Colbun Sa · BCS:COLBUN
Colbun Sa — J.P. Morgan 6th Annual Global Emerging Markets Corporate Conference 2015
31 slides from Colbun Sa's conference presentation, Feb 25, 2015
Slide 1: J.P. Morgan 6th Annual Global Emerging Markets Corporate Conference
J.P. Morgan 6th Annual Global Emerging Markets Corporate Conference February 23-25, 2015 1
Slide 2: Agenda
2 AGENDA 1. CHILEAN ELECTRICITY SECTOR 2. OVERVIEW 3. OPERATIONS 4. FINANCIALS 5. PROJECTS 6. KEY INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS 2
Slide 3: Sector Segmentation
3 SECTOR SEGMENTATION 3 SUB-SECTORS 4 SEPARATE GRIDS SING Arica 4,340 MW - 25% 17,230 GWh - 25% GENERATION Antofagasta SIC Tal-Tal 15,085 MW - 75% 52,207 GWh - 74% TRANSMISSION Regulated sectors Santiago (concessions) DISTRIBUTION Castro Chaitén SEA 50 MW - 0% RELEVANT INSTITUTIONS 155 GWh - 0% Coch
Slide 4: Market Structure
4 MARKET STRUCTURE Main Players in the Generation Sector-SIC GENERATORS 36% REGULATED UNREGULATED SPOT 26% CUSTOMERS CUSTOMERS MARKET 21% 17% >15 players DISTRIBUTION “FREE” CDEC COMPANIES CUSTOMERS Regulated Unregulated Marginal Cost Endesa Colbún Gener Others Auction Tariffs Auction Tariffs /Spot
Slide 5: Power Generation and Demand in Chile
5 POWER GENERATION AND DEMAND IN CHILE Power Generation – SIC (TWh) Electricity Demand – SIC (TWh) 50 50 Diesel 3% 45 45 40 LNG 16% 40 Gas 0% 35 35 Unregulated: ~40% 30 30 Coal 28% 25 25 20 20 15 Others 15 Regulated: ~60% Diesel-Fuel LNG Hydro 45% 10 10 Gas Unregulated Demand 5 Coal /Petcoke 5 Regul
Slide 6: Agenda: Overview
6 AGENDA 1. CHILEAN ELECTRICITY SECTOR 2. OVERVIEW 3. OPERATIONS 4. FINANCIALS 5. PROJECTS 6. KEY INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS 6
Slide 7: Overview
7 OVERVIEW Main Figures Ownership Intern. Ratings As of Dec14 (US$ million) • Fitch: BBB • Assets: 6,400 24% • Equity: 3,400 49% • S&P: BBB- (-) 17% • Mkt Cap: 5,000 10% Local Ratings • EBITDA LTM: 537 • Fitch: A+ Matte Group Angelini Group • Net Debt: 1,061 Pension Funds Others • Humphreys: AA- POW
Slide 8: Colbún is the Second Largest Generator in the SIC
8 COLBUN IS THE SECOND LARGEST GENERATOR IN THE SIC Installed capacity of 3,278 MW ~ 21% Market Share 48% Hydro 1,589 MW 532 MW Run-of-the-river – 33% 1,057 MW Reservoir – 67% 3,278 MW 52% Thermal 1,689 MW 766 MW CCGT – 45% 342 MW Coal – 20% 581 MW Diesel – 35% POWER SECTOR OVERVIEW OPERATIONS FINAN
Slide 9: High Quality Clients
9 HIGH QUALITY CLIENTS 1 2 Sales by Type of Costumer (%) Sales Volume by Customer (%) Chilectra Unregulated (BBB+/BBB+ )* Regulated 22% CGED (Local 40% Codelco A+) (A/A+) 19% 60% 29% AngloAmeric Saesa (Local an AA) Others (BBB/BBB+) 16% 5% 9% 3 4 14.000 Historic Sales by Type of Costumer (GWh) Avera
Slide 10: Commercial Strategy
10 COMMERCIAL STRATEGY Define optimal PPA level Asset Base + Risk sharing mechanisms 4,000 GWh – OC 5,000 GWh Dual CCGT ~12,000 GWh 1,500 GWh 2,500 GWh – Coal CPI Fossil fuels fx (Spot Price) 8,000 GWh – Hydro(*) (*) Under medium-to-dry hydrological conditions. This includes output of the Angostura
Slide 11: Commercial Position
11 COMMERCIAL POSITION Contractual Sales vs. Generation (GWh) GWh 120% 546 12.000 11,655 10,998 10,687 2,240 9,805 546 100% 3,011 10.000 3,234 4,431 3,794 1,901 80% 8.000 4,602 2,242 2,893 2,623 2,418 60% 6.000 1,853 2,616 95 4.000 40% 6,912 7,224 6,655 7,204 5,462 6,085 5,233 4,857 2.000 20% 0 0% 2
Slide 12: Leveraging Our Combined Cycles
12 LEVERAGING OUR COMBINED CYCLES 1 2 Metrogas extension contract ENAP contract Signed in Aug14 Signed in Nov14 Supply until 2019 Supply during 2015 Flexible gas price Flexible gas price Allowing to cover long term needs in order to fulfill our contracts Providing flexibility to our
Slide 13: Agenda: Operations
13 AGENDA 1. CHILEAN ELECTRICITY SECTOR 2. OVERVIEW 3. OPERATIONS 4. FINANCIALS 5. PROJECTS 6. KEY HIGHLIGHTS 13
Slide 14: Power Plant Availability
14 POWER PLANT AVAILABILITY 1 Hydro Power Plants 100% 97% 97% 96% 95% 96% 92% 90% 80% 70% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2 Thermal Power Plants 100% 93% 94% 91% 89% 90% 78% 79% 80% 70% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Graphs Sources: Colbún. POWER SECTOR OVERVIEW OPERATIONS FINANCIALS PROJECTS HIGHLIGHT
Slide 15: Improving Hydrological Conditions
15 IMPROVING HYDROLOGICAL CONDITIONS 1 2 Rainfalls at Armerillo (mm) Colbún Hydro Generation (GWh) 7.000 2.000 +40% Y/Y 6.000 +37% Y/Y 1.500 5.000 4.000 1.000 Acc. 2013: 1,414 3.000 Acc. 2013: 4,858 500 Acc. 2014: 1,983 2.000 Acc. 2014: 6,655 1.000 0 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2009 2010 2011 20
Slide 16: Angostura: Successful Commissioning
16 ANGOSTURA: SUCCESSFUL COMMISSIONING 1 2 Angostura’s Figures Angostura Generation (GWh) 600 Capacity : 316 MW 533 500 Acc. 2014: Expected Annual Gx.: 1,500 GWh 1,301 GWh 400 378 2014 Availability: 97% 300 274 CAPEX (Including Tx. Lines):~ MMUS$760 200 116 100 3 Start up: Abr14 - 46 fam
Slide 17: Santa María I: Key Base Load Capacity for the System
17 SANTA MARÍA I: KEY BASE LOAD CAPACITY FOR THE SYSTEM 1 2 Santa María I’s Figures Santa María I Generation (GWh) Capacity: 342 MW 3.000 2,616 2,623 Expected Annual Gx: 2,500 GWh 2.500 2.000 1,853 CAPEX (including the Tx line):~ MMUS$ 750 1.500 Start up: Aug12 1.000 500 96 - 2011 2012 2013
Slide 18: Sustainability as a Key for Future Growth
18 SUSTAINABILITY AS A KEY FOR FUTURE GROWTH 2014 Awards Colbún received the third place distinction in the "Recyclápolis - El Mercurio" award in Coronel due to the company sustainable practices in emission compensation. Colbun obtained the “HUB Sustainability” award in the Entrepreneurship cate
Slide 19: Agenda: Financials
19 AGENDA 1. CHILEAN ELECTRICITY SECTOR 2. OVERVIEW 3. OPERATIONS 4. FINANCIALS 5. PROJECTS 6. KEY INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS 19
Slide 20: Main Figures and Metrics
20 MAIN FIGURES AND METRICS 1 2 Operating Revenues (US$ million) EBITDA (US$ million) & EBITDA Mg (%) 50% 600 2.000 537 1,696 40% 1,503 500 1.500 1,333 1,409 400 352 36% 30% 287 1.000 300 205 20% 200 20% 21% 500 15% 10% 100 0 0 0% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2011 2012 2013 2014 3 4 100 Net Income (US$ milli
Slide 21: Main Figures and Metrics
21 MAIN FIGURES AND METRICS 1 2 2.000 Debt & Net Debt (US$ million) 7 Net Debt / EBITDA Debt Net Debt 5.9 6 5.2 1.500 5 4.1 4 1.000 3 2.0 2 500 1 0 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2011 2012 2013 2014 3 4 G-Spread Colbun Yankee Bonds (Basis Net Interest Coverage 450 points) 10.9 400 420 12 10.4 10 350 7.8 7.6
Slide 22: Debt and Liquidity
22 DEBT AND LIQUIDITY 1 Debt Profile Type Currency Interest Rate Total Debt: MMUS$ 1,894 UF Avrg. Maturity: 6.4 years BANKS 10% Avrg. USD Interest Rate: 4.9% 22% Cash: MMUS$ 833 Net Debt: MMUS$ 1,061 BONDS 78% USD FIXED (As of Dec14) 90% 100% 2 3 800 Amortization Structure (US$ million) Ba
Slide 23: Agenda: Projects
23 AGENDA 1. CHILEAN ELECTRICITY SECTOR 2. OVERVIEW 3. OPERATIONS 4. FINANCIALS 5. PROJECTS 6. KEY INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS 23
Slide 24: Colbún Has Several Growth Opportunities
24 COLBÚN HAS SEVERAL GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES Projects in Chile La Mina – Hydroelectric Project 34 MW of Capacity 190 GWh of expected annual generation Phase: Under Construction since Dec14 Qualifies as NCRE Santa María II – Coal-fired Project 350 MW of Capacity 2,500 GWh of expected annual
Slide 25: La Mina Hydroelectric Run-of-the-River
25 LA MINA HYDROELECTRIC RUN-OF-THE-RIVER 1 Main Features Location: San Clemente, Maule region Capacity: 34 MW 2 Location Annual Generation: ~ 180-195 GWh CAPEX including the Tx. line: ~US$120-130 million Construction + commissioning period: ~25-30 months Status: Under construction since
Slide 26: Santa Maria II Coal-Fired Power Plant
26 SANTA MARIA II COAL-FIRED POWER PLANT 1 2 Main Features Location Location: Coronel, Biobío region Capacity: 350 MW Concepción Annual Generation: ~2,500 GWh Construction period: ~43-45 months Santa María II 2014 Main Events: RCA/RSE commitments Coronel compliance Stakeholders sociali
Slide 27: San Pedro Hydroelectric Power Plant
27 SAN PEDRO HYDROELECTRIC POWER PLANT 1 2 Main Features Location Location: Panguipulli and Los Lagos, Los Ríos region Capacity: 150 MW San Pedro Annual Generation: ~900-950 GWh Construction period: ~40-45 months Panguipulli 2014 Main Events: Socialization process Valdivia Preparation
Slide 28: Searching for Investment Opportunities in the Region
28 SEARCHING FOR INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES IN THE REGION Special focus on Assets in Colombia and Perú Colombia Country Attractiveness • Attractive business environment Perú • Positive economic perspective • Well established regulatory framework • Growing electricity consumption • Diversification of:
Slide 29: Agenda: Key Investment Highlights
29 AGENDA 1. CHILEAN ELECTRICITY SECTOR 2. OVERVIEW 3. OPERATIONS 4. FINANCIALS 5. PROJECTS 6. KEY INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS 29
Slide 30: Key Investment Highlights
30 KEY INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS Size: Second-largest generation company in Chile’s largest electricity grid. Competitive: High-quality and diversified asset portfolio. Stable: Diversified, solid and creditworthy customer portfolio. Shareholders: Strong, reliable controlling group with a strateg
Slide 31: Investor Relations Team Contact
This document provides information about Colbún S.A. In no case this document constitutes a comprehensive analysis of the financial, production and sales situation of the company. To evaluate whether to purchase or sell securities of the company, the investor must conduct its own independent analysi
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