Omv Ag · VIE:OMV

Omv — OMV Aktiengesellschaft — Q3 2012 Earnings Presentation

32 slides from Omv's earnings presentation, Nov 7, 2012

  1. Slide 1: OMV Results Q3/12

    OMV Aktiengesellschaft OMV Results Q3/12 David C. Davies, Deputy Chairman of the Executive Board and CFO Hans-Peter Floren, Executive Board member responsible for G&P November 7, 2012 Move & More.

  2. Slide 2: Q3/12 Highlights

    Q3/12 Highlights Clean CCS EBIT in EUR mn 1  Production at 309 kboe/d  Higher exploration expenses 786 +34%  USD 12% stronger vs EUR  Average Brent oil price at USD 109.50/bbl 587  OMV indicator refining margin more than 617 tripled vs. Q3/11 482  Gearing ratio decreased to 28% 7  Acquisition

  3. Slide 3: Economic environment

    Economic environment Oil price and EUR/USD Gas prices in EUR/MWh OMV indicator refining margin in USD/bbl 5.28 120 113 1.50 35 5.5 110 110 31 5.0 100 30 4.5 1.41 1.44 25 90 4.0 25 80 3.5 26 70 1.38 20 24 3.0 60 15 2.5 50 1.32 1.74 40 11 10 2.0 10 1.5 30 1.25 20 1.26 1.0 5 10 0.5 0 1.20 0 0.0 Q3/11 Q

  4. Slide 4: Results in Q3/12

    Results in Q3/12 Clean CCS net income attributable in EUR mn 1 Q3/12 Q3/11  to stockholders in EUR mn 1 EBIT 779 569 37% Financial result (106) (71) 50% Taxes (272) (136) 99% +34% 317 Effective tax rate 40% 27% 47% Net income 401 362 11% 237 Minorities and hybrid capital (90) (137) (34)% owners Net

  5. Slide 5: Cash flow

    Cash flow 9m/12 in EUR mn 1 9m/12 9m/11  in EUR mn Net income 1,387 1,223 13% (288) 121 Depreciation and 1,549 1,208 28% amortization 1,549 Other (288) (153) 89% (1,513) Sources of funds 2,648 2,277 16% 1,387 Change in net working 121 (144) n.m. capital (625) Cash flow from operating 630 2,769 2,13

  6. Slide 6: CAPEX and EBITD

    CAPEX and EBITD 9m/12 Key investments in 9m/12 in EUR mn 3,861  Petrom drilling and workovers  Exploration (e.g. Neptun, Zidane, Bina Bawi)  Power plants Brazi and Samsun 3,017  Etzel (capitalized caverns lease fee)  Petrobrazi modernization (tie in of revamped units during shutdown) 1,363 732

  7. Slide 7: Special items

    Special items Q3/12 in EUR mn 1 Q3/12 Q3/11 in EUR mn Clean CCS EBIT 786 587 (2) CCS gains/(losses) 30 (12) (15) Clean EBIT 817 576 30 6 Personnel related costs (2) (13) (26) Unscheduled depreciation (15) (4) 786 Asset disposals 6 16 779 Other (26) (6) Total special items (38) (7) EBIT 779 569 Clean

  8. Slide 8: Exploration and Production Clean EBIT

    Exploration and Production Clean EBIT in EUR mn Q3/12 vs. Q2/12 Q3/12 vs. Q3/11 1 743 23 (15) (122) (112) 617 (13) 257 (79) 617 482 69 Q2/12 Realization Volume Exploration Other Q3/12 Q3/11 Realization Volume Exploration Other Q3/12 expenses expenses  Stronger USD supported result  Positive FX eff

  9. Slide 9: Exploration and Production Key Performance Indicators

    Exploration and Production Key Performance Indicators Hydrocarbon production (1,000 boe/d) Q3/12 vs. Q2/12 283 289 299 305 309  Production up by 1% Oil and  Production restarted in Yemen 136 143 157 164 168 NGL (~5 kbbl/d)  Higher production in Austria 147 146 142 141 141 Gas and Tunisia  Lower

  10. Slide 10: Exploration and Production Petrom group

    Exploration and Production Petrom group Hydrocarbon production (1,000 boe/d) Q3/12 vs. Q2/12 184 186 184 182 182  Clean EBIT up by 5%, Oil and mainly due to 89 90 90 89 88 NGL  stronger USD vs. EUR Gas  slightly higher sales volumes 95 96 94 93 94  lower OPEX  Production stable due to Q3/11 Q4/

  11. Slide 11: E&P: Exploration activities – Update

    E&P: Exploration activities – Update Norway Romania • Bonna-1 pilot well drilled; full • Neptun deep block: Domino-1: 1.5-3 tcf exploration well will be drilled in estimated technical resources; appraisal 2013 options being evaluated; new drilling Kurdistan Region of Iraq campaign planned to start e

  12. Slide 12: E&P: Project activities – Update

    E&P: Project activities – Update Norway Romania • Edvard Grieg: Third • Totea deep development: First appraisal well acquisition within 12 perforated and in testing, second appraisal well months spudded in August and drilling in progress • Aasta Hansteen FID expected end 2012 Kurdistan Region of Ira

  13. Slide 13: Portfolio renewal – overall ~0.9 billion boe in project pipeline

    Portfolio renewal – overall ~0.9 billion boe in project pipeline Q3/2012 (Q2/2011) New ventures Exploration Appraisal Field development New production Caspian Sea Black Sea Bina Bawi-3, KRI Schiehallion FPSO Cherouq CPF, Tunisia model Caspian KRI 1 STOD 2 (Tunisia) FRDs (Romania) Cherouq (Tunisia) M

  14. Slide 14: Gas and Power Clean EBIT

    Gas and Power Clean EBIT in EUR mn Q3/12 vs. Q3/11 1 1 4 7 6 (10) 5 Q3/11 Supply, Gas logistics Power Other Q3/12 marketing and trading  Negative EconGas contribution only partly offset by better Petrom gas business result  Start-up of gas storage Etzel and overall lower cost level improved gas lo

  15. Slide 15: Gas and Power Key Performance Indicators

    Gas and Power Key Performance Indicators Gas sales volumes in TWh Q3/12 vs. Q3/11 119 100  Gas sales volumes up by 87% due 92 89 to trading 54  Increase in spread between oil- linked gas prices and spot prices  Petrom gas sales volumes slightly Q3/11 Q4/11 Q1/12 Q2/12 Q3/12 decreased by 2% EconGa

  16. Slide 16: Refining and Marketing Clean CCS EBIT

    Refining and Marketing Clean CCS EBIT in EUR mn Q3/12 vs. Q3/11 1 (23) (15) 152 243 129 Q3/11 Fuels Petrochemicals Marketing Q3/12  Fuels result was favored by higher refining margins mainly due to very high gasoline spreads  Petrochemicals burdened by a higher naphtha price and a significantly lo

  17. Slide 17: Refining and Marketing Key Performance Indicators

    Refining and Marketing Key Performance Indicators Refining output in mn t Q3/12 vs. Q3/11 4.94 4.93 4.87 4.55 4.61  Lower Petrom refining output West East mainly due to gradual restart of 4.12 4.03 Petrobrazi 3.73 4.02 4.19  High oil price environment leads to Marketing volume pressure 0.82 0.91 0

  18. Slide 18: Key financing indicators

    Key financing indicators Gearing ratio in % 1 33 34 31 28 28 Q3/11 Q4/11 Q1/12 Q2/12 Q3/12 Key financial principles Payout ratio in % 1  Long-term gearing ratio target of ≤30% 52  Maintain a strong investment grade rating 32 32 24 22  Sustainable dividend policy: Long-term payout ratio target of

  19. Slide 19: Outlook 2012

    Outlook 2012 Market environment  Brent price expected to remain above USD 100/bbl for the remainder of 2012  Gas margin environment to remain challenging  Recovery of refining and marketing margins broadly continued into Q4/12, however, outlook remains uncertain Business outlook  CAPEX for 2012

  20. Slide 20: Gas and Power Strategy implementation update

    OMV Aktiengesellschaft Gas and Power Strategy implementation update Hans-Peter Floren, Executive Board member responsible for G&P Move & More.

  21. Slide 21: Implementation of the strategic priorities presented in September 2011 is progressing well

    Implementation of the strategic priorities presented in September 2011 is progressing well G&P strategy 2011 OMV as integrated gas and power player along Nabucco Progress on key priorities for G&P Raise performance short-term (2014)  Asset-backed trading built up  CCPP Brazi (860 MW) on stream, eq

  22. Slide 22: Changing gas market environment triggered a reassessment of the G&P strategy

    Changing gas market environment and new equity gas options triggered a reassessment of the G&P strategy Traditional gas midstream 1 OMV in good position to benefit from model heavily under pressure new equity gas and attractive markets A Gas oversupply in Europe driven by C OMV will benefit from new

  23. Slide 23: EU gas market changed fundamentally – market will likely continue to be oversupplied

    A EU gas market changed fundamentally – market will likely continue to be oversupplied Range for contracted supply volumes incl. indigenous production EU 27+Turkey, bcm OMV expected demand forecast range Full demand forecast range High uncertainty in forecast 700  Widening demand – supply capacity

  24. Slide 24: Oversupply has led to decoupling of hub markets from long-term oil-indexed supply

    B Oversupply has led to decoupling of hub markets from long-term oil-indexed supply EUR/MWh Border contract tracker (mainly oil-indexed) 1 NCG Increasing gap Forecast uncertain between oil-indexed 35 LTC prices and spot prices 30  Conversion between long- 25 term contracts and spot 20 prices expect

  25. Slide 25: OMV equity gas position likely to grow significantly

    C OMV equity gas position likely to grow significantly Equity gas volumes of OMV are expected to increase significantly Clear role of G&P Black Sea  Generate additional value compared to E&P direct sales by creating access to  Domino discovery markets, especially for restricted or (Romania) oversu

  26. Slide 26: With SEE and Turkey OMV is active in Europe's most attractive markets

    D With SEE and Turkey OMV is active in Europe’s most attractive markets Nabucco West TANAP South Caucasus Pipeline Gas demand by submarket bcma Stagnating demand Growing demand  SEE: Moderate 97 92 growth (~1.8% p.a.2) avg. 2009-11 1 2020 UK 206 211  Turkey: Fastest 29 35 growing market CEE (~3.6%

  27. Slide 27: OMV holds a position of strength in its core countries

    E OMV holds a position of strength in its core countries Total market est., 2012, percent Position of OMV OMV Remaining market shares  Strong current equity gas position (~5 bcm) 34  Growth potential: Domino and potentially shale gas 66  Captive demand through CCPP Brazi Romania ~14.4 bcm  EconG

  28. Slide 28: OMV is building gas positions in two currently very different market types

    OMV is building gas positions in two currently very different market types West of Baumgarten (WoB) East of Baumgarten (EoB) Current status Current status  Highly liquid  No liquid hubs markets  Limited market  High market absorption absorption capacity capacity  Heterogeneous  Homogenous regu

  29. Slide 29: Nabucco connecting OMV's core markets

    Nabucco connecting OMV’s core markets Status Transit pipelines to  Nabucco West concept (developed European markets by OMV) welcomed by Shah Deniz II (SDII) consortium  Available gas: 10 bcm from SDII  Binding, conditional Nabucco West tariff offer provided Next steps  Q4 2012: Conclusion of coo

  30. Slide 30: G&P business model

    G&P business model Regions Austria & around Romania Turkey Central portfolio optimization  Integrated gas - Supply OMV G&P is Equity gas Long-term (AUT, ROM, UK) contracts covering the whole Short-term (RUS, NOR) purchases value chain Logistics  Optimization Pipeline function set up to (AUT, Nabuc

  31. Slide 31: Disclaimer

    Disclaimer This document does not constitute a recommendation, an offer or invitation, or solicitation of an offer, to subscribe for or purchase any securities and neither this document nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of any contract, investment decisions or commitment whatsoever.

  32. Slide 32: 32 | OMV Group, Results Q3/12

    32 | OMV Group, Results Q3/12

OMV Aktiengesellschaft — Q3 2012 Earnings Presentation on 6ix