Nomura Holdings, Inc. TSE:8604

Nomura : Quarterly Earnings (2026 full qa)

Published

Source: MarketScreener



FY2025/26 4Q Financial Results Conference Call Q&A

Date: April 24, 2026

Speaker: Hiroyuki Moriuchi, Chief Financial Officer, Nomura Holdings, Inc.

Q1: Why did you record an impairment loss of approximately Y12 billion on your investment in the forestry-related asset management company?

A1: When we made the investment four years ago, there was strong global ESG tailwind, particularly in the U.S., and we were aiming to expand our private assets business in order to capture the shift from public to private.

However, since then, the environment surrounding ESG has changed significantly, especially in the U.S., and as revenue growth fell short of our initial plan, we recorded an impairment loss of approximately Y12 billion this time.

Going forward, we will continue to promote the business while capturing demand from operating companies for carbon offsets and related needs.

Q2: What is the outflow status of the asset management business acquired from Macquarie in December 2025, and how is its performance trending versus plan?

A2: As this is a traditional asset management company in the U.S., and taking into account industry trends in active mutual funds for U.S. equities, we had anticipated a certain level of net outflows from the target business, and this was reflected in the valuation at the time of acquisition.

As for performance, excluding one-off investments and expenses, it is generally tracking in line with the plan presented at the CEO Forum in December last year, and the one-time costs associated with integration and amortization of intangible assets are also within expectations.

On the other hand, we will make investments to shift to net inflows over the medium to long term by promoting the transition to active ETFs and strengthening marketing efforts.

Q3: Could you please share your outlook for the CET1 ratio in 1Q of the new fiscal year, and elaborate on your approach to utilizing the balance sheet when taking credit risk?

A3: Within the Wholesale division, we seek to expand earnings through a self-funding approach-namely, by deploying the balance sheet, RWA, and leverage exposure within the bounds of profits generated. Accordingly, we expect the impact on our CET1 ratio to remain limited. We are committed to growing our Equity, and with respect to other businesses such as Securitized Products, we will continue to maintain a balanced portfolio by carefully controlling exposure in response to evolving opportunities.

Q4: You have indicated that 1Q has got off to a strong start. Should we understand this as an improvement in profitability driven by top-line growth, with no significant changes in the denominator, such that a major decline in the CET1 ratio is not anticipated and ROE is expected to recover?

A4: We have no intention of deliberately reducing the CET1 ratio, and as you have correctly pointed out, we aim to translate this into an improvement in ROE.

Q5: How did the UK regulatory changes and the revision to the deferred compensation system since the 3Q each affect the quarter-on-quarter increase in personnel expenses?

A5: Personnel expenses in 4Q continued to reflect the impact of the deferred compensation system revision explained in 3Q. Including the impact of the relaxation of UK compensation regulations, both factors are temporary and timing-related, and their impact is expected to decline significantly going forward.

Q6: I understand that wholesale business performance in April exceeded that of 4Q. Could you elaborate on the situation by region and product within Global Markets?

A6: The main drivers are Rates and Equity Products, both of which are performing well. In 4Q, revenue from Rates struggled because we had to control risk in response to intensified situations in the Middle East. However, in April, Rates recovered significantly, and Equity Products also remained strong. By region, performance improved broadly across all regions, although growth in the Americas was relatively modest.

Q7: Has the Americas business continued to stagnate since entering April?

A7: In the Americas, revenue declines in 4Q were more pronounced than in other regions, due not only to seasonality but also to risk reduction, mainly in U.S. Macro Products, from mid-March onward in response to the worsening situation in the Middle East. However, since entering April, revenue has begun to recover as tensions in the Middle East have somewhat eased.

Q8: What is the main industry breakdown of the 2.4 billion dollars total exposure to private credit?

A8: By sector, it includes healthcare, business services, software and computer services, consumer, and engineering and construction. The largest shares are in healthcare and business services, while software is not a major component. We are also pursuing geographic diversification.

Q9: What is the redemption trend for private-related products sold in Wealth Management?

A9: Although some investors remain cautious, there have been no significant redemptions or disruptions at present. Our approach of carefully explaining that these are medium- to longterm investment products and ensuring clients understand that before holding them has been effective.

Q10: No new share buyback authorization was established in 4Q, but is it correct to understand that the total shareholder return ratio exceeds 50%, even after taking restricted stock units (RSUs) into account?

A10: For the fiscal year ended March 2026, the total shareholder return ratio is approximately 58% including RSUs, and exceeds 50% even excluding RSUs.

Q11: To which period's performance is the share buyback authorization linked?

A11: The share buyback authorization is determined based on our full-year performance outlook. The Y60 billion authorization announced in 3Q was also decided by reflecting, to a certain extent, profits expected in 4Q.

Q12: What level of cost-to-income ratio should we expect for the Wholesale division going forward? Will the Wealth Management division continue to deliver strong profitability?

A12: Expenses in the Wholesale division increased by approximately Y13 billion compared with 3Q, resulting in a somewhat elevated level. However, due in part to upfront costs related to Securitized Products and the absence of certain one-time factors in the current fiscal year, expenses are expected to remain somewhat restrained. The Wealth Management division continues to maintain a high margin. Although there will be a modest increase in costs due to AI investment and inflation, we will continue to implement rigorous cost management and secure stable profitability.

Q13: After recording losses at Laser Digital in 3Q, you moved to strengthen risk management and reduce exposure. Do you have any update on market conditions in 4Q and the effectiveness of those measures?

A13: Laser Digital has already established a robust risk management framework, and we are seeing the benefits of that framework. While the crypto asset market fell in 4Q to roughly the same extent as in 3Q, the effect on consolidated results was limited.

Q14: Was the limited impact of Laser Digital on consolidated results due to the reduction in exposure? Including other initiatives, is the company now in a position to keep the impact contained even as the business expands going forward?

A14: We reduced the absolute level of risk in our market-making activities. While we still maintain some long positions, such as venture investments and seed capital, we believe that as our asset management business develops, we will be able to operate while controlling capital more effectively in the future.

Q15: What were the main reasons for Wholesale's lower income before income taxes in 4Q, broken down into revenue and expenses?

A15: Revenue declined mainly due to year-end risk position adjustments and defensive positioning in response to the worsening situation in the Middle East. Expenses increased temporarily due to revisions to compensation regulations and year-end bonus adjustments, as well as higher commissions, floor brokerage, and the increase of professional fees related to Securitized Products.

Q16: Wholesale's 4Q cost-to-income ratio of 86% was high; would around 83% be a normalized level?

A16: The 4Q cost-to-income ratio of 86% was clearly high, with the impact from lower revenue outweighing that of higher expenses. In any case, it was somewhat elevated.

Q17: In light of trends and developments at other financial institutions, are there any internal discussions about revising the 2030 management vision's ROE target of 8-10%+?

A17: We are currently continuing internal discussions, and if there are any updates, we may communicate them at the Investor Day scheduled for May 29.

Q18: How do you view cost management in the Wholesale Division?

A18: To address cost increases caused by inflation, we are promoting company-wide cost controls through structural initiatives such as the use of offshore resources. At the same time, we aim to improve ROE by expanding revenues beyond the rise in costs and enhancing investment efficiency.

Q19: What are the trends and outlook for the U.S. and Japanese private assets markets, and what are your company's strategy and initiatives in light of that?

A19: The Private Credit market itself still has room to expand over the medium to long term, and we view it positively. On the other hand, in the short term, as other firms have also pointed out, risk management based on the credit cycle is important. Therefore, even though there are abundant opportunities and a strong pipeline in Securitized Products, we will proceed selectively and control balance so that no single product becomes overly large across the Wholesale division.

Q20: Can we understand the impact of Private Credit as being centered more in the Wholesale division than in the Investment Management division?

A20: In the short term, in terms of P/L and risk, it is mainly a matter for the Wholesale division. On the other hand, over the medium to long term, the Investment Management and Wealth Management divisions will also grow their private business, including Private Credit, based on appropriate risk management and suitability considerations.

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