Acea S.p.a. MIL:ACE
ACEA S p A : Presentation on 9M 2025 Results (acea 20259m 2025 results presentation)
Source: MarketScreener
ROME, 13 NOVEMBER 2025
People for sustainable infrastructure
Market Environment 9M 2025 Results 2025 Guidance
Appendix
1
Agenda
REGULATORY AND MARKET ENVIRONMENT
T H E P R O C E S S F O R T H E T W O - Y E A R U P D A T E O F T A R I F F S F O R T H E I N T E G R A T E D W A T E R S E R V I C E H A S S T A R T E D
Regulation
Water: Technical and Contractual Quality Incentives for over 36mln€ recognized to the ACEA Group by ARERA over 2022-2023, of which 22mln€ to fully consolidated companies1.
MTI-4 tariff approvals by local authorities completed in 2024, those by ARERA are underway. Consultations for the two-year period of MTI-42 have begun.
WACC equal to 6.1%.
Grids: provisional 2025 tariff published in May 2025, WACC equal to 5.6%, updated the RAB revaluation parameter by adopting the Italian lPCA (1.1% for 2025).
In July, the request regarding network losses was accepted. No activation of the trigger for the 20263 allowed return.
Commodity prices and Inflation
9M 2025 energy price (SNP) rising to
117€/MWh (+14€/MWh vs 9M 2024).
9M 2025 gas price (PSV) rising to
41€/MWh (+7€/MWh vs 9M 2024).
September inflation -0.2% on a monthly basis and +1.6% on a trend basis4.
Interest rates5
The following rates were reported, on average, in 9M 2025:
Euribor 6M 2.2% vs 3.7% in 9M 2024;
MidSwap 8Y 2.5% vs 2.7% in 9M 2024.
The ECB performed 4 deposit rate cuts of 25 bps each in 9M 2025.
1. ARERA Resolution 277/2025/R/idr dated June 24, 2025. | 2. ARERA Consultation Document 471/2025/R/idr dated October 28, 2025. | 3. ARERA Resolution 476/2025/R/com dated November 4, 2025. |
2
4. Istat data, NIC index. | 5. Analysis based on Bloomberg data as of September 30, 2025. 2
Market Environment 9M 2025 Results 2025 Guidance
Appendix
3
Agenda
HIGHLIGHTS 9M 2025 1
Revenues pro-forma +7% vs. 9M 2024
EBITDA pro-forma +10% vs. 9M 2024
excluding one-offs and changes in scope
R E S U L T S S H O W A S T R O N G G R O W T H C O M P A R E D T O 2 0 2 4 R E G U L A T E D E B I T D A S T A N D S A T 9 5 %
Group pro-forma revenues were 2.2bn€ of which around 2.0bn€ related to regulated businesses. Regulated revenues were up 7% vs 9M 2024 mainly due to the investments carried out in the previous years and tariff approvals.
EBITDA pro-forma was 1,084mln€, + 84mln€ (+8%) vs 9M 2024 thanks to organic growth and the
awarding of incentives for the technical and contractual quality of the integrated water service (~25mln€).
Regulated EBITDA2
95%
Organic EBITDA pro-forma3 was 1,069mln€, +96mln€ (+10%) vs 9M 2024 mainly driven by the growth of Water Italy, Grids and Public Lighting, and Generation businesses.
Net profit +8% vs. 9M 2024 excluding one-offs
CAPEX +2% vs. 9M 2024
net of public grants
Regulated CAPEX2 95%
Net Profit was 415mln€, +130mln€ (+46%) vs 9M 2024.
Organic Net Profit3 was 301mln€, +23mln€ (+8%) vs 9M 2024 mirroring the performance posted
at an operating level.
Capex net of public subsidies was 843mln€(+2%).
Including the investments financed by grants, total capex reached 1,010mln€ (+6%).
Net Debt/EBITDA LTM
pro-forma4 3.39x
Note: Any failure to reconcile the stated figures arises exclusively from rounding
9M 2025 operating free cash flow was positive for 19mln€. Results for the period allowed to maintain a solid financial structure, with a pro-forma Net Debt/EBITDA of 3.39x.
4
1. In accordance with IFRS 5, Acea Energia is classified as a "discontinued operation" as it is expected to be disposed of within the first half of 2026. This classification entails, among the others, the synthetic consolidation of Acea Energia's income statement represented in a single separate item in Acea's consolidated income statement, "Net Result from Discontinued Operations". To provide a more meaningful analysis of the Acea Group's financial performance, Acea's pro forma consolidated income statements for the periods ended September 30, 2025, and 2024 (the "Pro Forma Consolidated Statements") have been prepared. These statements simulate, using valuation criteria consistent with those adopted by the Company, the main economic effects of the Sale, restoring, with the sole exception of dividends, intercompany transactions with discontinued operations in order to obtain a representation of the results of continuing operations as if the discontinued operations had been deconsolidated, as well as to simulate the consolidation of Acquedotto del Fiora at equity in the first nine months of 2024. In particular, in line with the IFRIC's discussion regarding the elimination of intercompany balances between continuing operations and discontinued operations, the following pro forma adjustments have been made: 1) the income statement balances for the periods in question relating to transactions between Acea group companies and Acea Energia have been reinstated, as it is believed that these operations will continue even after the disposal (such balances, where applicable, have in fact been eliminated in the consolidation process) and 2) the accounting for Acquedotto del Fiora using the equity method has been adopted starting from 1 January 2024. For the first nine months of 2025, reported revenues and EBITDA reached 2,076mln€ and 1,071mln€, respectively. | 2. Regulated businesses include, in addition to the regulated Water Italy and Networks businesses, Public Lighting and Environment. | 3. Excluding one-off items and perimeter changes.| 4. The pro-forma Net Debt/EBITDA LTM (Last Twelve Months) ratio considers the effect of the future proceeds from the disposal of the Commercial Business; further details are available in the following slide.
OVERVIEW OF 9M 2025 RESULTS
O R G A N I C E B I T D A + 1 0 % , N E T D E B T / E B I T D A LT M P R O - F O R M A I N L I N E W I T H T H E G U I D A N C E
EBITDA pro-forma1, mln€ CAPEX, mln€
2,061 2,208
REVENUES
27
15
973
1,069
pro-forma1
Capex related to the divested business (discontinued operations) and to AdF in 2024
1,000
1,084
+96
(+10%)
952 1,010
123 167
77
752
67
776
+13
(+2%)
STRENGTHENING THE ROLE OF INFRASTRUCTURE OPERATOR. Regulated businesses represent approximately 95% of the Group's EBITDARegulated EBITDA2
9M 2024 9M 2025
96% 95%
Net regulated
Capex2,3
9M 2024 9M 2025
95% 95%
Net Income, mln€ NET DEBT4, mln€
Pro-forma LTM NET DEBT/EBITDA
415
285 114 +23
7 (+8%)
sale of AE
4,343
4,944
601
5,083
391
4,693
+140
(+3%)
ratio at 3.39x considering the collection of the proceeds from the sale of ACEA Energia.The ratio is in line with the guidance.
278 301
9M 2024 9M 2025
Dic. 2024 9M 2025
Pro-forma Net Debt/EBITDA LTM5
3.34x
3.39x
5
5
1. Revenues and EBITDA do not include the results of ACEA Energia's scope subject to disposal (reclassified under Discontinued Operations). Revenues are net of the results of equity-consolidated companies. For pro-forma results, see note on page 4. | 2. Includes, in addition to the regulated Water Italy and Networks businesses, Public Lighting and Environment. | 3. Percentage net of the ACEA Energia perimeter subject to disposal and, in 2024, of AdF investments. | 4. Net Debt does not include the net financial debt of Umbria Energy, represented under "Discontinued Operations."| 5 Pro-forma Net Debt considers: (i) the effect of the future collection of the proceeds for the disposal of ACEA Energia (based on the enterprise value offered in the binding offer of 460mln€, the recognized net cash of 128.5mln€ compared to ACEA Energia's reported net cash of approximately 213.9mln€ as of 31.12.24, plus cash variations during the 9M 2025 and Net Debt reclassified under discontinued operations); (ii) for 2024, the proceeds from the disposal of High Voltage to Terna for 227mln€ (excluding the ARERA premium, which will be collected in 2026) and equity consolidation of AdF from January 1st. LTM EBITDA assuming the pro-forma value net of HV. The reported Net Debt/EBITDA ratio is 3.62x for Dec. 2024 and 3.61x for 9M 2025.
9M 2025 EBITDA
G R O W T H D R I V E N B Y R E G U L A T E D B U S I N E S S E S
EBITDA pro-forma, mln€
617
67
49
1,084
8
343
WATER ITALY
GRIDS AND PUBLIC LIGHTING
ENVIRONMENT
GENERATION
OTHER
BUSINESSES2
9M 2025
EBITDA pro-forma
(95%1)
+10%
1,000
A
973
82
1,069
B
15
1,084
9M 2024 EBITDA
pro-forma
Recurring EBITDA
pro-forma 9M 2024
Energy scenario
Organic growth
Recurring EBITDA
pro-forma 9M 2025
9M 2025 EBITDA
pro-forma
Change in scope and non-recurring events
Change in scope and non-recurring events
14
(27)
57% 32% 6% 4% 1%
A
Change in scope and non-recurring events 9M 2024 (-27mln€), of which:
Recognition of past tariff items in the water sector (-24mln€)
Release of tariff relief fund (-17mln€)
Others (+14mln€)
B
Change in scope and non-recurring
events 9M 2025 (+15mln€), of which:
Water quality incentives (+25mln€)
Other minor items (-10mln€)
1. Pro-forma EBITDA. Includes, in addition to the Water Italy and Grids regulated businesses, the Public Lighting and Environment businesses. | 2. Overseas Water, Engineering & Infrastructure Projects,
Corporate and Energy Management (includes ACEA Energia business lines not included in the scope of the sale). 6
9M 2025 NET PROFIT8 % G R O W T H I N O R G A N I C N E T P R O F I T V S 2024
NET PROFIT, mln€
A
B
+8%
415
285
(7)
278
26
(3)
301
9M 2024
Net Profit
9M 2024
recurring net profit
Operational
management
Financial management
9M 2025
recurring Net profit
9M 2025
Net profit
Non-recurring events
Non-recurring events
114
A
Non-recurring events 9M 2024 (-7mln€), of which:
Recognition of past tariff items in the water sector (-15mln€)
Others (+8mln€)
B
Non-recurring events 9M
2025 (+114mln€) of which:
HV disposal effect and stop of depreciation IFRS 5 (+116mln€)
Water quality incentives (+14mln€)
Others (-16mln€)
7
9M 2025 CAPEXF O C U S O N R E G U L A T E D B U S I N E S S E S , W H I C H R E P R E S E N T 95% 1 O F T H E T O T A L
CAPEX2, mln€
593
54
21
86
256
1,010
(89%)3
59% 25% 5% 2% 9%
9M 2025 CAPEX
WATER ITALY
RECLAMATION AND EXPANSION OF WATER AND SEWER PIPES
EXTRAORDINARY MAINTENANCE OF PLANTS AND NETWORKS
INTERVENTIONS ON PURIFICATION SYSTEMS
MAJOR PROJECTS CO-FINANCED BY THE NRRP
GRIDS AND PUBLIC LIGHTING
UPGRADE OF THE LV GRID
WORK ON PRIMARY AND SECONDARY SUBSTATIONS
INSTALLATION OF 2G METERS
ENVIRONMENT
EXPANSION AND REVAMPING OF THE PLASTIC TREATMENT PLANT
GENERATION
PHOTOVOLTAIC PLANTS
OTHER BUSINESSES4
ACEA ENERGIA
CORPORATE: IT PROJECTS
1. Percentage net of investments of ACEA Energia perimeter subject to disposal. | 2. Gross of grant-funded capex equal to 167mln€ | 3. Includes, in addition to the Water Italy and Grids regulated businesses,
the Public Lighting and Environment businesses | 4. Overseas Water, Engineering & Infrastructure Projects, Corporate and ACEA Energia. 8
9M 2025 CASH FLOWT H E R E S U LT S O F T H E P E R I O D C O N F I R M A S O L I D F I N A N C I A L S T R U C T U R E
CASH FLOW, mln€
9M 20251 Operating FCF (+19mln€) benefits, among others, from cash generation associated with Working Capital in the third quarter of 2025
1,084
(30)
(44)
795
(776)
19
(98) (60)
(10)
(202) (140)
(340)
EBITDA Change in LT Equity Change in WC regulatory accounted provisions receivables companies and other
Operating CF before Capex
Net Operating
Capex3 FCF
Financial income/ (charges)
Taxes Dividends
Cash flow before M&A and IFRS 16
M&A 4
IFRS 16 Total Cash Flow
(65)
(151)
210
1,161 | (133) | (100) | (9) | (104) | 814 | (829) | (16) | (100) | (61) | (187) | (364) | (14) | (8) | (386) |
(76) | (17) | 35 | (21) | 60 | (19) | 54 | 36 | 2 | 2 | (15) | 24 | 224 | (2) | 246 |
9M 20242
∆ 9M 2025
VS 9M 2024
1. Does not include cash flows from the ACEA Energia perimeter reclassified to discontinued activities. | 2. 2024 Cash Flow includes the ACEA Energia perimeter reclassified to discontinued operations in
2025. | 3. It does not include capex related to the perimeter subject to disposal. | 4. It includes the proceed from the sale of the High Voltage grid to Terna (227mln€). 9