Dauch Corporation · NYSE:DCH

Dauch — Q4 2024 Earnings Presentation

39 slides from Dauch's earnings presentation, Feb 14, 2025

  1. Slide 1: Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Call

    Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Call

  2. Slide 2: Forward-Looking Statements

    Forward-Looking Statements In this presentation, American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. (“AAM”) makes statements concerning its and Dowlais’ expectations, beliefs, plans, objectives, goals, strategies, and future events or performance, including, but not limited to, certain statements related

  3. Slide 3: 4Q 2024 and Full Year Financial Highlights

    4Q 2024 and Full Year Financial Highlights 4Q $1.38B $160.8M $79.2M 2024 Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Sales Adj. EBITDA Adj. Free 11.6% of Sales Cash Flow FY $6.12B $749.2M $230.3M $311M 2024 Full Year Full Year Full Year Sales Adj. EBITDA Adj. Free 12.2% of Sales Cash Flow * For definitions of Adj

  4. Slide 4: Business Update

    Business Update + Maverick & Bronco Sport AAM & Dowlais Combination Secured core business extension to The combination to create a leading deliver power transfer units (PTU) for the driveline and metal-forming supplier with Ford Maverick and Bronco Sport. size and scale, serving the global automotiv

  5. Slide 5: 2025 Financial Outlook

    2025 Financial Outlook (as of February 14, 2025) 2025 Financial Targets Full Year Sales $5.8 - $6.05 billion Adjusted EBITDA $700 - $760 million Adjusted Free Cash Flow $200 - $230 million • These targets are based on North American light vehicle production of ~15.1 million units, current customer p

  6. Slide 6: 4Q Financial Results

    4Q Financial Results Three Months Ended December 31, 2024 2023 (dollars in millions, except per share data) Difference Net sales $ 1,380.8 $ 1,463.0 $ (82.2) Gross profit $ 154.3 $ 154.9 $ (0.6) Gross margin 11.2% 10.6% 0.6% Selling, general and administrative expenses $ 89.0 $ 95.7 $ (6.7) SG&A as

  7. Slide 7: Full Year Financial Results

    Full Year Financial Results Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2024 2023 (dollars in millions, except per share data) Difference Net sales $ 6,124.9 $ 6,079.5 $ 45.4 Gross profit $ 741.4 $ 624.3 $ 117.1 Gross margin 12.1% 10.3% 1.8% Selling, general and administrative expenses $ 387.1 $ 366.9 $ 20.2 S

  8. Slide 8: 4Q 2024 Revenue Walk (Yr/Yr)

    4Q 2024 Revenue Walk (Yr/Yr) $ in millions Note: Chart not to scale. 8

  9. Slide 9: 4Q 2024 Adjusted EBITDA Walk

    4Q 2024 Adjusted EBITDA Walk $ in millions Note: For definition of Adjusted EBITDA and Non-GAAP reconciliation, please see the attached appendix. Chart not to scale. 9

  10. Slide 10: Adjusted Free Cash Flow and Credit Profile

    Adjusted Free Cash Flow and Credit Profile Cash Flow and Debt Metrics 4Q 2024 Adjusted Free Cash Flow $79.2 million Net Debt $2.1 billion Net Leverage Ratio 2.8x Liquidity ~$1.5 billion AAM Maintains Strong Liquidity Note: For definitions of Adjusted Free Cash Flow, Net Debt, Net Leverage Ratio, and

  11. Slide 11: 2025 Sales Target Walk

    2025 Sales Target Walk $ in millions (unless noted otherwise) *Approximately at guidance midpoint. Note: Chart not to scale. Assumes sale of CV axle business in India by July 1, 2025. 11

  12. Slide 12: 2025 Adjusted EBITDA Target Walk

    2025 Adjusted EBITDA Target Walk $ in millions *Approximately at guidance midpoint. Note: Chart not to scale. For definitions of Adjusted EBITDA and Non-GAAP reconciliations, please see the attached appendix. Assumes sale of CV axle business in India by July 1, 2025. In accordance with Rule 28.1(c)(

  13. Slide 13: 2025 Targeted Adj. Free Cash Flow Walk

    2025 Targeted Adj. Free Cash Flow Walk $ in millions 21.0% Margin 19.0% Margin 15.1% Margin *Approximately at guidance midpoint. Note: Chart not to scale. For definitions of Adjusted Free Cash Flow and Non-GAAP reconciliations, please see the attached appendix. Assumes sale of CV axle business in In

  14. Slide 14: AAM and Dowlais Combination Supplemental Slides

    AAM and Dowlais Combination Supplemental Slides

  15. Slide 15: Compelling Strategic Combination

    Compelling Strategic Combination + Creates a Comprehensive More diversified High margins leading global powertrain customer base Compelling with strong driveline and agnostic product with expanded industrial logic earnings metal forming portfolio with and balanced with ~$300M of accretion, cash supp

  16. Slide 16: Dowlais Combination

    Dowlais Combination + ~$12B ~$300M ~14% ~2.5x Revenue1 Synergies3 Combined Expected Day One Adj. EBITDA Margin Net Leverage including synergies2 including synergies3 Expect strong earnings accretion in the first full year following the close of the transaction4 (1) Combined revenue number, on a stat

  17. Slide 17: Dowlais Overview

    Dowlais Overview A MARKET LEADING, HIGH-TECHNOLOGY ENGINEERING GROUP ~$6B 2023 Sales 30,000+ Employees1 22 Countries1 Leading Global Driveline Supplier Leading Sinter Metals Supplier 100 Locations1 Present in 50% of Vehicles ~10M Components Produced / Day Powder Metal EMEA North >90% of Global Auto

  18. Slide 18: Dowlais – Leading Supplier of Sideshafts

    Dowlais – Leading Supplier of Sideshafts DOWLAIS’ SIDESHAFT SIDESHAFT TECHNOLOGY TECHNOLOGY IS WORLD IS WORLD LEADING… ICE VEHICLE BATTERY ELECTRIC ICE VEHICLE BATTERY ELECTRICVEHICLE VEHICLE LEADING.. • Global, vertically integrated scale • Pioneers of the Auto CV joint • 100 joint types & sizes •

  19. Slide 19: ~$300M of Synergy Potential

    ~$300M of Synergy Potential CATEGORY DESCRIPTION • Eliminating duplicate public company and other costs TIMING AND COST • Optimization of the combined workforce SG&A ~30% TO ACHIEVE • Streamlining of engineering, research, and development expenses • Elimination of duplicate business and technical of

  20. Slide 20: Robust Synergy Identification & Validation Process

    Robust Synergy Identification & Validation Process UK Takeover Code Rule 28 contains AAM & Dowlais each appointed a global specific requirements regarding cost consulting firm to assist in reviewing savings measures synergy opportunities ▪ Quantified synergies to be supported Detailed, in-person dil

  21. Slide 21: Substantial Free Cash Flow Generation

    Substantial Free Cash Flow Generation Combination Enhances Cash Flow Generation $M American Axle Adj. Free Cash Flow (2023A) ~$219 Dowlais Adj. Free Cash Flow (2023A) ~$203 Run-Rate Cash Flow from Synergies1 ~$300 Less: Interest from Incremental Financing ~($50) Less: Tax Impact (Illustrative 30% ra

  22. Slide 22: Balance Sheet and Capital Allocation

    Balance Sheet and Capital Allocation BALANCE SHEET CAPITAL ALLOCATION • Committed financing in place for transaction • Support investment for organic growth • Expect $2.2 billion of new debt financing (used • Prioritize debt repayment until 2.5x net to refinance existing Dowlais debt and fund levera

  23. Slide 23: Regulatory Update

    Regulatory Update TIMING STRATEGIC COMBINATION ▪ Significant regulatory analysis and preparatory ▪ Complementary product and customer portfolios work already undertaken by both parties BEAM AXLES SIDE SHAFTS ▪ US filing (HSR) submitted on February 7, 2025 US LIGHT TRUCK GLOBAL PASSCAR & CUV ▪ Progre

  24. Slide 24: Appendix / Supplemental Data

    Appendix / Supplemental Data

  25. Slide 25: Additional Disclosures

    Additional Disclosures Participants in the Solicitation AAM and its directors, executive officers and certain other members of management and employees will be participants in the solicitation of proxies from AAM’s shareholders in respect of the Business Combination, including the proposed issuance

  26. Slide 26: Additional Disclosures

    Additional Disclosures Quantified Financial Benefits Statement This presentation contains statements of estimated cost savings and synergies arising from the Combination (together, the “Quantified Financial Benefits Statements”). Statements of estimated cost savings and synergies relate to future ac

  27. Slide 27: Additional Disclosures

    Additional Disclosures Profit forecasts and estimates The statements in this presentation setting out targets for Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted free cash flow of AAM for FY25 (together, the “AAM FY25 Profit Forecast”) constitute profit forecasts of AAM for the purposes of Rule 28.1(a) of the UK Takeo

  28. Slide 28: Additional Disclosures

    Additional Disclosures Principal assumptions a) Factors outside the influence or control of the AAM Directors: i. there will be no material change to macroeconomic, political, inflationary, regulatory or legal conditions in the markets or regions in which AAM operates; ii. there will be no material

  29. Slide 29: Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures

    Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures In addition to the results reported in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP) included within this presentation, we have provided certain information, which includes non-GAAP financial measures. Such informa

  30. Slide 30: Supplemental Data

    Supplemental Data* EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation ($ in millions) Three Months Ended Twelve Months Ended December 31, December 31, 2024 2023 2024 2023 Net income (loss) $ (13.7) $ (19.1) $ 35.0 $ (33.6) Interest expense 43.9 50.2 186.0 201.7 Income tax expense 6.8 5.8 27.8 9.1 Depreciatio

  31. Slide 31: Supplemental Data

    Supplemental Data* EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA for the Last Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2024 ($ in millions) Last Twelve Quarter Ended Months Ended March 31, June 30, September 30, December 31, December 31, 2024 2024 2024 2024 2024 Net income (loss) $ 20.5 $ 18.2 $ 10.0 $ (13.7) $ 35.0 Interest

  32. Slide 32: Supplemental Data

    Supplemental Data* Adjusted Earnings (Loss) Per Share Reconciliation Three Months Ended Twelve Months Ended December 31, December 31, 2024 2023 2024 2023 Diluted earnings (loss) per share $ (0.12) $ (0.16) $ 0.29 $ (0.29) Restructuring and acquisition-related costs 0.07 0.07 0.14 0.22 Debt refinanci

  33. Slide 33: Supplemental Data

    Supplemental Data* Free Cash Flow and Adjusted Free Cash Flow Reconciliation ($ in millions) Three Months Ended Twelve Months Ended Decemeber 31, Decemeber 31, 2024 2023 2024 2023 Net cash provided by operating activities $ 151.2 $ 52.9 $ 455.4 $ 396.1 Less: Capital expenditures net of proceeds from

  34. Slide 34: Supplemental Data

    Supplemental Data* Net Debt and Net Leverage Ratio ($ in millions) December 31, 2024 Current portion of long term debt $ 47.9 Long-term debt, net 2,576.9 Total debt, net 2,624.8 Less: Cash and cash equivalents 552.9 Net debt at end of period 2,071.9 Adjusted LTM EBITDA $ 749.2 Net Leverage Ratio 2.8

  35. Slide 35: Supplemental Data

    Supplemental Data* Segment Financial Information ($ in millions) Three Months Ended Twelve Months Ended December 31, December 31, 2024 2023 2024 2023 Segment Sales Driveline $ 979.6 $ 1,015.2 $ 4,253.3 $ 4,176.7 Metal Forming 520.6 576.2 2,414.3 2,454.3 Total Sales 1,500.2 1,591.4 6,667.6 6,631.0 In

  36. Slide 36: Supplemental Data

    Supplemental Data* Full Year 2025 Financial Outlook ($ in millions) Adjusted EBITDA Adjusted Free Cash Flow Low End High End Low End High End Net Income $ 25 $ 60 Net cash provided by operating activities $ 475 $ 505 Interest expense 170 180 Capital expenditures net of proceeds from the sale of prop

  37. Slide 37: Supplemental Data

    Supplemental Data* Dowlais Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Free Cash Flow Calculation Detail in £MM 2023 Net cash from operating activities £239 Capital expenditures net of proceeds from the sale of property, plant and equipment (262) Dividends received from equity accounted investments 63 Interest rec

  38. Slide 38: Definition of Non-GAAP Measures

    Definition of Non-GAAP Measures EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA We define EBITDA to be earnings before interest expense, income taxes, depreciation and amortization. Adjusted EBITDA is defined as EBITDA excluding the impact of restructuring and acquisition-related costs, debt refinancing and redemption c

  39. Slide 39: www.aam.com

    yy ® www.aam.com @&) QO

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