FirstRand Limited · JSE:FSR

FirstRand — H1 2010 Earnings Presentation

80 slides from FirstRand's earnings presentation, February 2010

  1. Slide 1: FirstRand Limited results for the six months ended 31 December 2009

    FirstRand Limited results for the six months ended 31 December 2009

  2. Slide 2: Introduction

    Introduction Sizwe Nxasana

  3. Slide 3: Macro remains challenging

    Macro remains challenging • Weak GDP growth • Continuing job losses • Lower interest rates • High levels of consumer leverage, but some de-risking taking place • Corporate sector cautious about recovery • Recovery in equity markets

  4. Slide 4: High-level impact on performance

    High-level impact on performance – Negative balance sheet growth – Lower growth in transaction volumes – Negative endowment effect + Reduction in retail bad debts + Level of losses from legacy portfolios reducing + Increase in fees earned on investment business

  5. Slide 5: Despite challenges, profitability improving

    Despite challenges, profitability improving Normalised earnings* R millions 6 000 5 990 5 953 ROE = 17% 5 000 5 319 1% 4 576 4 605 4 445 4 000 79% 3 000 2 575 2 000 1 000 0 Dec '06 Jun '07 Dec '07 Jun '08 Dec '08 Jun '09 Dec '09 * December 2006 to December 2007 normalised earnings exclude contributi

  6. Slide 6: Franchises show mixed performance year on year but trend positive

    Franchises show mixed performance year on year but trend positive year-on-year, Profit before tax 6 months 6 months Change 6 months Change R millions illi t Dec to D ’09 t Jun to J ’09 (6 /6 ) (6m/6m) t Dec to D ’08 ( / ) (y/y) FNB 2 895 2 185  32% 2 875  1% FNB Africa 643 564  14% 658  (2%) RMB

  7. Slide 7: Financial review

    Financial review Johan Burger g

  8. Slide 8: FirstRand Group key financial ratios

    FirstRand Group key financial ratios Dec ’09 09 Dec ’08 08 Change Normalised earnings (R millions) 4 605 4 576  1% Diluted normalised EPS (cents) 81.7 81.2  1% Normalised return on equity (%) 17 17 − Normalised net asset value per share (cents) 1 005 950  6% Di id d per share Dividend h ((cents)

  9. Slide 9: Market recovery, strong operational performance

    Market recovery, strong operational performance Dec Dec R millions Change Performance driven by: ’09 09 ’08 08 Momentum 530 444  19% • Value of new business holding up FNB Insurance 191 144  33% • Positive mortality experience Group operating profit 721 588  23% • Improved markets Investment inco

  10. Slide 10: Banking Group key financial ratios

    Banking Group key financial ratios Dec ’09 Dec ’08 Change Normalised earnings (R millions) 4 038 4 149  (3%) Return on equity (%) 17 18  Return on assets (%) 1.26 1.23  Credit loss ratio (%) 1.51 1.64  Cost to income ratio – normalised (%) 55 5 55.5 52 9 52.9  Tier 1 capital ratio* (%) 12.7 11.

  11. Slide 11: Normalised income statement shows improving trend

    Normalised income statement shows improving trend R millions Dec ’09 Dec ’08 Change Net interest income 8 628 8 828  (2%) Bad debts (3 225) (3 693)  (13%) Net interest income after impairments 5 403 5 135  5% Non interest income 12 537 10 920  15% Operating expenses (11 751) (10 438)  13% Indir

  12. Slide 12: Net interest income

    Net interest income

  13. Slide 13: Bad debt unwind drives recovery in retail

    Bad debt unwind drives recovery in retail NII after impairments Net interest income after bad debts Dec ’09 09 Dec ’08 08 Change R millions Bad de HomeLoans (138) (705)  (80%) ebt decrease WesBank 779 109  >100% Card 92 (18)  (>100%) FNB Africa 745 736  1% Endowme Other consumer banking 853 1 01

  14. Slide 14: Corporate and commercial net interest income reflects endowment

    Corporate and commercial net interest income reflects endowment Net interest income after bad debts Dec ’09 Dec ‘08 Change R millions End dowment FNB Commercial 1 191 1 761  (32%) FNB Corporate 313 212  48% de Bad debt ecrease RMB 5 (113)  (>100%) Ba increase ad debt WesBank 42 332  (87%) p Corp

  15. Slide 15: Advances growth reflects tough cycle

    Advances growth reflects tough cycle Balance sheet Strategic, market & Normalised change operational changes change E l Euroloans ▲2% Corporate Reverse repos ▲4% ▼11 % ▲9% R118 billion Money market ▲5% Netting (LROS) ▲9% Commercial ▲5% Netting (LROS) ▲2% ▲7% R27 billion Retail ▼1% Market activity re

  16. Slide 16: Margin hit by endowment, but partly offset by asset pricing

    Margin hit by endowment, but partly offset by asset pricing Percentage of average interest-earning banking assets % D ’08 normalised Dec li d 5 17 5.17 Asset price movement 0.50 Capital and deposit endowment effect (0 91) (0.91) Retail deposit pricing (0.04) Wholesale liquidity pricing (0 05) (0.05)

  17. Slide 17: Asset re-pricing strategies start to impact positively

    Asset re-pricing strategies start to impact positively Percentage of average interest-earning banking assets % D ’08 normalised Dec li d 5 17 5.17 Asset price movement 0.50 Capital and deposit endowment effect (0 91) (0.91) Retail deposit pricing (0.04) Wholesale liquidity pricing (0 05) (0.05) BSM

  18. Slide 18: Re-pricing strategies executed across retail and corporate segment

    Re-pricing strategies executed across retail and corporate segment • Investment banking SA spreads Dec ’09 Dec ’08 (listed bonds vs government benchmarks)* AAA rated 0.59 0.54 AA rated 1.96 1.76 A rated 2.67 2.25 • HomeLoans • Discount rate to prime reduced • W B k WesBank • Discount rate to prime r

  19. Slide 19: Endowment impact significant

    Endowment impact significant Percentage of average interest-earning banking assets % D ’08 normalised Dec li d 5 17 5.17 Asset price movement 0.50 Capital and deposit endowment effect (0 91) (0.91) Retail deposit pricing (0.04) Wholesale liquidity pricing (0 05) (0.05) BSM hedges 0.35 Dec ’09 normal

  20. Slide 20: R577 million per basis points

    R577 million per 100 basis points Prime rate (%) 16.0 Endowm Average Prime ment bookk* = R65bn rate t 15.5% 15 5% 14.0 12.0 Average Prime rate 10.6% n 10.0 8.0 Jun '08 Dec '08 Jun '09 Dec '09 Pi Prime * Endowment book size and sensitivity per 100 basis points as at December 2009

  21. Slide 21: Funding also impacted margin

    Funding also impacted margin Percentage of average interest-earning banking assets % D ’08 normalised Dec li d 5 17 5.17 Asset price movement 0.50 Capital and deposit endowment effect (0 91) (0.91) Retail deposit pricing (0.04) Wholesale liquidity pricing (0 05) (0.05) BSM hedges 0.35 Dec ’09 normal

  22. Slide 22: Lengthening the funding term profile increased liquidity costs

    Lengthening the funding term profile increased liquidity costs 59% ec ’09 09 20% Dec De 21% 62% cc’08 08 18% Dec Dec 20% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Short Term Medium Term Long Term Increased liquidity buffers by R7 billion

  23. Slide 23: All term funding more expensive

    All term funding more expensive Li idi premium Liquidity i spread d curve y 1.4 1.40 1.2 1.20 % above JIBAR 1.0 1.00 0.8 0.80 Average term 9 months – 15 bps increase 0.6 0.60 0.4 0.40 0.2 0.20 - 10 m 11 m 12 m 18 m 24 m 36 m 48 m 60 m 4m 5m 6m 7m 8m 9m 4m 5m 6m 7m 8m 9m 10m 11m 12m 18m 24m 36m 48m 6

  24. Slide 24: Bad debts

    Bad debts

  25. Slide 25: Bad debts have peaked, but NPLs sticky

    Bad debts have peaked, but NPLs sticky 6.0 2.0 1.8 5.6 56 5.4 18 1.8 5.0 1.6 1.4 1.5 1.4 4.0 4.2 1.3 1.3 1.2 3.4 1.0 1.1 3.0 Long-run expected loss: 0.9 1.0 2.8 2.9 2.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 20 2.0 2.3 0.5 0.4 0.6 1.5 0.3 1.5 0.4 1.0 1.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 Jun '99 Jun '00 Jun '01 Jun '02 Jun '03 Jun '04 Jun '05

  26. Slide 26: NPLs remain sticky despite inflow decline

    NPLs remain sticky despite inflow decline NPL D ’09 Dec J ’09 Jun D ’08 Dec Percentage of advances Retail 7.43 8.15 6.19 - Residential mortgages 8.71 9.21 6.79 - Credit card 8.50 12.31 13.26 - Vehicle and asset finance (SA) 5.14 5.63 4.15 Wholesale* 2.72 2.29 1.72 Total NPL ratio 5.42 5.64 4.21 * In

  27. Slide 27: Retail NPL flows decline

    Retail NPL flows decline R millions Retail NPL quarterly flows 4 000 3 000 2 000 1 000 0 -1 000 Q3 2008 Q4 2008 Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009

  28. Slide 28: All retail lending books improving and corporate more robust than expected

    All retail lending books improving and corporate more robust than expected Bad debts 6 months 6 months 6 months Percentage of average advances to Dec ’09 to Jun ’09 to Dec ’08 Retail 2.08 2.97 2.63 - Residential mortgages g g 1.17 1.77 1.48 - Credit card 8.14 12.51 9.77 - Vehicle and asset finance (

  29. Slide 29: Alignment of credit strategy with macro view and risk appetite

    Alignment of credit strategy with macro view and risk appetite 180 bps His storical band Targetted band b d 30 bps

  30. Slide 30: HomeLoans' new credit origination strategies improving quality of business written

    HomeLoans’ new credit origination strategies improving quality of business written H HomeLoans L vintage i t analysis l i 15% 10% 5% 0% 200606 200609 200612 200703 200706 200709 200712 200803 200806 200809 200812 200903 200906 200909 Time since registration: 3 6 12 months

  31. Slide 31: WesBank's new credit origination strategies improving quality of business written

    WesBank’s new credit origination strategies improving quality of business written 15% W B k retail WesBank t il vintage i t analysis l i 10% 5% 0% 200606 200609 200612 200703 200706 200709 200712 200803 200806 200809 200812 200903 200906 200909 Time since registration: 3 6 12 months

  32. Slide 32: Non interest revenue

    Non interest revenue

  33. Slide 33: NIR driven by organic growth and turnaround

    NIR driven by organic growth and turnaround R millions Dec ’09 Dec ’08 Change Client activities/primary markets 11 493 10 964  5% - Transactional T ti l iincome 8 555 7 964  7% - Annuity fair value income 1 469 1 343  9% - Operational associates income 422 434  (3%) - Other primary income 1 047

  34. Slide 34: Reasonable growth in transactional volumes despite tough conditions

    Reasonable growth in transactional volumes despite tough conditions Transactional revenue R millions 7% 2009 breakdown by franchise* 7 500 5 000 2 500 FNB FNB Af Africa i RMB W B k WesBank 0 Dec '08 Dec '09 * Excluding Corporate Centre

  35. Slide 35: Sustained performance from lending business dampened by lower market activity

    Sustained performance from lending business dampened by lower market activity Fair value annuity revenue R millions 1 500 9% R millions Dec ’09 Dec ’08 Change Annuity 1 469 1 343  9% - Lending 1 092 868  26% 1 000 - Client flows 377 475  (21%) Client flows flo s 377 475  (21%) - Forex 209 286 

  36. Slide 36: Turnaround in risk income

    Turnaround in risk income Fair value risk R millions 1 000 R millions Dec ’09 Dec ’08 Change g Risk 439 (767)  (>100%) 500 (>100%) - Equities q 127 ((1 101))  ((>100%)) - Commodities 22 91  (76%) 0 - Interest rates 226 384  (41%) - Credit 35 (336)  (>100%) - Forex 29 195  (85%) - 500 -1 000 De

  37. Slide 37: Private equity reflecting current cycle

    Private equity reflecting current cycle R millions Dec ’09 Dec ’08 Change Annuity income 229 431  (47%) p Realisations and impairments ((233)) 882  ((>100%)) Total private equity income (4) 1 313  (>100%) Unrealised profits at R1.5 billion (Dec ’08: R1 billion)

  38. Slide 38: Costs

    Costs

  39. Slide 39: Slowing top line and variable & investment costs impact cost to income ratio

    Slowing top line and variable & investment costs impact cost to income ratio R millions 25 000 60% 7% 20 000 50% Top line CAGR 16% 15 5 000 Costs CAGR 15% 40% 13% 30% 10 000 20% 5 000 10% 0 0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Costs Top line Cost to income ratio Top line and costs ar

  40. Slide 40: But normalised cost growth below inflation

    But normalised cost growth below inflation R millions 14 000 (2%) (2%) 12 000 (8%) 1% 11 751 10 000 10 543 10 438 8 000 6 000 4 000 2 000 0 As per Fund liabilities New Revenue Comparable Normalised normalised subsidiaries related cost base cost Dec '08 i income and d expansion i expenses D '09 Dec s

  41. Slide 41: Results in a nutshell

    Results in a nutshell

  42. Slide 42: Operational performance reflects underlying franchise strength

    Operational performance reflects underlying franchise strength Profit before tax R millions 7 000 10% 6 000 8% 5 955 5 421 5 000 (19%) 18% 9% (19%) 12% 4 000 3 000 Market FirstRand specific 2 000 1 000 0 Dec 08 Endowment Decrease in Private equity q y Legacy g y Other Organic g Dec 09 bad debts port

  43. Slide 43: Capital

    Capital

  44. Slide 44: Banking Group's capital position remains robust

    Banking Group’s capital position remains robust FRBH Tier 1% Total % FRBH capital adequacy (%) 14.34 Capital adequacy ratio 12.19 14.34 12.97 2 15 2.15 Regulatory minimum 7.00 9.50* 0.9 1.89 0.86 Target 10.00 12.00 – 13.50 FRB Tier 1% Total % 11.29 10 22 10.22 Capital adequacy ratio 10.55 12.83 Regu

  45. Slide 45: Momentum further strengthens capital position

    Momentum further strengthens capital position R millions CAR cover (times) 9 000 2.1 2.0 x CAR 8 000 2.0 7 000 1.9 1.8 x CAR 1.8 6 000 17 1.7 5 000 1.6 4 000 1.5 3 000 1.4 1.4 x CAR 1.3 2 000 12 1.2 1 000 1.1 0 1.0 Dec '08 Jun '09 Dec '09 Dec '08 Jun '09 Dec '09 CAR Excess

  46. Slide 46: Banking ROEs continue to recover

    Banking ROEs continue to recover 30% 20% 10% Jun '04 Jun '05 Jun '06 Jun '07 Jun '08 Jun '09 Dec '09 Return on equity (actual) Return on equity (adjusted for the cycle) Average cost of equity Average ROE through the cycle

  47. Slide 47: Momentum continues to produce premium returns

    Momentum continues to produce premium returns 35% 30% 30% 25% 25% 24% 23% 22% 15% 20% 13% 10% 12% 9% 15% 10% 15% 13% 12% 12% 13% 5% 0% Jun '06 Jun '07 Jun '08 Jun '09 * Dec '09 Weighted average cost of capital Value added * Annualised return

  48. Slide 48: Operating review

    Operating review Sizwe Nxasana

  49. Slide 49: FNB delivers good returns despite tough environment

    FNB delivers good returns despite tough environment Profit before tax Characterised by: R millions 4 000 + Improving bad debts ROE = 31% + Turnaround in HomeLoans 3 500 + Transactional volumes still 1% 3 000 growing, but mix changing 2 500 32% + Customers up 5% + Retail deposits still growing 2 000

  50. Slide 50: Positive trend in FNB HomeLoans

    Positive trend in FNB HomeLoans Profit before tax* (R millions) 6m to Dec ’08 6m to Jun ’09 6m to Dec ’09 FNB HomeLoans (977) (777) (289) • Year-on-year improvement of R688 million – mainly attributed to: • Reduction in bad debt charge • 23% reduction in costs • Improved margins 3,500 250 80% 0 8% 0

  51. Slide 51: Credit origination strategies = better quality of new business

    Credit origination strategies = better quality of new business • Retail • Selectively pro-active pro active in certain low risk sub segments • New business mix migrated to lower risk • R4.8 billion new business written (down 25% y/y, but sales up 52% compared to six months to June 2009) FNB HomeLoan

  52. Slide 52: Retail has repriced = future margin benefit

    Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07 May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Aug-07 Sep-07 Oct-07 Nov-07 Dec-07 Jan-08 Weighted Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr-08 May-08 Jun-08 Jul-08 di Aug-08 New Registered Business Sep-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 FNB HomeLoans W i ht d average discount Dec-08 Jan-09 Feb-09 Total Book i Mar-09 Apr-09 t tto prime May

  53. Slide 53: FNB focus on cost containment

    FNB focus on cost containment • Total cost increase limited to 2% • 3% decrease in headcount, resulting in only 2% staff cost increase • Process and system efficiencies • g initiatives Various cost cutting • Converted paper statements to e-mail • 28% reduction in electricity consumption • Premises c

  54. Slide 54: FNB Africa performance reflects investment strategy

    FNB Africa performance reflects investment strategy Profit before tax R millions Characterised by: y 700 (2%) + Good performances from Namibia and Swaziland 600 14% + Ongoing investment in 500 Zambia and Mozambique s bsidiaries subsidiaries 400 + Overall success of credit 300 strategies + Bancassura

  55. Slide 55: RMB rebounds

    RMB rebounds Profit before tax Characterised by: R millions 2 500 + Turnaround in Equity Trading + Deal flow and pipeline remained intact 2 000 + Lower level of losses from (26%) legacy portfolios 1 500 – Lower profits from IBD and >100% FICC 1 000 – No major private equity realisations 500 0 Dec '0

  56. Slide 56: RMB divisional performance

    RMB divisional performance • Investment Banking Division • Good performance given base and slowdown in corporate activity • Significant transactions concluded and pipeline maintained • Progress in corridor strategies encouraging and partnerships delivering • CCB co-operation • FirstRand India • FICC

  57. Slide 57: RMB divisional performance

    RMB divisional performance • Private Equity* • No major realisations (Dec ’08: R1 016m) • Equity accounted earnings R217m (Dec ’08: R311m) • Unrealised value R1 517m (Dec ’08: R993m) • Portfolio in good shape • Equity Trading • Returns to profitability • Good fees from agency businesses • Local trad

  58. Slide 58: WesBank: Earnings recovery underway

    WesBank: Earnings recovery underway Normalised profit before tax* Characterised by: R millions 600 + Re-pricing resulted in better interest margin 500 + Reduction in retail bad debt >100% charge 400 + Good cost control + Turnaround at Carlyle 300 93% – Advances book continued to 200 contract, but sh

  59. Slide 59: Provisions… the cycle plays out

    Provisions… the cycle plays out • Retail arrears and repossessions well down off peak • Corporate provisions increasing increasing, but confined to certain segments and approaching peak • Gradual unwind of bad debts expected Corporate Motor 900 3.5% 900 3.5% 800 800 3.0% 3.0% 700 700 2.5% 2.5% 600 6

  60. Slide 60: Cost containment remains an imperative

    Cost containment remains an imperative • 0% cost growth in core business • Cost and efficiency wins • Headcount reduction (9%) • Restructure of Motor division • Rationalisation of ‘bricks and mortar’ representation • High focus on discretionary spend • WesBank’s total costs negatively impacted year-

  61. Slide 61: OUTsurance performance impacted by international investment

    OUTsurance performance impacted by international investment Profit before tax R millions Characterised by: 600 • Strong domestic operational 500 performance 400 • Lower investment income following drop in interest rates 300 • Pre-tax profit down 1% due to 200 start-up losses in Australian 100 ventur

  62. Slide 62: Momentum – solid core operational performance

    Momentum – solid core operational performance Characterised by: Normalised earnings R millions o s + Market recovery resulted in 1 200 increased fees on investment business 1 000 + New business margin maintained 15% at 2.2% 800 + Strong performance from FNB Life 600 + 1% growth in expenses + A Annua

  63. Slide 63: Unpacking the increase in earnings

    Unpacking the increase in earnings Normalised earnings 15% R millions 1 000 1,000 +2% -13% 950 +28% 2% (13%) 28% 5% +5% -3% 900 5% (3%) 850 850 850 800 740 -4% (4%) 750 740 700 650 600 550 500 Dec '08 New Markets g Margins Tax FNB Investment Dec '09 business and Insurance income strain experience

  64. Slide 64: Recurring savings and RA business remain under pressure due to cycle

    Recurring savings and RA business remain under pressure due to cycle API New commission dispensation R millions +5% -1% 700 638 -13% 600 6% -6% +5% -13% 500 237 -25% -23% 400 -16% -27% 133 +27% -7% 300 200 +21% +15% 268 -6% -8% 100 0 Dec '07 Jun '08 Dec '08 Jun '09 Dec '09 Endowments RA's Risk

  65. Slide 65: Return on EV reflects strong operational and investment market performance

    Return on EV reflects strong operational and investment market performance R millions Embedded value profit 19 000 1 078 (338) 18 000 17 835 1 009 17 000 16 086 16 000 15 000 14 000 13 000 12 000 Jun '09 Operations Market conditions Dividends Dec '09

  66. Slide 66: Strategy & prospects

    Strategy & prospects Sizwe Nxasana

  67. Slide 67: FirstRand's refocused strategy (South Africa)

    FirstRand’s refocused strategy (South Africa) • Group’s portfolio already has • Diverse revenue streams • Strong operating franchises • Asset origination and distribution capabilities • Building blocks for access to profit pools in SA financial services • Increase organic growth opportunities that c

  68. Slide 68: Opportunities in the insurance and investment space

    Opportunities in the insurance and i investment t t space • Momentum already unlocking more opportunities in traditional markets • Product and channel diversification • Momentum also sees opportunities in new segments • Lower end through FNB Life • Looking at other distribution models • Asset manage

  69. Slide 69: Opportunities in retail space

    Opportunities in retail space • Leverage off FNB’s continued investment in footprint and innovation • Utilising telecommunications and cellphone platforms • Growing electronic customer channels • Mass segment a key area of growth for FNB • Easy Plan • Continued focus on deposit franchise • WesBank’s

  70. Slide 70: Opportunities in the corporate and investment banking space

    Opportunities in the corporate and i investment banking b ki space • Integrate CIB approach to grow in corporate space • Aligned Ali d FNB C Corporate t with ith RMB and d iintegrated t t d client li t coverage tteam • Enhanced service offering • Improve our share of revenues across corporate and in

  71. Slide 71: Update on international strategy

    Update on international strategy • Operate in markets that strengthen the Group’s position as a leading African financial services group – key growth markets are: • Nigeria • Staffing Nigeria rep office • Investigating g g acquisition q opportunities pp • Zambia • Tanzania • Awaiting regulatory appr

  72. Slide 72: In summary – FirstRand's growth driven by

    In summary – FirstRand’s growth driven by • The short term recovery story • Unwind of the cycle will positively impact earnings to 2011 • Reducing negative impact of legacy portfolios • Medium term • Subdued GDP recovery expected to put pressure on top line growth • Continued focus on unlocking syne

  73. Slide 73: Prospects for the next six months

    Prospects for the next six months • Modest return to g growth in domestic economy y • Advances growth will be low, but at better margins • Bad debt charge will continue to reduce, positively impacting FNB and WesBank • RMB expected to benefit from re-base effect • Recovery in equity markets underpin

  74. Slide 74: Annexure

    Annexure FIRSTRAND

  75. Slide 75: Inflation: The MPC's dilemma

    Inflation: The MPC’s dilemma % 0.4 0.2 0.0 -0.2 Excess No demand -0.4 -0.6 supply pp y capacity = pull inflation p pressures -0.8 Estimated output gap Forecast -1 1.0 0 Mar 10 Mar 11 Mar 12 Jun 10 Jun 11 Jun 12 Dec 09 Sep 10 Dec 10 Sep 11 Dec 11 Sep 12 Dec 12 But cost-push pressures: • Eskom • Wage

  76. Slide 76: Households: The balance sheet constraint

    Households: The balance sheet constraint United States South Africa 2003 = 100 2003 = 100 130 260 240 120 220 110 200 180 100 160 -33% -16% 90 140 120 80 -35% 100 -39% 70 80 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 R l equities Real iti R lh Real house prices i Real equities Real hous

  77. Slide 77: Debt service cost dynamics

    Debt service cost dynamics Debt to disposable income Prime rate % % 90 30 80 2 25 Post- inf lation targeting trend 70 Post- 20 inf lation targeting trend 60 15 50 10 40 5 30 0 80 84 88 92 96 00 04 08 80 84 88 92 96 00 04 08 Sources: FirstRand, INet

  78. Slide 78: High income groups under pressure

    High income groups under pressure Household debt to disposable income % % 180 16 Debt to disposable income 160 14 Debt Servicing Costs (rhs) 140 12 120 10 100 8 80 6 60 4 40 20 2 0 0 SA income bands Source: BMR UNISA, FirstRand

  79. Slide 79: Reconciliation of bank normalised earnings (2009)

    Reconciliation of bank normalised earnings (2009) Non Dec ’09 Dec ‘09 effective Other † N Normalised li d Att ib t bl Attributable hedges** Net interest income 8 628 (185) - 8 443 Bad debts (3 225) - - (3 225) Net interest income after impairments 5 403 (185) - 5 218 Non interest income* 12 537 185

  80. Slide 80: Reconciliation of bank normalised earnings (2008)

    Reconciliation of bank normalised earnings (2008) Dec ’08 Non effective Motor One Dec ’08 Other † Oth Normalised hedges** Finance Attributable Net interest income 8 828 304 - - 9 132 Bad debts (3 693) - - - (3 693) Net interest income after 5 135 304 - - 5 439 impairments Non interest income* 10 920

FirstRand — H1 2010 Earnings Presentation on 6ix