margin analysis by country Transversal & Total France Europe Asia US International holdings and other Margin on 4,885 1,479 954 1,847 284 319 2 revenues Investment 4,647 1,640 1,813 35 543 375 241 margin Management fees 2,811 521 187 106 1,937 53 7

  74. Slide 74: Profitability analysis | L&S underlying earnings margin analysis

    Profitability analysis | L&S underlying earnings margin analysis FY17 Change FY17 Change FY17 Change Investment margin 2,476 -4% Fees & revenues 6,609 +3% Net technical margin 763 -40% Average G/A reserves 343,112 +2% o/w Unit-Linked management fees 2,811 +10% o/w Mortality & morbidity margin and ot

  75. Slide 75: Profitability analysis | P&C underlying earnings margin analysis

    Profitability analysis | P&C underlying earnings margin analysis FY17 Change FY17 Change Investment income 2,049 -2% Technical margin 9,882 +2% Average assets 2 71,191 +3% Gross earned premium 31,854 +1% Average yield 2,3 2.9% -15 bps AY Loss ratio 69.0% -0.2pt CY Loss ratio 70.2% -0.3pt o/w Nat cat

  76. Slide 76: Profitability analysis | Details on P&C current year loss ratio

    Profitability analysis | Details on P&C current year loss ratio Personal Motor Personal Non-Motor 75.0% +1.2pts 61.1% +1.3pts +0.1pt 60.5% 74.0% 0.0pt -0.7pt -0.9pt -1.5pts -1.0pt FY16 Nat Cat Price effect Freq & Sev Other1 FY17 FY16 Nat Cat Price effect Freq & Sev Other1 FY17 Total Commercial lines

  77. Slide 77: Profitability analysis | Focus on P&C reserves

    Profitability analysis | Focus on P&C reserves Prior year reserve development level (in % of gross earned premiums) 6.0% 5.4% 5.4% 4.5% 2.7% 3.1% 2.0% 1.7% 2.1% 1.8% 1.8% 1.9% 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.7% FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 1H09 FY09 1H10 FY10 1H11 FY11 1H12 FY12 1H13 FY13 1H14

  78. Slide 78: Profitability analysis | Health underlying earnings margin analysis

    Profitability analysis | Health underlying earnings margin analysis FY17 Change FY17 Change Investment income 121 +6% Technical margin 2,678 +9% Gross earned premium 12,422 +6% AY Loss ratio 78.4% -0.6pt + + - Expenses 2,023 +8% Expense ratio 16.3% +0.3pt Pre-tax underlying earnings 776 +12% - Taxes

  79. Slide 79: Profitability analysis | Asset management underlying earnings margin analysis

    Profitability analysis | Asset management underlying earningsExpenses margin analysis In Euro million FY17 Change2 FY17 Change2 Net revenues3 3,734 +9% Asset Management expenses 2,669 +4% Margin1 Distribution revenues 685 +1% Expenses1 Investment result 8 n.a Distribution expenses 721 +8% + - Pre-ta

  80. Slide 80: FY17 Key sensitivities

    FY17 Key sensitivities P&L Balance sheet Impairements Change1 in fair value Total impact net Net unrealized capital net of hedges through and Forex through income gains through (incl. impact through Adjusted earnings Net income Shareholders' equity In Euro billion adjusted earnings) -25% -0.4 -0.1 -

  81. Slide 81: B4 Balance Sheet

    B4 Balance Sheet

  82. Slide 82: Balance sheet

    Balance sheet 1. General Account invested assets B.38 I. Government and corporate bonds by rating B.39 II. Government Bonds and related B.40 III. Corporate Bonds B.41 IV. Asset Backed Securities B.42 V. Listed Equity B.43 VI. Real Estate B.44 VII. Hedge Funds B.45 VIII. Private Equity B.46 IX. Mortg

  83. Slide 83: General Account Invested Assets

    General Account Invested Assets Invested assets (100%) FY16 % FY17 % In Euro billion Published Changes in asset mix Fixed income 485 83% 474 82% o/w Govies and related 236 40% 232 40% o/w Corporate bonds 202 35% 196 34% Forex: negative o/w Asset backed securities 13 2% 12 2% impact from the 1 apprec

  84. Slide 84: Government and corporate bonds by rating

    Government and corporate bonds by rating Government and related bonds Corporate bonds1 Below investment Non rated (2%) grade (6%) 12% AAA 17% 27% AAA BBB Euro 196 11% AA 37% Euro 232 billion billion 15% BBB A 39% AA 34% A Average rating maintained in the AA range Average rating maintained in the A r

  85. Slide 85: Government bonds and related

    Government bonds and related Breakdown by geography Gross1 unrealized capital gains and losses In Euro billion Ireland 2% Other 7% 40.9 Netherlands 2% 36.9 Austria 3% France 20% Supranational Institutions 5% Switzerland 6% Euro 232 billion Spain 6% Japan 13% Belgium 8% US 10% Italy 9% FY16 FY17 Germ

  86. Slide 86: Corporate bonds

    Corporate bonds Breakdown by industry Gross1 unrealized capital gains and losses In Euro billion Technology 3% Other 2% Basic materials 3% Consumer 8.0 Cyclical 6% 7.3 Financials 6% Banks 36% Energy 6% Euro 196 billion Communications 8% Industrials 8% FY16 FY17 Consumer Utilities 9% non-cyclical 15%

  87. Slide 87: Asset backed securities

    Asset backed securities Breakdown by asset type1 Breakdown by rating Below investment Non rated/Equity 3% grade 2% BBB 1% CLO 89% A 15% US Subprime, Alt-A & NC RMBS 3% Prime RMBS 3% Euro 12 billion Commercial MBS 1% Euro 12 billion CDO 1% Consumer ABS 1% Other ABS 3% AA 23% AAA 55% 1. Including debt

  88. Slide 88: Listed equity portfolio overview

    Listed equity portfolio overview Breakdown by geography Gross1 unrealized capital gains and losses In Euro billion Rest of the 4.7 World 13% US 23% Other 3.5 European countries 13% Euro 22 billion UK 3% Switzerland 5% France 22% Belgium 5% Japan 7% FY16 FY17 Germany 8% As of December 31, 2017 1. Gro

  89. Slide 89: Real estate investments

    Real estate investments Defensive portfolio with good performance over the long term Breakdown by geography Breakdown by type and geography Japan 1% Other 1% US 3% UK 5% Switzerland Other Eurozone 33% countries 10% Switzerland France Belgium Germany Other Total Office 10% 11% 7% 4% 9% 40% Belgium 9%

  90. Slide 90: Hedge fund investments

    Hedge fund investments AXA portfolio return drivers Well diversified portfolio Alternative Credit : 9 managers Multi-Strategy Relative value credit 9% program Real asset cash flow 13% 31% Market value Alternative Credit Short dated carry 62% Euro 7 billion program Deep value credit 16% 69% Multi-Str

  91. Slide 91: Private equity investments

    Private equity investments Diversified portfolio built over the long run Breakdown by expertise Other 7% Venture 4% Japan 2% Mezzanine 10% Infrastructure 15% Buy-out 71% US 29% Market value Euro 9 billion Diversified portfolio Europe 62% Direct 44% Funds of funds 56% As of December 31, 2017 B46 Full

  92. Slide 92: Mortgage loans & other

    Mortgage loans & other Low risk mortgage loan portfolio FY17 market value by entity1 34% 20% Switzerland Germany Other 7% 46% Residential Switzerland 34% 86% Residential France 10% 54% Commercial 14% Commercial Market value2 28% 10% Euro 33 billion United States France 24% Agricultural 18% Residenti

  93. Slide 93: Focus on net unrealized capital gains

    Focus on net unrealized capital gains Balance sheet net unrealized capital gains Off balance sheet net unrealized capital gains In Euro billion In Euro billion 16.0 14.6 1.5 2.5 4.8 2.0 2.0 Equities & other1 4.2 Corporate bonds 11.2 11.5 Government bonds and related FY16 FY17 FY16 FY17 3.4 2.6 2.3 N

  94. Slide 94: Asset & Liability management (1/2)

    Asset & Liability management (1/2) Spread above guaranteed rates L&S investment margin1 P&C yield2 -12 bps 73 bps 69 bps 3.4% Average 3.3% Yield on Spread above FY17 guaranteed assets guarantee rates Inforce 3.1% 1.8% +130 bps New business 2.1% 0.3% +180 bps • Significant buffer to cover guarantees

  95. Slide 95: Asset & Liability Management (2/2)

    Asset & Liability Management (2/2) Life & Savings General Account investment spreads above guarantees for main entities France Germany Switzerland Belgium AXA MPS 300 bps 60 bps 110 bps 70 bps 130 bps Inforce 3.6% 3.5% 2.9% 1.8% 3.8% 1.1% 2.7% 2.6% 0.6% 1.3% business 180 bps 110 bps 110 bps 90 bps N

  96. Slide 96: Net financial debt – Long-term maturities

    Net financial debt – Long-term maturities Net financial debt Contractual maturity breakdown In Euro billion In Euro billion Debt 4.3 26% 25% gearing 0.8 2.8 18.3 16.2 0.4 0.3 3.0 4.6 8.1 2018 2019 2020 2021-2025 2026-2040 Undated 7.4 Economic maturity breakdown 0.8 9.1 In Euro billion 7.7 0.3 4.9 1.

  97. Slide 97: Adjusted ROE

    Adjusted ROE In Euro million FY16 FY17 Adjusted earnings 6,103 6,457 Interest charges on undated debt -267 -229 Average adjusted shareholders’ equity 43,352 43,067 Adjusted ROE 13.5% 14.5% B52 Full Year 2017 Earnings l Appendices l February 22, 2018

  98. Slide 98: Solvency II

    Solvency II Solvency II ratio Key sensitivities In Euro billion Ratio as of December 31, 2017 205% 197% 205% Interest rate +50bps 207% +2 pts 57.9 57.8 Interest rate -50bps 199% -6 pts 29.4 28.2 Corporate spreads +75bps 203% -2 pts Available capital Required capital Equity markets +25% 205% 0 pt FY1

  99. Slide 99: Strong capital generation…

    Strong capital generation… AFR roll-forward In Euro billion o/w proposed dividend Euro -3.0 billion o/w buyback Euro -1.0 billion +1.8 +1.5 +2.5 +4.6 -4.0 -1.9 57.9 Offset in SII ratio by 57.8 reduction in SCR -4.5 Euro 8.5 billion o/w Forex Euro -3.6 billion operating return o/w net debt reduction

  100. Slide 100: …and improved quality of capital

    …and improved quality of capital 85% Tier 1 +7pts vs. FY16 ✓ Strong increase in unrestricted Tier 1 (Euro +4.4 billion) o/w Tier 1 from robust operating return debt 13% Euro Tier 2 ✓ Decrease in Tier 2 (Euro -1.2 billion) 57.8 -2pts to 13% following net subordinated debt reduction billion AFR Tier 3

  101. Slide 101: Solvency II required capital

    Solvency II required capital Split by Risk, Geography & Business Required capital by risk Required capital by business Required capital by geography FY17 FY17 FY17 Asset management, Operational Asset Management & Banking Banking & other UK Transversal & Counterparty 6% 4% 5% Holdings & Other Italy &

  102. Slide 102: Shareholders’ equity to Solvency II AFR

    Shareholders’ equity to Solvency II AFR In Euro billion IFRS 70 Shareholders’ Equity1 Move to full market value of assets • Real estate (Euro +4.1 billion) Full market value • Loans (Euro +0.2 billion) +5 • Other (Euro +0.4 billion) of assets Remove intangible assets Intangible assets -31 • Goodwill

  103. Slide 103: L&S AFR and NBV | Key sensitivities

    L&S AFR and NBV | Key sensitivities L&S AFR sensitivities New Business Value (NBV) sensitivities In Euro billion In Euro million L&S AFR 46.9 NBV as at December 31, 2017 2,787 as at December 31, 2017 Interest rate +50 bps 47.7 +0.8 | +2% Interest rate +50 bps 2,875 +88 | +3% Interest rate -50 bps 45

  104. Slide 104: L&S Internal Rate of Return (IRR) by country

    L&S Internal Rate of Return (IRR) by country FY16 restated1 FY17 In Euro million APE NB IRR APE NB IRR France 1,824 21.1% 1,849 22.0% Europe 1,124 21.7% 1,034 20.0% Asia 1,661 18.6% 1,510 15.1% United States 1,732 15.7% 1,799 15.2% International 246 6.4% 278 6.2% Total 6,600 17.8% 6,470 16.3% 1. FY1

  105. Slide 105: Operating free cash flows by segment

    Operating free cash flows by segment Operating free cash flows In Euro billion 3,035 +2% 3,034 +2 6.2 6.3 FY17 Life & Savings FCF In Euro million Life & Savings 2.9 3.0 Expected Expected Operating statutory change in Free Cash Flow earnings required capital 2,755 2,659 Property & Casualty 2.7 2.7 FY

  106. Slide 106: Group operating free cash flows by geography

    Group operating free cash flows by geography In Euro million FY16 FY17 France 1,687 1,404 Europe 2,387 2,744 Asia 477 379 United States 805 975 International 314 317 Other 504 473 Total 6,174 6,292 B61 Full Year 2017 Earnings l Appendices l February 22, 2018

  107. Slide 107: Strong cash flow generation and remittance

    Strong cash flow generation and remittance In Euro billion Remittance ratio 88% 78% in line with our guidance of 75% - 85% 6.2 6.3 5.4 4.9 ▪ Includes USD 0.9 billion cash movement from AXA Group to AXA US, as part of the pre-IPO transactions and in line with our communication on November 14, 2017 ▪

  108. Slide 108: L&S free cash flow emergence from inforce and new business

    L&S free cash flow emergence from inforce and new business Expected undiscounted cash flows Expected undiscounted cash flows from 2017 inforce1 business from 2017 new business In Euro billion In Euro billion 25 3.0 20 2.0 15 1.0 2017 10 0.0 1-5 6-10 11-15 16-20 21-25 31-35 26-30 >35 5 -1.0 0 -2.0 1-

  109. Slide 109: B5 Corporate Responsibility

    B5 Corporate Responsibility

  110. Slide 110: Main SRI rating

    Main SRI rating 6th overall/worldwide and 1st insurer by number of SRI funds in its capital (Ipreo, Q3 2017) 2016: Sector Leader “A+” in the 2017 UN PRI Reporting Score: A- 1st on 37 insurance companies (Responsible Investment Strategy) Level Score: « Leadership » Included in Euronext Vigeo indexes

  111. Slide 111: ESG integration into investments

    ESG integration into investments AXA’s “ESG + Carbon” RI Strategy “ESG + CARBON” INTEGRATION SECTOR GUIDELINES & EXCLUSIONS IMPACT INVESTING • Long-term ESG integration process: gradual and • ESG Footprint Committee: ad-hoc exclusions • Two “impact investment” funds (€200 million systematic integrat

  112. Slide 112: B6 Pro-forma reporting scope

    B6 Pro-forma reporting scope

  113. Slide 113: Pro forma figures (former reporting scope) | Revenues and underlying earnings

    Pro forma figures (former reporting scope) | Revenues and underlying earnings Revenues FY16 FY17 Underlying earnings FY16 FY17 Life & Savings 52,041 49,907 Life & Savings 3,078 3,288 (+) Health 8,241 8,848 (+) Health 429 433 (=) Life & Savings incl. Health (former scope) 60,282 58,754 (=) Life & Sav

  114. Slide 114: Pro forma figures (former reporting scope) | Other indicators

    Pro forma figures (former reporting scope) | Other indicators P&C profitability FY16 FY17 P&C current year combined ratio 97.7% 97.6% Impact of Health 0.1% 0.0% P&C current year combined ratio incl. Health (former scope) 97.7% 97.5% P&C AY CoR 96.4% 96.3% Impact of Health 0.2% 0.1% P&C all-year comb

AXA — FY2017 Earnings Presentation on 6ix