Al Rajhi BankTADAWUL: 1120

Gulf Markets show modest gains on oil strength ahead of US rate decision

· Issued by Al Rajhi Bank

Most Gulf stock markets inched up in early trade on Tuesday, buoyed by firmer oil prices and growing bets of a U.S. rate cut later this month.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index TADAWUL:TASI edged up 0.1% in choppy trade as stronger oil prices lent support to the oil-sensitive bourse.

Index heavyweights Saudi Arabian Mining TADAWUL:1211 and the oil behemoth Saudi Aramco TADAWUL:2222 advanced 1.3% and 0.1%, respectively.

Oil - a key catalyst for Gulf markets - rose after OPEC+ announced plans to increase output by less than market participants had anticipated, boosting sentiment across the region.

In the UAE, Dubai's main index DFM:DFMGI added 0.1%, helped by a 0.6% rise in Emirates NBD Bank DFM:EMIRATESNBD.

Abu Dhabi index ADX:FADGI was also up 0.1%, with modest gains in heavyweight stocks helping to partially reverse a recent pullback.

Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank rose 0.9%, rebounding from a 7.5% plunge in the previous session — its steepest single-day drop in over three years — after announcing a 6.1 billion dirhams rights issue priced at a 30% discount.

In contrast, Qatar's benchmark index QSE:GNRI fell 0.2%, pressured by losses in financials. Qatar National Bank QSE:QNBK, the region’s largest lender, declined nearly 1%.

Investors continue to keep a close watch on the Fed, with traders fully pricing in a 25-basis-point rate cut and assigning a 10% probability to a jumbo 50-bp cut, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

The Fed's stance carries heavy clout in the Gulf, where most currencies are pegged to the U.S. dollar, anchoring regional monetary policy.