Amp Limited · ASX:AMP
Amp — Non-Deal Roadshow (October 2007)
64 slides from Amp's roadshow presentation, Oct 29, 2007
Slide 1: Asian Investor Roadshow ASX Announcement
ASX Announcement For personal use only 29 October 2007 Manager Manager Company Announcements Office Market Information Services Section Australian Stock Exchange New Zealand Stock Exchange Level 4, 20 Bridge Street Level 2, NZX Centre, 11 Cable Street Sydney NSW 2000 Wellington New Zealand Announcem
Slide 2: AMP – Investor discussion pack
For personal use only AMP – Investor discussion pack Craig Meller Managing Director, AMP Financial Services Stephen Dunne Managing Director, AMP Capital Investors Jill Craig Director, Investor Relations October 2007
Slide 3: Outline
Outline For personal use only Market dynamics AMP market position AMP business model Group performance overview Group performance – first half 2007 Business line performance – first half 2007 Capital management Summary 2
Slide 4: Market dynamics
For personal use only Market dynamics
Slide 5: Australian private pension market predicted to triple
Australian private pension market predicted to triple by 2015 For personal use only Australian private pension market set to reach around US$2 trillion by 2015 Superannuation is the flagship product of the Australian financial services system US$1,908.7b Well entrenched system, in place for ov
Slide 6: Legislative changes highly supportive of superannuation
Legislative changes highly supportive of superannuation For personal use only Successive governments have shaped superannuation as the preferred retirement savings vehicle. Major reforms during the past two years have cemented this positioning: ¾ 2005: removal of surcharge levy (incentive for hi
Slide 7: Robust growth outlook for key market sectors
Robust growth outlook for key market sectors For personal use only Retirement savings projections to 2016 800 Post retirement - CAGR: 18.2% 700 Retail - CAGR: 9.4% 600 SMSF - CAGR: 9.5% 500 Industry funds - CAGR: 12.3% $billion 400 300 200 100 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 P
Slide 8: AMP market position
For personal use only AMP market position
Slide 9: AMP has leading positions in key super channels
AMP has leading positions in 2 of 3 key super channels: employers, planners and accountants For personal use only Superannuation market by channel Accountants / solicitors / stockbrokers / other 23% Financial planners 46% Employers 31% Source: AMP analysis and estimates based on Plan for Life Retail
Slide 10: AMP has built a strong position in employer channel
AMP has built a strong position in employer channel – highest growth, market leadership For personal use only AMP fastest growing employer super provider 5.0 Employer sponsored products by assets under management Net cashflow growth ($b) Dec 2002 to Dec 2006 4.5 AMP (total) 4.0 3.5 Mercer AMP Signat
Slide 11: AMP's aligned planner model has scale and is highly productive
AMP’s aligned planner model has scale and is highly productive For personal use only 1,600 1,400 PIS AMP Financial 1,200 Planning Planner numbers 1,000 Count 800 Commonwealth FP 600 Millennium 3 Westpac FP NAB FP 400 Genesys ABN Amro Morgans MLC FP / Garvan FP Hillross 200 Bridges RetireInvest Lonsd
Slide 12: AMP business model
For personal use only AMP business model
Slide 13: AMP today – a simple, scaleable model in a high growth industry
AMP today – a simple, scaleable model in a high growth industry focused on operational excellence For personal use only Australasian wealth management group Integrated business model High growth industry Highly scaleable business Low cost manufacturing platform Reducing capital intensity
Slide 14: Key drivers and enablers of AMP business model
Key drivers and enablers of AMP business model For personal use only Six drivers Products & Cost Asset Brand Distribution Packaging Platforms Efficiency Management Pre-eminent Large, scaleable Largest planner Cost to income Broadly based Rapidly growing brand in contemporary force in Australia / rat
Slide 15: Model generates margins across the industry value chain
Model generates margins across the industry value chain For personal use only Products & Distribution – Products & Platforms Asset Dealer groups / planners platforms management Pricing - typical industry range for balanced 75 – 115 bps 40 – 95 bps 20 – 40 bps growth fund AMP retail platform with AMP
Slide 16: Comparative advantage of AMP in planner distribution
Comparative advantage of AMP in planner distribution – scale, quality and tenure For personal use only Number of Australian financial planners June 2007 1800 1600 Compared to industry 1501* 1400 1316 1315 medians, AMP’s 1200 1123 planner groups have: 1000 842 lower planner 800 turnover 600 540 400
Slide 17: AMP's cultural profile is increasingly constructive
AMP’s cultural profile is increasingly constructive, more so than industry average For personal use only Financial services industry comparison Base profile = AMP 2006 Source: Human Synergistics International Overlay = Finance industry Copyright © 2005. All rights reserved 16
Slide 18: Group performance overview
For personal use only Group performance overview
Slide 19: Earnings from contemporary businesses almost tripled in four years
Earnings from contemporary businesses have almost tripled in past four years For personal use only 306 253 209 156 103 173 116 107 104 107 A$m 1H 03* 1H 04 1H 05 1H 06 1H 07 Cobalt/Gordian and AFS Mature AMP Capital Investors, AFS Contemporary (businesses in run-off) Wealth Management, AFS Contempor
Slide 20: Operating earnings over five times underlying investment income
Operating earnings now over five times underlying investment income For personal use only 460 342 297 245 234 124 94 101 99 90 A$m 1H 03 1H 04 1H 05 1H 06 1H 07 Total operating earnings Underlying investment income 19
Slide 21: Underlying EPS trend before and after capital returns
Underlying EPS trend before and after impact of $2.25b of capital returns* For personal use only (*AMP conducted a $750m return of capital in June 2005, $750m in June 2006 and $750m in June 2007) 70 61.2 59.5 60 54.3 55.0 50.6 50 47.7 43.9 43.9 43.0 43.9 Cents per share 40 34.8 34.8 30 20 10 0 2003
Slide 22: Growing AUM coupled with increasing capital efficiency
Growing AUM coupled with increasing capital efficiency For personal use only 14 140 130 12 11.5 120 110 10 96 100 83 78 8 80 6 60 4.6 4.1 3.8 4 3.2 40 2 20 A$b 0 A$b 0 1H 03* 1H 04 1H 05 1H 06 1H 07 1H 03 1H 04 1H 05 1H 06 1H 07 Total capital resources AUM *1H 03 total capital resources not restated
Slide 23: Strong AUM growth coupled with strong cost discipline
Strong AUM growth coupled with strong cost discipline For personal use only 450 439 140 130 412 397 399 400 392 120 110 350 96 100 300 83 78 250 80 200 60 150 40 100 50 20 A$m 0 A$b 0 1H 03* 1H 04 1H 05 1H 06 1H 07 1H 03 1H 04 1H 05 1H 06 1H 07 Controllable costs AUM *1H03 not restated for AIFRS 22
Slide 24: Evergreen goal to deliver 15% pa growth in value
Evergreen goal to deliver 15% pa growth in value over each five year cycle For personal use only Cornerstone assumptions underpinning goal: ¾ Equity markets growing at 6% pa plus dividends ¾ AUM growth > 10% pa ¾ Revenue margin contraction in CWM of 2-3% pa ¾ Group costs growth around cost of livi
Slide 25: Group performance – first half 2007
For personal use only Group performance – first half 2007
Slide 26: Focused strategy is driving shareholder value
Focused strategy is driving shareholder value For personal use only Strategic focus is “to run the business better than it’s ever been run before” Key performance measures tracking well ¾ Underlying return on equity up from 26.6% to 38.7% ¾ Operating earnings up 35% to A$460m ¾ Cost ratio down f
Slide 27: Focused strategy is driving shareholder value (continued)
Focused strategy is driving shareholder value For personal use only Powerful platform for growth ¾ Record retail net cashflows – up 62% to A$2.1b ¾ Group assets under management up 18% to A$130b ¾ Revenue growth easily outstripping costs driving operating leverage • AFS Contemporary Wealth Managem
Slide 28: Group cost ratios
Group cost ratios For personal use only 439 412 397 399 392 50 46.5% 120 43.9% 45 41.9% 40.1% 100 40 101bps 101bps 36.5% 35 84bps 80 30 77bps 70bps 25 60 20 40 15 10 20 5 A$m % 0 0 bps 1H 03 1H 04 1H 05 1H 06 1H 07 1H 03 1H 04 1H 05 1H 06 1H 07 Controllable costs Cost to income ratio Cost to AUM rat
Slide 29: Group assets under management
Group assets under management For personal use only 130 110 96 83 78 A$b 1H 03 1H 04 1H 05 1H 06 1H 07 28
Slide 30: Underlying return on equity
Underlying return on equity For personal use only 50 48.4% 40 38.7% 30 21.0% 26.6% 20 22.9% 10 6.9% % 0 1H 03* 1H 04 1H 05 1H 06 1H 07 1H 07 assuming capital return on 1 Jan 07 * Pre-demerger Underlying return on equity 29
Slide 31: Growth in shareholder value
Growth in shareholder value For personal use only Value of an investment* in AMP has grown 85% from June 2005 to June 2007 (81% in TSR terms based on actual share price) 25 23.2 2.4 21.4 0.7 20 17.9 0.4 16.2 15 13.5 A$b 11.6 10 5 0 Opening Opening Opening Opening Dividends Capital Valuation Closing
Slide 32: Business line performance – first half 2007
For personal use only Business line performance – first half 2007
Slide 33: AMP's earnings by business lines
AMP’s earnings by business lines For personal use only AFS Contemporary Wealth AMP Capital Investors AFS Mature operating earnings Management operating 145 operating earnings earnings 116 89 92 95 89 88 83 78 62 55 42 34 35 25 A$m A$m A$m 1H 03* 1H 04* 1H 05 1H 06 1H 07 1H 03 1H 04 1H 05 1H 06 1H 07
Slide 34: AFS Australian contemporary wealth management
AFS Australian contemporary wealth management For personal use only Contemporary Change wealth management 1H 07 1H 06 Operating earnings A$145m A$116m + 25% Controllable costs A$178m A$175m + 2% Cost to income ratio 43.8% 48.5% - 4.7 percentage points Retail net cashflows A$2,100m A$1,294m + 62% Cor
Slide 35: AFS contemporary wealth management – significant operational leverage
AFS contemporary wealth management – significant operational leverage For personal use only 400 383 360 341 350 325 299 300 250 200 185 184 178 172 175 150 100 50 A$m 0 1H 05 2H 05 1H 06 2H 06 1H 07 Revenue less variable costs Controllable costs 34
Slide 36: AFS Australian contemporary wealth protection
For personal use only AFS Australian contemporary wealth protection Contemporary Change wealth protection 1H 07 1H 06 Profit margins A$57m A$49m + 16% Experience profits A$2m A$10m - 80% Operating earnings A$59m A$59m steady Operating earnings / API1 20.9% 22.6% - 1.7 percentage points Controllable
Slide 37: AFS Australian contemporary wealth protection
For personal use only AFS Australian contemporary wealth protection 1H 07 earnings impacted by: ¾ fall in experience profits due to less favourable claims experience ¾ lower API growth due to price reduction coupled with lower than expected sales as planners focused on superannuation opportunities
Slide 38: AFS Australian mature
For personal use only AFS Australian mature Mature Change 1H 07 1H 06 Operating earnings A$95m A$92m + 3% Controllable costs A$33m A$30m + 10% Controllable costs/AUM1 35bps 32bps + 3bps Net cashflows (A$615m) (A$564m) - 9% Persistency 87.6% 87.7% - 0.1 percentage point AUM (pre capital) A$18.9b A$18
Slide 39: AFS New Zealand
For personal use only AFS New Zealand New Zealand Change 1H 07 1H 06 Profit margins A$26m A$22m + 18% Experience profits (A$2m) A$1m - Operating earnings A$24m A$23m + 4% Controllable costs A$29m A$31m - 6% Cost to income ratio 42.5% 44.4% - 1.9 percentage points Individual risk annual premium incom
Slide 40: AFS cost efficiency
AFS cost efficiency For personal use only 282 45 42.1% 140 41.8% 274 267 274 38.6% 262 40 36.1% 120 34.3% 35 116bps 100 30 104bps 25 89bps 80 78bps 20 69bps 60 15 40 10 20 5 A$m % 0 0 bps 1H 03 1H 04 1H 05 1H 06 1H 07 1H 03 1H 04 1H 05 1H 06 1H 07 Controllable costs Cost to income ratio Cost to AUM
Slide 41: AFS 1H cashflows
AFS 1H 07 cashflows For personal use only Total retail net cashflows up 62% to A$2.1b ¾ Retail superannuation and annuities/pensions net cashflows up 75% to A$1.63b ¾ External platforms net cashflows up 44% to A$0.55b Total corporate super net cashflows down 57% to A$0.9b ¾ Net cashflows in corp
Slide 42: AFS net cashflows by major channel on rolling 12 month basis
For personal use only 300 800 0 1,300 1,800 2,300 (200) 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 Q4 02 Q4 02 (A$m) Q1 03 Q1 03 Q2 03 Q2 03 Q3 03 Q3 03 Q4 03 Q4 03 Q1 04 Q1 04 Q2 04 Q2 04 Q3 04 Q3 04 Q4 04 Q4 04 Q1 05 Q1 05 Q2 05 Hillross Q2 05 Q3 05 Q3 05 12 month basis Q4 05 Q4 05 Excludes cashflows
Slide 43: AFS net cashflows by wealth management product line
AFS net cashflows by wealth management product line on rolling 12 month basis For personal use only (A$m) 1 2 Corporate Super AMP-manufactured retail products Corporate Super Direct incl SignatureSuper mandate wins 2,500 3,500 Corporate Super Direct excl SignatureSuper mandate wins 2,000 3,000 1,500
Slide 44: Super contribution pattern in first half 2007
Super contribution pattern in first half 2007 consistent with AMP market positioning For personal use only 1,200 FLS, Corporate Super*, external platforms 1,000 Total super contributions – 800 600 400 200 A$m 0 $0 - $1000 $1000 - $100K $100K - $250K $250K - $450K $450K - $1M $1M+ Super contribution
Slide 45: Strong growth in allocated pensions / annuities net cashflows
Strong growth in allocated pensions / annuities net cashflows For personal use only 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 A$m 0 (50) 1H04 2H04 1H05 2H05 1H06 2H06 1H07 44
Slide 46: AMP Capital Investors (AMPCI)
AMP Capital Investors (AMPCI) For personal use only AMPCI Change 1H 07 1H 06 Operating earnings A$78m A$55m + 42% Internal management fees A$91m A$80m +14% External management fees A$93m A$67m +39% Total performance & A$48m A$34m +41% transaction fees Controllable costs A$124m A$104m + 19% Cost to i
Slide 47: AMPCI – volumes and profit margins
AMPCI – volumes and profit margins For personal use only 120 20 109.1 18 100 94.5 16 81.3 14 80 70 70.4 13.9bps 12 11.6bps 60 10 10.3bps 9.9bps 9.7bps 8 40 6 4 20 2 A$b 0 0 Basis points pa 1H 03 1H 04 1H 05 1H 06 1H 07 Average AUM in period Operating earnings after tax – basis points pa before net s
Slide 48: AMPCI – out performance against benchmarks
For personal use only AMPCI – out performance against benchmarks Weighted AUM % at or above benchmark June-07 Dec-06 99% 95% 96% 93% 86% 83% 78% 76% 76% Target 74% 71% 75% 64% Listed assets Infrastructure Private equity Property Future Directions Total funds AUM at June 07 A$72.9b A$3.8b A$1.1b A$17
Slide 49: AMPCI – out performance in diversified funds
For personal use only AMPCI – out performance in diversified funds AMP Capital Balanced Growth Fund AMP Capital Conservative Fund Return Ranking Return Ranking Year 1 17.5% 1 Year 1 10.6% 1 Year 3 16.9% 1 Year 3 10.3% 1 Year 5 12.7% 1 Year 5 8.7% 1 Source: Mercer Pooled Fund Survey of institutional
Slide 50: Cobalt/Gordian – operating earnings
Cobalt/Gordian – operating earnings For personal use only 74 67 58 51 53 31 52 78 32 27 19 21 15 A$m FY 03 FY 04 FY 05 FY 06 1H 07 1H 2H 49
Slide 51: Cobalt/Gordian – capital position
For personal use only Cobalt/Gordian – capital position 237 125 511 615 349 492 484 585 423 499 309 255 224 159 137 A$m FY 03 FY 04 FY 05 FY 06 1H 07 Minimum capital requirement Surplus capital held in licensed insurers } Loans to Group office * Excludes capital held in non-licensed entities and cap
Slide 52: Capital management
For personal use only Capital management
Slide 53: AMP Financial Services – profit and capital releases
AMP Financial Services – profit and capital releases For personal use only AFS AFS underlying Investment Additional Cash transfer A$m operating investment income market transfers(3,4) from AFS (5) earnings(1) income(1,2) adjustment(1,2) 2000 322 258 243 176 999 2001 311 234 (94) (271) 180 2002 272 2
Slide 54: Financial strength metrics
Financial strength metrics For personal use only 20 30 June 2007 18 16 Underlying interest cover 30 June 2006 31 Dec 2006 14 31 Dec 2005 12 30 June 2005 10 8 31 Dec 2003 31 Dec 2004 6 30 June 2004 4 30 June 2003 2 0 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% S&P gearing S&P indicative A range Notes: • AMP’s A credi
Slide 55: Capital management
Capital management For personal use only Capital management strategy since 2004 has driven: ¾ Significant increase in dividends per share ¾ A$2,250m in capital returns to shareholders ¾ A$500m reduction in group debt Capital management strategy going forward: ¾ AMP’s surplus regulatory capital p
Slide 56: Dividends and capital returns since first half 2003
For personal use only Dividends and capital returns since first half 2003 40 40 40 22 19 13 14 Cents 7 per share 1H 03 1H 04 1H 05 1H 06 1H 07 15% franked 75% franked 75% franked 85% franked 85% franked Interim dividend Capital return 55
Slide 57: Summary
For personal use only Summary
Slide 58: Summary
Summary For personal use only Powerful platform for growth ¾ Industry growth high, buoyed by Simpler Super reforms ¾ Flexible, robust and scaleable business model Sharp focus on core business ¾ The better we get at running the business, the more opportunities we find to improve Broad basis to
Slide 59: Appendix
For personal use only Appendix
Slide 60: Two distinct planner groups create powerful presence in market
Two distinct planner groups create powerful presence in market For personal use only AMP Financial Planning (AMPFP) Hillross (including Arrive and Magnify) 1,216 self-employed planners; 754 285 self-employed planners; 109 practices1 practices1 150 Certified Financial Planners1 495 Certified
Slide 61: Pre-tax operating earnings relative to FUM
Pre-tax operating earnings relative to FUM For personal use only Wealth management operating earnings per dollar of retail FUM – indexed to AMP 1.2 1.00 1.0 0.96 0.86 0.8 0.76 Index 0.6 0.48 0.45 0.39 0.4 0.2 0.14 0.0 AMP CBA NAB WBC ANZ / ING SGB MBL AXA Source: Based on internal analysis by AMP, u
Slide 62: AFS embedded value
AFS embedded value For personal use only RoEV Traditional basis, @ 3% discount margin 1H 03 5.8% 47 8,178 (456) 115 1H 04 9.3% 176 17 4 1H 05 11.1% 1H 06 11.2% 215 7,722 1H 07 12.4% 327 759 7,277 6,518 A$6,000m FY 06 EV Restatement* FY 06 EV Expected return 1H 07 new Investment & Unit cost Persisten
Slide 63: AFS value of new business
AFS value of new business For personal use only VNB Traditional basis, @ 3% discount margin 1H 03 $100m 1 215 1H 04 $125m 4 9 1H 05 $134m 42 (8) 1H 06 $165m 2 1H 07 $215m 164 1 165 A$120m 1H 06 VNB Restatement* 1H 06 VNB Volume & Future Expense Persistency Pricing NZ exchange 1H 07 VNB restated mix
Slide 64: Organisational culture inventory (OCI) – measuring behaviour styles
Organisational culture inventory (OCI) – measuring 12 behaviour styles For personal use only SELF- HUMANISTIC- AFFILIATIVE ACHIEVEMENT ACTUALISING ENCOURAGING Members are Members are Members are Members are expected to set expected to gain expected to be expected to be challenging but supportive, fr