Viva Energy Group Ltd. · ASX:VEA

Viva Energy — FY2021 Earnings Presentation

37 slides from Viva Energy's earnings presentation, Feb 21, 2022

  1. Slide 1: Financial results Full year ended 31 December 2021

    Financial results Full year ended 31 December 2021 Helping people reach their destination

  2. Slide 2: Important notice and disclaimer

    Important notice and disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by Viva Energy Group representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to achievements expressed or implied by these forward-looking Limited, ACN 626 661 032 (“Company” or “Viva Energy”). the fairness, accuracy, completenes

  3. Slide 3: Contents

    Contents 4 10 18 25 26 GROUP FINANCIAL RECONCILIATION OF HIGHLIGHTS PERFORMANCE OUTLOOK APPENDIX FINANCIAL -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- ACCOUNTS SCOTT WYATT JEVAN BOUZO SCOTT WYATT CEO COFO CEO Viva Energy Group Limited – FY2021 Results Presentation 3

  4. Slide 4: Group highlights

    Group highlights Scott Wyatt Viva Energy Group Limited – FY2021 Results Presentation 4

  5. Slide 5: FY2021 highlights

    FY2021 highlights1 Significant growth across all business units, with strong progress on strategic priorities Retail market share Commercial earnings Refining margin growth growth recovery • 8% increase in Retail fuel sales volumes2 • 7% increase in non-aviation sales volume • Return to profitabilit

  6. Slide 6: Safety performance

    Safety performance Maintained strong safety performance and focus on people throughout the pandemic Total Recordable Loss of primary Process safety events1 Injury Frequency Rate2 containment (>100KG) 4 4 6.7 5.8 29 29 3 4.6 2 3.6 19 19 2018 2019 2020 2021 2018 2019 2020 2021 2018 2019 2020 2021 • Ge

  7. Slide 7: Retail Fuels and Marketing

    Retail Fuels and Marketing Fuel demand recovering with Viva Energy increasing share Retail fuel volumes (ML) 1 4,210 National market share by fuel type2,3: 3,757 3,706 3,689 1,756 VEA mkt share VEA growth Market growth 1,334 1,347 1,473 795 766 740 771 Premium Petrol: 18%, +1% 5% 0.3% 1,628 1,593 1,

  8. Slide 8: Refining

    Refining Material uplift in refining margins and production Refining margin cracks1, GRM2, Crude Premia3 (US$/bbl) Refining production (%) FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 18.0 10% 14% 17% Other 25% 16% 12% 3% 13.0 4% Jet Diesel 36% 39% 43% 40% 8.0 Gasoline 38% 36% 32% 36% 3.0 Intake (MBBLs) 40.1 42.0 34

  9. Slide 9: Strategic Priorities

    Strategic Priorities Material progress on post-pandemic growth strategy Fuel Security Package Geelong Energy Hub Strategic Objectives • Underpins future Refining earnings until • Completed Front End Engineering Design • Develop and maximise value of our three mid-2028 with option to 2030 and progres

  10. Slide 10: Financial highlights

    Financial highlights Jevan Bouzo Viva Energy Group Limited – FY2021 Results Presentation 10

  11. Slide 11: Financial Performance

    Financial Performance Strong group wide performance delivering a $240M uplift to EBITDA (RC) FY2021 FY2020 All financials in $m Retail, Fuels Financial highlights Refining Group Group Change unless noted & Marketing • FY2021 EBITDA (RC) increased 98% to EBITDA (RC) $484.2M Retail 187.5 - 187.5 235.4

  12. Slide 12: Reporting Segmentation

    Reporting Segmentation Updated segmentation shows true underlying cash performance FY2021 Key segmentation changes to reporting Old reporting All financials in $m Old 1. Lease with lease 2. SCO 3. Reclass New 1. Lease costs: Now captured within relevant segment unless noted reporting costs impacts a

  13. Slide 13: Year on Year Growth

    Year on Year Growth Improved Refining and Commercial performance offset Retail margin compression FY2021 Group EBITDA (RC) waterfall (A$M)1 Refining Corp. 30.1 (26.1) 53.0 (4.7) (23.4) (18.4) (6.2) (12.5) 239.3 Commercial Retail 13.7 (49.2) 5.9 29.6 (5.5) 484.2 32.7 (11.9) (6.1) 244.6 FY2020 Volumes

  14. Slide 14: Cashflow

    Cashflow Strong free cash generation supported by all parts of the business Net cash flow (A$M) Underlying free cash flow (RC) (A$M) 126.6 178.2 (126.6) (178.2) 15.8 387.7 183.3 (37.3) 261.1 209.5 (137.7) 47.7 Change in Add back Add back Add back FCF before Subtract Underlying Add back Underlying ca

  15. Slide 15: Capital Expenditure

    Capital Expenditure Higher capex spend reflecting recovery and investment in new growth opportunities Capital Expenditure ($M) • Base capital expenditure increase driven by deferred spend from prior years and investment in anticipated growth opportunities. 309 • Energy Hub Projects include anticipat

  16. Slide 16: Dividends

    Dividends Determined a final dividend of 3.2cps, supported by strong Refinery performance in Q4 Interim Final FY2021 FY2021 HY2021 • As a result of the strong Retail, Fuels & Marketing Retail, Retail, NPAT (RC) of $65.2M, a dividend of 2.5cps was Fuels & Fuels & Refining2 Combined Group determined f

  17. Slide 17: Balance Sheet

    Balance Sheet Disciplined approach to deploying cash and managing balance sheet capacity Change in Net Debt (A$m) Capital management framework • Returned $183M to shareholders in FY2021 through: • $66M dividends paid (payout ratio 60%) 126.6 (178.2) • $100M capital return • $18M of the announced $40

  18. Slide 18: Outlook and priorities for 2022

    Outlook and priorities for 2022 Scott Wyatt Viva Energy Group Limited – FY2021 Results Presentation 18

  19. Slide 19: Group Strategy

    Group Strategy Continued progress on our transition and growth strategy Strategic approach: 1 2 3 Balance sheet to support >$50M of new attractive Outperform in our core Leverage diversity to develop new Acquire capability to accelerate earnings streams business growth pathways proven opportunities

  20. Slide 20: Energy Security and Transition

    Energy Security and Transition Viva Energy has a key role to play in supporting the energy transition • Fuel supply to 25% of Australia, and over 50% of Victoria demand Economic • Geelong Refinery an asset of national significance and security Energy Security Security • Strategic position to support

  21. Slide 21: Victorian Gas Terminal Project

    Victorian Gas Terminal Project Material progress towards final investment decision expected in 3Q 2022 • Southern states are forecast to have a shortfall of gas from 20231 • Victoria is the largest domestic gas consumer in Australia, representing 37% of gas consumed in East Coast Market2 • Geelong p

  22. Slide 22: Minimum Stockholding Obligations (MSO)

    Minimum Stockholding Obligations (MSO) Viva Energy is well placed to meet anticipated MSO obligations • Federal Government has announced plans to introduce a Minimum Stock Obligation for Petrol, Jet and Diesel stocks held in Australia. Required stock holdings for Diesel expected to increase by 40% i

  23. Slide 23: Strategic Priorities

    Strategic Priorities FY2022 will see a significant milestones reach on key growth initiatives 1. Develop Energy Hub at Geelong 2. Grow non-fuel earnings 3. Develop projects to achieve lower emissions, new energies and lower carbon agenda Reach FID on Gas Progress ULSG and Reach FID on Grow Carbon an

  24. Slide 24: Outlook

    Outlook Global uncertainty and volatility mitigated by strong defensive cash generative businesses Macro themes Potential near-term impacts / mitigants Post pandemic recovery and growth • Potential new travel and border restrictions impacting fuel • Improving retail sales, and continued network dema

  25. Slide 25: Appendix

    Appendix Viva Energy Group Limited – Presentation Title 25

  26. Slide 26: Reconciliation of financial accounts

    Reconciliation of financial accounts Viva Energy Group Limited – FY2021 Results Presentation 26

  27. Slide 27: Reporting changes

    Reporting changes Simplified reporting and better alignment of segment profitability with cashflow Segment level changes To provide improved transparency of underlying performance, The Group has revised the way segment results are reported. These changes include the recording of lease expense within

  28. Slide 28: Explanation of adjustments

    Explanation of adjustments Adjustments to segments Group level reporting changes 1. Lease adjustments 1. NPAT (RC) will be reported for each operating segment separately, with the new a. Lease costs previously excluded from EBITDA (RC) under AASB16 are now Corporate segment allocated evenly across b

  29. Slide 29: FY2020 segment and group level changes

    FY2020 segment and group level changes1 1 2 3 4 Old reported Lease Wholesale re- FX & New reported Retail, Fuels & segments adjustments SCO allocation classification derivatives segments Marketing g Refining g Retail 670.8 (244.0) a (143.6) d (47.8) e - 235.4 235.4 - Commercial 238.3 (5.2) a (124.5)

  30. Slide 30: FY2021 segment and group level changes

    FY2021 segment and group level changes1 1 2 3 4 Old reported Lease Wholesale re- FX & New reported Retail, Fuels & segments adjustments SCO allocation classification derivatives segments Marketing g Refining g Retail 659.9 (264.9) a (157.1) d (50.4) e - 187.5 187.5 - Commercial 241.7 (5.8) a (69.0)

  31. Slide 31: Proforma financials

    Proforma financials Old reporting New reporting Old reporting New reporting Group EBITDA (RC) A$M A$M Refinery EBITDA (RC) A$M A$M 2018 774.6 531.5 2018 124.5 99.0 2019 644.6 392.9 2019 117.0 79.0 2020 519.5 244.6 2020 (95.1) (127.9) 2021 784.4 484.2 2021 143.5 103.4 Retail, Fuels & Marketing: Old r

  32. Slide 32: Additional information

    Additional information Viva Energy Group Limited – FY2021 Results Presentation 32

  33. Slide 33: Capital management framework

    Capital management framework Viva Energy will maintain a disciplined approach to capital management Underlying capital expenditure Invest in existing businesses to mainting current earnings - Underlying earnings maintenance capital. Distributions to shareholders Target payout ratio of 50% to 70% NPA

  34. Slide 34: Fuel Security Services Payment (FSSP)

    Fuel Security Services Payment (FSSP) Protects earnings during periods of low refining margins providing for more certain and reliable cashflow Historical actual Geelong Refining Margin (GRM)  No FSSP received  FSSP is payable and FSSP Margin Marker (A$/bbl) when regional when the Margin refining

  35. Slide 35: Refinery – margin analysis and key drivers

    Refinery – margin analysis and key drivers Metric FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 A: A$/US$ FX 0.75 0.69 0.69 0.75 B: Crude and feedstock intake mbbls 40.1 42.0 34.8 41.2 C: Geelong Refining Margin US$/bbl 7.4 6.6 3.1 7.1 D: Geelong Refining Margin = C / A A$/bbl 9.9 9.5 4.4 9.4 E: Geelong Refining Margin = B x

  36. Slide 36: Glossary

    Glossary Replacement Cost (“RC”) EBITDA (RC) Historical Cost (“HC”) Geelong Refining Margin Viva Energy reports its performance Profit before interest, tax, depreciation Calculated in accordance with The Geelong Refining Margin is a on a “replacement cost” (RC) basis. and amortisation adjusted to re

  37. Slide 37: Viva Energy

    VIVA EnergyAustralia

Viva Energy Group — FY2021 Earnings Presentation on 6ix