U.s. Global Investors, Inc. · NASDAQ:GROW

U.s. Global Investors — Investor Presentation (November 2012)

76 slides from U.s. Global Investors's investor presentation, November 2012

Slide 1: Post-Election Outlook: How Will the Next Presidential Term Affect Your Portfolio?
U.S. Global Investors Searching for Opportunities, Managing Risk Post-Election Outlook: How Will the Next Presidential Term Affect Your Portfolio? Keith Fitz-Gerald, Chief Investment Strategist, Money Map Press Chairman, The Fitz-Gerald Group Frank Holmes, CEO and Chief Investment Officer U.S. Globa
Slide 2: Today's Presenters
Today’s Presenters Keith Fitz-Gerald Frank Holmes John Derrick www.usfunds.com November 2012 12-635 2
Slide 3: About U.S. Global Investors
About U.S. Global Investors Publicly traded company, traded on NASDAQ (GROW) Headquartered in San Antonio, TX Boutique investment management firm specializing in commodity-related equity strategies Offers mutual funds focused in gold, precious metals and minerals, global resources and emerging marke
Slide 4: Focus on Education
Focus on Education 43 MFEA STAR Awards for Excellence in Education www.usfunds.com November 2012 12-635 4
Slide 5: Performance and Results Oriented
“Performance and Results Oriented” Investment leadership results in performance Winner of 29 Lipper performance awards, certificates and top rankings since 2000 (Four out of 13 U.S. Global Investors Funds received Lipper performance awards from 2005 to 2008, six out of 13 received certificates from
Slide 6: U.S. Global Investors Investment Process
U.S. Global Investors Investment Process We use a matrix of “top-down” macro models and “bottom-up” micro stock selection models to determine weighting in countries, sectors and individual securities. We believe government policies are a precursor to change. We monitor and track the fiscal and monet
Slide 7: Government Policy Model — Precursor for Change
Government Policy Model — Precursor for Change Ben Bernanke, Chairman President Barack Obama of the Federal Reserve www.usfunds.com November 2012 12-635 7
Slide 8: U.S. Global Investors Investment Process
U.S. Global Investors Investment Process We overlay these explicit knowledge models with the tacit knowledge obtained by domestic and global travel for first-hand observation of local and geopolitical conditions, as well as specific companies and projects. We use a matrix of statistical models to mo
Slide 9: Cycles – Principles of Continuous Revolution
Cycles – Principles of Continuous Revolution Every cycle — irrespective of degree or significance — contains its own unique rhythm From daily tides to the solar system, life is governed by the cyclical principle www.usfunds.com November 2012 12-635 9
Slide 10: Four-Year Election Cycle
Four-Year Election Cycle 179-Year Saga Government Manipulates Economy Prime Pump Third Year Most gains in Second half of term Post & Midterm Bear Markets Dirty Work Early www.usfunds.com November 2012 12-635 10
Slide 11: No Dow Jones Industrial Average Third Year Loss
No Dow Jones Industrial Average Third Year Loss Since War-Torn 1939 Still No Loss For Dow Jones Industrial Average No Midterm Bottom 1986 & 2006 — Usually Bottom Pickers Paradise 2009 Post-Election Bottom Election Years Weaker Pre-Election Stronger Financial Crisis Impact www.usfunds.com November 20
Slide 12: Presidential Election Cycle
Presidential Election Cycle www.usfunds.com November 2012 12-635 12
Slide 13: Incumbent Party Wins & Losses
Incumbent Party Wins & Losses Barack Obama www.usfunds.com November 2012 12-635 13
Slide 14: Two Losses Last Seven Months
Two Losses Last Seven Months www.usfunds.com November 2012 12-635 14
Slide 15: 62-Year Seasonal Pattern
62-Year Seasonal Pattern www.usfunds.com November 2012 12-635 15
Slide 16: Seasonality Fluctuations Appear Poised to Rebound – XAU Gold Stock Index
Seasonality Fluctuations Appear Poised to Rebound – XAU Gold Stock Index Philadelphia Stock Exchange Gold and Silver Index (XAU) Source: CIBC www.usfunds.com November 2012 12-635 16
Slide 17: U.S. Presidential Election Year is Traditionally a Weak Year – XAU
U.S. Presidential Election Year is Traditionally a Weak Year – XAU Gold Stock Index www.usfunds.com November 2012 12-635 17
Slide 18: But 2013 Should Post Better Comebacks – XAU Gold Stock Index
But 2013 Should Post Better CKS O Comebacks – XAU Gold Stock Index ST Past performance does not guarantee future results. www.usfunds.com November 2012 12-635 18
Slide 19: How Will the Presidential Election Affect Investments
T ION TMENTS R ES ID E N T IAL E E L C E T C I N V ES o w t he P W I LL A FF H Keith Fitz-Gerald Chief Investment Strategist, Money Map Press Chairman, The Fitz-Gerald Group www.moneymorning.com www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 20: Disclaimer
U.S. Global Investors analyzes a variety of diverse opinions as we seek to make objective investment decisions. The following slides are the opinions of our guest presenter Keith Fitz-Gerald and do not necessarily reflect our views. DISCLAIMER This presentation is presented for the exclusive conside
Slide 22: Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 23: Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
*&#@ Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 24: Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Eterman.com Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 26: I believe
I believe …election was a sideshow …markets show little correlation …solid business model trumps all Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 28: This is not difficult to understand
This is not difficult to understand Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 29: Bush tax cuts expire, budget cuts and debt ceiling
The so-called Bush tax cuts expire December 31st at midnight. That means we revert to higher, Clinton- era taxes barring any fresh policy decisions. -- $1.2 trillion in automatic budget cuts go into effect January 1, 2013 unless Congress can figure out how to bring that much more money into the nati
Slide 30: Still, everybody asks about the markets…
Still, everybody asks about the markets… Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 35: And you invest accordingly
And you invest accordingly Image: NIST/Talbott Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 36: BBQ Economy
BBQ Economy …long, slow recovery Image: NIST/Talbott Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 37: Choose:
Choose: 1) Reliability 2) Income 3) Needs vs wants 4) Above average potential Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 44: It may not feel good… But that's a different problem.
It may not feel good… But that’s a different problem. Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 45: Growth is an illusion fueled by credit
Growth is an illusion fueled by credit… Not a linear system As most people believe Copyright 2012 – All rights reserved Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 47: This means it is a constant balance between two things…
This means it is a constant balance between two things… Copyright 2012 – All rights reserved Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 48: Anything that moves the needle is an opportunity
th at m o v e s t h e An y th i n g a n o pp o rt u n i ty ne ed l e i s http://dangerouslyirrelevant.org/images/various-small/resourceallocationcurve4.png - Annotations by Fitz-Gerald Research Publications, LLC Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 49: Reading Nature's Signals – Jim Henshaw
Reading Nature’s Signals – Jim Henshaw Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 50: A question of allocation…
A question of allocation… s hip rC oke co p C hip http://www.mnn.com/sites/default/files/peak-everything-feat.jpg Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 51: Many people disagree
Many people disagree Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 52: I find this argument fascinating
I find this argument fascinating Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 53: To believe we can bend the laws of physics is naïve
To believe we can bend the laws of physics is naïve and dangerously flawed Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 54: Interdependencies make selective change impossible…
Interdependencies make selective change impossible… Department of Homeland Security Copyright 2012 – All rights reserved Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 55: The real problem…
The real problem… …BIS data shows growth is undermined when 1. Government debt > 100% of GDP 2. Household debt > 85% of GDP 3. Corporate debt > 90% of GDP "Trade-Off: Financial System Supply-Chain Cross-Contagion: a study in global systemic collapse.“ Korowicz, BIS, Mathews Copyright 2012 – All righ
Slide 57: Hopefully the bluff will be called on the next guy's watch…
Hopefully the bluff will be called on the next guy’s watch… Copyright 2012 – All rights reserved Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 58: Easier to put off difficult decisions…
Easier to put off difficult decisions even if it means higher consequences in the future… Copyright 2012 – All rights reserved Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 59: This is like trying to take cough medicine in small sips…
This is like trying to take cough medicine in small sips… Copyright 2012 – All rights reserved Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 61: Questions
Questions What does this mean to me? How do I secure my future? Has train left the station? Can’t we stop this? Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 63: 6 things to do with personal assets
6 things to do with personal assets 1. 12 months of emergency reserves at FDIC insured bank 2. CEDARS or stay below FDIC limits 3. Establish credit and lock in loans now 4. Refinance at low rates 5. Limit exposure to company stock 6. Family planning Copyright 2012 – All rights reserved Copyright – 2
Slide 64: 10 things to do with investable assets
10 things to do with investable assets 1. Safety first 2. Glocals, glocals, glocals – income, income, income 3. Keep bond duration short 4. Hard assets – gold, energy 5. Cash is not trash – just make sure it’s the right cash 6. Trailing stops 7. Trade volatility 8. Buy the Bazooka 9. Diversify by st
Slide 67: The 50-40-10 Portfolio
The 50-40-10 Portfolio Rocket Riders: Special situations, takeover targets, IPOs, options and speculative Visual representations help the brain organize abstract 10 situations swing for the fences concepts. Rather than just talking numbers, pictures and shapes, in particular, can show investors how
Slide 68: But… But… But…
But… But… But… Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 72: imagine… what tomorrow brings
“imagine… what tomorrow brings” Keith Fitz-Gerald Chief Investment Strategist, Money Map Press Chairman, The Fitz-Gerald Group www.moneymorning.com www.keithfitz-gerald.com Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com
Slide 73: A Special Offer for Today's Webcast Attendees
A Special Offer for Today’s Webcast Attendees In the “Resources” section at the top of your screen, click on the link to activate a risk-free trial membership to Keith’s newsletter, The Money Map Report. Today’s Webinar attendees will get three of Keith’s Urgent Investor Reports for FREE. www.usfund
Slide 74: Sign Up for Investor Alert Today
Sign Up for Investor Alert Today Subscribe to the weekly, free e-newsletter at usfunds.com/subscribe And for advisors— Subscribe to Advisor Alert at usfunds.com/AAsubscribe www.usfunds.com November 2012 12-635 74
Slide 75: Thank You for Attending Today's Webcast
Thank You for Attending Today’s Webcast Questions? Suggestions? We Look Forward to Hearing from You. Visit Our Website: www.usfunds.com Call Us. Investors: 1-800-US-FUNDS (1-800-873-8637) Financial Advisors: 1-800-873-3639 www.usfunds.com November 2012 12-635 75
Slide 76: Disclosures
Disclosures Please consider carefully a fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. For this and other important information, obtain a fund prospectus by visiting www.usfunds.com or by calling 1-800-US-FUNDS (1-800-873-8637). Read it carefully before investing. Distributed by U.S. Glo

U.S. Global Investors — Investor Presentation (November 2012) on 6ix

U.s. Global Investors — Investor Presentation (November 2012)

Slide 1: Post-Election Outlook: How Will the Next Presidential Term Affect Your Portfolio?

Slide 2: Today's Presenters

Slide 3: About U.S. Global Investors

Slide 4: Focus on Education

Slide 5: Performance and Results Oriented

Slide 6: U.S. Global Investors Investment Process

Slide 7: Government Policy Model — Precursor for Change

Slide 8: U.S. Global Investors Investment Process

Slide 9: Cycles – Principles of Continuous Revolution

Slide 10: Four-Year Election Cycle

Slide 11: No Dow Jones Industrial Average Third Year Loss

Slide 12: Presidential Election Cycle

Slide 13: Incumbent Party Wins & Losses

Slide 14: Two Losses Last Seven Months

Slide 15: 62-Year Seasonal Pattern

Slide 16: Seasonality Fluctuations Appear Poised to Rebound – XAU Gold Stock Index

Slide 17: U.S. Presidential Election Year is Traditionally a Weak Year – XAU

Slide 18: But 2013 Should Post Better Comebacks – XAU Gold Stock Index

Slide 19: How Will the Presidential Election Affect Investments

Slide 20: Disclaimer

Slide 21: Perspectives vary…

Slide 22: Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com

Slide 23: Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com

Slide 24: Copyright – 2012 – www.keithfitz-gerald.com

Slide 25: The truth

Slide 26: I believe

Slide 27: Fiscal Cliff

Slide 28: This is not difficult to understand

Slide 29: Bush tax cuts expire, budget cuts and debt ceiling

Slide 30: Still, everybody asks about the markets…

Slide 31: History suggests

Slide 32: Risks

Slide 33: Election a crisis of faith

Slide 34: Either you believe It will survive Or you don't

Slide 35: And you invest accordingly

Slide 36: BBQ Economy

Slide 37: Choose:

Slide 38: Follow the money

Slide 39: History may not repeat But it rhymes

Slide 40: Even if…

Slide 41: The global economy will continue…

Slide 42: Progress will be slow…

Slide 43: It will not stop…

Slide 44: It may not feel good… But that's a different problem.

Slide 45: Growth is an illusion fueled by credit

Slide 46: History may not repeat But it rhymes…

Slide 47: This means it is a constant balance between two things…

Slide 48: Anything that moves the needle is an opportunity

Slide 49: Reading Nature's Signals – Jim Henshaw

Slide 50: A question of allocation…

Slide 51: Many people disagree

Slide 52: I find this argument fascinating

Slide 53: To believe we can bend the laws of physics is naïve

Slide 54: Interdependencies make selective change impossible…

Slide 55: The real problem…

Slide 56: Being wrong in consensus is easier than being right…

Slide 57: Hopefully the bluff will be called on the next guy's watch…

Slide 58: Easier to put off difficult decisions…

Slide 59: This is like trying to take cough medicine in small sips…

Slide 60: …it still tastes terrible

Slide 61: Questions

Slide 62: Break it down…

Slide 63: 6 things to do with personal assets

Slide 64: 10 things to do with investable assets

Slide 65: Staying out is not an option…

Slide 66: Follow the money

Slide 67: The 50-40-10 Portfolio

Slide 68: But… But… But…

Slide 69: No buts about it…

Slide 70: The world will not stop…

Slide 71: Follow the money

Slide 72: imagine… what tomorrow brings

Slide 73: A Special Offer for Today's Webcast Attendees

Slide 74: Sign Up for Investor Alert Today

Slide 75: Thank You for Attending Today's Webcast

Slide 76: Disclosures