Lkq Corporation · NASDAQ:LKQ

Lkq — Q4 2022 Earnings Presentation

48 slides from Lkq's earnings presentation, Feb 23, 2023

  1. Slide 1: Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2022 Earnings Call Presentation

    Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2022 Earnings Call Presentation February 23, 2023

  2. Slide 2: Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures Statements and information in this presentation that are not historical are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and are made pursuant to the “safe harbor” provisions of such A

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  4. Slide 4: 2022 Highlights

    2022 Highlights • Strong full year organic revenue growth for parts and services of 5.0% (5.2% per day) ◦ Wholesale - North America: 11.4% / Europe: 5.1% (5.6% per day) • Focus on key operational excellence initiatives drove profitability ◦ Segment EBITDA(3) of $1.72 billion for a margin of 13.4% ◦

  5. Slide 5: 2022 Adjusted EPS Walk

    (2) 2022 Adjusted EPS Walk $4.5 $4 $3.96 $0.23 $3.85 ($0.16) $0.40 $3.5 ($0.29) ($0.14) ($0.04) ($0.11) $3 (3) FY 2021 Fx Rates Scrap & Precious Tax Rate Equity Investment Investments,(1) Operating Results Share Repurchases FY 2022 Metal Prices Fair Value Government Adjustment Programs, T&E Strong o

  6. Slide 6: Outlook 2023

    Outlook 2023(1) (effective only on the date issued: February 23, 2023) Full Year 2023 Outlook Organic parts and services revenue growth 6.0% to 8.0% Diluted EPS(2) $3.68 to $3.98 Adjusted diluted EPS(2)(3) $3.90 to $4.20 Operating cash flow approx. $1.275 billion Free cash flow(4) approx. $975 milli

  7. Slide 7: 2023 Adjusted EPS Guidance Walk

    2023 Adjusted EPS Guidance Walk (2) $4.5 (3) $0.10 $4.05 $4 $0.24 $3.85 $0.02 $0.01 ($0.02) ($0.13) ($0.02) $3.5 FY 2022 Fx Rates Scrap & Precious Tax Rate Interest PGW Divestiture Operating Results Share Repurchases (1) FY 2023 Metal Prices Operational improvements and strategic capital deployment

  8. Slide 8: 2023 Free Cash Flow Guidance Walk

    2023 Free Cash Flow Guidance Walk (2) ($ in millions) $1,500 $1,200 $135 $1,028 ($50) $975 ($60) $900 ($78) $600 $300 FCF/EBITDA FCF/EBITDA (1) Conversion Conversion 60% 55% $0 FY 2022 Earnings Growth, TWC Interest Payments Tax Payments Capital Expenditures FY 2023 Improvements & Other Operational i

  9. Slide 9: Consolidated Results Q4 2022

    Consolidated Results Q4 2022 Revenue(1) EPS(2) (5.8)% (11.1)% (10.3)% • Organic growth of $4,000 3.3% $1.20 $1.20 • Currency translation $3,800 effect: (5.7)% $1.10 $1.10 • Acquisition and $3,600 Divestiture: (3.4)% $1.00 $1.00 $3,400 $3,186 $0.90 $0.90 $0.87 $3,200 $0.81 $3,001 $0.80 $0.80 $0.78 $3

  10. Slide 10: Consolidated Results 2022

    Consolidated Results 2022 Revenue(1) EPS(2) • Organic growth of 12.3% (2.8)% 4.1% (2.3)% • Currency translation $16,500 $4.50 $4.50 effect: (5.1)% (3) • Acquisition and 4.11 $15,000 $4.20 $4.20 $3.96 Divestiture: (1.2)% $3.85 $13,089 $3.90 $3.90 $13,500 $12,794 $3.66 $3.60 $3.60 $12,000 $3.30 $3.30

  11. Slide 11: Financial Results Q4 2022

    Financial Results Q4 2022 LKQ

  12. Slide 12: Q4 2022 Revenue

    Q4 2022 Revenue Revenue Changes by Source: Components of Revenue Acquisition and Foreign 100.0% Organic Divestiture Exchange Total(1) 5.8% 6.8% 1.8% 1.6% Wholesale - North America 10.3% (9.4)% (0.4)% 0.6% 12.1% 12.9% Europe 4.6% 0.2% (11.7)% (7.0)% Specialty (10.6)% —% (0.5)% (11.1)% 75.0% Self Serv

  13. Slide 13: Operating Results - Q4

    Operating Results - Q4 Fourth Quarter ($ in millions, except per share data) 2022 2021 Change F/(U) Revenue $3,001 $3,186 (5.8)% Gross Margin 1,223 1,269 (3.7)% Operating Expenses 861 920 6.4% Operating Income 293 280 4.6% Income from continuing operations before provision for income taxes 272 270 0

  14. Slide 14: Wholesale – North America – Q4 2022

    Wholesale – North America – Q4 2022 Change % of Revenue Gross Margin ($ in millions) 2022 2021 F/(U) 2022 2021 50.0% 49.1% 49.1% Total Revenue $1,102 $1,097 0.5% 49.0% Gross Margin $540 $521 3.7% 49.0% 47.5% 49.0% Operating Expenses $338 $357 5.1% 30.7% 32.5% 48.0% 47.5% 47.6% 48.3% Segment EBITDA(1

  15. Slide 15: Europe – Q4 2022

    Europe – Q4 2022 Change % of Revenue Gross Margin ($ in millions) 2022 2021 F/(U) 2022 2021 Total Revenue(1) $1,390 $1,497 (7.1)% 40.0% 39.6% 39.7% Gross Margin $526 $565 (6.8)% 37.8% 37.7% 39.2% Operating Expenses $395 $435 9.4% 28.4% 29.1% 39.0% Segment EBITDA(2) $139 $134 3.7% 10.0% 8.9% Transfor

  16. Slide 16: Specialty – Q4 2022

    Specialty – Q4 2022 Change % of Revenue Gross Margin ($ in millions) 2022 2021 F/(U) 2022 2021 29.9% 29.9% 29.7% Total Revenue $365 $410 (11.1)% 30.0% 28.8% Gross Margin $101 $111 (9.4)% 27.7% 27.1% Operating Expenses $79 $82 3.3% 21.7% 19.9% 28.0% 28.2% 28.7% Segment EBITDA(1) $23 $30 (25.6)% 6.2%

  17. Slide 17: Self Service – Q4 2022

    Self Service – Q4 2022 Change % of Revenue Gross Margin ($ in millions) 2022 2021 F/(U) 2022 2021 50.1% 51.0% 48.6% (1) Total Revenue $144 $184 (21.1)% 48.0% 43.1% Gross Margin $56 $72 (23.6)% 38.4% 39.7% 45.0% 42.0% 38.4% Operating Expenses $49 $46 (5.4)% 33.5% 25.1% 42.5% 39.5% 39.0% 39.7% Segment

  18. Slide 18: 2022 Capital Allocation

    2022 Capital Allocation $2,000 ($ in millions) $399 $1,250 $(222) $1,500 $(48) $1,000 $500 $(1,040) $274 $278 $(284) $(27) $(24) $0 Beginning Cash Operating Cash Proceeds from Capex Debt Share Dividends Other Activity, FX Ending Cash 12/31/21 Flows disposal of Repayments, Repurchases net 12/31/22 bu

  19. Slide 19: Operating Cash Flow and Free Cash Flow

    (1) Operating Cash Flow and Free Cash Flow (1) $1,600 ($ in millions) 100% 98% $1,400 90% Actual FCF 80% conversion of $1,200 EBITDA(2) 66% 70% (3) 60% 60% $1,000 60% Targeted annual FCF conversion of $800 50% EBITDA (55%-60%) $1,444 $1,367 $600 $1,271 $1,250 40% $1,064 $1,074 $1,028 30% $400 $798 2

  20. Slide 20: Leverage & Liquidity

    Leverage & Liquidity ($ in millions) ($ in millions) Total Capacity(1) $4,000 $4,000 $3,500 $3,500 $3,150 $3,150 $3,000 $2,824 $3,000 $2,662 $274 $2,500 $278 $2,500 $1,194 $2,500 $2,550 $1,295 $2,384 $645 $2,000 $2,000 $69 $69 $69 $1,500 $1,500 1.4x 1.4x $1,000 $1,887 $1,000 $1,786 $1,786 $500 $500

  21. Slide 21: Share Repurchase Program

    Share Repurchase Program # of Shares 5.3 2.7 8.1 6.8 3.0 Repurchased Million Million Million Million Million $404 M $343 M $297 M $49.63 $50.89 $152 M $56.57 $144 M $53.20 $50.72 Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 On October 25, 2022, our Board of Directors authorized an additional $1.0 billion

  22. Slide 22: Expanding Global ESG Programs

    Expanding Global ESG Programs 22

  23. Slide 23: 2022 Results and Supplementary Information

    2022 Results and Supplementary Information

  24. Slide 24: 2022 Revenue

    2022 Revenue Revenue Changes by Source: Components of Revenue Acquisition and Foreign 100.0% 6.7% 7.2% (1) Organic Divestiture Exchange Total 1.8% 1.6% Wholesale - North America 11.4% (7.0)% (0.2)% 4.2% 14.0% 14.2% Europe 5.1% 0.4% (10.8)% (5.3)% 75.0% Specialty (9.9)% 6.1% (0.3)% (4.1)% Self Servic

  25. Slide 25: Operating Results

    Operating Results Fiscal Year Change ($ in millions, except per share data) 2022 2021 F/(U) Revenue $12,794 $13,089 (2.3)% Gross Margin 5,223 5,322 (1.9)% Operating Expenses 3,544 3,568 0.7% Operating Income 1,581 1,474 7.2% Income from continuing operations before provision for income taxes 1,518 1

  26. Slide 26: Wholesale – North America – 2022 Results

    Wholesale – North America – 2022 Results Change % of Revenue ($ in millions) 2022 2021 F/(U) 2022 2021 Total Revenue $4,556 $4,379 4.1% Gross Margin $2,209 $2,095 5.4% 48.5% 47.9% Operating Expenses $1,372 $1,337 (2.7)% 30.1% 30.5% Segment EBITDA(1) $852 $769 10.7% 18.7% 17.6% (1) Segment EBITDA for

  27. Slide 27: Europe – 2022 Results

    Europe – 2022 Results Change % of Revenue ($ in millions) 2022 2021 F/(U) 2022 2021 Total Revenue(1) $5,735 $6,062 (5.4)% Gross Margin $2,215 $2,336 (5.2)% 38.6% 38.5% Operating Expenses $1,651 $1,733 4.8% 28.8% 28.6% Segment EBITDA(2) $585 $618 (5.4)% 10.2% 10.2% (3) Transformation Expenses $15 $14

  28. Slide 28: Specialty – 2022 Results

    Specialty – 2022 Results Change % of Revenue ($ in millions) 2022 2021 F/(U) 2022 2021 Total Revenue $1,791 $1,867 (4.1)% Gross Margin $521 $534 (2.5)% 29.1% 28.6% Operating Expenses $325 $315 (3.3)% 18.2% 16.9% Segment EBITDA(1) $199 $223 (10.9)% 11.1% 12.0% (1) Segment EBITDA for each segment is a

  29. Slide 29: Self Service – 2022 Results

    Self Service – 2022 Results Change % of Revenue ($ in millions) 2022 2021 F/(U) 2022 2021 (1) Total Revenue $715 $787 (9.0)% Gross Margin $278 $357 (22.3)% 38.8% 45.4% Operating Expenses $196 $183 (6.9)% 27.4% 23.3% Segment EBITDA(2) $83 $175 (52.3)% 11.7% 22.3% (1) Includes Other Revenue of $488 mi

  30. Slide 30: Liquidity as of December 31, 2022

    Liquidity as of December 31, 2022 • Rated Baa3 (investment grade) by Moody's Credit Rating • Rated BBB- (investment grade) by S&P Global Ratings • Rated BBB- (investment grade) by Fitch • Fixed Interest Rate Bonds: €750 million ($803 million) in aggregate due in 2024 and 2028 Debt Structure • Variab

  31. Slide 31: Metals Prices

    Metals Prices Scrap steel impact Q4 scrap steel prices decreased YoY Q4 precious metal prices were Sequential changes in scrap steel prices impact to Segment and QoQ mixed YoY and QoQ EBITDA: (sequential decrease of 9% in Q4 2022) Self Service: • Q4 2022 unfavorable by $4 million; 2022 unfavorable $

  32. Slide 32: Lag Effect - Scrap Steel Prices

    Lag Effect - Scrap Steel Prices Self Service Lag Effect $300 $279 $279 • Margin benefit or detriment based on the movement in market prices $265 between purchase date and scrap $255 date (we typically scrap cars within $251 $251 90 days of purchase) $265 $250 $255 $250 $250 • Purchase price reflects

  33. Slide 33: Foreign Exchange

    Foreign Exchange $1.45 • £ down 12.8% Q4 2022 vs Q4 2021 $1.40 $1.40 • € down 10.6% Q4 2022 vs Q4 2021 $1.35 $1.38 $1.38 $1.35 • $175 million unfavorable impact $1.34 of translation of weaker Q4 rates $1.30 relative to the US Dollar on $1.26 GBP European parts and services $1.25 (12. 8)% revenue gro

  34. Slide 34: Inventory Procurement

    Inventory Procurement ($ in millions, vehicles purchased in 000s) Q4 Fiscal Year 2022 2021 % Change 2022 2021 % Change Total aftermarket procurement $1,328 $1,624 (18.2)% $5,974 $6,388 (6.5)% Wholesale - North America salvage vehicles 58 65 (10.8)% 246 239 2.9% Europe wholesale salvage vehicles 6 7

  35. Slide 35: Inventory Balances

    Inventory Balances ($ in millions) Wholesale - North America Europe $1,600 $2,000 2 Q4 2022 $1,400 to Q4 202 ild Q4 2021 to ntory build Q4 2021 tory bu $1,800 8M inven 9M inve To tal $14 (Glass) Total $18 ivestiture FX ($98M ) $1,200 ($102M) D $1,600 $1,000 $961 $1,418 $1,402 $1,400 $817 $822 $1,327

  36. Slide 36: Inventory Balances (cont.)

    Inventory Balances (cont.) ($ in millions) Self Service Specialty $100 $700 022 Q4 2 $600 t o Q4 2 ild 021 02 1 bu $7M inven to Q4 20 Q4 2 nventory i tory 2 redu 2 $11M ction $500 $458 $463 $469 $56 $400 $380 $362 $50 $50 $43 $43 $301 $300 $38 $32 $30 $212 $200 $100 $0 $0 9 0 0 1 1 2 2 9 0 0 1 1 2 2

  37. Slide 37: Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    Appendix Non-GAAP Financial Measures This presentation contains non-GAAP financial measures. Following are reconciliations of each non-GAAP financial measure with the most directly comparable financial measure calculated in accordance with GAAP. 37

  38. Slide 38: Constant Currency Reconciliation

    Appendix 1 Constant Currency Reconciliation The following unaudited table reconciles revenue and revenue growth for parts & services and total revenue to constant currency revenue and revenue growth for the same measures: Three Months Ended Year Ended December 31, 2022 December 31, 2022 ($ in millio

  39. Slide 39: Constant Currency Reconciliation (cont.)

    Appendix 1(cont.) Constant Currency Reconciliation Three Months Ended Year Ended December 31, 2022 December 31, 2022 Consolidated Europe Consolidated Europe Parts & Services Revenue growth as reported (4.8)% (7.0)% (1.7)% (5.3)% Less: Currency impact (6.1)% (11.7)% (5.5)% (10.8)% Revenue growth at c

  40. Slide 40: Revenue and Segment EBITDA by segment

    Appendix 2 Revenue and Segment EBITDA by segment Three Months Ended December 31(1) Year Ended December 31(1) % of % of % of % of ($ in millions) 2022 revenue 2021 revenue 2022 revenue 2021 revenue Revenue Wholesale - North America $1,102 $1,097 $4,556 $4,379 Europe 1,390 1,497 5,735 6,062 Specialty

  41. Slide 41: Reconciliation of Net Income to EBITDA and Segment EBITDA

    Appendix 3 Reconciliation of Net Income to EBITDA and Segment EBITDA Three Months Ended December 31(1) Year Ended December 31(1) ($ in millions) 2022 2021 2022 2021 Net income $195 $236 $1,150 $1,092 Subtract: Net income attributable to continuing noncontrolling interest 1 — 1 1 Net income attributa

  42. Slide 42: EBITDA and Segment EBITDA Reconciliation

    Appendix 3 EBITDA and Segment EBITDA Reconciliation We have presented EBITDA solely as a supplemental disclosure that offers investors, securities analysts and other interested parties useful information to evaluate our operating performance and the value of our business. We calculate EBITDA as net

  43. Slide 43: Reconciliation of Net Income and Diluted EPS to Adjusted Net Income

    Appendix 4 Reconciliation of Net Income and Diluted EPS to Adjusted Net Income from Continuing Operations Attributable to LKQ Stockholders and Adjusted EPS from Continuing Operations Attributable to LKQ Stockholders (1) (1) Three Months Ended December 31 Year Ended December 31 ($ in millions, except

  44. Slide 44: Reconciliation of Net Income and Diluted EPS to Adjusted Net Income

    Appendix 4 Reconciliation of Net Income and Diluted EPS to Adjusted Net Income Attributable to LKQ Stockholders and Adjusted EPS from Continuing Operations Attributable to LKQ Stockholders We have presented Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted Diluted Earnings per Share from Continuing Operations Attrib

  45. Slide 45: Forecasted EPS Reconciliation

    Appendix 5 Forecasted EPS Reconciliation (1) Forecasted Fiscal Year 2023 ($ in millions, except per share data) Minimum Outlook Maximum Outlook Net income from continuing operations attributable to LKQ stockholders $989 $1,070 Adjustments: Amortization of acquired intangibles 58 58 Restructuring and

  46. Slide 46: Reconciliation of Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities to Free Cash Flow

    Appendix 6 Reconciliation of Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities to Free Cash Flow Three Months Ended December 31(1) Year Ended December 31(1) ($ in millions) 2022 2021 2022 2021 Net cash provided by operating activities $240 $5 $1,250 $1,367 Less: purchases of property, plant and equipment 74

  47. Slide 47: Reconciliation of Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities to Free Cash Flow

    Appendix 6 Reconciliation of Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities to Free Cash Flow We have presented free cash flow solely as a supplemental disclosure that offers investors, securities analysts and other interested parties useful information to evaluate our liquidity. We calculate free cash f

  48. Slide 48: Reconciliation of Total Debt to Net Debt

    Appendix 7 Reconciliation of Total Debt to Net Debt ($ in millions) December 31, 2022(1) December 31, 2021(1) Current portion of long-term obligations $34 $35 Long-term obligations, excluding current portion 2,622 2,777 Total debt, net of debt issuance costs $2,656 $2,812 Add: Debt issuance costs 6

LKQ — Q4 2022 Earnings Presentation on 6ix