Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. · NASDAQ:RRGB

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers — Q2 2019 Earnings Presentation

24 slides from Red Robin Gourmet Burgers's earnings presentation, Aug 23, 2019

  1. Slide 1: Second Quarter 2019 Results

    Second Quarter 2019 Results August 23, 2019 CLASSIFIED – INTERNAL USE ONLY

  2. Slide 2: Forward-Looking Statements

    Forward-Looking Statements Forward-looking statements in this presentation regarding the Company’s future performance, comparable restaurant revenue, costs including selling, general and administrative, net income, EBITDA, earnings per share, tax benefit, capital expenditures, and statements under t

  3. Slide 3: Red Robin Q2-2019 Results

    Red Robin Q2-2019 Results • Total revenues decreased 2.3% • Off-premise sales increased 25.7%, now comprising 12.5% of total food and beverage sales, including catering • Comparable restaurant revenue decreased 1.5% (using constant currency rates) – strongest result in five quarters • Comparable res

  4. Slide 4: Significant Progress on Business Improvements

    Significant Progress on Business Improvements • Momentum in people, Guest and sales metrics • Sequential improvement in same-store sales – momentum continuing into early Q3 with comparable restaurant revenue of (0.1%) for the fiscal period eight ended August 11, 2019 • Top-quartile Red Robin restaur

  5. Slide 5: Key Strategies to Deliver Value to Shareholders

    Key Strategies to Deliver Value to Shareholders Our Five 2019 Strategic Priorities: • Stabilizing the dine-in business • Improving Guest experience and recapturing Red Robin’s known-for “Gift of Time” convenience • Continue building To-Go and Catering business • Implementing digital platforms and re

  6. Slide 6: "All the Fulls" Omni-channel Brand Campaign

    “All the Fulls” Omni-channel Brand Campaign • Launched in mid July with TV and radio media • Increased focus and spending on digital marketing and social activation • Encouraging fun connections with kids and parents • Already producing results, improved social media engagement – outperforming prior

  7. Slide 7: Operations Focus: Strengthening Dine-In Business

    Operations Focus: Strengthening Dine-In Business • Hire, Train and Retain • Manager Front Of House Engagement • Managing the Shoulders to Peak the Peaks • Delivering on the Promise of Maestro – fast and accurate delivery of high quality food at proper temperature PAGE 7

  8. Slide 8: Financial Update

    Financial Update PAGE 8

  9. Slide 9: Comparable Restaurant Revenue Trend

    Comparable Restaurant Revenue Trend(1) 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.7% 2.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% -0.1% -1.0% -0.9% -1.2% -2.0% -1.5% -3.0% -2.6% -3.4% -3.3% -4.0% -5.0% -4.5% Q1-17 Q2-17 Q3-17 Q4-17 Q1-18 Q2-18 Q3-18 Q4-18 Q1-19 Q2-19 (1) Calculated at constant currency rates PAGE 9

  10. Slide 10: Q2-19 Sales Highlights

    Q2-19 Sales Highlights Q2-19 Q2-18 Q2-19 YTD Q2-18 YTD Change Change (12 Weeks) (12 Weeks) (28 Weeks) (28 Weeks) Restaurant revenue $302.4 million $310.4 million -2.6% $702.9 million $725.1 million -3.1% Total company revenues $308.0 million $315.4 million -2.3% $717.8 million $736.9 million -2.6% C

  11. Slide 11: Continued Off-Premise Sales Growth

    Continued Off-Premise Sales Growth US Comp Locations Off-Premise Sales as a % of Gross F&B Sales 14.0% 12.5% +290 bps 12.0% 11.6% Y-O-Y in 10.6% 10.1% Q2 2019 10.0% 9.4% 9.6% 8.3% 8.0% 7.6% 7.0% 6.3% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Q1-17 Q2-17 Q3-17 Q4-17 Q1-18 Q2-18 Q3-18 Q4-18 Q1-19 Q2-19 PAGE 11

  12. Slide 12: Restaurant Level Operating Profit Margins

    (1)(2) Restaurant Level Operating Profit Margins 25.0% 24.0% 23.0% 22.0% 21.3% 21.0% 20.8% 20.5% 20.0% 20.0% 19.4% 19.3% 19.0% 18.6% 18.3% 18.2% 18.0% 17.0% 16.8% 16.0% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017 2018 2019 (1) See Appendix for reconciliation of non-GAAP restaurant-level operating profit to net income (loss) (

  13. Slide 13: Q2-19 Restaurant Results

    Q2-19 Restaurant Results % of Restaurant Revenue % of Restaurant Revenue Favorable Q2-19 Q2-18 (Unfavorable) Cost of sales 23.9% 24.1% 20 Labor 35.2% 34.3% (90) Other operating 14.2% 13.7% (50) Occupancy 8.4% 8.5% 10 Restaurant Level Operating Profit(1) 18.2% 19.3% (110) (1) See Appendix for reconci

  14. Slide 14: Adjusted EBITDA

    Adjusted EBITDA(1) $50.0 $45.8 $45.0 $42.4 $40.0 $35.8 $35.0 $34.3 $32.3 $30.0 $28.8 $28.4 $25.5 $25.5 $25.0 $24.2 $20.0 $15.0 $10.0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017 2018 2019 (1) See Appendix for reconciliation of non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA to Net Income (Loss) PAGE 14

  15. Slide 15: Adjusted Earnings Per Diluted Share

    Adjusted Earnings Per Diluted Share(1) $1.20 $1.03 $1.00 $0.89 $0.80 $0.78 $0.69 $0.61 $0.60 $0.46 $0.43 $0.40 $0.19 $0.21 $0.20 $0.16 $0.00 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017 2018 2019 (1) See Appendix for reconciliation of non-GAAP Adjusted Earnings Per Diluted Share to Earnings (Loss) Per Diluted Share PAGE 15

  16. Slide 16: Outlook for 2019

    Outlook for 2019 • Comparable restaurant revenue down 1.0% to up 1.0% • Selling, general and administrative costs of $154 million to $157 million • Net (loss) income of $(2.2) million to $4.2 million • Adjusted EBITDA of $107 million to $117 million • Adjusted diluted earnings per share of $.95 to $

  17. Slide 17: In Closing

    RG Robin In Closing tench ea PAGE 17

  18. Slide 18: Appendix

    Appendix PAGE 18

  19. Slide 19: Adjusted Net Income

    Adjusted Net Income(1) ($ in Millions) $16.0 $14.0 $13.5 $12.0 $11.6 $10.2 $10.0 $9.1 $7.9 $8.0 $6.0 $6.0 $5.4 $4.0 $2.4 $2.7 $2.1 $2.0 $0.0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017 2018 2019 (1) See Appendix for reconciliation of non-GAAP Adjusted Net Income to Net Income (Loss) PAGE 19

  20. Slide 20: Cash Flow from Operations

    Cash Flow from Operations ($ in Millions) $80.0 $70.0 $70.0 $60.0 $57.0 $50.0 $40.0 $37.5 $34.7 $35.0 $30.0 $25.3 $20.0 $20.0 $16.4 $16.9 $11.8 $10.0 $0.0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017 2018 2019 PAGE 20

  21. Slide 21: Q2-19 Commodity Update

    Q2-19 Commodity Update % of Total COGS in Market vs. Contract Q2-19 Steak fries 12.9% 100% contracted through 10/19 Hamburger 12.6% Market Poultry 9.5% 60% contracted though 1/21; 40% contracted through 1/20 Produce 8.5% 70% contracted through 10/21 Meat 7.4% Market Bread 5.8% Frozen bread 100% cont

  22. Slide 22: Reconciliation of Adjusted Net Income to Net Income (Loss) and Adjusted EPS

    Reconciliation of Adjusted Net Income to Net Income (Loss) and Adjusted Earnings Per Diluted Share to Earnings (Loss) Per Diluted Share ($ in thousands, except per share data) 2017 2018 2019 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Net income (loss) as reported 11,567 6,931 2,714 8,807 4,380 (1,874) 1,709 (10,

  23. Slide 23: Restaurant Level Operating Profit Reconciliation

    Restaurant Level Operating Profit Reconciliation to Income from Operations and Net Income (Loss) ($ in thousands) 2017 2018 2019 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Restaurant revenue $ 413,451 $ 312,351 $ 301,100 $ 338,154 $ 414,702 $ 310,392 $290,218 $300,897 $400,484 $302,418 Restaurant operating costs

  24. Slide 24: EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation to Net Income (Loss)

    EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation to Net Income (Loss) ($ in thousands) 2017 2018 2019 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Net income (loss) as reported $ 11,567 $ 6,931 $ 2,714 $ 8,807 $ 4,380 $ (1,874) $ 1,709 $(10,634) $ 639 $ 981 Adjustments to net income (loss): Income tax expense (benefit) 2

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