Phillips 66 · NYSE:PSX

Phillips 66 — Q1 2020 Earnings Presentation

40 slides from Phillips 66's earnings presentation, May 1, 2020

  1. Slide 1: First Quarter 2020 Conference Call

    FIRST QUARTER 2020 CONFERENCE CALL May 1, 2020 First Quarter 2020 Conference Call 1 Phillips 66 Branded Marketing Site ST. LOUIS, MO

  2. Slide 2: Cautionary Statement

    Cautionary Statement This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, which are intended to be covered by the safe harbors created thereby. Wo

  3. Slide 3: Executing the Strategy

    Executing the Strategy Freeport Terminal LPG Facility FREEPORT, TX First Quarter 2020 Conference Call 3

  4. Slide 4: 1Q 2020 Overview

    1Q 2020 Overview Lake Charles Isomerization Unit WESTLAKE, LA $MM (UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED) Adjusted earnings $ 450 Adjusted EPS1 1.02 Operating cash flow excluding working capital2 736 Adjusted capital spending3 900 Shareholder distributions4 839 Common shares outstanding at March 31 437 MM 1) Dolla

  5. Slide 5: 1Q 2020 Adjusted Earnings

    1Q 2020 Adjusted Earnings 1Q 2020 VS. 4Q 2019 ($MM) 201 14 55 20 212 5 689 450 (746) 4Q 2019 Midstream Chemicals Marketing Corporate Refining Income Noncontrolling 1Q 2020 Adjusted & Specialties & Other Taxes Interests Adjusted Earnings Earnings 460 193 488 (197) (401) (24) (69) 1Q 2020 Adjusted Pre

  6. Slide 6: 1Q 2020 Midstream Adjusted Pre-Tax Income

    1Q 2020 Midstream Adjusted Pre-Tax Income 1Q 2020 VS. 4Q 2019 ($MM) 46 Transportation volumes 59 impacted by lower refinery utilization (50) 460 Record NGL & Other results 405 DCP Midstream capital and cost reductions 4Q 2019 Transportation NGL & DCP 1Q 2020 Adjusted Other Midstream Adjusted Pre-Tax

  7. Slide 7: 1Q 2020 Chemicals Adjusted Pre-Tax Income

    1Q 2020 Chemicals Adjusted Pre-Tax Income 1Q 2020 VS. 4Q 2019 ($MM) 39 4 98% O&P utilization (23) Record domestic ethylene and polyethylene 193 production 173 Planned capital and cost reductions 4Q 2019 Olefins & Specialties, Other 1Q 2020 Adjusted Polyolefins Aromatics Adjusted Pre-Tax Income & Sty

  8. Slide 8: 1Q 2020 Refining Adjusted Pre-Tax Loss

    1Q 2020 Refining Adjusted Pre-Tax Loss 1Q 2020 VS. 4Q 2019 ($MM) 83% crude utilization 345 (257) 82% clean product yield (249) (401) $7.11/BBL realized margin (110) (130) $329 MM turnaround costs 1Q 2020 4Q 2019 Atlantic Gulf Central West Adjusted Basin / Coast Corridor Coast Adjusted Pre-Tax Income

  9. Slide 9: 1Q 2020 Refining Margins – Market vs. Realized

    1Q 2020 Refining Margins – Market vs. Realized WORLDWIDE REFINING ($/BBL, UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED) (1.01) (1.32) (0.21) (0.17) 9.82 7.11 1Q 2020 Configuration Secondary Feedstock Other 1Q 2020 Market Products Realized 3:2:1 Margin Avg Market Crude: $48.73 72% Market Capture First Quarter 2020 Confere

  10. Slide 10: 1Q 2020 Marketing & Specialties Adjusted Pre-Tax Income

    1Q 2020 Marketing & Specialties Adjusted Pre-Tax Income 1Q 2020 VS. 4Q 2019 ($MM) 197 4 Higher global marketing margins Reimaged 269 branded sites 488 worldwide 287 Refined product exports of 160 MBPD 4Q 2019 Marketing Specialties 1Q 2020 Adjusted & Other Adjusted Pre-Tax Income Pre-Tax Income 434 5

  11. Slide 11: 1Q 2020 Corporate & Other Adjusted Pre-Tax Loss

    1Q 2020 Corporate & Other Adjusted Pre-Tax Loss 1Q 2020 VS. 4Q 2019 ($MM) 4Q 2019 Corporate 1Q 2020 Adjusted Net Interest Overhead Adjusted Pre-Tax Loss Expense & Other Pre-Tax Loss (211) (197) 13 1 First Quarter 2020 Conference Call 11

  12. Slide 12: Cash Flow

    1Q 2020 Cash Flow $B 1.2 0.7 (0.9) (0.5) (0.8) (0.1) 1.6 1.2 December 31, CFO Working Debt Adjusted Shareholder Other March 31, 2019 (excluding Capital Capital Distributions 2020 Cash Working Spending2 Cash Balance1 Capital) Balance1 First Quarter 2020 Conference Call 12 1) Includes cash and cash eq

  13. Slide 13: 2Q 2020 Outlook

    2Q 2020 Outlook Bayway Refinery LINDEN, NJ Global Olefins & Polyolefins utilization Mid-90% Refining crude utilization Market Conditions Refining turnaround expenses (pre-tax) $45 MM – $70 MM Corporate & Other costs (pre-tax) $200 MM – $220 MM First Quarter 2020 Conference Call 13

  14. Slide 14: Questions and Answers

    Questions and Answers Beaumont Terminal NEDERLAND, TX

  15. Slide 15: Appendix

    Appendix Beaumont Terminal NEDERLAND, TX

  16. Slide 16: 2020 Estimated Sensitivities

    2020 Estimated Sensitivities Annual EBITDA $MM Midstream - DCP (net to Phillips 66) 10¢/Gal Increase in NGL price 9 10¢/MMBtu Increase in Natural Gas price 2 $1/BBL Increase in WTI price 1 Chemicals - CPChem (net to Phillips 66) 1¢/Lb Increase in Chain Margin (Ethylene, Polyethylene, NAO) 65 Worldwi

  17. Slide 17: Capital Structure

    Capital Structure Consolidated PSX Excluding PSXP 35% 30% 31% 29% 27% 33% 25% 25% 27% 22% 28% 23% 22% 20% 17% 14% 27.4 27.2 27.2 23.6 25.1 24.7 24.9 21.4 11.8 13.0 10.1 11.2 8.1 8.2 9.4 1.2 7.2 1.3 1.1 3.1 3.0 1.6 2.9 3.0 2017 2018 2019 1Q 2017 2018 2019 1Q 2020 2020 Equity $B Debt $B Cash & Cash Eq

  18. Slide 18: Refining Margins – Atlantic Basin / Europe

    1Q 2020 Refining Margins – Market vs. Realized ATLANTIC BASIN / EUROPE ($/BBL, UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED) 0.12 Brent: $50.26 (0.45) 8.20 81% crude utilization 0.25 (5.74) 2.38 29% market capture 1Q 2020 Configuration Secondary Feedstock Other 1Q 2020 Market Products Realized 3:2:1 Margin Market 3:2:1 -

  19. Slide 19: Refining Margins – Gulf Coast

    1Q 2020 Refining Margins – Market vs. Realized GULF COAST ($/BBL, UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED) LLS: $48.30 0.73 0.42 (1.38) (0.94) 7.93 84% crude utilization 6.76 85% market capture 1Q 2020 Configuration Secondary Feedstock Other 1Q 2020 Market Products Realized 3:2:1 Margin Market 3:2:1 - LLS / Gasoline

  20. Slide 20: Refining Margins – Central Corridor

    1Q 2020 Refining Margins – Market vs. Realized CENTRAL CORRIDOR ($/BBL, UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED) 2.10 WTI: $45.97 3.32 (0.52) (2.31) 13.50 89% crude utilization 10.91 124% market capture 1Q 2020 Configuration Secondary Feedstock Other 1Q 2020 Market Products Realized 3:2:1 Margin Market 3:2:1 - WTI /

  21. Slide 21: Refining Margins – West Coast

    1Q 2020 Refining Margins – Market vs. Realized WEST COAST ($/BBL, UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED) (0.55) 0.48 ANS: $51.40 (2.55) 14.62 77% crude utilization (7.20) 4.80 33% market capture 1Q 2020 Configuration Secondary Feedstock Other 1Q 2020 Market Products Realized 3:2:1 Margin Market 3:2:1 - ANS / Los A

  22. Slide 22: 1Q 2020 Adjusted Earnings vs. 1Q 2019

    1Q 2020 Adjusted Earnings 1Q 2020 VS. 1Q 2019 ($MM) 42 283 13 (3) 144 (34) 450 187 (182) 1Q 2019 Midstream Chemicals Refining Marketing Corporate Income Noncontrolling 1Q 2020 Adjusted & Specialties & Other Taxes Interests Adjusted Earnings Earnings 460 193 (401) 488 (197) (24) (69) 1Q 2020 Adjusted

  23. Slide 23: 1Q 2020 Midstream Adjusted Pre-Tax Income

    1Q 2020 Midstream Adjusted Pre-Tax Income 1Q 2020 VS. 1Q 2019 ($MM) 58 89 (3) 460 316 1Q 2019 Transportation NGL & Other DCP 1Q 2020 Adjusted Midstream Adjusted Pre-Tax Income Pre-Tax Income 200 179 81 1Q 2020 First Quarter 2020 Conference Call 23

  24. Slide 24: 1Q 2020 Chemicals Adjusted Pre-Tax Income

    1Q 2020 Chemicals Adjusted Pre-Tax Income 1Q 2020 VS. 1Q 2019 ($MM) 6 (26) (14) 227 193 1Q 2019 Olefins & Specialties, Other 1Q 2020 Adjusted Polyolefins Aromatics & Adjusted Pre-Tax Income Styrenics Pre-Tax Income 193 12 (12) 1Q 2020 First Quarter 2020 Conference Call 24

  25. Slide 25: 1Q 2020 Refining Adjusted Pre-Tax Loss

    1Q 2020 Refining Adjusted Pre-Tax Loss 1Q 2020 VS. 1Q 2019 ($MM) 1Q 2019 Atlantic 1Q 2020 Adjusted Basin / Gulf Central Adjusted Pre-Tax Loss Europe Coast Corridor West Coast Pre-Tax Loss (219) (401) 167 (189) (105) (55) (196) (173) 223 (255) 1Q 2020 First Quarter 2020 Conference Call 25

  26. Slide 26: 1Q 2020 Marketing & Specialties Adjusted Pre-Tax Income

    1Q 2020 Marketing & Specialties Adjusted Pre-Tax Income 1Q 2020 VS. 1Q 2019 ($MM) 296 (13) 488 205 1Q 2019 Marketing Specialties 1Q 2020 Adjusted & Other Adjusted Pre-Tax Income Pre-Tax Income 434 54 1Q 2020 First Quarter 2020 Conference Call 26

  27. Slide 27: 1Q 2020 Corporate & Other Adjusted Pre-Tax Loss

    1Q 2020 Corporate & Other Adjusted Pre-Tax Loss 1Q 2020 VS. 1Q 2019 ($MM) 1Q 2019 Corporate 1Q 2020 Adjusted Net Interest Overhead Adjusted Pre-Tax Loss Expense & Other Pre-Tax Loss (210) (197) 8 5 First Quarter 2020 Conference Call 27

  28. Slide 28: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2020 2019 1Q 4Q 1Q Phillips 66 Consolidated Earnings (Loss) $ (2,496) 736 204 Pre-Tax Adjustments: Pending claims and settlements (37) — (21) Impairments 3,006 — — Certain tax impacts — (90) — Lower-of-cost-or-market inventory adjustme

  29. Slide 29: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2020 2019 1Q 4Q 1Q Midstream Pre-Tax Income (Loss) $ (702) 405 316 Pre-Tax Adjustments: Lower-of-cost-or-market inventory adjustments 1 — — Impairments 1,161 — — Adjusted Pre-Tax Income $ 460 405 316 Chemicals Pre-Tax Income $ 169 150

  30. Slide 30: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2020 2019 1Q 4Q 1Q Refining Pre-Tax Income (Loss) $ (2,261) 345 (198) Pre-Tax Adjustments: Pending claims and settlements — — (21) Impairments 1,845 — — Lower-of-cost-or-market inventory adjustments 15 — — Adjusted Pre-Tax Income (Loss

  31. Slide 31: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2020 2019 1Q 4Q 1Q Midstream - Transportation Pre-Tax Income $ 200 250 203 Pre-Tax Adjustments: None — — — Adjusted Pre-Tax Income $ 200 250 203 Midstream - NGL & Other Pre-Tax Income $ 179 120 90 Pre-Tax Adjustments: None — — — Adjust

  32. Slide 32: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2020 2019 1Q 4Q 1Q Chemicals - Olefins & Polyolefins Pre-Tax Income $ 177 131 219 Pre-Tax Adjustments: Lower-of-cost-or-market inventory adjustments 16 23 — Adjusted Pre-Tax Income $ 193 154 219 Chemicals - Specialties, Aromatics & Sty

  33. Slide 33: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2020 2019 1Q 4Q 1Q Refining - Atlantic Basin / Europe Pre-Tax Income (Loss) $ (637) 61 (7) Pre-Tax Adjustments: Impairments 441 — — Adjusted Pre-Tax Income (Loss) $ (196) 61 (7) Refining - Gulf Coast Pre-Tax Income (Loss) $ (843) 76 (1

  34. Slide 34: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2020 2019 1Q 4Q 1Q Refining - Central Corridor Pre-Tax Income (Loss) $ (227) 333 77 Pre-Tax Adjustments: Pending claims and settlements — — (21) Lower-of-cost-or-market inventory adjustments 15 — — Impairments 435 — — Adjusted Pre-Tax

  35. Slide 35: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 2020 2019 1Q 4Q 1Q Marketing & Specialties - Marketing & Other Pre-Tax Income $ 471 327 138 Pre-Tax Adjustments: Certain tax impacts — (90) — Pending claims and settlements (37) — — Adjusted Pre-Tax Income $ 434 237 138 Marketing & Spe

  36. Slide 36: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars (Except as Indicated) 1Q 2020 Atlantic Basin/ Central Europe Gulf Coast Corridor West Coast Worldwide Realized Refining Margins Loss before income taxes $ (637) (843) (227) (554) (2,261) Plus: Taxes other than income taxes 19 37 17 31 104 Depreciation, am

  37. Slide 37: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations 1Q 2020 Numerator ($MM) Net Loss $ (2,427) After-tax interest expense 88 GAAP ROCE loss (2,339) After-tax special items 2,946 Adjusted ROCE earnings $ 607 Denominator ($MM) GAAP average capital employed1 $ 37,767 2020 Annualized GAAP ROCE (25)% 2020 Annualized Adjusted ROCE

  38. Slide 38: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars (Except as Indicated) March 31, 2020 Phillips 66 Phillips 66 Phillips 66 Excluding Consolidated Partners1 Phillips 66 Partners Total Debt $ 12,963 3,516 9,447 Total Equity 23,639 2,233 21,406 Debt-to-Capital Ratio 35% 31% Total Cash & Cash Equivalents $ 1

  39. Slide 39: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars 1Q 2020 Growth Sustaining Total Capital Expenditures and Investments Midstream $ 529 51 580 Refining 98 147 245 Marketing & Specialties 16 9 25 Corporate & Other 1 49 50 Adjusted Capital Spending 644 256 900 Capital Spending Funded by Certain Joint Ventur

  40. Slide 40: Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated 1Q 2020 Effective Tax Rates Loss before income taxes $ (2,478) Special items 3,021 Adjusted income before income taxes $ 543 Income tax benefit $ (51) Special items 75 Adjusted income tax expense $ 24 GAAP effective tax rate 2.1% Adjus

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