2025
Financial Results
Investors Presentation
11 February 2026
Norilsk Nickel 2025 Financial Results Presentation
2025 Financial Performance HighlightsRevenue
$13.8 bn
+10%
Realized metal prices
(mainly Au, Cu, Pd, Pt)
Sales volumes of other precious metals
СAPEX
$2.6 bn
+8%
Appreciation of RUB against USD
Implementation of strategic plans to improve the reliability of the production chain and further development
EBITDA
$5.7 bn
+9%
EBITDA margin 41%
Revenue Taxes and fees
Appreciation of RUB against USD
Inflation
NWC2
$2.9 bn
-4%
Trade accounts receivable Advances from customers Change in metal stocks levels
Appreciation of RUB against USD
Operating costs1
$5.7 bn
+11%
Taxes and fees
Appreciation of RUB against USD
Inflation
Net Debt/
EBITDA
X1.6
-х0.1
EBITDA
Net Debt due to appreciation of RUB against USD
Commitment to conservative debt policy
Net Income
$2.5 bn
+36%
EBITDA
Appreciation of RUB against USD Higher Income tax in 2025
Free Cash Flow
(FCF)
$3.5 bn
FCF'3 $1.5 bn
Comparative effect of the change in net working capital in 2025 compared to 2024
EBITDA
Source: Company data
Note 1. Cash operating costs included in cost of metal sales, 2. Net Working Capital, 3. Free Cash Flow less interest paid, payments of lease liabilities and dividends paid
3to non-controlling interests
Sustainable Development Update
Health and Safety -
Accident Statistics
Number of employees
Lost time injury Fatal
5
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Strategic Priority for the Management
LTIFR and FIFR Dynamics1,2
LTIFR (Lost Time Injury Frequency Rate)
FIFR (Fatal-Injury Frequency Rate)
0.99
0.58
0.65
0.64
0.32
0.38
0.081
2019
0.21
0.085
2020
0.100
0.034
0.042
0.025
0.044
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
4 | 5 | 3 | ||||||||
9 | 9 | 11 | 67 | 78 | 75 | 114 | ||||
35 | 22 | 42 |
Achieving zero work-related fatalities remains the key strategic priority for the company
Ongoing implementation of programs aimed at improving industrial safety (digitalization of business processes, transformation of safety culture, improved provision of PPE to workers, improved work with contractors, etc.)
Source: Company data
Environmental Program: Reduction of SO2Emissions
Nornickel's Target: Drastically Reduction of Air Pollutant Emissions
Kola site:
SO2reduction targets (85% from 2015) have been met
Murmansk
Norilsk site:
2023-2025 - continue
to launch "Sulfur Program" at Nadezhda Metallurgical Plant
Norilsk
SO2emissions at Kola site [kt]
155
-91%
SO2emissions at Norilsk site
[kt] -38%
1 854 1 837 1 585
-9%
1 256 1 146
16
12.8
13.7
73
2015 2020 2021 2024 2025 2015 2020 2021 2024 2025
Markets Update
Metal Markets Overview
Metal
Production and Consumption Balance Forecast
Mid-term Forecast
Ni Cu Pd Pt
[kt]
[kt]
[Moz]
[Moz]
Surplus1 Balance
Depending on the revision of quotas in Indonesia
Balance2
Deficit2
Balance incl. investments(0.4)
(~350)
(0.5)
(0.3)
(0.1)
(0.3)
?
0.5
172
356
330
~275
~240
204
Balance
2024 2025 2026E 2024 2025 2026E 2024 2025 2026E 2024 2025 2026E
Source: Company estimates
Январь
Январь
Январь
Январь
Январь
Nickel Price Showed the Weakest Performance Among All Base Metals amid a Prolonged Market Surplus
Exchange Stocks of Nickel Increased Against the Backdrop of Excess Supply
[kt Ni] 300
LME
SHFE
200
100
2022
2023
2024
2025
The Average Nickel Price in 2025 Fell by 10% Y/Y
[USD/t Ni] 60,000
40,000
20,000
0
Jan 2022
Jan 2023
Jan 2024
Jan 2025
Jan 2026
In 2025, exchange stocks continued to rise (+53% to 300 kt) amid inflows from producers in China and Indonesia, whose share reached about 75% of total LME stocks by end of the year
The first news of a possible cut in Indonesia's nickel ore mining quota (RKAB) pushed nickel prices to a 14-month high. On
expectations of market rebalancing, the price climbed to $18,750/t1 in January 2026 versus an average of $15,160/t in 2025
News of a Cut in Indonesia's Ore Mining Quota Served as a Signal of
Potential Market Rebalancing and a Driver of Price Growth
Possible Ore Deficit in Indonesia in 2026 is Estimated at 38-73 Mt1 in 2026
[million t of Ni ore]
Implementation of Plans to Reduce Mining Quotas in Indonesia Could Cut Nickel Supply by ~300-600 kt1 in 2026
250-260
~340
-38
-73
[kt Ni]
275
Conservative scenarioAggressive scenario
-52
-327
-355
-630
Ore mining quota Ore requirement Potential ore
deficit
Balance before quota revision
Supply decline due to quota cuts
Market balance after a potential quota change
Indonesia is considering cutting its nickel ore mining quota to 250-260 Mt versus an ore requirement of ~340 Mt (or 3 Mt of Nickel) to meet planned production targets
In our view, depending on the production reduction scenario the market could move into balance or even record a deficit in 2026 (-52 kt or -355 kt)
At the same time, under a status quo scenario, the market surplus would widen to 275 kt
Sources: Company estimates
Nickel Demand: Growing Stainless Steel Output, Robust Use of Nickel-Containing Alloys and Special Steels
Stainless Steel (65% of Total Nickel Use): Rising Production of Ni-Containing 300 Series in China, the Americas and the Other Asia
[mt] [2025 YoY, %]
2024
+3%
2025
0%
+3%
-3%
+6%
+2%
37
37
21
21
5 5
5 5
5 4
2 2
China Indonesia Other Asia EMEA Americas Total
Alloys, Special Steel and Plating (20% of Total Nickel Use): Solid End-Use Demand from the Oil & Gas and Aerospace Industries
[kt Ni] [2025 YoY, %]
2024
+2%
2025
+4%
+1%
+6%
193
197
186
194
174 176
73
78
Special Steel Standard Alloys
Plating
Superalloys
The Global Auto Market Continues to Exceed Expectations:
Output of EVs and Hybrids Up +33% and +19%
Global Vehicle Production: Above the Pre-Pandemic Level
[Vehicle production, million units]
change:
+Х% all types
ICE HEV PHEV BEV ICE equipped(1)
-16% -14% +14% +7% +10% -1% +6%
94
+23%
91 +11% 90 +33%
+3%
95 +17% 99
79 +28%
4
83
77
68 +109%5
7
5
+31% 10
15
18
+73% 8
3
9
4
12
12
7
12
9
14
10
16
-17% -15%
72
+10%
+3% +8% -2%
+2% +1%
89
59
63
63
64
59
57
54
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E
+Х%
Structure of Battery Chemistries Used: Growth in LFP Share, Decline in Nickel-Based Chemistries
LFP
LMFP
Mid-Ni
High-Ni
Others
11%
6%
5%
4% 4% 3% 3%
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026E
13%
16%
22%
35%
39%
45%
49% 50%
33%
46%
25%
23%
21%
50%
21% 21%
35%
30%
23%
35%
30%
26% 26%
34%
12%
Nickel Demand: Stainless Steel Is the Key Driver of Demand Growth from 2023
[annual change in nickel demand, kt Ni]
+197
+194
114
43
2022
159
(4)
2023
+181
72
17
91
2024
+196
79
(10)
106
+210
18
31
161
2025
2026E
Stainless Steel Batteries Other Sectors
Nickel Supply: Slowdown of Chemicals Production,
Increase in NPI2 and Class 1 in 2025
[annual change in nickel supply, kt Ni]
+431
+315
74
235
71
+182
+292
99
187
+345
83
?
(68)
NPI
Class 1
Chemicals
Other Low-Grade
55
190
144
266
170
38
40
The Nickel Market Balance Will Be Determined by the Scale of Mining Cuts in Indonesia
Nickel Market Balance: the Market May Be Rebalanced Through Production Curtailments in Indonesia
[market balance, kt Ni] Surplus1
~275
202
204
~240
81
(153)
Depending on the revision of quotas in
Indonesia
(350)
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025 2026E
Deficit
(44) | (65) | 83 | ||
2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026E |
Palladium Market: Balanced amid Slight Growth in Demand in the
Automotive Industry and a Decrease in Supply Volumes
Market Balance1: a Balanced Situation is Expected
in 2025-2026
[moz]
0.4
Balance incl. investment demand and inventory movements.
Balance excl. investment demand and inventory movements.
(1)
2022
(0.6)
(Balance)
2023
2024
2025
2026E
Demand: Increased Production of Hybrids, Relaxed Electrification Targets, and Increased PGM Loadings in Vehicles [moz] +1% +2% [YoY,%] 10.2 10.0 9.0 9.1 9.3 | ||||
2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026E |
Demand: stabilization of demand due to increased production of ICE2 vehicles and a trend towards replacing more expensive platinum with palladium in automotive catalysts
Supply: decline in production in Russia and North America is partially offset by the recovery of supply from South Africa, where there is still underinvestment in the industry
Increase in secondary production is due to the scrapping of vehicles with higher PGM loadings and an increase in scrap collection due to high prices
Supply: Decrease in Primary Supply is Offset by an Increase in Secondary Processing [moz] -3% 0% [YoY,%] 9.2 9.4 9.4 9.2 9.2 | ||||
2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026E |
Platinum Market Has Entered a State of Moderate Shortage due to Reduced Supply and Increased Investment Demand
Market Balance: in the Mid-term Market is in Deficit
[moz]
0.2
0.3
Balance incl. investment demand and inventory movements.
Balance excl. investment demand and inventory movements.
Balance
2022
(0.2)
2023
(0.5) (0.3) (0.4) (0.3)
2024 2025 2026E
Demand: Growth in Jewellery and Industrial Demand Compensates for the Decline in the Automotive Sector [moz] +2% +1% [YoY,%] 6.9 7.4 7.2 7.3 7.4 | ||||
2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026E |
Demand: decrease in demand for platinum from the automotive industry due to the lower share of diesel cars and the replacement of platinum with palladium as a cheaper alternative is being offset by an increase in consumption in other industrial sectors, such as electronics and chemicals
Supply: moderate YoY increase in production volumes is expected in South Africa, as well as an increase in secondary supply due to favorable prices
Supply: Revival of Production Volumes in 2026, Following Weak Results in South Africa in 2025 [moz] -2% +1% [YoY,%] 7.2 7.5 7.2 7.0 7.1 | ||||
2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026E |
Platinum Prices Have Reached an All-Time High,
while Palladium Prices Have Approached their 2022 Peaks
Price Rally in Precious Metals Intensified in 2H 2025 due to Increased Investment Demand
Launch of PGMs Futures Contracts on the GFEX Exchange Has Attracted Increased Interest from Investors in China, where Prices are Consistently Higher than on NYMEX1
[increase in metal prices, 1 Jan 2025 = 100%]
[$]
800
Trading Volume Pd+Pt GFEX Trading Volume Pd+Pt NYMEX Arbitrage Pt Arbitrage Pd
[t]
600
400%
200%
0%
Platinum Palladium
Gold Silver
600
400
200 GFEX>NYMEX
0
-200
NYMEX>GFEX
400
200
0
January 2025 July 2025 January 2026
Key Drivers PGMs Price Rally:
Correlation with gold - growth in investment demand
November 2025 December 2025 December 2025 January 2026 January 2026
Reorientation of investors and jewellers from China towards PGMs, particularly platinum due to high prices of gold
The launch of trading in Pt and Pd futures contracts on the GFEX exchange, the first benchmarks in China, has attracted additional interest from Chinese investors
Increase in the production of ICE2 vehicles and decreasing supply from South Africa and North America amid technical problems and years of underinvestment in mines
Source: LPPM, GFEX, NYMEX, Company estimates
Note: 1. The arbitrage of platinum and palladium prices is calculated as the difference between the prices of contracts on GFEX and NYMEX (GFEX - NYMEX). 2. ICE -
16Increased Leasing Rates for Platinum and Palladium in H2 2025 -Evidence of High Investment Demand?
Platinum Stocks ETFs, +65 koz from the beginning of 2025
[koz]
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
Platinum Lease Rates, %
1M 3M 6M 12M
40
30
20
10
0
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Palladium Stocks ETFs, +440 koz from the beginning of 2025
[koz]
1,200
900
600
300
0
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
2026
2026
Jun 24 Oct 24 Feb 25 Jun 25 Oct 25 Feb 26
Palladium Lease Rates,%
1M 3M 6M 12M
15
10
5
0
Jun 24 Oct 24 Feb 25 Jun 25 Oct 25 Feb 26
Refined Copper Market:
Market Balance: the Volume of Excess Supply is Declining, while the Market Remains Broadly Balanced
[kt]
330
356
Slowing Growth in Supply amid Stable Demand Growth
Demand: Steady Growth is Expected to Continue
[mt]
+4%
+3% +3%
0.7
0.2
0.7
0.1
28.3
2023 China Others 2024 China Others 2025 2026E
25.7
26.6
27.5
70 | 12 | 164 | 172 | ||||
2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026E |
Production: Growth is Slowing due to accident in
Indonesia and Technical Challenges Chile
[mt]
+4%
+3% +2%
0.7
0.4
0.8
0.1
28.5
2023 China Others 2024 China Others 2025 2026E
25.8
26.9
27.9
Demand: steady growth in copper demand driven by rising electricity intensity per unit of GDP, the expansion of renewable energy, grid development, and the rapid growth of data centers
Supply: growth in copper supply is constrained by mining disruptions in Indonesia, South America, and Africa
Price Rally: supported by additional speculative demand from U.S. investors amid expectations of potential import tariffs
Source: company estimates, CRU
CME Prices Above LME Drove up US Imports
[$/t]
2,500 CME>LME
1,500
500
-500 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Tariff Expectations in the United States are Widening the Gap Between Exchange Prices and Creating Risks of Price Volatility
Metal Imports to the US in 10M 2025 Exceeded the Average Values for 2016-2024. COMEX Stocks Increased by 359 kt in 2025
[Import of cathode copper to the USA, kt]
300
2016-2024 2025
150
0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
The SHFE-LME Arbitrage was in the Negative Zone, which Contributed to Exports from China
[$/t]
SHFE>LME
500
300
100
-100
-300
-500
LME>SHFE
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
CME-LME's record-breaking arbitrage collapsed in July due to changing expectations, but then partially recovered, creating speculative opportunities for increasing copper imports in the United States
Excessive demand and falling LME stocks supported copper prices
The rise in LME prices, driven by speculative demand from trading companies seeking to ship the metal to the United States, has led to a negative SHFE-LME arbitrage and created opportunities for copper exports from China
Metal Markets: Outlook on Long-Term Fundamentals
Metal Ni Cu Pd Pt
Market Balance Forecast
Surplus risk1 Deficit Surplus2 Deficit
+5…9%
+2.5%
+2.8%
+0.4%
Supply (CAGR, %)
2025 2030E
Low-Grade High-Grade Risk
2025 2030E
Asia Americas Others
2025 2030Е
Africa Russia
Other Recycling
2025 2030Е
Africa Russia
Other Recycling
-0.2%1
+5% +3.1% +0.5%
Demand (CAGR, %)
Long-term fundamentals
2025 2030E
Stainless Steel Batteries Other
2025 2030E
Constraction Utility Others
2025 2030Е
Auto Other
2025 2030Е
Auto Jewellery Other
Financial Update
Metal Revenue Dynamics:
Stronger Cu and PGM prices
Key revenue change factors:
Stronger copper, palladium and platinum prices, except nickel prices
Increase in sales volumes
from other precious metals
Metal Revenue Change Factors [USD mln] Macro factors Operating factors 1,117 18 11,848 12,983 | ||
2024 Realized price Sales volume 2025 Average Market Prices for Key Group's Metals Ni [$/t] Cu [$/t] Pd [$/oz] Pt [$/oz] -10% +9% +17% +34% | ||
16,812 15,160 9,147 9,945 984 1,149 956 | 1,278 | |
2024 2025 2024 2025 2024 2025 2024 2025 | ||
EBITDA Dynamics: Revenue Growth and Sustainable Margin
EBITDA and EBITDA Margin Change over 5-Year Cycle [USD mln] EBITDA 59% 52%EBITDA margin 10,512 8,697 | 48% 6,884 | 41% 5,196 | 41% 5,668 | |
2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
EBITDA Change Factors Macro factors One-off factors Operating factors [USD mln] 442 (133) 163 5,196 1,117 319 94 69 5,668 (630) (364) (133) | ||||||||
2024 | Realised prices | FOREX | Domestic inflation | Taxes and other duties | Change in provisions1 | Сontrollable unit cost of production | Other | 2025 |
Cash Operating Costs Change Factors [USD mln] Macro factors 506 5,119 459 266 | (219) | Operating factors 48 48 | 5,673 | ||
2024 | FOREX | Domestic inflation | Taxes and other duties | Other | 2025 |
2025 Cash Costs Breakdown
[USD mln]
7%
Labour
Materials and fuel Taxes and other duties Third party services Other
16%
41%
5,673
15%
21%
Adjusted Cash Operating Costs Change1: Lower than Inflation in Russia (+8,7%) [USD mln]
Labour
+5%
4,449
4,682
Materials and fuel Third party services
Other
1,201
876
308
2024
1,195
887
281
2025
2,064
2,319
Operational Efficiency Programme
The Programme Initiatives Cover All Areas of the Company's Production and Business Activities
Mining Projects
Improving the technical readiness and efficiency of using underground self-propelled machinery and stationary equipment
and is Developed for 2024-2026
Main Focus Areas of the Operational
Efficiency Programme
Copper
Plant
Increasing production volumes by processing the rich ore from the Taymyr mine in the smelting units, bypassing the beneficiation stage
Cost reduction, including non-production expenses
Improving product quality
Management of non-core assets
Increase of production volumes
Kola
Site
Improving metal recovery rates by enhancing the accuracy of process control in the nickel electrolysis plant
Expansion of the sales market
Nadezhda
Metallurgical
Plant
Production of additional commodity products through the involvement of pyrite with the charge in batched smelting furnaces
Examples of Digital and Technological Initiatives Implemented in 2025Additional Annual Economic Effect>$100 mln1
Description Economicc Effect in 2025
Development of new market for Pd
The innovative material created in the Norilsk Nickel laboratory based on Pd for fiberglass opens up previously inaccessible markets for the use of palladium and reduces the weight of products due to the lower density of Pd compared to Pt
$6mln
Modeling of underground drilling and blasting operations
The implementation of a tool for creating optimal designs for the drilling of clearing chambers (digital passports) reduces ore dilution with waste rock and concrete
$16mln
Scaling AI-Based Optimizers
Algorithms based on machine learning and artificial intelligence methods operate in a unified system:
in Enrichment
analyze the current state of the technological process
control equipment in real time
automatically increase productivity without causing unnecessary losses (if there is potential for increased processing)
$12mln
End-to-end optimization of the metallurgical process
Determining the optimal Fe content in fines has made it possible to balance the Norilsk and Kola sites in terms of performance and reduce metal losses, with the optimum achieved through rapid monitoring of the contents in the melt during the converting process
$7mln
Source: Company data 26
Net Working Capital Dynamics: Management Effort Offsets Negative Macro Factors Impact[USD mln] Macro factors
627
443 203
Operating factors
(757)
3,007
(19)
(464) (94) (230)
184
(153)
2,877
31.12.2024 | FOREX | Realized | Taxes and | Trade | Advances | Volume of | Cost per | Other | 31.12.2025 |
prices | levies | receivables | from | WIP and FG 1 | unit of | ||||
customers | production |
National currency appreciation by 30% from 101.7 USD/RUB at 31.12.2024 to 78.2 USD/RUB at 31.12.2025
Optimization of trade receivables
Increase of advance payments from customers
Ongoing decrease of WIP and FG 1 volumes
Growth of cost per unit of metal production due to inflation and increase in MET
The Implementation of Strategic Plans Aimed at Safety
CAPEX1 Breakdown by Projects
[USD mln]2
Environmental programme (Sulphur Programme at the Nadezhda Plant)
Talnakh Enrichment Plant
2,628
2,438
Mine development
Bystrinsky project
429
South Cluster
355
96
Energy and gas infrastructure modernisation
Other commercial
Other stay-in-business
2024
2025
1,062
211
185
98
264
343
46
1,051
Improvement of the Fixed Assets and at Further Development
CAPEX1 Allocation by Type
[USD mln]2
2,628
2,438
Environmental programme (Sulphur Programme
at the Nadezhda Plant)
Commercial
Stay-in-business
2024
2025
1,500
1,589
595
662
343
377
377 |
88 |
160 |
113 |
188 |
Liquidity and Debt1 Management:
Net Debt and Leverage
[$ bn]
0.6
0.5
1.1
1.2
1.7
1.6
[x]
9.8
9.1
2020
2021
Net Debt
2022
2023
2024
2025
Net Debt / EBITDA (x)
Debt Structure1
13%
15%
2024 2025
RUB USD CNY
2024
Long-term
2025
Short-term
71%
72%
29%
28%
34%
40%
26%
4.9
4.7
8.1
8.6
72%
Highlights
Leadership team has invested a huge effort in rebalancing the Company's debt portfolio to match its business model
~USD 6.5 bn raised during 2025 to successfully refinance the Company's loan portfolio, including two largest USD-denominated bond issues in the history of the Russian public debt market
A sizeable pool of reserve liquidity retained by the Company to
back-up debt refinancing activities during 2026
The Company's credit rating was confirmed at the highest investment-grade level by national agencies NCR (AAA.ru) and Expert RA (ruAAA)
Successful Optimization of the Debt Portfolio
Debt1 Repayment Schedule2 and Available Liquidity [$ bn] Cash Committed credit lines and overdrafts 2.1 Debt repayments Debt portfolio | ||||||||||
9.7 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 11.2 | ||||
Liquidity position | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030+ | Total debt | ||||
At USD/RUB rate of 78.23, 1% change in exchange rate translates into EBITDA change of USD 62.6 mln,
FCF change of USD 91.2 mln
[USD mln]
100
101.9
80
95.1
91.2 89.1
83.9
79.2
FCF
6070.0 65.3
40
62.6 61.2
Exchange rate 31.12.2025
57.6 54.4
EBITDA
20
70.0
75.0 78.2
80.0
85.0
USD/RUB
90.0
Source: Company data
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